MICROSOFT ahead of an expansion similar to the Internet BubbleMicrosoft (MSFT) has been practically neutral for half the year (last 6 months) as since the July 2024 High, it has been trading sideways, unable to catch a rally for a new All Time High (ATH).
This consolidation is technically no different that the July - December 1995 sideways sequence (green circle). As you can see, the two fractals since their September 2014 and September 1987 starting points respectively, have been virtually identical, especially in terms of 1M RSI.
The reason for these striking similarities is simple. The market is currently unfolding the A.I. Bubble just like it did with the Internet (Dotcom Bubble) in the 1990s. The two technological revolutions are not the same but the A.I. has the capacity to change the socioeconomic market structure just like the Internet did.
Based on that analogy, the current 6-month consolidation technically serves as a Re-accumulation Phase following the first part of the A.I. Bubble just like July - Dec 1995 was after the first past of the Internet Bubble up to the 0.382 Time Fibonacci level. If those similarities are extended until the end, then we should not see such a long consolidation again until the 0.618 Fib, when the final past of the Bubble will begin.
This chart comparison doesn't serve at giving us a specific Target for this Cycle but rather encourage investors that despite the seeming lack of direction these past 6 months, Microsoft is a strong buy opportunity long-term.
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Stocks
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.30.2024🔮
📅 Mon Dec 30
⏰ 9:45am
Chicago PMI: 42.7 (previous: 40.2)
⏰ 10:00am
Pending Home Sales m/m: 0.9% (previous: 2.0%)
📅 Tue Dec 31
⏰ 9:00am
S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y: 4.1% (previous: 4.6%)
📅 Thu Jan 2
⏰ 8:30am
Unemployment Claims: 220K (previous: 219K)
⏰ 9:45am
Final Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.3)
⏰ 11:00am
Crude Oil Inventories
📅 Fri Jan 3
⏰ 10:00am
ISM Manufacturing PMI: 48.3 (previous: 48.4)
GAP ABOVE HPZ:
Markets are playing traders
like a fiddle. If it pumps then
an impeding drop
OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Tag the upper levels before
drop into 5951 area
GAP BELOW HCZ:
This will cause extreme hedging
which will drag the markets up higher
before a dump lower
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Palantir (PLTR): Is $79 the Key to Big Moves?Morning Trading Family
Palantir is at a crossroads, and $79 is the level to watch. Whether it holds or breaks will tell us a lot about what’s coming next. Let’s keep it simple and dive in.
If PLTR Breaks Above $79
The bulls might take charge, and here’s where we could be headed:
$82: The first stop. We’ll see if the bulls have enough strength to push through this.
$93: If $82 gets taken out, this could be the next big move.
If PLTR Stays Below $79
it could get a little rough. Here’s what to watch:
$64–$66: This is the median line and a possible landing zone if the selling continues.
What’s the Game Plan?
Keep it simple:
-Watch $79—it’s the key.
-Be ready for both the bullish and bearish moves.
-Stay disciplined and manage your risk.
If you like this breakdown, give it a follow or a like. Got questions about Palantir or struggling with another chart? Send me a DM—I’d love to chat!
Feeling stressed, burnt out, or finding it hard to stay consistent as a trader? You’re not alone. Reach out—I’m here to help you trade smarter and stay balanced. Let’s crush it together!
Kris/ Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
Ryde Group's Big News: Licence Renewal & Share Price SurgeThe following is the transcript of the main video:
A new year gift from Ryde Group Limited (NYSE: RYDE)?
For the followers of RYDE, the big news and rally is finally here. RYDE has officially renewed its ride-hail service operator, and carpool service licenses for another three years.
This is a critical move that reinforces Ryde’s role as a leader in mobility, and quick commerce solutions in Singapore.
Since its launch in 2014, Ryde has revolutionised the industry with its driver-first approach.
Offering a 0% commission policy and unique benefits like a 1-day leave scheme, Ryde empowers drivers to earn more and live better. For riders, its advanced app delivers a seamless booking experience, AI-driven trip recommendations, and faster ride-matching.
RYDE also champions sustainability, expanding its electric vehicle fleet to align with Singapore’s green initiatives. By embracing innovation, the company is shaping a smarter, eco-friendlier urban mobility landscape.
Investors have taken notice too, on this news, RYDE’s share price has doubled, showcasing confidence in its innovative and sustainable vision for the future.
As a fellow investor too, this is a great chance to join into the rally if you missed the bottom!
Nasdaq 100 Index - outlook for Q1 2025Since the beginning of 2024, the Nasdaq 100 Index jumped 28.83%, leaving the broader market, like the S&P 500, in the dust. In the long term, the chart screams bullish, with the one-month view suggesting a strong buy. Yet, the recent trading sessions have seen some cooling off, a typical holiday lull as traders and investors take a break. The Nasdaq peaked at 22,174 on December 16, 2024, and since then, making higher highs has been a struggle. This hesitation can be chalked up to uncertainty around the U.S. interest rate policy for 2025.
At the same time, there was a flurry of buying activity when the Nasdaq hovered near its 50-day moving average, around the 21,000 mark. This suggests that investors see this level as a sweet spot for picking up shares, possibly viewing it as a solid support line amidst all the market noise.
Currently, I see no clarity in the Index's direction for the near term. If we hear hawkish news from the Fed and Trump's policy in January, the stock market could deepen. At the same time, earnings reports from the MAG7 and their guidance for the year 2025 will play a pivotal role in the Index's direction.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 27, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this short trading week, the S&P 500 made significant gains and is approaching our main target, Key Resistance at 6090. This movement is expected to support the next phase of the interim rebound, with the goal of breaking through the Key Resistance level at 6090 and continuing the bullish trend. However, it's important to acknowledge that a retest of the Mean Support at 5870 is still a likely scenario.
MICROSTRATEGY Is it shifting towards a new paradigm?Microstrategy (MSTR) is defying all odds during this bull run and recently it achieved perhaps its most important one: it broke above its All Time High (ATH) of $335.00 registered in March 2000. This historic feat took place on the same month (November) that it broke and closed above its historical Channel Up pattern, which has been dictating its trend since the bottom of the Dotcom Bubble correction in 2002.
This is perhaps ushering a new era for the company. Along with Bitcoin it may be shifting to a new paradigm and the uptrend may be accelerated in a similar way as it did in 1998 - 2000. Technically we will be in a position to know that if the current pull-back bounces of the top of the former historic Channel Up.
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GOOGLE: Patiently wait for this level to buy.Google is marginally bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.689, MACD = 5.220, ADX = 40.687) as it has been practically consolidating for the past 2 weeks, having formed a HH (Dec 17th) at the top of the Channel Up. The 1D RSI bearish divergence suggests that this is a top like Nov 7th was. The trend didn't turn into a buy again before hitting the 1D MA50 after a 0.5 Fibonacci pullback and this would be the most optimal level for buying again. Beyond that, since both bullish waves so far have been approximately +23.90%, we expect another such rise to take place. Our target is the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 225.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Apple (AAPL) Stock Ends the Year Near Record HighsApple (AAPL) Stock Ends the Year Near Record Highs
In 2024, Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares surged by approximately 35%, fueled by the introduction of Apple Intelligence, a groundbreaking AI technology integrated into the company's ecosystem. This feature, designed for iPhones and other Apple products, enhances both productivity and user experience.
Following the June launch of Apple Intelligence, AAPL stock price saw a sharp rise (indicated by the arrow), marking the beginning of a steady upward trend within a channel (highlighted in blue) that remains intact.
In early August, a sell-off in Japan's stock market and fears of a global recession defined the channel's lower boundary.
The stock subsequently rebounded, with prices fluctuating around the channel's central line (bolded) throughout autumn. This balance signified equilibrium between buyers and sellers.
As 2024 comes to a close, AAPL shares exhibit a strong upward momentum, resembling a Santa Claus rally. A new, steeper upward channel (depicted in purple) has emerged on the chart.
Analyst Predictions and Market Sentiment
Analysts are optimistic about AAPL’s prospects. Daniel Ives of Wedbush recently raised his price target for AAPL from $300 to $325, citing the underappreciated potential of Apple's AI initiatives. Ives believes the company is entering a multi-year iPhone upgrade cycle, driven by artificial intelligence integration.
Looking ahead to 2025, analysts project record-breaking iPhone sales of approximately 240 million units, marking a historic achievement for Apple. This momentum could drive AAPL shares to new highs. While the long-term outlook is positive, near-term risks remain.
Current technical indicators suggest AAPL may face a short-term correction:
- The price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel.
- The RSI indicates overbought conditions, with signs of a potential bearish divergence.
Traders should consider the possibility of a pullback below the key psychological level of $250, with the price potentially retreating to the lower purple boundary.
TipRanks Insights:
- Analysts’ average price target for AAPL by the end of 2025: $245.28.
- Among 29 analysts, 19 recommend buying, while 2 suggest selling.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
How to tell which swing high/low will hold?In this video I attempt to give a little bit of insight into determining which swing high or low will hold based on the current location of price in relation to the candle formations (PD Arrays) on multiple timeframes.
I will be analyzing GOOG (Google) with the limited info in terms of past price action, as most of the chart is in a continuous uptrend. However, I do my best to determine the possible trajectory of price in the coming weeks.
- R2F Trading
F5, Inc. (FFIV) AnalysisCompany Overview:
F5, Inc. NASDAQ:FFIV is a market leader in application delivery and cybersecurity, providing solutions that ensure seamless and secure digital experiences for enterprises globally. The company's evolution from a hardware-centric model to one focused on software and security solutions reflects its agility in adapting to market dynamics and customer needs.
Key Growth Drivers
AI Infrastructure Integration:
F5’s partnership with MinIO, a leading high-performance object storage platform, enhances its presence in the AI infrastructure space.
This collaboration integrates MinIO’s storage capabilities with F5’s advanced traffic management and security solutions, creating a compelling value proposition for enterprises embracing AI and data-intensive workloads.
Shift to Software and Security:
F5’s strategic pivot from hardware to software-driven and security-focused solutions broadens its market reach.
This shift positions F5 to capitalize on increasing enterprise demand for application security, cloud migration, and edge computing.
Strong Financial Foundation:
Recurring Revenue Dominance: 76% of total revenue ($2.1 billion) is now recurring, providing financial stability and predictable cash flows.
Stock Buyback Program: The $1 billion repurchase initiative demonstrates management’s confidence in the company’s growth trajectory and commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
Customer-Centric Innovation:
F5’s solutions are vital for enterprises navigating the complexities of modern multi-cloud environments and ensuring robust cybersecurity for applications.
Investment Outlook
Bullish Case:
We are bullish on F5, Inc. (FFIV) above the $220.00-$222.00 range, given its robust recurring revenue base, strategic partnerships, and expanding market opportunities in cybersecurity and AI infrastructure.
Upside Potential:
Our upside target is $360.00-$365.00, reflecting the company’s ability to sustain long-term growth through innovation, market leadership, and strong financial management.
🚀 FFIV—Redefining Digital Security and Application Delivery in the Age of AI. #Cybersecurity #Cloud #AIInfrastructure
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.27.2024🔮
⏰1:00pm
Crude Oil Inventories
GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A lot of people are buying
into this rally. If we do gap up
this can trigger a mechanical
event to drop the markets
OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Will be rough to continue higher
Once again people are buying
into this rally.
GAP BELOW HCZ:
Would trigger great hedging
but the markets will struggle
to react to it as the markets
drop, so it will hold for a little bit
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
Intel - This Support Has To Hold!Intel ( NASDAQ:INTC ) is retesting cucial support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After dropping an incredible -60% over the past couple of months, we are finally seeing some stabilization at the current support on Intel. It is also quite likely, that we will see another short covering rally, which would perfectly line up with a rejection away from the support area.
Levels to watch: $20, $26
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVIDIA | 4 HOUR TIMEFRAME | STOCK TRADINGHello guys, I made NASDAQ:NVDA analysis for you. For this kind of analysis, please value my analysis with your likes Thank you very much to everyone who supports me by liking
SIGNAL ALERT
BUY NVIDIA 137.26 - 134.44
🟢TP1: 140,90
🟢TP2: 144.90
🟢TP3: 150.90
🔴SL: 128,03
Stay with love guys.
SPY - Red Alert Major Sell SignalStocks continue to rise in thin trading and some continue to expect higher highs. When looking at indices that are not top-loaded with the AI Tech Giants, they are clearly in decline. And now, my long-time, most favorite signal is starting to flash. The Failed Three Week test of the high. Should SPY close below 607.81 on Friday, This intermediate sell signal will kick in.
On an Elliott Wave perspective, many have been calling tops for more than a year now yet the market continued to extend and extend and extend. And many expect the good times to keep rolling on as the incoming President views stock market prices as a reflection of his success. Yet one can't ignore rising interest rates, that will continue extending. As such, my two main trades for 2025 are rising rates and falling stocks. Happy New Year.
AMD - Long-term Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AMD has been in a correction phase approaching the lower bound of the red channel.
Moreover, the $100 is a strong round number and support!
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower trendline acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AMD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
The Magnificent Seven Stocks: A Stellar 2024 and Uncertain 2025The Magnificent Seven Stocks: A Stellar 2024 and an Uncertain 2025
The Magnificent Seven is a term used to describe the seven largest technology companies that dominate the global economy through their scale, innovation, and high market capitalisation.
These companies are often key drivers of the US stock market, and in 2024 (as in 2023), they confirmed their leadership, with most outperforming the broader market indices. Below are approximate performance estimates for the end of 2024:
→ S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen): +26%
→ Apple (AAPL): +38%
→ Microsoft (MSFT): +18%
→ Amazon (AMZN): +52%
→ Alphabet (GOOGL): +42%
→ Meta Platforms (META): +43%
→ Tesla (TSLA): +87%
→ Nvidia (NVDA): +189%
What does 2025 hold for the Magnificent Seven?
Motley Fool offers a cautious outlook for the coming year, suggesting that some of these leaders may run out of steam due to inflated stock prices relative to their intrinsic value and profit forecasts.
Zacks analysts have examined the fundamentals and identified three stocks from the Magnificent 7 that are worth considering for value investors:
1. Alphabet (GOOGL)
Alphabet has the lowest price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio among the Magnificent 7, standing at 23.9. While this doesn’t say it is a value stock (value stocks typically have a P/E below 15), it is relatively cheap compared to its peers. Moreover, Alphabet now pays dividends.
2. Meta Platforms (META)
Meta Platforms remains attractively valued with a forward P/E of just 25.8. It also boasts a relatively low price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 1.3 (a PEG below 1.0 indicates a reasonable price relative to expected profit growth). The 1.3 PEG is appealing, and like Alphabet, Meta has started paying dividends.
3. Amazon.com (AMZN)
Once aiming to be the "store for everything," Amazon has expanded far beyond this with its AWS division, Whole Foods, sports and entertainment programming on Prime, and even chip manufacturing. Amazon has the lowest price-to-sales (P/S) ratio among the Magnificent Seven, at 3.8. Although a P/S below 1.0 is typically considered attractive, Amazon remains appealing to investors. For comparison, Microsoft’s P/S ratio is 13.1, while Nvidia’s is 29.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice
PLC.N0000 - Long term viewWait for pullback to 7 to 9
Disclaimer: The information and analysis provided in this publication are for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or recommendations to buy, sell, or hold any securities. The author and TradingView are not responsible for any investment decisions made based on the content presented herein. Always consult a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Nasdaq - It All Comes Down To This Month!Nasdaq ( TVC:NDQ ) is at a crucial breakout level:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
The Nasdaq rallied an incredible +25% over the past couple of months and is now actually also breaking a major resistance trendline towards the upside. This could still turn into a false breakout but if it doesn't, we will most likely see a flourishing stock market year of 2025
Levels to watch: $21.000, $28.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle.
Levels to watch: $190, $500
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)