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Trend Analysis

ES1!: Bearish bearish bearish, intra-day levels I feel like I want to be kind this week and share my levels just because so many people are being silly and trying to long a very clear sentiment shift. Listen, I get it, it was bullish and then it wasn't. The market makes things reality faster than the human brain and emotions can accept. You need to be quick to change your tune guys or you're going to continue to sustain losses. I have been doing this for too long and can come across as harsh to some, but I just don't have time for stupidity. Market is bearish, until it isn't. Stop trying to get cute. That said, I am expecting a bounce very soon, we statistically speaking should see a re-test of the ema 200 breakdown within the next few days, if not tomorrow. The numbers on the levels in the chart represent the probability associated with hitting the levels as a %. Stick to day trading IMO and play the levels/support and resistance. Not advice and please please please be safe and use your brain, no your emotions.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by Steversteves
27
GBP/USD Double Top (11.03.2025)The GBP/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Double Top Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 1.2784 2nd Support – 1.2724 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
16
Lingrid | GOLD bullish TREND Continuation PotentialOANDA:XAUUSD market tested the 2880 level as I anticipated yesterday. It formed a false breakout from the consolidation zone and moved higher, breaking above the 2900 level and by taking liquidity from below the range zone. Currently, the price is testing the midpoint of the consolidation zone, which typically acts as both support and resistance. Therefore, there is a possibility that the price may roll back, especially if upcoming news proves to be negative for the market. However, this seems unlikely given the current bullish momentum. Since the price has tested the zone below the consolidation zone, I expect it to aim for the zone above the consolidation zone and previous week high. My goal is resistance zone around 2935 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
9
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold remains below the key resistance zone, experiencing choppy and range-bound movements since last week. As long as the price stays below this resistance level, we expect a potential decline towards the identified support levels. A break below $2895 could increase selling pressure and open the door for lower targets. What’s your outlook on gold? Do you think resistance will break? Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FX:XAUUSDShort
by HAMED_AZ
17
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, PIPTASTIC day on the markets today with our chart idea playing out as analysed. Yesterday we had the break below 2901 bearish target, opening the first level of the retracement range at 2878, which just fell short by a few pips. This then provided the support for the bounce all the way into 2922 completing our Bullish target. We were able to take the ride up all the way from the retracement range, inline with our plans to buy dips We are now looking for a lock above 2922 for a continuation or failure to lock will see price reject into the lower Goldturns for support and bounce, also keeping in mind the small gap left on the retracement range We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGET 2922 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2922 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2947 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2947 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2968 BEARISH TARGETS 2901 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2901 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING RETRACEMENT RANGE 2878 - 2851 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2851 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2820 - 2796 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
14
Gold next move (expecting bearish move)(10-03-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for the day (10-03-2025) Current price- 2904 "if Price stays below 2920, then next target is 2894, 2882 and 2860 and above that 2950" -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by AnupZiddi
36
THE KOG REPORT - UpdateEnd of day update from us here at KOG: A decent day on Gold again where we managed to trade it in to the red box region, get a tap and bounce over the Asia session and a nice move upside completing the move shared, plus bonus pips for traders. We now have crucial support at the 2907 level with resistance here at 2910. If we continue to hold the resistance we should see a pull back into support, it's that support level that needs to be monitored, if we fail to break it, we may see this tap into 2930-35 before any further RIPs. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
BTCUSDT Major supports and resistances after FallWe were expecting this fall from 108K$ and now most of target almost hit: Now we can expect maybe some range here for a while near 77K$ support zone and soon after that more fall is also expected or if the red trendline break to the upside then market is again bullish. Major supports now: A. 78000$ B. 72000$ C. 69000$ Major Resistances now: A. 85000$ B. 89000$ C. 93000$ DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
by MMBTtrader
9
Bitcoin Teeters on $80K Edge: Will It Hold or Fold?Bitcoin is currently priced at $81,145, reflecting a volatile recovery after dipping to $78,000 recently. This movement comes amid a broader cryptocurrency market downturn, with the total market cap dropping 4.4% in the last 24 hours, dragging down major altcoins and fueling a cautious mood among traders. The lack of strong bullish momentum suggests Bitcoin may struggle to push higher unless market sentiment shifts significantly. Technical Indicators and Key Levels Technically, Bitcoin is hovering near a pivotal support at $80,000, a level with both psychological and historical significance. The price is trading below the 20-period moving average of around $81,500, signaling a short-term bearish tilt. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45 shows neutral momentum, with no immediate signs of exhaustion in either direction. Resistance looms at $82,000, a barrier that previously halted upward moves. A decisive move above this level could spark optimism, but failure to defend $80,000 risks further declines. Potential Scenarios and Trading Considerations Two scenarios dominate the 1-hour chart. A hold above $80,000, followed by a break past the 20-period moving average, could pave the way for a push to $82,000, especially if volume picks up to validate the move. On the flip side, a drop below $80,000 might accelerate selling, targeting $78,000 or even $75,000, particularly if volume surges on the downside. Given the current volatility, traders should prioritize tight stop-losses and avoid excessive leverage to manage risks effectively. Broader Context and Final Tips Despite short-term uncertainty, Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend remains intact, as historical patterns suggest resilience over time. However, external triggers, like regulatory updates or economic data such as upcoming US inflation figures, could sway the market in either direction. Traders should monitor volume closely for confirmation of any breakout or breakdown and focus on how Bitcoin reacts at $80,000 support and $82,000 resistance. Staying disciplined, keeping risk in check, and adapting to real-time developments will be critical in this setup. Note: Volume spikes are your cue, watch them to confirm any significant price action.
by MonoCoinSignal
10
Is Trump’s Golden Age a Recession in the Making? Let’s Find Out“This tariff low key slaps,” says no trader ever as markets get jerked and jolted day in and day out because no one can really figure out what’s happening. On some days, US President Donald Trump wakes up and chooses to slap a tariff or two on America’s closest and biggest allies. On other days, he goes for the pardon. Turns out, investors don’t really like it. Stock markets left and right wiggled to the point they couldn’t take it anymore — the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC dived into correction territory last week. That is, the index plunged more than 10% from its most recent peak, which was a record high. Even though Friday was a good day for stocks, the S&P 500 SP:SPX closed out its worst week since September, wiping off 3.1%. Zoom out and you get an S&P 500 that’s barely holding above the flatline since the election. In other words, more than $3 trillion has been washed out from the Wall Street darling since it hit a record high in late February. Where Do We Stand on Tariffs Now? So where has the dizzying labyrinth of tariffs landed? And is that final? (No, it’s not.) Trump last week declared that there’s simply “no room left” for Canada and Mexico to bargain over a deal or even a delay. That’s a 25% levy taking effect right there. A day later it was no more — a month-long reprieve for carmakers was introduced. Then a day later, Trump suspended the 25% levy on almost all goods from its closest neighbors. To this, Trump said that the “big” wave of tariffs is coming in early April to a bunch of countries, including the European Union. Right now, only China’s 20% tariff remains in place. The roller-coaster ride around who gets slapped with what has sent the dollar TVC:DXY in a freefall — so much so that the markets have started to chat about a “Trumpcession,” (not something you’d like to have your name on). That is, some traders and investors expect Trump’s policies to tip the American economy into a recession. Swirling fears of a downturn came right as the Federal Reserve apparently managed to stick the soft landing — Jay Powell and his clique of central bankers lowered inflation through interest rate cuts while the economy continued to grow without nosediving into a downturn. A side worry of the tariffs (with very real front-and-center consequences) is a pullback from the Federal Reserve on its rate-cutting campaign. Analysts are quick to say that the US central bank won’t be looking to trim borrowing costs any time soon. Not with all that White House noise threatening to derail consumer confidence and dent corporate profits and revenue. Apparently, the huge wave of uncertainty around Trump’s tariff agenda, centered on isolation and protectionism, is making global investors nervous. In this context, how are you navigating the sea change? What’s your portfolio showing and how do you feel about growth prospects ahead? Share you thoughts in the comment section and let’s chat!
SP:SPX
by TradingView
56
XAU/USD: Another Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 2-hour timeframe for gold, we see that the price remains range-bound with no clear directional trend. Currently, gold is trading around the $2900 level, and if it fails to break above $2913 again, we can expect a downward correction. Potential targets for this correction are $2870, $2861, and $2853. Keep an eye on price reactions at each of these key levels, as all three could present opportunities for buy positions! Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
34
S&P500 - Donald Trump Is Crashing Markets!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is starting a correction: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Since Donald Trump was elected the markets have been super volatile and clearly not too easy to trade. But now it seems like bears are slowly taking over the entire U.S. stock market after we just saw a drop of -10% within a couple of days and a correction becomes more and more likely. Levels to watch: $6.100, $4.800 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
TVC:SPXShort
by basictradingtv
12
Bitcoin Tests Resistance: Will the CME Gap Get Filled?Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) continued its downward trend as I expected in the previous post , but over the past 12 hours , Bitcoin has started to increase from Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . The question is whether this upward trend will continue in the past few hours or not !? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- JOLTS Job Openings & Its Potential Impact on Bitcoin The JOLTS Job Openings report will be released today, March 11 . It provides key insights into the U.S. labor market . This data can influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy stance , impacting risk assets like Bitcoin. Potential Impact on Bitcoin : Higher-than-expected job openings : Signals labor market strength, increasing the likelihood of Fed tightening → Bearish for Bitcoin Lower-than-expected job openings : Suggests labor market weakness, increasing the odds of rate cuts → Bullish for Bitcoin Historical Influence : In previous months, JOLTS data has triggered volatility across financial markets, including crypto. For instance, a sharp decline in job openings last year led to a weaker dollar and Bitcoin rally. Conversely, stronger-than-expected job numbers have reinforced hawkish Fed expectations, pressuring Bitcoin. I believe there's a higher probability that the JOLTS report will come in weaker than expected, which could lead to a short-term rally in Bitcoin and gold. However, if the report is stronger than anticipated, we might see temporary selling pressure in the market. What is your idea!? Today's positive news was " Trump Plans Order to End Crypto Banking Restrictions ". In general, Trump's statements no longer affect the crypto market as much as before. Do you agree with me? ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the Bitcoin chart on the 1-hour timeframe and use technical analysis tools . Bitcoin is moving in the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) and near the 200_SMA(Daily) . According to Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin has completed five down waves , and we should wait for the next up waves . One of the signs of the end of wave 5 is the presence of a Regular Divergence (RD+) between two consecutive valleys . According to the above explanation , I expect Bitcoin to re-attack the Resistance zone($84,130_$81,500) after a downward correction and attempt to fill the CME Gap($86,400_$84,200) . Note: If Bitcoin can move above $87,200, we can expect the start of an uptrend. Note: We should expect a bigger drop if Bitcoin falls below $72,000. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
9
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #29👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro! Let's dive into the Bitcoin analysis and the key crypto indicators. In this analysis, as usual on Mondays, I will also review last week's weekly candle for you and examine the long-term scenarios. 📅 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, as you can see, the candle that closed yesterday is a completely bearish candle that registered without a shadow and a large body, and the price has again reached the 0.382 Fibonacci area. ✨ Since this candle was within the previous candle and did not show more volatility, we can say that the market will range in the upcoming candles because the volatility range of the chart has decreased. Therefore, the likelihood that the next candle will be a range is very high. 💫 However, if the market wants to fluctuate, the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci areas, which overlap with the 75000 and 71000 areas, can act as supports in case of a decline. For a market upturn, the significant areas are 90000 and 104000. 📊 The market volume has also been bearish in the last two candles and in favor of the sellers, but an important point is in the RSI. The area at 44.20 is a very important support that has started the next upward leg each time the RSI has reached this area during this uptrend. ✅ Breaking this area in the RSI would mean the loss of market upward momentum and we would receive the first sign of a trend change. 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, after breaking 92354 and the price pulling back to this area, the price has moved downward and has again reached the support range between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci. 🔽 If this range is lost, the price will move towards further support areas like 72753. 🎲 Market volume has also increased last week, which is because the price has finally exited the box between 92354 and 106283, and more volume has entered the market. ☘️ If the price is supported by the Fibonacci range and moves upwards, the main trigger for confirming a trend change will be 92354. ⭐️ The current main resistance area in Bitcoin is at 106283, and breaking this area could potentially lead to further movements and the recording of new ATHs. ⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe In the 4-hour timeframe, as you can see, after breaking the trend line, the trigger was activated, and the price moved downward yesterday. 📉 I told you yesterday that the price could drop to the 83151 area. As you can see, this has happened, and the price has even fallen more than 83151 and now seems to be pulling back to this area. Let's move to the one-hour timeframe to check today's triggers. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe In the one-hour timeframe, as you see, after breaking 85552, the price made a downward move and dropped to around the 80000 area. 🔽 Currently, the price has moved towards the 83151 area and, after a fake break, has returned below this area. 🧩 If the price reacts to the 83550 area again, I will move the 83151 line, but if this break is a fake, a downward momentum could enter the market, and in this case, with the break of 81288, we can open a short position. 👀 The current main support that the price has is at 78940, and breaking this area would also register another corrective leg. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let's move to the analysis of BTC.D. As you see, yesterday dominance faked above its range box and after breaking 61.61 moved downward again, and now it can move downward with more momentum. 💥 The main trigger for the dominance to turn bearish is at 61.08; the next support in this case will be 60.40. For the dominance to turn bullish, our trigger remains the break of 61.61. 📅 Total2 Analysis Let's move to the analysis of Total2. As you observe, after the support at 1.07 was broken yesterday, Total2 made another downward leg and reached its main support at 1.01. As you see, Total2 is at a lower level than Bitcoin because yesterday, as the market fell, Bitcoin dominance increased, causing altcoins to drop more than Bitcoin. 🧲 The trigger for opening a short position today is the break of 1.01, and for now, we have no trigger for a long position and must wait until the price creates a suitable structure for a long. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Moving on to the analysis of Tether dominance, as you see, after breaking 5.14, we witnessed an upward leg that continued up to the ceiling of 5.50, and currently, a box has formed between 5.30 and 5.50. 🔑 If the 5.50 area is broken, we will see an upside expansion, and dominance might move towards higher targets. However, if dominance again falls below 5.30, it will move ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
by tradecitypro
12
BTC: Still Bearish and Lacking Hope for a Significant RiseBTC - Still Bearish and Lacking Hope for a Significant Rise In our last analysis, BTC experienced a deep pullback, halting twice near the resistance zone of 90600 - 91600. Both times, BTC declined by 14.50% to 19.50%, even as the market anticipated a bullish wave. Currently, BTC is holding strong, with the highest potential being a possible rise to 90600 before moving further down. The prospects for a movement above the 110K mark have significantly diminished. Let's see what unfolds next. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Short
by KlejdiCuni
6
Bitcoin will reach at $221,0001. Overview of the Chart Asset: Bitcoin (BTC) / USD Timeframe: Daily (D) Platform: TradingView Date Range: Approximately mid-2023 to March 11, 2025 Current Price (as of Mar 11, 2025): $76,697.39 (shown in the top right corner) 2. Price Movement Historical Trend: From mid-2023 to late 2024, Bitcoin shows a steady uptrend with some corrections. The price rises from around $25,000–$30,000 to a peak near $100,000 by late 2024. Recent Action: After hitting a high around $100,000 in late 2024, the price corrects downward, dropping to around $75,000–$80,000 by early 2025. The current price as of March 11, 2025, is $76,697.39, indicating a slight recovery or stabilization after the correction. 3. Technical Patterns Ascending Triangle Formation: The chart shows an ascending triangle pattern from mid-2024 to late 2024. This pattern is characterized by: A flat resistance line around $95,000–$100,000 (the horizontal line where the price struggles to break through multiple times). An ascending support line (sloping upward), indicating higher lows as buyers step in at progressively higher prices. Breakout: In late 2024, the price breaks above the resistance of the ascending triangle, reaching a high near $100,000. This breakout is typically a bullish signal, often leading to a continuation of the uptrend. Target Calculation: The target for an ascending triangle breakout is often calculated by measuring the height of the triangle (from the base to the resistance) and projecting it upward from the breakout point. The height of the triangle appears to be roughly $30,000 (from the base around $65,000 to the resistance at $95,000). Adding this to the breakout point of $95,000 gives a target of approximately $125,000. However, the price only reached around $100,000 before correcting, suggesting the breakout may not have fully played out or was interrupted by market conditions. Trendline Upward Trendline: A long-term upward trendline (drawn in orange) connects the higher lows from mid-2023 onward. This trendline has acted as support during the uptrend. Current Position: As of March 11, 2025, the price is testing this trendline around the $75,000–$80,000 level. This is a critical area to watch, as a bounce from this trendline would confirm continued bullish momentum, while a break below could signal a deeper correction. 4. Support and Resistance Levels Support: The long-term trendline around $75,000–$80,000 is a key support level. If this trendline fails, the next significant support could be around the base of the ascending triangle, near $65,000. Resistance: The previous all-time high around $95,000–$100,000 is now a resistance zone. The price struggled to break above this level multiple times before the breakout and may face selling pressure if it approaches this zone again. 5. Price Action Analysis Post-Breakout Correction: After breaking out of the ascending triangle, Bitcoin hit a high near $100,000 but failed to sustain the momentum, leading to a correction. This is not uncommon after a breakout, as markets often pull back to retest previous resistance (now support) or other key levels like the trendline. Current Position: The price is at a critical juncture as of March 11, 2025. It’s testing the long-term trendline support around $76,000. The fact that it’s holding above this level (at $76,697.39) is a positive sign for bulls, but confirmation of a bounce with strong volume would be needed to signal a resumption of the uptrend.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by sohaibfx
6
Bitcoin - Will history repeat itself?In this analysis, we are observing the potential repetition of market history by comparing the current Bitcoin price action to the previous bullrun cycle. By utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels, historical patterns, and the current macroeconomic landscape, we can formulate a hypothesis that the market might follow a similar trajectory if bearish sentiment prevails. Historical Comparison During the last bullrun, Bitcoin experienced significant price appreciation before eventually reaching a new all-time high (ATH). However, one key observation from the previous cycle is that before Bitcoin reached its ATH, the price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level multiple times. This level acted as a critical support zone, where the price found demand before making the next leg upward. Currently, we are seeing a similar pattern unfolding. Bitcoin has recently experienced a parabolic rise, reminiscent of the previous bull cycle. As the market is showing early signs of exhaustion, the possibility of a deeper retracement towards the 0.618 Fibonacci level (around $50,000) is becoming increasingly plausible. If history repeats itself, this level could act as a springboard for the next significant price increase. Last bullrun we had a 77% drop, and from the current ATH its only a 55% drop to the fib level: Bearish Sentiment and Market Dynamics Despite positive news emerging globally, such as the USA announcing its Bitcoin reserves and other adoption-related headlines, the market has reacted negatively, which is a characteristic of bearish sentiment. This kind of price action aligns with what we saw in previous cycles, where good news failed to provide upward momentum as the market was already in a distribution phase. The fact that Bitcoin has failed to sustain gains even amid positive news further reinforces the likelihood of a deeper retracement. The market is driven by liquidity cycles, and the large players may still be in the process of shaking out retail investors before the next parabolic move. Key Fibonacci Levels to Watch 0.618 Level (~$51,500): Historically tested in the last cycle before the final leg up. 0.65 Level (~$48,500): Another confluence zone that could provide significant support. 0.786 Level (~$36,000 - $40,000): If the market becomes extremely bearish, this level could act as the final capitulation zone before the next macro bullrun. Psychological and Macro Factors Additionally, the broader macroeconomic environment plays a crucial role in this scenario. With ongoing geopolitical tensions, inflation concerns, and central banks' monetary policies, investors are more risk-averse, which could further contribute to the bearish price action. Historically, Bitcoin has shown strong correlation to traditional markets, especially during uncertain times. If the macroeconomic environment remains unstable, Bitcoin could follow traditional markets into a corrective phase before making a recovery. Daily Chart Imbalance Zones On the daily chart, Bitcoin is currently trading between two key imbalance zones. These zones represent areas of liquidity where the market could either find support or break down further. The current price action suggests that if Bitcoin holds the imbalance zones as support, the market structure will still be intact, leaving the possibility for a continuation of the upward trend. However, if these imbalance zones fail to hold, it would signal a bearish continuation pattern. In this case, the probability of Bitcoin testing the $50,000 level as the next major support becomes highly likely. Traders should closely monitor these zones, as they will play a pivotal role in determining the market’s next major move. Conclusion While no analysis can predict the future with certainty, the confluence of technical, historical, and macroeconomic factors suggests that Bitcoin might follow a similar pattern as the previous bullrun. A retracement to the 0.618 Fibonacci level around $50,000 is highly plausible before a new ATH is achieved. However, if bearish sentiment continues to dominate, we could see lower levels before the market finds its true bottom. The current price action, coupled with negative market reactions to positive news, is an indication that larger players might still be accumulating before the next leg up. Traders and investors should remain cautious, monitor key Fibonacci levels, and be prepared for heightened volatility in the coming months. Only time will tell if history will indeed repeat itself, but the current evidence suggests that the market might be following a familiar path once again.
by TehThomas
64
Bitcoin - Bulls vs Bears: Who Will Win This Battle?Market overview: Daily Timeframe The daily chart is the foundation of this analysis, providing a macro perspective on Bitcoin’s current market structure. Price is trading between two critical zones, one acting as support and the other as resistance. These levels have historically played a significant role in Bitcoin’s price action, making them key areas to watch for potential breakouts or breakdowns. Currently, Bitcoin has tested the lower support zone multiple times, showing that buyers are actively defending this level. However, each bounce has been met with selling pressure near the previous support-turned-resistance zone, which indicates indecision in the market. This price action suggests that Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase, where liquidity is building before a larger directional move. There are two potential scenarios that will determine the next major trend: Bullish Breakout: If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone (the green-marked area on the chart), it would indicate a shift in market sentiment, with buyers taking control. This move would confirm that the recent downside movement was a temporary correction rather than a trend reversal. A clean breakout, followed by a successful retest of the level as support, would provide an ideal confirmation for a long position, targeting higher resistance levels. Bearish Breakdown: If Bitcoin loses the current support zone, it would confirm that sellers remain in control. A daily close below this level would likely trigger increased selling pressure, leading to a move towards lower support zones. In this case, a short position would be favored, with potential downside targets in mind. Since price is still within this range, waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown is crucial before committing to a directional trade. Acting too soon, without confirmation, could lead to getting trapped in false breakouts or liquidity grabs. 4-Hour Timeframe – Liquidity Sweep & Bullish Reversal Signs Looking at the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has recently swept a major low, a move often associated with liquidity grabs. However, price did not close below this level, suggesting that the move was intended to trap sellers rather than initiate a true breakdown. Liquidity sweeps occur when market makers push price below a previous low to trigger stop-losses and induce panic selling before reversing the price direction. This failure to break lower could be a sign that Bitcoin is gearing up for an upside move, but further confirmation is required. 1-Hour Timeframe – Key Level for a Bullish Breakout The 1-hour chart further supports the bullish case, as it also shows a liquidity sweep of recent lows, similar to what was observed on the 4-hour timeframe. This confluence strengthens the idea that Bitcoin may be preparing for a move higher. A key resistance level has been marked with a black line on the chart. This level represents the most recent structural high that must be broken and flipped into support to confirm bullish momentum. Trading plan for a long position: Break Above the Key High – Price must first move above the marked resistance level to signal strength. Retest & Hold as Support – A successful retest of this level as new support would indicate that buyers are in control. Entry for a Long Position – Once support is confirmed, a long position can be considered, targeting higher resistance levels. If Bitcoin fails to break this level, the bullish thesis weakens, and attention should shift back to the daily support zone for potential bearish continuation. Upcoming Bitcoin-Related News & Events to Watch While technical analysis provides clear trade setups, macroeconomic events can heavily influence Bitcoin’s movement. Some key fundamental catalysts to watch in the coming days include: CPI & Inflation Data (March 12, 2025) – Higher-than-expected inflation could negatively impact risk assets like Bitcoin, while lower inflation numbers could support a bullish breakout. FOMC Meeting & Interest Rate Decision (March 20, 2025) – The Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates will be crucial. A more dovish tone could provide a bullish tailwind for Bitcoin, while hawkish policy could lead to downside movement. Final Thoughts The daily range is the most critical structure to watch, whichever level breaks first will determine the trade setup. The 4-hour liquidity sweep suggests potential bullish momentum but still needs confirmation. The 1-hour key high must be broken and flipped into support before looking for long positions. Macro events like CPI and Fed decisions could heavily impact Bitcoin’s movement. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
8
XRPUSDT: A Massive Move Is Coming – But Will It Be Up or Down?Yello, Paradisers! Are we about to see an explosive breakout in XRP, or is a deeper pullback lurking around the corner? Let’s break it down. 💎XRPUSDT has formed a falling wedge alongside a bullish divergence, signaling a potential upside move. Adding to the bullish case, we also see an inverse head & shoulders pattern forming underneath – a combination that significantly increases the probability of a breakout. 💎For a high-probability bullish confirmation, we need a breakout and candle close above the falling wedge. 💎That said, if price retraces deeper, we should be watching the major support zone for a potential bounce. A bullish I-ChoCH on lower timeframes will serve as the key confirmation for a reversal. 💎The invalidation level? If XRPUSDT breaks down and closes candle below the major support zone, this bullish setup will be completely invalidated. 🎖Stay sharp, Paradisers. The next move will decide everything! As always, discipline and patience will separate the winners from the crowd. Be strategic, trade smart, and wait for the highest probability setups. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success 🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
5
GOLD → Strong consolidation. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the range of 2926 - 2890. The market is generally bullish, but there is a high probability of a short / long-squeeze before the strong news, which will be on Wednesday. Markets are waiting for data on inflation and employment in the U.S., which may affect the Fed's decisions. Despite a weaker dollar and expectations of monetary easing, Fed chief Jerome Powell remains cautious. Gold demand is supported by China, which is increasing purchases, as well as growing fears of stagflation in the US. However, traders are keeping an eye on new economic data and the impact of Chinese tariffs on US goods Technically, the focus is on 2926 - 2890. The ideal scenario in a bull market would be a false break of the support at 2893 - 2890 and further growth due to the change of imbalance in the market after liquidation and liquidity capture. But, based on the current situation (strong range) there is a high probability of short-squeeze or long-squeeze. Resistance levels: 2926, 2942 Support levels: 2893, 2890 At the moment the emphasis is on 2926. Formation of pre-breakout consolidation, further breakout and price consolidation above the resistance can provoke a bullish impulse. But the difficulty is that the support has not been tested yet. If the price approaches 2926 very quickly, a false breakout could be made and in that case the price could go down to 2890 to retest the liquidity zone before storming 2926 for further upside. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
8
VETUSDT on the Edge – Is a Major Breakdown Coming?Yello! Is VETUSDT on the verge of a bigger drop, or could a reversal be in play? The price action is signaling a critical moment, and traders need to stay sharp. A major move is brewing let’s analyze the setup. 💎#VETUSD remains under strong bearish pressure, repeatedly rejecting from the descending trendline and key supply zone. Price is also trading below the 200 EMA, reinforcing the bearish momentum and signaling that sellers remain in control. Until VET reclaims $0.02695, the risk of further downside remains high. 💎The next major support level to watch is $0.02117, where a temporary bounce could occur. However, if selling pressure continues, VET is likely to push lower toward $0.01906, a historically strong accumulation zone. This level will be crucial either it holds as a buying opportunity, or we see deeper downside continuation. 💎For the bulls to regain control, it must reclaim $0.02695 and break past the supply zone. A sustained push beyond $0.025, combined with strong buying momentum, could indicate the start of a recovery. However, a true trend reversal will only be confirmed if NYSE:VET closes above $0.02695 and reclaims the 200 EMA, invalidating the bearish setup and signaling bullish strength. Patience is key, Paradisers. The market rewards those who wait for confirmation instead of chasing every move. MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success 🌴
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
8