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Ethereum — 2025. The Lord Giveth and Taketh Away (Caution! 18+)Donald Trump's recent policies and statements have generated significant negative sentiment towards Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As he resumes the presidency, his administration's approach to cryptocurrencies is expected to be more regulatory and cautious, which could impact Ethereum investors.
Historical Context of Trump's Views on Cryptocurrency
Trump has a mixed history with cryptocurrencies, as we mentioned in earlier published ideas. Initially, he labeled them a "scam", "based on thin air" as well as "threat to the U.S. dollar" and expressed skepticism about their value, stating that they are not real money and are highly volatile. However, in recent months, he has shifted his stance somewhat, reportedly owning between $1 million and $5 million in Ethereum as of August 2024. Despite this personal investment, his public comments continue to reflect a critical view of the crypto market.
Impact of Recent Tariffs on Ethereum
The most immediate cause of concern for Ethereum investors has been Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. This decision triggered a significant sell-off in the cryptocurrency market, with Ethereum experiencing a drastic price drop of over 26% in just one day. The overall cryptocurrency market lost nearly half a trillion dollars in value following these announcements, highlighting the interconnectedness of global trade policies and digital asset valuations.
The tariffs have led to increased uncertainty among investors, prompting many to liquidate their positions in riskier assets like Ethereum. This reaction is indicative of a broader trend where geopolitical tensions and economic policies directly influence cryptocurrency prices. Analysts noted that such trade policies could lead to inflationary pressures and a stronger dollar, making cryptocurrencies less attractive to international buyers.
Future Outlook for Ethereum Under Trump's Administration
Looking ahead, Trump's administration is likely to focus on stricter regulations for cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in enhanced oversight that may slow down the adoption of Ethereum by businesses and individuals. However, there is also potential for increased legitimacy if clear regulations are established.
Moreover, Trump's interest in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) might further complicate the landscape for Ethereum. As the U.S. explores its digital dollar initiative, Ethereum's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem could face stiff competition from state-backed digital currencies.
Technical challenge
The main technical graph for Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD indicates on Bearish trend in development, since mid-December 2024, with acceleration occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the White House.
Key support considered as 100-week SMA (near $2550 in this time) and $2200 flat multi bottom, that helps so far; otherwise (in case of breakthrough) we believe it could lead the Ethereum price much lower, as it described on the chart.
Conclusion
In summary, while Trump’s personal investment in Ethereum marks a notable shift from his previous criticisms, his administration's policies—especially regarding tariffs—have created a challenging environment for Ethereum investors. The combination of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic factors will likely continue to influence Ethereum's market performance in the near future.
BTC BOLLINGER BANDSAnalyzing the Bitcoin daily chart with Bollinger Bands reveals key insights into the current market dynamics. The price is currently trading below the middle band (20-day moving average), which often serves as a dynamic resistance level in a downtrend. This signals a bearish bias, with the price unable to regain strength above this key level.
The lower Bollinger Band has widened, reflecting increased volatility during the recent sell-off. The price recently tested the lower band, indicating oversold conditions, but there was no significant rebound, suggesting that selling pressure remains strong and that buyers are hesitant to step in with confidence. This lack of a strong bounce near the lower band also highlights the bearish momentum in the market.
A move back toward the middle band would require a shift in sentiment and a recovery in buying interest. For now, the price is trading closer to the lower band, leaving room for further downside exploration, particularly if Bitcoin fails to break back above the middle band. This setup suggests traders should watch for a decisive close above or below the bands, which could signal the next major directional move.
DeGRAM | DXY downturn in the channelThe DXY is in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the dynamic resistance, which previously acted as a pullback point.
The chart has formed a harmonic pattern.
We expect the continuation of the decline in the channel.
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#GALA/USDT#GALA
The price is moving in a descending channel on the 1-hour frame and is adhering to it well and is heading to break it strongly upwards and retest it
We have a bounce from the lower limit of the descending channel, this support is at a price of 0.01915
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to break and retest, which supports the rise
We have a trend to stabilize above the moving average 100
Entry price 0.02250
First target 0.02500
Second target 0.02764
Third target 0.03000
Blow off top - too early to short?As much as it pains me to say this, I still think Palantir has more shorts to squeeze here. There’s a rounded bottom and my Elliot wave count puts this move at Wave 5, blow off top. I think the final Wave 5 target is higher than $100, I can’t tell exactly where it end as I don’t have a crystal ball. However, this move up is strong and can easily head towards the $150 region.
I’d strongly recommend against shorting here, as I did a few months back. There will be an opportunity to short, but I wouldn’t be jumping in front of this steam train right now.
Not financial advise, do what’s best for you.
resumption of dountrendBased on the pivot point at 97,071, I expect a potential bearish level. If that level is broken, a drop to 91,781 seems like the next potential target based on the analysis. Are you looking at this from a technical analysis perspective, such as using support/resistance or trend lines, or are there any other indicators you factor into your view?
$NVDA: Broadening Formation & Earnings Play – $180 Calls for MayHey what's up everyone. Here's an analysis on NASDAQ:NVDA 👇🏽
💹 Trade Analysis & Setup
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is currently trading at $116.66, showing high volatility inside a Broadening Formation (BF) on both the daily and monthly timeframes.
This setup is a textbook liquidity expansion pattern, where price is making higher highs and lower lows within a widening megaphone structure.
The key catalyst in play is NVDA earnings on Feb 21, 2025, which could drive significant price action and IV expansion.
🔼 Bullish Case (Targets: $129 - $141.88 - $150+)
Earnings Catalyst (Feb 21): AI demand remains strong, with NVDA leading the semiconductor market.
Breakout Zone at $123-$125: NVDA must reclaim this zone to shift into an uptrend.
$129 (Prior Weekly High): A breakout here could bring momentum buyers & institutions into play.
Gap Fill to $141.88: Major upside potential exists if NVDA can sustain bullish momentum post-earnings.
🔻 Bearish Risks (Key Support & Breakdown Levels)
Daily Lower BF Break (~$113-$115): If this level fails, downside could accelerate toward $110-$105.
Monthly Broadening Formation Lower Level (~$100-$95): Extreme downside risk in the worst-case scenario.
Earnings Disappointment: If NVDA’s report fails to meet expectations, a strong move down is possible.
Theta Decay Impact: My contract loses value daily (~$3.53 per day), so a slow move up is not favorable.
IV Crush Post-Earnings: If NVDA doesn’t move much after earnings, option value could rapidly drop.
🚀 My Trade Plan
Bullish Breakout Plan: Hold if NVDA reclaims $123-$129, targeting $141-$150+ before March-April.
Earnings Play Strategy: Hold through earnings ONLY IF NVDA builds strength into Feb 21.
Exit if $113 breaks below with strong volume to prevent further downside losses.
NVDA’s Daily & Monthly Broadening Formations confirm high volatility & liquidity expansion. The next major move is likely earnings-driven.
If NVDA clears $129, I will hold my calls. If support at $113 fails, I may exit early.
💡 Trade Details:
Position: NVDA $180c 16 MAY 25
Entry Price: $2.60
Current Price: $1.72
P/L Open: (-$85.66) / (-33.8%)
Delta: 11.36 (~0.11)
Theta: (-3.53)
Key Catalyst: Earnings on Feb 21, 2025
WHAT'S FLOWING: TRUMP | METALS | INDEX | BTC
Key Observations from the Charts
1. USD/MXN (US Dollar to Mexican Peso) – Bullish
• The pair is trending upwards, with price breaking above recent resistance.
• Green Heikin Ashi candles confirm bullish momentum.
2. USD/CNH (US Dollar to Chinese Yuan) – Bullish
• Price is pushing higher, breaking past previous resistance.
• The red-to-green shift in Heikin Ashi candles signals continued strength in USD.
3. USD/CAD (US Dollar to Canadian Dollar) – Bullish
• Strong rally with momentum building.
• The price is well above the moving average zone (green/red shaded area).
4. AUD/JPY & AUD/USD (vs. USD/JPY) – Bearish
• Weakness in AUD is visible as it trends downward.
• The Heikin Ashi candles are mostly red, indicating a downtrend.
5. XAG/EUR (Silver to Euro) – Bullish
• Price is breaking higher, suggesting demand for silver.
• Potential move toward the next resistance.
6. XAU/USD vs. XAG/USD (Gold & Silver to USD) – Bullish
• Both gold and silver are pushing higher.
• Potential rotation into precious metals as a hedge against market uncertainty.
7. GER40 (DAX Index, Germany) – Bullish
• The index is maintaining an uptrend.
• Strong green Heikin Ashi candles show continuation.
8. US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average) – Bearish
• Continues to push higher with momentum.
• Uptrend remains intact.
9. SPX500 (S&P 500 Index) – Slightly Bearish
• Market remains near highs, with some consolidation.
• Green Heikin Ashi candles still dominate, but some resistance forming.
What’s Flowing Today?
• Strong USD Trends: USD is pushing higher against MXN, CNH, and CAD, reflecting dollar strength.
• Precious Metals Rising: Gold and Silver are both trending up, likely as a hedge against market risks.
• Equities Holding Strong: US & European indices (S&P 500, Dow Jones, and DAX) are maintaining bullish trends.
• AUD Weakness: AUD/JPY and AUD/USD are selling off, signaling risk aversion in currency markets.
Market Themes to Watch
• Risk-on vs. Risk-off Sentiment: Precious metals moving higher suggests some defensive positioning, but stocks remain strong.
• US Dollar Strength: USD showing dominance across multiple pairs.
• Commodities & Inflation Hedge: Metals rallying could indicate inflation expectations creeping back into the market.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(04/02/2025)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. Expected opening near 49450 level. After opening it will face resistance at this level and expected reversal towards the downside. Major upside rally only expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 49550 level. Downside 49050 will act as a important support for today's session.
Bitcoin (BTC): Sellers Are Showing DominanceBitcoin has been killing it with volatility on the market.
After reaching our target of GETTEX:92K , where the price bounced back up to fill the CME gap, we have seen ever since the dominance from sellers again.
We think that we have not yet formed the monthly low zone so we will definitely re-test at least one more time the zone GETTEX:92K so we keep our attention there.
Now there is also another possibility of again re-testing the zone of CME, where we are not going to rush into decisions and will trade accordingly to what we will see near that CME!
Liquidation is now a regular thing if you use high leverage, so if you've been using it, DON'T.
Swallow Team
Gold Futures Hit Record High; Key Levels for Next MoveGold Futures Hit Record for Fifth Consecutive Session on Safe-Haven Demand
Gold futures surged to a fresh all-time high (ATH) for the fifth consecutive session amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty.
Gold Technical Analysis
The price recorded a new ATH at 2877 per ounce and continues to maintain bullish momentum, as we highlighted yesterday from 2833.
Today, a potential retest of 2857 is possible before another upward push. However, if 2857 is broken, the price may decline further toward 2839.
On the other hand, if a 4-hour candle closes above 2870, the price is likely to rise toward 2895 and 2918.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2870
Resistance Levels: 2895, 2918, 2937
Support Levels: 2854, 2839, 2823
Trend Outlook
Bullish above 2870
Movement Range: 2870 – 2839
Bearish if the price breaks below 2855
previous idea:
EUR/JPY - Extremely oversold, it's time for a correctionHi guys we would be looking into EUR/JPY today.
From a tecnical perspective we have a big gap that we need to cover, and to get back into the structured balance of the pair, an Ascending Channel is formulating giving us an indication that the price should increase.
Entry: 158.600
Target 1: 159.600
Target 2: 160.600
Target 3: 161.600
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Bearish scenario for BTCIn trading and crypto world you have to be open to all possibilities. As we are seeing significant drop among alts and market makers manipulation. Money is withdrawed from markets and price is failing.
BTC price action reminds me 2021 year when after ATH there was a 50% drop.
Lot of similarities there - completed 5 waves, bearish div on higher timeframes, greed above 70/75, bullish sentiment, news etc.
On the other hand, current drop already liquidated more than 2b usd in one day...
We need to watch it closely and do not overtrade or do stupid FOMO.
In these time lev trades are not recommended.
THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
MANAGE YOUR RISK AND ALWAYS USE STOPLOSS
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Key Levels & Market Outlook
Bitcoin is once again at a critical juncture, facing major resistance while testing crucial support levels. With the market moving cautiously, let’s break down the key levels, possible scenarios, and the broader context shaping Bitcoin’s price action.
Bitcoin has had a remarkable journey, recovering from past corrections and proving its resilience time and time again. From the 2021 bull run that took BTC to $69K, to the deep corrections of 2022, and the resurgence in 2023–2024, each phase has been a lesson in volatility, accumulation, and distribution.
Now, in 2025, Bitcoin is testing psychological levels above $100K, a number that once seemed impossible but is now a key battleground for bulls and bears. The question is—will BTC break higher, or are we due for another correction?
📍 Critical Price Levels
📌 Resistance: $100,000–$102,000 – This is a pivotal zone. A confirmed breakout with strong volume could reinforce bullish momentum and signal further price discovery.
📌 Support: $90,000 – The key demand area. Losing this level could shift momentum toward the bears.
📌 Major Support: $85,000 – A crucial liquidity zone. If Bitcoin enters an extended correction, this level could serve as a key structural support.
Possible Scenarios:
🔹 Bullish Outlook
If Bitcoin can decisively break and hold above $100K, supported by strong volume and positive market sentiment, it could pave the way for continued upside. Historically, breakouts above major psychological levels have triggered aggressive price expansion, potentially sending BTC toward $108K–$110K and beyond.
🔻 Bearish Outlook
A failure to hold $90K, particularly with increased sell-side volume, could accelerate downside movement. If liquidity sweeps below this level, Bitcoin might retest $85K, where institutional buyers could step in. A deeper correction could temporarily shake confidence, but past cycles have shown that such pullbacks often lead to stronger rallies.
Beyond technicals, several fundamental factors are influencing Bitcoin’s trajectory:
ETF Inflows & Institutional Demand – The growing adoption of Bitcoin ETFs has driven institutional interest, contributing to price stability and long-term accumulation.
Global Economic Uncertainty – With inflation concerns and central bank policies fluctuating, investors continue to see Bitcoin as a hedge, similar to gold.
Regulatory Developments – The US and EU are shaping new crypto regulations, which could impact market behavior and sentiment.
💬 What’s Next? Your Thoughts?
Bitcoin is at a defining moment—are we gearing up for a bullish continuation, or is a correction on the horizon? Let me know what You think in the comments!
🚀 Stay tuned and trade wisely!
Your Kateryna😍
The future of Meme CoinsWhat does the future hold for meme coins?
I often think meme coins caused the collapse of many "serious" altcoin projects and now the flood of new meme coins will do the same to large cap meme coins.
Too much money being spread thin across them all. Here we have JSC - SCALPER with 75% accuracy and a whopping 132% average trade. Had a sell signal back in Dec 2024. It's been bearish for 2 months now.
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT
In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for the deeper pull back from the open and then hunt the long trades into the levels we published as our bias and red box targets. We managed to get the short early part of the week into the level we wanted 2730-35 giving us the long trade and a phenomenal pip capture.
We then published the FOMC KOG REPORT and stated a similar scenario, only this time expecting price to give us an undercut low before then resuming the move into all time highs. Price didn’t capture the liquidity from below enabling traders to keep positions from below and then carry trades up completing every target level down and up for the week!
A fantastic week in Camelot and for those who followed, not only on Gold but all the other pairs we trade and analyse, completing 28 targets during and high volatility and demanding week. Well done to the team!
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’re looking for two potential moves this week to start with. Ideally, we want to see the market open, test that high around the 2810-7 region and see a rejection there. If we can get that RIP there we feel the move downside can commence firstly into the 2775 region and below that 2755-60. That’s the level for us to watch for a potential long trade back up but we’ll treat it level to level unless the 2890-95 region is broken.
Our target level of 2828 is still active, however, we would again like to see a deeper pull back before attempting that long trade as we’re too high and It’s too dangerous up here.
On the flip, if we break above that 2810 level and can hold above it, we’ll be looking to complete our target level and based on a clean set up, a potential swing short for the bigger capture may come from up there.
Crucial level here is 2790 which has been circled on the chart, it’s likely they will use this level as a key level for this week.
KOG’s Bias for the week:
Bearish below 2810 with targets below 2795, 2775 and below that 2755.
Bullish on break of 2810 with targets above 2820, 2824, 2828 and above that 2835
RED BOXES:
Break of 2810 for 2815, 2818, 2828, 2830 and 2834 in extension of the move
Break of 2790 for 2785, 2877, 2765 and 2755 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG