Trend Analysis
BTC Dominance: We Warned You And It's HappeningHello, Skyrexians!
A lot of hating comments we received under our recent CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D analysis. Now we sure that market always go against the crowd. This is the super valuable experience and we want to say thanks to all haters. Now let's update this idea, try to understand the structure on the wave 5 drilling into lower time frame.
Let's take a look at 12h time frame. We can see that after the spike in the wave 3 price retraced with the ABC zigzag and started the new wave 5. Waves 1 and 2 inside this wave have been finished. Wave 2 reached exactly 0.61. Now we can measure wave 3 target. 1 and 1.61 are the potential target. The most realistic one is 64.7%. Then we expect the wave 4 and the last leg up into subwave 5. Always look at the divergence on the Awesome Oscillator to measure the trend end.
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Skyrexio Team
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CADJPY → Consolidation before the news. DowntrendFX:CADJPY continues to forge a downtrend, but within the current movement a symmetrical triangle of accumulative nature is forming
The currency pair may continue its decline due to the strengthening of the Japanese Yen, while the Canadian is consolidating in a narrow range.
The situation may be accelerated by today's news, namely Trump's speech, where he may announce new tariff measures.
Technically, the price is correcting after the false break of 103.56, being below the previously broken upside support. Price is testing key resistance at 104.90, and against 0.5 Fibo is forming a false breakout. A consolidation below 104.69, a break of 104.525 could trigger further decline.
Resistance levels: 104.900, 105.36, 105.74
Support levels: 104.525, 103.56
There are important news ahead, high volatility is possible, especially at the moment of Trump's speech, which may set a medium-term tone in the market.
The currency pair is in consolidation on the background of the downtrend and the priority is to expect a continuation of the fall
Regards R. Linda!
Gold is in the Bullish DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today Gold analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDJPYHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on USDJPY?
USDJPY is moving within a descending channel and has currently reached the top of the channel, just below a resistance zone.
We anticipate some consolidation in this area, followed by a potential drop toward the bottom of the channel.
For a safer sell entry, it’s better to wait for a break below the specified support level.
After the breakout, a pullback to the broken support could offer a good sell opportunity.
💡Will USD/JPY respect the channel and head lower, or break out to the upside? Share your view below! 👇
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GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Trade SetupThis chart represents a technical analysis of the GBP/USD currency pair on a 15-minute timeframe, using exponential moving averages (EMAs) and key levels.
Key Observations:
1. EMA Indicators:
The 200-period EMA (blue) is at 1.29238.
The 30-period EMA (red) is at 1.29155.
Price is currently below the 200 EMA, indicating a potential bearish trend.
2. Support and Resistance:
Resistance Level: 1.29346 (highlighted in blue).
Support Zone: Around 1.28857 (purple highlighted area).
3. Trading Plan:
The price is currently consolidating in a range between the support and resistance levels.
If the price breaks above 1.29346, it could move towards the target of 1.29720.
If the price fails to break resistance and falls below support (1.28857), a bearish
Bullish rebound?DAX40 (DE40) has bounced off the pivot which is an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 21,775.24
1st Support: 21,501.86
1st Resistance: 22,374.35
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
euraud sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Check if it can rise along the rising trend line (2)
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We need to see if USDT and USDC can continue the gap uptrend.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance rises above 62.47 and maintains or continues to rise, altcoins are likely to record a larger decline.
Therefore, you should think about how to respond to the altcoins you are trading.
If the uptrend continues, it is expected to rise to the Fibonacci ratio range of 0 (73.63) ~ 1 (77.07).
In order for the altcoin bull market to begin, it must fall below 55.01 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
In order for the coin market to begin an upward trend, the USDT dominance must fall below 4.97 and be maintained or show a downward trend.
If it does not, and it rises, the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
We need to see if it can meet resistance near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 and fall.
If not, the coin market will show a large downward trend as it rises to around 7.14.
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USDT is likely to continue to rise.
This is because it is the fund that supports the coin market.
Due to this, USDT dominance is also likely to continue its upward trend.
Therefore, rather than following the overall flow of USDT dominance, it is better to look at where it starts to decline.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Whether the price can be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart while maintaining the price above the upward trend line (2) and passing through April 4-6 is the key.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above 89294.25, so if possible, we should also look at whether it can rise above 89294.25.
If it does not and falls along the downward trend line, it is possible that it will touch around 73499.86 during the volatility period around April 25.
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The most recently formed high-point trend line is trend line (3).
And, the recently formed low-point trend line is the (2) trend line.
Since these two trend lines are not moving in one direction, we can see that we are currently in the volatility zone.
If the StochRSI indicator rises this time and forms a peak in the overbought zone and then falls, the high-point trend line will draw an upward trend line like the low-point trend line.
When that happens, it seems likely that the trend will start.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether the two volatility periods in this April, around April 5 and around April 25, will become turning points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC range.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (44234.54) is not expected to fall again.
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Looking at the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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Buy SilverAs long as there is no break in the uptrend on the daily chart, a long position can be attempted from the current level with a target of the previous highs at 34.80-35.00
Since the trade is taking place during a period of high volatility and the entry is not the most stable, it is better to trade with a stop-loss, adjusting it throughout the day as the price moves up.
The first stop is at 31.70. Then, if 32.50 is broken, move it to 32.10, and so on.
S&P500: Recovery has started and the next stop is the 1D MA50.S&P500 is marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.213, MACD = -61.280, ADX = 30.163) as it's recovered from Friday's bearish sentiment and already crossed above the 0.236 Fibonacci level. This rebound made Monday's low a Double Bottom and since the 1D RSI is on a HL bullish divergence, we expect a strong 1 month rally to start. The first target is the 1D MA50 slightly over the 0.5 Fib mark (TP1 = 5,835) and after a small correction, the 0.786 Fib (TP2 = 6,000), which is also the top of the 5 month Bull Flag.
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Big Capitulation Pattern and Bull Trap Would Make Sense Now.We now have a lot of match up in how the BTC and SPX moves have formed with both of them showing properties of what could be a choppy wave 4.
This would predict we see a period of panic selling (likely driven by news) and then we enter into the ABC correction.
Now ... by the book, if a bigger bear move is happening the high should now be in. If there's to be a big bull trap it'll be an ABC to the 76 retracement and then there'll be a sharp second down leg - surpassing the first.
By the way things actually are, we have to be wary of the butterfly bull trap. This would look and act identical to a 76 reversal up to a certain point and then it would make a hyper parabolic spike - which would briefly trade at new highs before setting up a big rug-pull event.
I explained in a previous post 70K was a critical make or break area. Upon further swing development I still think that's broadly correct but a false breakout could go as far as 65K.
If we get a sharp period of capitulation here I'll be very careful with my shorts. Trailing stops aggressively.
And likely be very bullish around 65K. So long as I can get reasonable stop entries (breaking of this area could mean an out and out waterfall - would not be a fun knife catch if you tried to hold it).
I kinda have a feeling the worst for the BTC drop might be directly ahead of us, but that is also likely the low for the foreseeable future.
Contingent on there being the sharp drop (ideally with news to explain it) and me seeing things I like in the 65K zone I can see me being extremely bullish on this in the coming month.
BTC:sell@85000-85500Yesterday, after a decline, BTC saw an accelerated upward movement. Pay attention to the previous resistance level around 88,000-90,000 in the upper range. For today's short-term trading, one can continue to attempt short selling.
BTCUSDT sell@85000-85500
tp:84000-83500
I will continuously send out accurate signals, and all signals have been profitable. If you need accurate signals, please click the link below the article.
Could the price bounce from here?NZD/JPY is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 84.49
1st Support: 83.49
1st Resistance: 85.54
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?NZD/CAD has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.81458
1st Support: 0.81095
1st Resistance: 0.82317
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
#AVAXUSDT: Three Swing Buy Take Profit EntriesThe cryptocurrency market has experienced volatility in recent months, particularly with the #AVAXUSDT token. We have identified two potential price reversal points:
1. **Current Price Range:** The market is currently experiencing a surge in volume, indicating a potential reversal.
2. **Liquidity Removal and Reversal:** If the price were to remove liquidity and subsequently reverse at its previous low, it could trigger a significant price drop.
Additionally, we recommend setting three targets based on your analysis to guide your trading decisions.
We extend our sincere gratitude for your unwavering support since the beginning. We anticipate that this support will continue to grow and evolve.
Team Setupsfx_
🚀❤️
Online real-time guidance on gold trendsGold went up in the early trading, but the price fell again after rising to 3135. The fluctuation range of European trading narrowed. ADP employment data exceeded expectations. The market failed to break out of the trend. The current market is in the range of 3135-3109. The market is waiting for the details of the reciprocal tariffs and industry-specific tariffs to be announced at 3 am. The tariff policy announced by Trump is expected to have an adverse impact on the global economy, especially the United States. The current structure of gold is still bullish. After the correction, continue to go long at the key support level.
At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
$100, $1,000, $100,000 — When Numbers Become Turning PointsHey! Have you ever wondered why 100 feels... special? 🤔
Round numbers are like hidden magnets in the market. 100. 500. 1,000. They feel complete. They stand out. They grab our attention and make us pause. In financial markets, these are the levels where price often slows down, stalls, or makes a surprising turn.
I’ll admit, once I confused the market with real life. I hoped a round number would cause a reversal in any situation. Like when I stepped on the scale and saw a clean 100 staring back at me, a level often known as strong resistance. I waited for a bounce, a sudden reversal... but nothing. The market reacts. My body? Not so much. 🤷♂️
The market reacts. But why? What makes these numbers so powerful? The answer lies in our minds, in market dynamics, and in our human tendency to crave simplicity.
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Psychology: Why our brain loves round numbers
The human mind is designed to create structure. Round numbers are like lighthouses in the chaos — simple, memorable, and logical. If someone asks how much your sofa cost, you’re more likely to say "a grand" than "963.40 dollars." That’s normal. It’s your brain seeking clarity with minimal effort.
In financial markets, round numbers become key reference points. Traders, investors, even algorithms gravitate toward them. If enough people believe 100 is important, they start acting around that level — buying, selling, waiting. That belief becomes reality, whether it's rational or not. We anchor decisions to familiar numbers because they feel safe, clean, and "right."
Walmart (WMT) and the $100 mark
Round numbers also carry emotional weight. 100 feels like a milestone, a finish line. It’s not just a number, it’s both an ending and a beginning.
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Round numbers in the market: Resistance and support
Round number as a resistance
Imagine a stock climbing steadily: 85, 92, 98... and then it hits 100. Suddenly, it stalls. Why? Investors who bought earlier see 100 as a "perfect" profit point. "A hundred bucks. Time to sell." Many pre-set sell orders are already waiting. Most people don’t place orders at $96.73. They aim for 100. A strong and symbolic.
At the same time, speculators and short sellers may step in, viewing 100 as too high. This creates pressure, slowing the rally or pushing the price back down.
If a stock begins its journey at, say, $35, the next key round levels for me are: 50, 100, 150, 200, 500, 1,000, 2,000, 5,000, 10,000…
Slide from my training materials
These levels have proven themselves again and again — often causing sideways movement or corrections. When I recently reviewed the entire S&P 500 list, for example $200 showed up consistently as a resistance point.
It’s pure psychology. Round numbers feel "high" — and it's often the perfect moment to lock in profits and reallocate capital. Bitcoin at $100,000. Netflix at $1,000. Tesla at $500. Walmart at $100. Palantir at $100. These are just a few recent examples.
Round number support: A lifeline for buyers
The same logic works in reverse. When price falls through 130, 115, 105... and lands near 100, buyers often step in. "100 looks like a good entry," they say. It feels like solid ground after a drop. We love comeback stories. Phoenix moments. Underdogs rising. Buy orders stack up and the price drop pauses.
Some examples:
Meta Platforms (META)
Amazon.com (AMZN) — $100 acted as resistance for years, then became support after a breakout
Tesla (TSLA)
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Why round numbers work for both buyers and sellers
Buyers and the illusion of a bargain
If a stock falls from 137 to 110 and approaches 100, buyers feel like it’s hit bottom. Psychologically, 100 feels cheap and safe. Even if the company’s fundamentals haven’t changed, 100 just "feels right." It’s like seeing a price tag of $9.99 — our brain rounds it down and feels like we got an epic deal.
Sellers and the "perfect" exit
When a stock rises from 180 to 195 and nears 200, many sellers place orders right at 200. "That’s a nice round number, I’ll exit there." There’s emotional satisfaction. The gain feels cleaner, more meaningful, when it ends on a round note.
To be fair, I always suggest not waiting for an exact level like 200. If your stock moved through 145 > 165 > 185, don’t expect perfection. Leave room. A $190 target zone makes more sense. Often, greed kills profit before it can be realized. Don’t squeeze the lemon dry.
Example: My Tesla analysis on TradingView with a $500 target — TESLA: Money On Your Screen 2.0 | Lock in Fully…
Before & After: As you see there, the zone is important, not the exact number.
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Round numbers in breakout trades
When price reaches a round number, the market often enters a kind of standoff. Buyers and sellers hesitate. The price moves sideways, say between 90 and 110. Psychologically, it’s a zone of indecision. The number is too important to ignore, but the direction isn’t clear until news or momentum pushes it.
When the direction is up and the market breaks above a key level, round numbers work brilliantly for breakout trades or strength-based entries.
Slide from my training materials
People are willing to pay more once they see the price break through a familiar barrier. FOMO kicks in. Those who sold earlier feel regret and jump back in. And just like that, momentum builds again — until the next round-number milestone.
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) — every round number so far has caused mild corrections or sideways action. I’d think $500 won’t be any different.
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Conclusion: Simplicity rules the market
Round numbers aren’t magic. They work because we, the people, make the market. We love simplicity, patterns, and emotional anchors. These price levels are where the market breathes, pauses, thinks, and decides. When you learn to recognize them, you gain an edge — not because the numbers do something, but because crowds do.
A round number alone is never a reason to act.
If a stock drops to 100, it doesn’t mean it’s time to buy. No single number works in isolation. You need a strategy — a set of supporting criteria that together increase the odds. Round numbers are powerful psychological levels, but the real advantage appears when they align with structure and signals.
Keep round numbers on your radar. They’re the market’s psychological mirror, and just like us, the market loves beautiful numbers.
If this article made you see price behavior differently, or gave you something to think about, feel free to share it.
🙌 So, that's it! A brief overview and hopefully, you found this informative. If this article made you see price behavior differently, or gave you something to think about, feel free to share it & leave a comment with your thoughts!
Before you leave - Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀
Trade smart,
Vaido
Gold is trading sideways at a high level! Trend analysisGold is currently continuing to fluctuate along the short-term moving average in the daily trend, and the current price is supported around 3100. In the 4-hour level trend, the short-term moving average is basically in a state of adhesion and flatness. The K-line has insufficient downward momentum in the short-term trend after the continuous lower shadow line. We should pay attention to the possible sideways shock repair and the secondary upward trend after the technical pattern repair. Gold has not broken through the intraday high and continues to be mainly high-altitude. On the whole, the short-term operation strategy for gold today is recommended to be mainly short-selling on rebounds, supplemented by long-selling on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3138-3140 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support.
Strategy reference:
Short order strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3138-3140, short (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3120-3110, break to see 3100 line;
Long order strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3100-3103, long (buy long) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3110-3120, break to see 3130 line;
Maybe $0.11!A strong rejection from $0.074 and a re-test of $0.060! If it could pump toward $0.074 once more and break it with a strong bullish candle, $0.109 will be reachable. Since it is fluctuating almost on the price that was launched at most exchanges, it's unlikely to be deeply corrected from here.
LTCUSD Litecoin OH NO TARIFFS! Everyone SELL NOW!The market reacted to the tariffs negatively as expected. I don't think these tariffs will last long. Countries will cave and remove their tariffs. Bottom line is they need us more than we need them. Once global free and easier trade starts you're going to see a boom cycle like never before. This is the bottom and the beginning of the biggest bull run you'll ever see. I don't get involved in politics but this move that Trump made with the tariffs is going to be a major positive for the USA and the world moving forward. This isnt 1929, we live in a much more advanced world now. Collapses and depressions are a thing of the past in my opinion.
As for Litecoin I see it coming down to test around $70 dollars by the middle of April. This is also timed almost perfectly to the 2017 run Litecoin had, coincidentally trump was starting his first term in 2017 as well. Also timed perfectly to when tax day is over for USA.
Many have capitulated and sold everything thinking a giant recession is coming, or a war, or a collapse, or aliens, or you name it people are scared of their own shadows lately. Like a plague of Grackles where one gets spooked and the whole lot of them get scared and take off when they dont even know why. This is how the markets work though, most will make the wrong decision so the few who made the right decision can profit from their mistakes. Once the market starts to run again those who sold will think its just a fake pump or dead cat bounce and wont buy in. Then the market will continue to rise and rise and finally when its near an all time high those who capitulated and sold early will fomo back in and buy the top to provide liquidity for those who were called crazy for buying the bottom. Its a cycle thats been happening since markets started.
So Im sticking with my predictions for Litecoin, I am not falling for this bear trap crap. Im doubling down. This is not financial advice. This is just my opinion.