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USDT Tether Dominance Overview: Scam Or Altseason?Hello, Skyrexians! Today we are going to continue observe the charts which can be the evidences of potential altseason. Earlier we pointed out the Bitcoin dominance reversal and the potential impulsive wave 5 for altcoins dominance . Today we are going to look at the another very important chart of CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D to understand if we will see the altseason in the nearest future. Let's take a look at the weekly time frame. Globally the chart is in huge uptrend, but last 2 years it is decreasing. We can count this dump as a major correction ABC in the super cycle. Waves A and B have been already printed. Wave B reached 0.61 Fibonacci of wave A, it can give us a great confidence that now USDT is in wave C. Moreover at the top of wave B our Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator has printed the red dot, the huge bearish signal, as a result it's dumping now. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . Wave C has the clear target between 1 and 1.61 Fibonacci extension levels of wave A. Now this zone is located inside the 1.55% and 2.77%. This is significant move which can cause altseason or this dump can be caused by some issues for Tether. Nobody knows, but finally there is a high chance that USDT is going to remain the position of the most popular stable coin. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by Skyrexio
13
BITCOIN IS GROWING STEP BY STEP TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis Ascending Triangle Formation The chart displays an ascending triangle pattern, indicating a bullish trend continuation. The price has been forming higher lows while maintaining a relatively flat upper resistance level, suggesting that buyers are gradually gaining strength. Key levels to watch: Resistance: The price is approaching the resistance at $93,143 and $100,000. Support: The ascending trendline acting as support is near $86,721. Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences: The indicator shows a continuation of bullish momentum with green dots suggesting buying signals. Bullish Divergence: This is a confirmation of positive momentum and suggests the current trend could continue, especially if it breaks resistance. Relative Strength Index (RSI): RSI is at 56.62, indicating that Bitcoin is neither overbought nor oversold. It suggests that there is still room for upward movement before entering overbought territory (RSI > 70). Money Flow Index (MFI): The MFI is in the green, at 56.02, showing a steady inflow of capital, which supports the bullish outlook. It is not in the overbought range, further indicating the potential for continued upside. Stochastic Oscillator: The stochastic indicator shows values of 77.28 (fast line) and 76.05 (slow line), both suggesting that the price is in the upper range. Though it's near the overbought zone, it isn't extreme enough to signal an imminent reversal. Volume The volume is increasing with each bullish move, indicating strong buying pressure and confirming that the trend is supported by market activity. Key Price Levels: Resistance Zone: $93,143 - $100,000 Support Zone: $86,721 Next Target: A breakout above the $93,143 resistance could target new highs around $100,000 or higher if the market sentiment remains bullish. Trading Plan Entry Strategy: Buy Signal: A break above the resistance level at $93,143 would be a strong buy signal, with the expectation of a continuation to the next target near $100,000. Alternatively, a retracement to the support level at $86,721 could provide a good entry for a long position if the price rebounds from this level, confirming the ascending triangle pattern. Stop Loss Strategy: Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the most recent swing low, around $86,000, to protect the position in case of a breakout failure. This provides a good risk-to-reward ratio if the price does not hold above the support trendline. Profit-Taking Strategy: First Target: The first target for profit-taking should be near $93,143 (initial resistance). Second Target: A breakout beyond this resistance can target $100,000 and possibly new all-time highs (ATH). Trailing Stop: Consider implementing a trailing stop once the price moves in your favor, allowing the position to stay open while locking in profits if the market reverses. Risk Management: Position Sizing: Based on the risk tolerance, adjust the size of your trades to ensure proper risk management. For example, risking 1-2% of your total capital on a single trade is advisable. Review Market Sentiment: Always monitor broader market conditions and Bitcoin-related news for any sudden changes that may affect the trend. Conclusion The current chart signals a bullish continuation for Bitcoin, supported by the ascending triangle pattern, bullish indicators, and increasing volume. A break above $93,143 would confirm the next move towards $100,000. As always, it's important to monitor the market for any shifts and adjust your trading plan accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by elfabiiani
USDT Dominance can surprise everyone First of all you should know that "USDT Dominance" is always moving inverse of BTCUSDT . the signs say that either wave G is not over or we have an X wave, which means that USDT Dominance can drop back to the green box. If the green box does not support USDT Dominance it could be a deep drop. Bitcoin's dominance is bullish, so the price of bitcoin can become very bullish in the coming days. Even the news of the war could not bullish USDT Dominance, which means that the situation of USDT Dominance is bad. We have shown the new movement of USDT Dominance with an orange arrow on the chart For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by behdark
3
OBT. $25 million investments from Tether & Solana founderOobit is the app spend your crypto like regular bank. Tap & Pay via your phone. I have a lot of info about Oobit MEXC:OBTUSDT GATEIO:OBTUSDT in my social network accounts, so I'll be short here. Currently (price $0.018) they have market cap on $3 million, but full market cap $17 million. My target is $1 billion + market cap (or $1 if we talk about full market cap, because currently I don't know how much tokens really on the market), which isn't big for bull market. Tether invested only in 2 tokens in their history. OBT and CEL (a long time ago). CEL was +- in the same condition, but pumped from extra low numbers up to $1.6 billion market cap . Oobit is strong project, because they have nice marketing and great public team. Today they are in the top-10 fin apps in some EU countries and I believe will be even more popular because of expanding regions. Check their whitepaper, there is a lot of interesting plans. I'm waiting for their L2 solution for app. Popular app --> popular token.
Long
by sholi_software
USDT vs USDC The Last Rush- Everything is in the chart. - So my own deduction ( and only my own ) is : " Actually BTC not dipped so much " - They pushed it hard, many peoples turned their BTC and Altcoins to USDT/USDC for safety. - BTC is still not yet considered as a reserve like Gold in case of crises, peoples still scare and back really fast to the old paper money system when panic is around. - i will link following this post a PAXG/BTC Chart to show what happened when BTC dipped. - just look at indicators and you will clearly understand how much stables coins pushed high and Mooned/Marsed in the red " Overbought " Zone. - Results : TheKing is still around 20k. - that said, we can notice that USDC is gaining much more interests than USDT, just because USDC (Circle) is backed by cash and short-term U.S. government bonds as collateral. - after the "LUNA-UST" Crash peoples started to fear and they are right, so they turned their Stables to USDC. - in near future, USDC will gains more dominance on USDT and the next Dip could results in an Equal Dominance ( 3.80% - 3.20% ) i hope this post help to understand the situation, be H4ppy and St4y S4fe ! Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:USDC.DShort
by thecryer
10
Tether The Trumpet- On this Chart i use zero indicator and just the trend. - Some basic supports and resistances. - What we can see and deduct ? - Tether jumped from 0.01% to 1% dominance from 2015 to 2018. - from 2019 to 2023 USDT.Dom growed from 1% to 10%. - now the trend is still evolving in a steady broadening trumpet formation. - Do you really believe Tether would reach 35% Dominance in Crypto Markets ? - it would mean that 35% of peoples would prefer to stay in Stables Fiat and win nothing. - Just using logic and combine FA + TA : - This uper trend will be broken down soon or later. - i just do believe that Tether have to crash at one point ( no matter the reason ). -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - So now a quick comprehensive explanation about Tether.Dom and how it works : 1 - When BTC down = Peoples swap their BTC to USDT (panic) - USDT.Dom up ! - Tether stop the printing Machine and wait. 2. - When BTC up = Peoples swap their USDT to buy BTC (fomo) - USDT.Dom Down ! - Tether have to restart the printing machine and issue more USDT to cover BTC demands. - Yes it's simple as that.. - Tether is not really different than the FED. - they just print more USDT from thin air when peoples want buy more BTC. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Remember that without BTC, Tether would worth 0$ and disappear. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- St4y Safe Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by thecryer
3
Tether Dom- i will try to make it short. - Like always everything is understandable in graph. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TA : ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Tether made a triple new ATH around 9% dominance on Crypto Markets. - Got rejected 3X times. - Right now it's the 4th attempt for USDT trying to break 9%. - i kept BB in graph to show that USDT flirts again with the higher bollinger band. - Right now the most important is to watch out for Divergences. - Divergence or Hiden-Div will come soon or later. - i expect Tether to back around 5% Dom around 2024 when the bullmarket will back. - Do you remember last year when USDT and USDT were racing together ? - USDC ( Circle ) Failed with the fall of Silicon Valley Bank. - Now USDC is a back to 2.60% Dom. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- FA : ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Remember USDT still have a big lack of transparency. - if u check the news, you will notice that Tether invested heavily in Bitcoin Mining. - They did this move to use this diversification as a parachute in case of troubles. - if Tether fails for any reason it could quickly dip to 3.7% Dom. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Last Point : CDBC are coming and central banks will try kickout Tether from this game. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Conclusion : Stay Safe and Buy Bitcoin ! Happy Tr4Ding !
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by thecryer
7
The Upcoming Collapse of USDT Theter - Thesis Binance and its CEO ‘CZ’ plead guilty to federal charges and agreed to pay $4.3B in fines. But that`s not all! The crypto market is facing increased scrutiny as part of an agreement between Binance's CEO, CZ, and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This agreement grants the SEC unprecedented access to Binance's comprehensive records, shedding light on various transactions, fraudulent activities, and instances of price manipulation linked to tether, which significantly influenced the surge in Bitcoin's value. Of particular interest to regulatory authorities is the revelation that CZ has agreed to provide the SEC with access to tether transactions, signaling a deeper investigation into the controversial stablecoin. Tether (USDT) has long been tethered to the value of the U.S. dollar, yet recent events have sparked concerns about its stability and transparency. What makes this development particularly noteworthy is the emerging focus on tether by U.S. agencies, who seem to be strategically positioning themselves to potentially replace it with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs). Unlike stablecoins such as USDT, CBDCs are issued and regulated directly by the central bank of a country, eliminating reliance on private entities or community-driven initiatives. As the SEC gains access to the intricate details of Binance's operations and tether transactions, the crypto community is left on edge, grappling with uncertainties regarding the future of stablecoins and their role in the broader financial landscape. The evolving narrative suggests a potential paradigm shift as regulatory bodies aim to instill confidence in the market through the adoption of government-backed digital currencies over privately issued stablecoins. The SEC's focus extends beyond Binance to specifically target USDT, with the intention of replacing it with Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) to assert control over all transactions. This strategic move is seen as a prerequisite for potential approval of an ETF in the future. Notably, Binance has been implicated in facilitating transactions linked to terrorist groups, including Hamas' Al-Qassam Brigades, Palestinian Islamic Jihad, al-Qaida, and ISIS, as highlighted in a statement by Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
COINBASE:USDTUSDShort
by TopgOptions
1
JASMY TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN (at the breaking point)Let’s break down the technical analysis for JASMY/USDT (Blaž Fabjan) Falling Wedge Pattern: Resistance: The upper trendline of the wedge shows that price has consistently been making lower highs, but the slope is not steep. Support: The lower trendline connects lower lows, but the declines are shallow, indicating sellers are losing strength. A breakout from the wedge, especially on strong volume, often leads to a bullish trend reversal. Volume: The volume bar shows moderate activity, but for the breakout to be valid, you will need confirmation through an increase in trading volume. Current volume is around 34.85M, which should increase significantly during a confirmed breakout. Momentum Indicators: VMC Cipher B Divergences (Market Cipher Indicator): Shows red dots indicating bearish divergence. However, this indicator could shift quickly depending on market movement. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 41.82, it is in the lower range of the neutral zone, indicating oversold conditions. A move above 50 would strengthen the bullish case. Stochastic RSI: At 13.47, this indicator is signaling extreme oversold conditions, which may imply that a rebound is likely. Hull Moving Average (HMA): Displays slight bearish momentum (red), but this could reverse once a breakout happens from the wedge. Price Levels to Watch! Breakout Level: If JASMY breaks the wedge's upper resistance (approximately 0.0193 - 0.0195 USDT), this would confirm the pattern. A sustained breakout with high volume could push the price higher. Support Level: Immediate support lies near 0.0188 USDT, based on the lower wedge trendline. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish reversal. Resistance Level (Post Breakout): After breaking the wedge, the next target is 0.0210 USDT, a key resistance level highlighted on the chart. A further target can be 0.0220 USDT. TRADING PLAN Entry: Aggressive Approach: Enter at the current level or as soon as price reaches near the upper wedge resistance (0.0193 - 0.0195 USDT) with a tight stop loss. Conservative Approach: Wait for a confirmed breakout above 0.0195 USDT with increased volume, followed by a retest of the breakout zone. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the lower trendline of the wedge, around 0.0185 USDT, to manage risk in case of a breakdown. Take Profit Levels: First Target: 0.0210 USDT (resistance from the previous highs). Second Target: 0.0220 USDT (next significant resistance). Long-Term Target: If the breakout is strong, higher levels like 0.0230 USDT could come into play. Risk Management: Risk no more than 2-3% of your trading capital on this setup. Adjust the stop loss to breakeven once the price hits the first target. Exit Strategy: If the price fails to break the wedge within the next 1-2 candles or breaks below 0.0185 USDT, consider exiting the position to minimize losses. Trailing stops can be used to lock in profits as the price moves toward 0.0210 USDT and beyond. The falling wedge formation suggests that a bullish reversal could be imminent for JASMY. However, traders should watch for confirmation through a breakout above the resistance line with strong volume. Utilize proper risk management to protect against downside risk while positioning for potential gains.
Long
by elfabiiani
BITCOIN ON ITS WAY UP TO ATH. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS + TRADE PLAN Technical Analysis + TRADE PLAN by Blaž Fabjan. The image highlights an ascending triangle pattern. This is generally a bullish continuation pattern, especially if formed after an uptrend (as indicated in the chart). The price is consolidating near the resistance level, and a breakout is expected. Resistance and Support Levels: Resistance at $73,655.67: This is the key area the price needs to break above for a significant upward move. Support levels are marked at $68,556.87 and lower at $66,333.98. Price is currently hovering around $69,000. Indicators: VMC Cipher B: There are divergence signals, which often hint at potential reversals or strong continuation. The current setting shows a neutral position, but the past few signals indicate potential upward momentum. RSI (14): Currently at 67.42, close to the overbought zone (70). This suggests momentum but also indicates that caution should be exercised as it approaches overbought conditions. Stochastic RSI (14): Shows a reading of 72.43, also close to the overbought region. This is a confirming signal for potential bullishness but requires monitoring to avoid overextension. HMA Histogram: Shows bullish momentum (green) but with signs of weakening. This is typical before a breakout but worth monitoring. Volume: The volume remains neutral but could spike during the breakout above the resistance zone, further confirming the pattern. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Aggressive traders: Could consider entering a long position now, given the ascending triangle pattern and anticipation of a breakout. Conservative traders: Wait for a clear breakout above the resistance level at $73,655.67, confirmed by higher volume. Enter long on a retest of this breakout zone. Stop-Loss Placement: Place the stop-loss just below the support level at $68,556.87, or slightly lower to $66,333.98 for more conservative risk management. This will protect against any false breakout or trend reversal. Target Levels: First target: $74,000-$75,000 region (as indicated in the image by the upper blue line). This would correspond with a clean breakout. Second target: If momentum continues, aim for $78,000 - $80,000, which is the next major psychological resistance level. Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally, maintain a risk-reward ratio of 1:3 or higher. For example, risking 1,000 points for a potential reward of 3,000 points, depending on your entry and stop-loss placements. Exit Strategy: Partial Profit-Taking: Consider taking partial profits at the first target to lock in gains, moving the stop-loss to breakeven to secure the trade. Full Exit: Close the position if price action significantly retraces back into the triangle or breaks below support zones. If the trade reaches the second target zone ($78,000-$80,000), consider a full exit. Risk Management: Limit the position size to avoid overexposure. Risk no more than 2-3% of your portfolio per trade. Use trailing stops to capture more profit as the price moves in your favor. Market Sentiment and Confirmation: The ascending triangle and technical indicators are leaning bullish. However, confirming volume on the breakout is essential to avoid false breakouts. Global economic factors and BTC news should also be considered for additional confirmation, particularly around major support/resistance levels. By following this trading plan and being mindful of the market conditions, you can take advantage of a potential bullish breakout while maintaining proper risk management.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Harmony one is going up! Technical analysis + trade plan by BFChart Overview Timeframe: 4-hour (Binance Exchange) Price as of Analysis: $0.01346 Volume: 3.744 million ONE Formation: Falling Wedge pattern Chart Patterns and Indicators: Falling Wedge: A falling wedge pattern is typically a bullish reversal pattern, indicating that the current downward trend is weakening and a potential breakout to the upside could follow. The narrowing of price action shows a decline in both support and resistance levels, with lower highs and lower lows. The breakout is anticipated above the wedge resistance, potentially marking the beginning of an uptrend. The VMC Cipher B indicator is similar to the MACD and shows signs of bullish divergence, meaning that while the price has been declining, momentum is building for a potential reversal. The RSI is hovering around 50.25, which is neutral but can indicate momentum is shifting. If RSI starts increasing above 55, it will confirm bullish momentum. Stochastic Oscillator is currently at 35.30, this shows the asset is near the oversold zone but still in neutral territory. A move above 40 may confirm a bullish trend reversal. The HMA histogram shows early signs of turning bullish as the color changes and bars are in the process of shifting positive. Volume has decreased over the wedge formation, which is typical of such patterns. An increase in volume after the breakout will serve as confirmation for a stronger upward move. Potential Price Targets: Immediate Resistance: $0.01360 - This is the wedge resistance. A breakout above this level confirms the pattern. First Target: $0.01550 - Based on previous price levels, this area is the next resistance once the breakout occurs. Second Target: $0.01750 - This aligns with the previous significant high and could be a target after the first resistance. Risk Factors: Stop-Loss: It’s crucial to place a stop-loss below $0.01200 (below the previous support levels) to manage risk in case of a false breakout. Volume Confirmation: Ensure that the breakout occurs with significant volume, as low-volume breakouts may lead to a reversal back into the wedge. Trading Plan 1. Entry: Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above the $0.01360 resistance with strong volume confirmation. A 4-hour candle close above this level should confirm the breakout. 2. Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below $0.01200 to manage the downside risk in case the falling wedge pattern fails and the price reverses. 3. Profit Targets: First Target: Set a take-profit around $0.01550 to capture the first major move after the breakout. Second Target: For those with a higher risk appetite, target $0.01750, which aligns with the next resistance. 4. Position Size: Risk only 1-2% of your trading capital on this trade. Given the potential volatility and the falling wedge pattern, it's essential to manage position size conservatively. 5. Monitoring: Keep an eye on the volume and the RSI/Stochastic Oscillator. If RSI rises above 55 and Stochastic confirms the upward movement, the breakout should gain more strength. Monitor for any potential fake breakouts. If the price fails to close above the resistance on the 4-hour chart, consider delaying the entry until clear confirmation is given. The Harmony (ONE/USDT) chart is showing a potentially bullish falling wedge formation, indicating that a reversal from the recent downtrend could occur soon. A breakout above $0.01360 with confirmed volume is crucial for confirming the uptrend. If confirmed, Harmony could target $0.01550 and $0.01750 in the near term, but it's important to employ tight risk management through proper stop-loss placement.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Bitcoin is going up, short consolidation phase TA+TRADE PLANBitcoin's price action against USDT on a 1-hour timeframe with several technical indicators and key levels. Here is my technical analysis + trade plan by Blaž Fabjan Ascending & Descending Trading Channels: The price is moving between ascending and descending channels. This can indicate phases of higher highs and higher lows (ascending) followed by lower highs and lower lows (descending), which often signals periods of short-term consolidation or corrections. Resistance Levels: Multiple resistances are clearly marked on the chart around the price of $68,556.87 and $67,000. The price has struggled to break above these levels multiple times, making it a critical zone to watch for future price action. Support Levels: Support is visible around $61,758.48 and $60,301.68, representing strong areas where the price previously rebounded. These levels are essential for managing downside risk. Consolidation Phase: The price appears to be consolidating after rejecting the upper resistance line. This phase suggests market indecision or preparation for a breakout. VMC Cipher_B Divergences: Divergences in this indicator show potential weakening of the bullish trend, which could signal a pullback. The green and red dots suggest possible points of reversal, important for catching trend changes. RSI (Relative Strength Index): RSI is at 52.96, indicating the market is neutral but slightly leaning toward the bullish side. If RSI breaks above 70, this could signal overbought conditions, while a drop below 30 would indicate oversold. Stochastic Oscillator: Currently in the oversold region (18.22), indicating a possible upward reversal soon. This could hint at a short-term bullish move. HMA (Hull Moving Average) Histogram: The HMA is showing a mixed trend, but the upward slope hints at mild bullish momentum that needs confirmation from price action or volume spikes. Trading Plan Entry Points: Long Position: Look for a breakout above $67,000 or $68,556.87, especially with strong volume confirming the upward move. You could set a buy stop order slightly above these levels to capture the momentum. Short Position: If the price rejects resistance and breaks below $64,500 (the recent low), this could indicate a further decline toward support levels around $61,758.48 or lower. Stop-Loss: For long trades, place stop-losses just below $64,500 to minimize risk in case of a fake breakout or false bullish signal. For short trades, place stop-losses above $67,000, as a break above this could invalidate the bearish trend. Profit Targets: Upside Targets: First target is around $70,000 (a psychological round number and historical resistance), followed by $71,000. Downside Targets: The initial target for a short would be $61,758.48. A break below could see prices test $60,301.68, the lower boundary of this channel. Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure that any trade maintains a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2. For instance, if you risk $1,000, you should aim for a reward of $2,000. Additional Confirmation: Wait for additional signals, such as volume spikes or confirmation from indicators like RSI or Stochastic, before entering a position. The market could continue to consolidate before choosing a direction. Time Horizon: Given that this is an hourly chart, these trades are more suited for short-term to medium-term traders. Ensure to adjust your stops and targets as the market evolves, and check for any upcoming fundamental events (like economic news or regulatory updates) that could impact Bitcoin's price. By following this plan, you can manage your trades effectively, balancing risk and reward while being prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios.
Long
by elfabiiani
2
USDT Dominance UpdateThis analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section According to the previous analysis, the pump was done and reached the yellow range and then we saw a drop. Upon further investigation, we found that the drop may not reach the previously analyzed areas. Therefore, we have prepared an update. Due to the strength of the drop, the up move does not look like a triangle and we see an ABC wave, we are now in wave B. Wave B seems to be a diametric, which we are in the final wave (wave g). From the green range, it can make a strong retracement upwards. Watch out for the green area. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by behdark
1
TURBO is really preparing for Turbo mode (TA + trade plan by BF)Technical Analysis by Blaž Fabjan Falling Wedge Pattern: The chart displays a falling wedge, which is a bullish continuation pattern. Typically, this pattern signifies a potential breakout to the upside as the price consolidates before resuming its upward trend. The wedge is identified with the resistance (upper line) and support (lower line) converging. The price is nearing the apex, suggesting that a breakout may be imminent. Volume: The volume seems to be relatively stable. A breakout from the wedge with a corresponding increase in volume would confirm the strength of the move. In falling wedge patterns, diminishing volume during the consolidation phase is common, which aligns with the current scenario. Traders should watch for volume spikes on a breakout. Indicators: VMC Cipher_B Divergences: The indicators at the bottom are showing several divergences. Notably, the green dots (or divergence indicators) suggest potential bullish momentum building up. RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is around the 47.49 mark, suggesting a neutral zone, neither oversold nor overbought. An upward movement in RSI above 50 would signal increased bullish momentum. Stochastic Oscillator: The Stochastic Oscillator is at 62.61 (with the signal line at 58.17), indicating moderate bullish momentum. The oscillator has moved upward from a lower level, which could be a prelude to a potential bullish breakout. Support and Resistance: Support: The lower line of the falling wedge around 0.00625 USDT acts as a key support zone. Resistance: The upper line of the wedge around 0.00685 USDT acts as resistance. A break above this level could lead to significant price appreciation. If the price breaks the 0.00685 USDT resistance with strong volume, it could test the 0.0075 USDT area and beyond. Trading Plan: Entry: Aggressive Entry: Consider entering the trade now, near the bottom of the falling wedge, around the 0.0064 USDT area, expecting the wedge to break out soon. Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed breakout above the wedge's resistance at 0.00685 USDT. Look for a close above this level with a volume spike to confirm the breakout. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss below the support of the wedge, around 0.0062 USDT. This gives room for minor price fluctuations but protects against a downside breakout. Take Profit Targets: First Target: 0.0075 USDT (measuring the height of the wedge and projecting it from the breakout point). Second Target: 0.0080 USDT (psychological resistance level). Final Target: If momentum continues strong, 0.0085-0.0090 USDT. Risk Management: Risk 1-2% of your portfolio on this trade. Ensure a risk/reward ratio of at least 1:3 for a favorable setup. Monitor the RSI and Stochastic: If the RSI rises above 50 and the Stochastic Oscillator continues to trend upward, the likelihood of a breakout increases. Exit Strategy: In case the wedge pattern fails and the price breaks down below 0.0062 USDT, exit the trade to avoid larger losses. If the price hits the first target (0.0075 USDT), consider taking partial profits and moving your stop loss to break-even to secure the trade. Summary: Potential breakout: The chart is indicating a falling wedge continuation pattern with a potential breakout to the upside. Indicators are showing neutral-to-bullish signals, and volume is crucial for confirming any upcoming breakout. Risk/Reward: Set up your entry points based on either a more aggressive or conservative approach, but ensure proper risk management and stop-loss placement. Monitor the price action closely as it approaches the resistance, and act accordingly based on confirmation signals.
Long
by elfabiiani
1
Bitcoin technical analysis + trade plan by BFTechnical Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) by Blaž Fabjan Overview of Current Market Structure: Descending Trading Channel: The Bitcoin price is currently trading within a descending channel, marked by parallel lines of resistance and support. The price has respected both boundaries and continues to oscillate between them. Support: The current support level within the descending channel is approximately 60,000 USDT, as shown by the lower green line. Resistance: The resistance level is around 61,758 USDT, as indicated by the upper green line. Potential Breakout: A potential breakout to the upside is indicated by the analysis. If the price breaks through the resistance zone, we may see a rally towards the 64,591 USDT mark, which is a key resistance level in the broader time frame. Indicators Analysis: RSI (Relative Strength Index, 14 periods): The RSI is currently around 39.25, which indicates that the market is in a slightly oversold condition. This suggests a potential buying opportunity if momentum shifts to the upside. Stochastic Oscillator (14, 3, 1): The stochastic oscillator shows a value of 27.09, signaling that the market is near the oversold region. A bullish crossover between the %K and %D lines could trigger an upward move. VMC Cipher B Indicator (Divergences): The VMC Cipher B Divergences are currently showing bearish momentum, but the price appears to be bouncing off a significant support level. We are awaiting confirmation for a reversal. HMA Histogram (40, 44): The HMA Histogram shows a value of 91.97 in the short term, indicating that bearish momentum is starting to slow, and a potential bullish reversal could occur soon. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Support: The key support level lies around 60,000 USDT. If the price drops below this level, further bearish movement towards 58,000 USDT could be expected. Immediate Resistance: Resistance stands at 61,758 USDT, the upper boundary of the descending channel. A breakout above this level could trigger a bullish rally. Key Target Level: The next major target on a breakout would be the 64,591 USDT resistance, where the price is likely to face significant selling pressure. Trading Plan: Bullish Scenario: Entry Point: Look for a breakout above the 61,758 USDT resistance level. Confirm the breakout with increasing volume and price closing above the channel. First Target: 64,591 USDT, which is a major resistance zone in the upper range. Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly below the support level of 60,000 USDT to manage downside risk. Second Target (Aggressive): If bullish momentum continues, a potential extension towards 65,500 USDT is possible, aligning with previous highs. Bearish Scenario: Entry Point: If the price fails to break above the 61,758 USDT resistance level and starts rejecting at this point, consider a short position with a breakdown below the 60,000 USDT support. First Target: A drop towards 58,000 USDT could be expected if bearish momentum accelerates. Stop Loss: Set the stop loss above 62,000 USDT, just outside the resistance of the descending channel to account for volatility. Neutral Scenario (Sideways Trading): If the price consolidates between 60,000 and 61,758 USDT, wait for a clearer breakout or breakdown before entering any trades. The current channel suggests potential opportunities, but patience for confirmation is key. Risk Management: Position Size: Use proper risk management by not risking more than 1-2% of your capital on any trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: Maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or higher to ensure the profitability of your trades.
Long
by elfabiiani
1