EUR/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the EUR/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 1.133.
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Short
HelenP. I Euro will drop more, breaking the support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. After analyzing the current structure of the EURUSD chart, I noticed a strong break of the ascending trend line, which had been respected for a long period. The price has now returned to test the broken trend line from below, aligning with the resistance zone between 1.1665 and 1.1700 points. This area used to serve as solid support, but after the breakout, it turned into resistance. The retest from below could become the final confirmation before the pair continues its downward movement. Right now, EUR is trading just inside this resistance zone. There is a small chance the price might move slightly higher to touch the upper boundary of the zone, but overall, the pressure looks bearish. I expect that after a minor bounce, EUR will decline again, breaking below the local support at 1.1665. Once that happens, a larger impulse down could be triggered, targeting even 1.1525 points, which is my main goal for this setup. This bearish scenario is supported by the failed attempts to recover above the trend line and the fact that previous support has already flipped to resistance. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.❤️
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USDJPY The Target Is DOWN! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for USDJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 147.41
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 146.00
Safe Stop Loss - 148.14
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Massive Short! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 3353.5 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 3343.00
Recommended Stop Loss - 3359.88
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
BITCOIN - Price can go into correction after reaching new ATHHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Bitcoin spent weeks confined to a tight falling channel, carving out a series of lower highs and lower lows as sellers maintained full control of the market.
The breakout above $110300 ignited a powerful rally, propelling BTC into an ascending wedge formation and driving price sharply higher toward a fresh all-time high at $118800.
Once the ATH was reached, selling pressure reasserted itself, halting further upside and triggering a loss of bullish momentum.
This lightning-fast climb to $118800 appears to have drained buyer enthusiasm.
Key support now resides around $110300 - $111700, backed by the wedge base.
Given the exhaustion of buyers and the clear wedge resistance, I anticipate BTC to retrace toward the $112000 area following its recent surge.
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USOIL Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 66.917.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 62.519 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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GBPNZD Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2.248.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2.241.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GOLD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
GOLD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 3,346.66
Target Level: 3,283.88
Stop Loss: 3,388.42
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 9h
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AUD/CHF BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
AUD/CHF SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.524
Target Level: 0.520
Stop Loss: 0.526
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
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NZD/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/CHF is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.475.
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AUD/NZD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
AUD/NZD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly rising on the 4H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.087 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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GBP/AUD BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
GBP/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 2.092
Target Level: 2.060
Stop Loss: 2.114
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
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GBP/NZD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP-NZD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 2.251 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the GBP/NZD pair.
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TOTAL Q3 As Q2 closes, Q3 begins...
The 2nd quarter of 2025 made up for a lot of the losses of Q1 peaking at $3.5T in the middle of the quarter. Since the peak a steady downtrend channel has formed and continues to be the case going into Q3.
What can we expect to see in the next 3 months in the crypto market? For me there are two different scenarios that are bullish, and one that is bearish IMO:
Bullish scenario 1 - The most likely scenario I think is a breakout above the downtrend channel and a move towards the range top. My reasoning for this comes from what we know about the driving forces in the market. Just last week BTC ETFs had a $2.2B net inflow, MSTR bought another 4,980BTC for $531.9m, various ETFs on the way for other majors such as SOL. Crucially the M2 money supply is at a record ATH. What that means is huge demand and the means to purchase with a what feels like a deadline closing in.
Bullish scenario 2 - We see a trend continuation until the range midpoint which has provided support before. It would coincide with the bottom of the trend channel and therefor I believe would provide a good launchpad for long positions.
Bearish scenario - For me this is the least likely situation but one that must be prepared for, a loss of the range midpoint would be a major setback, one that would mean a potential revisit of the range low in a symmetrical move down mirroring Q2s move up. The reason I believe this is the least likely is there is just too much in favor of risk on assets like crypto currently, I've mentioned the fuel that is the M2 money supply piling up to be deployed. A US interest rate cut all but confirmed for September and the institutional race for acquiring these assets before it is too late.
In conclusion just keeping it simple on the chart, a breakout above the trend channel is a great long opportunity to target the highs.
If BTC continues the grind down a great place for it to turn bullish is the range midpoint as has happened previously.
In the event BTC loses the midpoint a retest of the weekly low would make sense to me.
AUD/USD: Short Setup to 0.6450This trade idea is rooted in a data-driven approach, leveraging a rare asymmetry in the economic calendar and specific quantitative models to identify a high-clarity opportunity.
📊 The Thesis by the Numbers
My model assigns clear probabilities to the potential scenarios for this week, based on the scheduled U.S. data releases.
60% Probability: Base Case (USD Strength). Triggered by a U.S. Core CPI reading at or above 0.3% MoM.
30% Probability: Alternative Case (USD Weakness).
10% Probability: Wildcard Scenario (Risk-On Rally).
🧠 The Data-Driven Rationale
This setup scored a -5 on my quantitative thesis model, indicating a strong bearish conviction. The core of this is the one-sided event risk. With Australia's calendar completely empty, the AUD is a sitting duck. Meanwhile, a volley of tier-one U.S. data (CPI, PPI, Retail Sales) is expected to confirm a robust economy. This fundamental divergence, combined with a technical picture of price coiling below long-term resistance, creates the conditions for a catalyst-driven drop.
⛓️ Intermarket & Statistical Edge
Further analysis of market correlations and forward-looking models reinforces the bearish bias.
🌐 Correlations: The positive correlation of AUD/USD with equities (SPY: +0.31) suggests that a strong USD report, which could pressure stocks, would create a direct headwind for the Aussie.
🎲 Monte Carlo Simulation: While the mean outcome is neutral, the model's 5th percentile for price is down at 0.6503 , highlighting the statistical risk of a significant downside move if the catalyst fires.
✅ The Trade Setup
📉 Bias: Bearish / Short
👉 Entry: Watch for a bearish reversal pattern on the 1H or 4H chart within the $0.6550 resistance zone.
⛔️ Stop Loss: A decisive daily close above the 0.6622 resistance level.
🎯 Target: 0.6458 (June low-day close).
Good luck, and trade safe.
GBP/USD: Path to 1.3200 on Policy DivergenceThis trade idea outlines a high-conviction bearish thesis for GBP/USD. The core of this analysis is a significant and growing divergence between the fundamental outlooks of the UK and US economies, which is now being confirmed by a bearish technical structure. We anticipate the upcoming UK economic data releases during the week of July 14-18 to act as a catalyst for the next leg down.
The Fundamental Why 📰
The primary driver for this trade is the widening policy and economic divergence. The UK is facing a triad of headwinds while the US economy exhibits greater resilience. This fundamental imbalance favors the US Dollar and is expected to intensify.
Dovish Bank of England: The BoE is clearly signaling a dovish pivot towards monetary easing in response to a weakening labor market and sluggish growth prospects. This contrasts with the Federal Reserve's more patient, data-dependent stance.
Widening Rate Differentials: The divergence in central bank policy is leading to a widening interest rate differential that favors the US Dollar.
Geopolitical Headwinds: Fiscal policy from the new UK government and ongoing trade tensions are creating additional headwinds for the Pound.
The Technical Picture 📊
Price action provides strong confirmation of the bearish fundamental thesis, showing a clear loss of upward momentum and the formation of a new downtrend.
📉 Death Cross: The 50-day moving average has crossed below the 200-day moving average, forming a "death cross," which is a strong bearish indicator.
📉 Key Level Lost: The price has recently broken and is holding below the critical 200-day moving average, a classic bearish signal.
📉 Bearish Momentum: Both the RSI (below 50) and the MACD (below its signal line and zero) indicate that bearish momentum is in control.
The Trade Setup 📉
👉 Entry: 1.3540 - 1.3610
🎯 Take Profit: 1.3200
⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.3665
CADJPY Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
CADJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 107.07 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 107.40
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 106.39
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDCAD: Weak Market & Bearish Continuation
The recent price action on the AUDCAD pair was keeping me on the fence, however, my bias is slowly but surely changing into the bearish one and I think we will see the price go down.
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NZDCHF: Will Keep Falling! Here is Why:
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current NZDCHF chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the downward direction.
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GOLD - Price can bounce down from resistance line of channelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Gold broke out of its long-term rising channel and hit $3390 resistance level before momentum definitively stalled.
That failure marked a shift in control, as sellers forced price into a falling channel, establishing lower highs and lower lows.
Price fell to support level, after whcih it turned around and bounced up to resistance line of falling channel.
Now, Gold tests the upper boundary of the falling channel near $3318, where each bounce has been capped by declining volume.
Key support lies in the $3250 - $3235 area, aligned with multiple prior demand tests and the former rising-channel floor.
I expect Gold to reverse from the channel resistance and slide toward $3235, decisively breaking below the $3250 level.
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