Swingtrading
Beyond Basic Candlestick Pattern AnalysisLearning to Recognize Who Is Controlling the Stock Price
There is a plethora of training on Candlestick Pattern Analysis and interpretation, and yet this remains one of the most problematic areas for Technical Traders who want to trade at the expert level.
Once the basics of Japanese Candlestick Patterns are understood, it is time to move up to the next tier of analysis. That is being able to recognize not only where a pattern is, but also who forms that pattern, why they are capable of creating that pattern, what automated orders generate that pattern, and which Market Participant Groups react or chase that pattern.
Nowadays it has become critical to include Volume with Candlestick Analysis, because this provides the basis for recognizing which Market Participant Group created that candle pattern.
Candlestick Pattern Analysis at the expert level involves more than just one to three candles. Instead it includes a larger group of candles in the near term. This is what I call "Relational Analysis." This is especially useful for Swing Traders, Momentum Traders, Velocity Traders, Swing Options Traders, and Day Traders using Swing Style Intraday action.
The NYSE:RAMP chart is an excellent example of a Candlestick Pattern for Swing Style Trading.
See where High Frequency Traders (HFTs) took control of price, and gapped the stock down for one day on extreme volume. Selling did not continue the following two days, and Volume was above the Moving Average, but much lower than the High Frequency Traders' spiking Volume pattern.
This was the first accumulation level for this stock. Dark Pools started buying the stock even though High Frequency Traders were selling, since they typically miss this initial buy mode of the giant Institutions.
High Frequency Traders typically create the final gap down to the low which, if it reverses quickly, indicates a Buy Zone area for the Dark Pools. These patterns are what I call "Shifts of Sentiment." They happen in bottom formations where buying is generally dominated by the Largest Institutions' quiet accumulation.
The next phase will be when Professional Traders and then High Frequency Traders discover the Dark Pool accumulation. The bottom is not complete, but it shifts sideways if more Dark Pools decide to buy.
NGLFINE: Signs of reversal.NGLFINE appears to have bottomed out, now showing strong signs of a potential reversal:
1. RSI is strengthening.
2. Positive divergence is visible in RSI.
3. The stock is now trading above the 20EMA band.
A minor pullback to retest the 20EMA band is possible before the stock resumes its journey toward its all-time high.
As a Stoploss. either you can use 20EMA band or previous swing low, marked in the chart.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on personal observations and is for educational purposes only. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
@@ Always adhere to your risk-reward ratio before entering any trade.
@@ Maintain discipline in all trading activities.
@@ Ensure strict compliance with the marked stop loss.
ETHUSDT, D1 Chart, Double Top and Market Structure👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an D1 timeframe ICT Short setup in
ETHUSDT for Swing trade.
Technically it is clearly that a double top formation and a LG at second top.
Our idea:
ETHUSDT is going to the extension target to the demand zone marked on the chart.
May be a possibility back to the FVG before further down.
So we only waiting for Short setup for swing trade and day trade in the coming 2 weeks.
For more ideas, you are welcome to visit our profile in tradingview.
Have a good day!
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XAU/USD - Gold Long trades"After yesterday's sharp decline in XAUUSD, the market is showing signs of stabilization, creating potential opportunities for long trades. Key support levels have held firm, suggesting bullish momentum could resume as buyers step in. We must closely monitor price action for confirmation, targeting a potential recovery towards key resistance zones. As always, proper risk management is essential. Let's see how this plays out!"
The bullish side breakout of 200 EMA in the 15-minute and 5-minute charts can be a good sign of a market uptrend.
Entry 1st zone - 2630-2640
Entry 2nd zone - 2673-2683
Entry 3rd zone - 2726-2736
swing trading for December 23 Crowdstrike Holdings(CRWD)CRWD Is Trading Now Using a Price Channel Pattern. Price channels are continuation patterns of parallel trend lines. They indicate that the price is likely to continue moving within the channel.
The breakout from the channel can signal significant trend changes. An upward channel suggests a bullish trend, while a downward channel indicates a bearish trend.
XauUsd/Gold: Gold is holding an important level!Looking for Impulse Down.
XauUsd/Gold: Gold is holding an important level. I anticipate it will move down by next week. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
NzdUsd will start to move up soon.What I see!
Looking for Impulse Up.
NU will soon begin to reverse. Before entering the trade, we ought to wait for LTF price movement. solely for educational purposes.It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
Wave Trader Pro
Gold - Prepare For A Devastating Drop!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) will create a massive correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Gold rallied more than +70% over the past couple of months, basically without showing any real correction. Therefore it is no surprise that after retesting the channel resistance, Gold is now showing some weakness. It is quite likely that this is just the beginning of a significant drop.
Levels to watch: $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Meta - The Final Resistance Breakout!Meta ( NASDAQ:META ) could actually break the resistance trendline:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
As we are speaking, Meta is actually retesting the major (and only) resistance trendline of the reverse triangle pattern. If we actually see the bullish breakout - which obviously has to then be confirmed - this triangle breakout could lead to an immediate rally of more than +40%.
Levels to watch: $650, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Swing thesis by Titan_Karma (low % of confidence lvl)Investment Thesis
Market Overview:
The cryptocurrency market is currently quiet, with no significant news driving sentiment. This leaves Bitcoin (BTC) dependent on technical and financial indicators for direction. Traders should adopt a cautious approach and stay updated for any developments that could shift momentum.
Market Sentiment Analysis:
Bullish Long-term Sentiment: Over the past month, an increase in long positions indicates confidence among top traders.
Short-term Weakness: 1-hour and 4-hour timeframes reveal a shift towards short positions, signaling bearish sentiment in the immediate term. This mixed outlook suggests the possibility of short-term pullbacks while maintaining an overall positive trajectory.
Technical Analysis:
Daily Chart: Indicators like the RSI and Stochastic Oscillator are in overbought territory, hinting at a potential pullback or consolidation. However, the MACD remains positive, showing that bullish momentum is still in play.
Short-term Timeframes (1h & 4h): RSI levels are near neutral, and the 1-hour MACD has turned negative, signaling possible weakness in the short term. Traders should monitor these indicators closely for trend changes.
Fundamental Analysis:
BTC has shown strong upward momentum over the past few months, backed by rising trading volumes and sustained market interest. However, the absence of fresh news and current mixed signals warrant caution, particularly around potential resistance levels.
Risk Management Strategy:
Given the conflicting signals:
Stop-loss: Tighten stops at $104,000 to lock in profits.
Take-profit: Aim for $110,000, based on key resistance levels.
Key Indicators: Watch the RSI and MACD closely for any signs of trend continuation or reversal.
Trade Recommendation:
The recommendation is to HOLD/BUY, focusing on the longer-term bullish trend while managing short-term volatility. Confidence remains moderate at 78%, reflecting mixed sentiment. Adjust stop-loss and take-profit targets based on real-time market developments to optimize risk-reward.
NZDJPY: Change of Character Confirmed?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
NZDJPY confirms a bullish reversal on a daily.
The price violated both the resistance lines of a falling channel
and a horizontal range.
Bullish breakout of the underlined blue resistance also is a valid
Change of Character.
The market may go much higher soon.
Next resistance - 89.75
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$AMD Forms Another Double Bottom – Will History Repeat Itself?I wanted to share an interesting setup I’ve noticed on NASDAQ:AMD daily chart. The stock just completed what looks like a classic double bottom pattern—something it’s done before with impressive results.
What I’m Seeing:
Double Bottom Revisited:
We can see that AMD has formed another “W” shaped bottom, where price tested a support zone twice and successfully bounced.
Historical Precedent:
The last time AMD completed a double bottom, the subsequent breakout and follow-through rally were significant. After the neckline breakout, price continued to move higher, rewarding patient traders and confirming the pattern’s bullish nature.
Volume & Confirmation:
It’s worth looking closely at volume to confirm the pattern. In many textbook double bottoms, volume often increases on the breakout, signaling that buyers are stepping in. If we see heavier trading volumes as AMD breaks through the neckline, it could be an indication that a similar move might unfold.
Potential Price Target:
A common way to project a double bottom target is to measure the height of the “W” and add it to the breakout point. If this pattern performs similarly to the last one, we could see a significant upside move. Of course, there are no guarantees, but patterns like these give traders a framework to manage risk and set objectives.
What to Watch For:
Neckline Break: A clean move above the neckline (resistance area) would be a key bullish signal.
Volume Expansion: Higher volume on the breakout adds conviction.
Market Conditions: Broader market health and sentiment can affect whether the pattern plays out as expected.
AMD has shown us before that this pattern can precede major rallies. As always, manage your risk appropriately—no matter how promising a setup looks, it’s wise to confirm with price action and volume before jumping in.
GBPJPY: More Growth is Coming?! 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY broke and closed above a resistance line of an expanding
wedge pattern on a daily.
It indicates a strong bullish momentum and highly probable
bullish continuation.
With a high probability, the price will reach 196.6 level soon.
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