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cadchf new york trade idea set up form :
sweep sellside in 4h after 4h bisi failled to expande and run the sellside .i anticpate the price will bach to trade in the 4h bisi and it is my dol after makin a fva in 1h .
the only reason making me cancel this trade is price sweeping the 4h candle and make a displacment up.
It's disappointing !!!Once again, The price action could drop to $95K and then return to its peak. It will take some time to recover from the damage that these sh*t meme coins have done to the crypto market.
Give me some energy !!
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Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC: Micro PA before the US openCurrently BTC is sideway on my end whilst trading within the cloud on the daily and trading currently below the cloud on the 1H with a potential income bearish cross if interest to push price higher from here once institutions start selling into buyers at a high rate.
Sweep setup below for a potential fake out and trap on the 1H.
PA needs to cross above all resistance and 2 EMAS sideways but slowly about to cross bearish in order to cancel confirmation of another leg down.
Just my opinion and the way I chart and subject to what traditional markets do, the narrative and up and coming news plays regarding economic data that directly effects the crypto space.
Breakout on USDCADUSDCAD Breakout Analysis
February 4, 2025
Technical Setup: Breakout Trade
Breakout confirmed after consolidation period
Previous resistance becoming support
Trade setup
Clear break above consolidation range
Strong momentum after breakout
Higher highs forming after breakout
Trade Opportunity
Entry: Support zone after break out
Stop Loss: Below breakout level
Targets: floating profit to catch major bullish trend
XAUUSD: TOP 2847-2855 ? WILL WE 2482 Q2 OR YEAR END?Wave 5 Projections
Base Calculation (0.618 × Wave 3 Length)
Wave 3 Length = 2785.69 - 2596.11 = 189.58
Target: 2730.41 (Wave 4 low) + (189.58 × 0.618) ≈ 2847.56
0.618 × Entire Impulse (Wave 1 to Wave 3)
Total Rise (Wave 1 Low to Wave 3 High): 2785.69 - 2584.56 = 201.13
Target: 2730.41 + (201.13 × 0.618) ≈ 2854.67
1.618 × Wave 1 Length
Wave 1 Length = 2636.96 - 2584.56 = 52.4
Target: 2730.41 + (52.4 × 1.618) ≈ 2815.17 (minimum target above Wave 3 high of 2785.69).
Equal to Wave 1-3 Length (Aggressive)
Target: 2730.41 + 201.13 ≈ 2931.54
Key Levels:
Minimum Target: Just above Wave 3 high (~2786+).
Primary Targets: 2847–2855 (most probable).
Extended Target: 2920–2931 (if momentum is strong).
5a, 5b, 5c Targets
These typically refer to a corrective ABC pattern after Wave 5 completes, not sub-waves of Wave 5 itself. To estimate:
5a: Initial drop (e.g., 23.6–38.2% retracement of the full Wave 1–5 rise).
5b: Partial recovery (50–61.8% of 5a).
5c: Final leg down, often equal to 1.618×5a or 100% of Wave 1–5 rise.
Example (if Wave 5 ends at 2855):
Total Rally: 2855 - 2584.56 ≈ 270.44
5a (38.2% retracement): 2855 - (270.44 × 0.382) ≈ 2752
5c Target: 2752 - 270.44 ≈ 2482 (aggressive).
Summary
Wave 5 Target: 2847–2855 (focus here).
5a, 5b, 5c: Dependent on Wave 5’s final high; use Fibonacci retracements post-completion.
Gold’s Got Game!Gold’s Got Game: Why This Metal’s Making Fiat Look Like Monopoly Money 🤑
Introduction
Gold isn’t just shiny—it’s sassy. While fiat currencies are busy falling apart like a cheap IKEA table, gold’s over here flexing in style. The chart? Oh, it’s a thing of beauty—a perfectly behaved ascending channel, the kind that makes traders weak in the knees. But wait, there’s more! Let’s dig into why gold’s the MVP of this market. Spoiler: It doesn’t involve a billionaire tweeting 🚀.
Trendlines So Sexy, They Should Be Illegal
Look at that chart. Just LOOK at it. Perfect lines, clean swings, and a channel that’s so disciplined it could teach your trading account some manners. Gold’s not just going up—it’s strutting. This isn’t your everyday pump-and-dump nonsense; this is a long-term glow-up.
Gold’s Secret Sauce 🍯
Why is gold moonwalking its way to the top? Glad you asked:
Inflation’s Revenge 😡
Central banks printing money faster than you can say “quantitative easing”? Classic. Every dollar you hold is depreciating, but gold? It’s sipping tea, whispering, “Stay poor, fiat.”
Geopolitical Chaos 🎭
From trade wars to actual wars, the world’s on fire 🔥, and gold is the fireproof safe. Every time a headline screams “uncertainty,” gold gains another point.
Chart Patterns: Gold's Glow-Up Timeline 🌟
The Breakout Bounce (Feb–May): A breakout so clean it probably eats kale salads. Gold smashed through resistance and said, “Later, losers.”
The Mid-Year Flex (June–August): A pullback? Sure. But even then, it respected the channel like a disciplined trader.
The Current Power Move (Feb 2025): Now we’re seeing that next-level push, eyeing $2,900 like it’s a Black Friday sale.
And let’s not ignore the elephant in the room: that arrow aiming straight for the top. Whoever drew it, we get it. Moon or bust 🚀.
The Real Question: Are You Late to the Party? 🥳
Short answer: Nope. Long answer: If this channel holds (and it’s been rock-solid so far), gold’s got room to run. But don’t just take my word for it—check the fundamentals. Oh wait, they’re screaming “BUY” too. 😏
Gold isn’t just moving—it’s making a statement. In a world full of financial chaos, it’s the one asset that doesn’t flinch. While fiat currencies play hot potato, gold’s over here saying, “Come at me, bro.” So, are you going to keep watching from the sidelines, or are you ready to get in the game? Your move.
Gold’s making moves, and the chart isn’t lying. So, are you ready to listen—or are you still clinging to that “cash is king” nonsense? 🤔
Jio : Recovering well from the support of 230.Jio : Recovering well from the support of 230.
Important levels to watch for are 280 / 310.
MACD positive crossover has already happened and moving towards 0 .
( Not a Buy / Sell Recommendation
Do your own due diligence ,Market is subject to risks, This is my own view and for learning only .)
FTSE 100: Breakout Confirmed—What’s Next for the Rally?The FTSE 100 has finally broken through to new all-time highs, but now comes the real test. Can momentum carry it even higher, or is a consolidation phase on the horizon? With the index in uncharted territory, let’s break down the key technical levels and sector performance driving this move.
Structure Analysis: Why This Breakout Matters
The FTSE’s recent price action has underlined the importance of structure analysis—the study of key support and resistance levels and how price reacts around them.
At the start of the year, the index faced multiple layers of resistance. Several minor swing highs clustered around the 8,400 level, reinforcing the importance of this zone. Add in the May 2024 all-time high, and you had a significant technical barrier. That barrier was shattered in mid-January when the FTSE burst through resistance with strong momentum.
However, what followed was even more important. Instead of a sharp pullback, the market consolidated near the highs, a clear sign that sellers were struggling to regain control. A brief one-day dip tested the broken resistance zone—but buyers quickly stepped in, turning old resistance into new support. That’s the hallmark of a strong breakout.
Now, with the FTSE pushing into uncharted territory, traders are turning to Keltner Channels for guidance. The index has been using the upper Keltner Channel (a 2.25 ATR band around a 20-day EMA) as dynamic resistance. Meanwhile, the 20-day EMA and the broken resistance zone are providing support. This creates a well-defined range for swing traders and trend continuation setups—watching for either a clean breakout or another support retest.
FTSE 100 Daily Candle Chart
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
Who’s Leading and Who’s Lagging?
While the FTSE’s breakout is a broad-market story, not all sectors are participating equally. The rally has been powered by Financials (+11.68%) and Tech (+14.86%), two sectors that have historically struggled for leadership in the UK market. Their strength has been enough to offset weakness elsewhere.
Meanwhile, Healthcare (+7.33%) and Industrials (+3.83%) have added steady support, while Energy (+2.82%) has held up despite recent weakness in oil prices.
On the other end of the spectrum, Materials (-6.70%) and Real Estate (-6.31%) have been clear laggards. This suggests that materials and real estate stocks are struggling under the weight of higher interest rates and global growth concerns—factors that could continue limiting upside unless sentiment shifts.
This divergence raises an important question: is there a rotation trade coming? If lagging sectors start to find support, we could see the rally broaden out, giving the FTSE further upside. If not, continued gains will depend on Financials and Tech holding their leadership role.
UK Sector Snapshot (3-Month)
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results
What’s Next?
With the FTSE now testing dynamic resistance, the battle between trend continuation and consolidation is in full swing. If the index breaks above its upper Keltner Channel, momentum traders may look for an acceleration higher. If resistance holds, the broken 8,400 resistance zone and the 20-day EMA will be key levels to watch for potential support.
Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
BILDCO 1H - RSI Divergence, ABC Correction Ending? Time to Buy?📈 BILDCO 1H - ABC Correction Ending? Time to Buy? 🚀
Market Overview
Abu Dhabi National Co. for Building Materials (BILDCO) has experienced a strong rally since Mid 2024, reaching a high of 1.34, before correcting sharply.
- The stock has now completed an ABC corrective pattern, with Wave C touching a major demand zone around 0.9546 - 0.9906.
- RSI bullish divergence detected, signaling potential exhaustion of selling pressure.
This could be the right time to accumulate positions as a new impulsive wave may be starting.
- A breakout above 1.12 could confirm a new bullish impulsive wave.
📉 RSI Divergence & Momentum Shift
-Bullish RSI Divergence formed at demand zone, indicating potential trend reversal.
- The RSI has crossed above 30 and is testing the 40 level, signaling that momentum may be shifting bullish.
- If RSI moves above 50, expect strong buying pressure.
📌 Trade Setup:
✅ Entry:1.12 (BOS)
🔻 Stop Loss: Below 0.95(invalidation of demand zone)
⚖️ **Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:4+ (solid trade setup)
⚡ Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Bullish Confirmation:
- Break above 1.12 = Trend reversal confirmed
🚨 Bearish Risks:
- Rejection at 1.10 could cause a pullback.
- A drop below 0.95invalidates the bullish setup.
"Opportunities come infrequently. When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble." – Warren Buffett
🚨 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly. 🚨
BTC/USDT Breakout Riding the Descending Triangle for Dual TPIn this setup, I executed a long position on BTC/USDT at 97835.6 BINANCE:BTCUSDT USDT after identifying a breakout potential within a descending triangle pattern. The price was compressing against the descending resistance, and I anticipated bullish momentum as it approached a critical convergence zone.
Key Elements of the Setup:
Descending Triangle Breakout:
The price was forming lower highs while respecting a strong support area near 97,711 USDT. I positioned my entry slightly above this support after spotting bullish pressure building up near the triangle's apex.
Support & Resistance Analysis:
The support zones between 96,601.1 USDT and 97,711 USDT provided a solid base for the price, showing multiple rejections of lower levels.
Several weak resistance levels ahead were identified, but the strong bullish momentum suggested the price would overcome them, making it favorable for a breakout.
Risk Management:
My stop loss is strategically placed at 95,854.9 USDT, below the support zone, to protect against a false breakout while minimizing risk exposure.
The setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, giving the trade room to breathe without exposing it to unnecessary losses.
Take Profit Strategy:
Take Profit 1 at 100,965.9 USDT, just below a major resistance level at 101,735.4 USDT. This ensures profit is secured before encountering strong selling pressure.
Take Profit 2 at 102,380.7 USDT, targeting the upper resistance, capitalizing on the full potential of the breakout if momentum remains strong.
Conclusion:
This trade combines technical pattern recognition (descending triangle breakout), key support and resistance mapping, and disciplined risk management. By entering near a strong support with a clear breakout structure, the goal is to ride the bullish wave and secure profits at predefined resistance levels.
There is A Bearish Wave Ready on BITCOIN. Lets Try To Sell IT**Description**:
This trading idea is centered on **BTC (Bitcoin)**, the pioneer and most widely adopted cryptocurrency in the world. As a decentralized digital asset, Bitcoin has established itself as a store of value, often referred to as "digital gold," due to its limited supply and strong network security. Institutional interest in **BTC** continues to grow, with major companies and funds incorporating it into their portfolios as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty. With ongoing advancements in adoption, such as payment integrations and increased regulatory clarity, Bitcoin remains a key player in the cryptocurrency space.
Despite its promising fundamentals, it’s crucial to remember that Bitcoin is highly volatile and sensitive to macroeconomic conditions, regulatory news, and market sentiment. Therefore, managing risks and staying informed is essential for successful trading and investment in **BTC**.
**Disclaimer**:
This trading idea is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading or investing in cryptocurrencies like **BTC** carries significant risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. Ensure you conduct thorough research, assess your financial situation, and seek advice from a financial professional before making any decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
GBPUSD H4 | FOREX BEELooking at the GBP/USD H4 chart, I can identify the following key observations:
1. Trendline Resistance: The market is currently testing or approaching a key descending trendline, indicating potential resistance at higher levels.
2. Fibonacci Levels: The chart highlights the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level near 1.2415, suggesting a possible bullish target zone if price breaks above the trendline resistance.
3. Support Zones: The red zones below, particularly near 1.2251 (0.236 Fibonacci), appear to act as important support levels where buying interest may reappear.
4. Market Scenario:
- If the price breaks above the trendline and sustains, it may move towards the next resistance at 1.2415 or higher.
- On the downside, a failure at the current level could push the market back to the support zones around 1.2250 or lower.
This setup suggests a cautious approach for now. A breakout confirmation above the descending trendline would provide a clearer signal for bullish continuation. Conversely, failure to break higher may lead to renewed bearish pressure.
AUDJPY SHORT: Caixin Services PMI lower than estimatedChina's January Caixin Services PMI was 51.0 vs. 52.2 in December. This shows a slowing service sector in China. As a result of this economic news release, the Australian dollar is expected to potentially weaken against the Japanese yen. We must remember that China is one of Australia's biggest trading partners, so anything that happens in China will almost always affect the Australian dollar.