Get started

Semiconductors

DIA trading within CPI Range from June!Dow Jones is still trading withing the range of the past few days which also places it within the range it was in back when we had a major decline following a disappointing CPI report back in the beginning of June. This puts the market in a position that could see a potential breakout in either direction. Can we possibly see economic data that propels the Dow higher out of the top of the range or will the trend of negative data to end the year continue forcing the market out of the lower end. Manufacturing data released today suggest that the economy is continuing to slow, and we have recently seen forward earnings projections for giants such as Tesla ($TSLA) and Apple ($AAPL) be reduced. This is consistent with a muted rally we are seeing here for the Dow to start off the week and a 1% down day for the Nasdaq. I stand by my previous statement here to start off the week. I would be looking for short positions, with potential long positions to hedge going into 2023. However, we still are trading within this range and have no indication yet as to which way the wind will blow for the Dow Jones Industrial Average. There are some other signs that point to the potential outcome such as a weakening semiconductor industry ($SMH) and transportation index ($DJT) still trading below its 8 day average.
AMEX:DIAShort
by D1Finance
1
this thing is about to smash the market into little tiny piecesarent we all glad we reinvested early in semiconductors? i sure am. the short semiconductor etf is going completely insane. expect that to continue. if you look at the 5 minute you can see we are poised for breakout. we will probably go outside upper envelope, swing back to value area low before moving higher. i dont see anything thats going to stop the total collapse of the semiconductor industry as we know it, do you?
AMEX:SOXSLong
by cerealpatterns
NIO: Waiting on the Bottom for EVsThis is not actually a bottom starting yet. NIO needs to show some up and down sideways action that holds above the low of 8.40. But it is at strong support level from its IPO sideways pattern from 2018. This is a weekly chart so you can see that long-term support, which is both fundamental and technical. For ALL Electric Vehicle manufacturers, 2023 may possibly be that big growth year. It is important to keep an eye on all new technologies because when the Post-pandemic Renaissance really takes off, the speed at which EV dominates will probably surprise most people. The top 3 EV companies, Top 3 Semi-conductor companies for EV, the Top 3 companies for major components like solid state batteries, the Top component manufacturers for sensors, etc. are all up for grabs. Nobody has the lead right now. It is all about who can convert to robots and robotics faster and who incorporates solid state batteries and other component integration to meet demand. Don't worry about charging stations. Those are already being built and incorporated into gas stations everywhere, corporate offices and public transportation.
NYSE:NIO
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
SOXL | Semiconductor Bull 3x ETF | LongThe fund invests at least 80% of its net assets (plus borrowing for investment purposes) in financial instruments, such as swap agreements, securities of the index, and ETFs that track the index and other financial instruments that provide daily leveraged exposure to the index or to ETFs that track the index. The index is a rules-based, modified float-adjusted market capitalization-weighted index that tracks the performance of the thirty largest U.S. listed semiconductor companies. The fund is non-diversified.
AMEX:SOXLLong
by DivergenceSeeker
4
ON Semiconductor Corporation can provide further upside in 2023NASDAQ:ON was in a strong correlation with SP:SPX in the last years. To be accurate, the correlation was so strong between 2002 to 2021. However, since the beginning of this year, this correlation is not working anymore. In this bear market, the company has been providing price support and testing new high levels. From a fundamental point of view, US needs to secure more domestic capability for semiconductor production. So, this company can provide more upside in the next year based on this new developing trend.
NASDAQ:ONLong
by The_Quantastic
WISA | Semiconductor Play | LONGWiSA Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and sells audio wireless technology for smart devices and next-generation home entertainment systems under the WiSA brand name in the United States, Taiwan, China, Japan, and Korea. It delivers immersive audio experiences for high-definition content, including movies, video, music, sports, gaming/esports, and others. The company was formerly known as Summit Wireless Technologies, Inc. and changed its name to WiSA Technologies Inc. in March 2022. WiSA Technologies, Inc. was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in Beaverton, Oregon.
WLong
by DivergenceSeeker
What’s happening in semiconductors? The next chapterWe recently wrote about semiconductors from the perspective of capital spending and government policies aimed towards encouraging further capital spending and ultimately semiconductor independence. However, we’d be remiss to not at least touch on some of the current geopolitics. A simplified look at the semiconductor supply chain If one simplifies a rather complex set of interrelationships across countries, we can see a triangle with three distinct corners1. Foundries: These companies are manufacturing the physical chips. There are not too many individual players, as the capital expenditures to enter this space are extremely high. Additionally, they don’t all have the same capabilities. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) is well known for being able to reliably manufacture the most advanced chips in the world. Samsung Electronics, Intel and Global Foundries represent other important players. Intellectual Property Companies: These companies make and sell different layouts and designs. ARM, the company currently owned by SoftBank, is one example with a huge presence across the internet of things (IoT). Electronic Design Automation (EDA) Tools: EDA was only $10 billion in 2021, a small part of the overall $595 billion semiconductor market, but it is essential if chip manufacturers are to determine if a design is feasible prior to production. Cadence, Synopsys and Mentor Graphics are the three leading players in this space. Together, they control about 70% of the global market. Behind each of these points on the triangle is a lot of history embedded as experience, and it is important to recognise this since it is what makes it particularly challenging for an outside player—in this case China—to just copy it. The ASML example Lithography is the term used for the practice of etching the appropriate designs on the silicon that allow for the functional operation of the transistors. More transistors spaced more closely together, simply put, means a more efficient and capable chip. Today’s Apple M1 chip contains 16 billion transistors2. The degree of precision engineering required to be able to put 16 billion transistors on something that is not the size of multiple city blocks, much less could fit within a laptop or smartphone, is one of the most impressive feats of human ingenuity that the world has ever seen. The short version of the story is that a company in the Netherlands, ASML, was in a position to take a big risk in the 2000’s—the pursuit of extreme ultraviolet lithography (EUV). EUV was needed because there needed to be shorter wavelengths of light used to almost shave atom by atom away from the silicon to make the transistors small enough, basically 5-nanometres. This light is generated by flashing a specific type of laser 50,000 times per second at molten tin3. Developing EUV was so capital intensive that only a single company did it: ASML. Components for the machines that do this fill four 747 airplanes and are sourced from specific companies all over the world. Operating the machines at scale requires an incredible depth of experience4. Given the flavour of the topic, you have probably already guessed the geopolitical implications. Some of the components of the EUV machines do come from the United States. Then, there is the relationship between the US government and the government of the Netherlands. As a result of those discussions and where we are presently, EUV machines are not being sent to China. The Nvidia case In August 2022, the US took a further step to limit China’s artificial intelligence (AI) ambitions through further restrictions on the export of very specific semiconductors5: Nvidia will be restricted from selling the A100 graphics processing unit into China, Hong Kong and Russia Nvidia will also be restricted from selling its forthcoming H100 series of graphics chips into these same markets users of the A100 include Alibaba, Tencent and Baidu—the companies that provide some of China’s largest cloud computing infrastructure Nvidia is the most visible company with respect to these types of chips, and as of this writing it had the largest market cap amongst the semiconductor companies. It would not surprise us if other firms that have chips of similar types of capabilities could be named in the future. Conclusion: Can China ‘go it alone’? We might take a step back at this point and think, wait, China has massive resources. Why don’t they just make their own chips? We don’t discount the fact that China absolutely could make its own chips, but it would be more a question of how long it would take and how advanced those chips could be. The EUV process was something that took both massive investment and about 20 years. ASML is able to manufacture the machines that it does and support companies like TSMC operating at scale because they have the benefit of learning from all the mistakes along the way. China can certainly make efforts along the path, but simply spending money is not going to lead to an effective EUV process that can manufacture the most cutting-edge chips at scale—the key being ‘at scale without a high defect rate.’ During the four years ended 2024, China is slated to complete 31 major semiconductor factors. By 2025, 40% of the world’s capacity to produce chips with 28-nanometre nodes is expected to be in China6. This tells us that China is making big investments away from the absolute cutting edge—and we have to remember that the world does need those chips as well. It will be very difficult for any country to fully take in all aspects of the semiconductor supply chain, but we are seeing notable efforts to that end in 2022 that will likely continue. Sources 1 Source: Yang, Zeyi. “Inside the software that will become the next battle front in US-China chip war.” MIT Technology Review. 18 August 2022 2 Source: Wikipedia Apple 3 Source: Thompson, Clive. “Inside the Most Complicated Machine on the Planet.” MIT Technology Review. Volume 124, Number 6, November/December 2021 4 Source: Thompson, November/December 2021 5 Source: Lin, Liza & Dan Strumpf. “Latest U.S. Chip Curbs Deliver Setback to China’s AI Ambitions.” Wall Street Journal. 1 September 2022 6 Source: Strumpf, Dan & Liza Lin. “China Bets Big on Basic Chips in Self-Sufficiency Push.” Wall Street Journal. 24 July 2022
NASDAQ:SOX
by aneekaguptaWTE
1
Early Thoughts for ONI am looking at $ON Semiconductor here for a potential move to the low $90 range. If the stock can hold strong over what I would call the "mode" in the mid $60s, it is fair to look at the $90 level as a realistic target. The stock has undergone a good bit of balance/consolidation in and around the mid $60 and looks to have a chance to make that breakout into all time highs. We will see over the coming days what the agenda is here, but I wanted to release my early thoughts. Looking forward to see how it plays out. I do have a position in the stock myself. Make sure to always size appropriately and trade safely! Happy Thanksgiving week from the US and Best of Luck!
NASDAQ:ONLong
by redykhouse