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Trend Analysis

SILVER INTRADAY pullback to support at 3090Silver maintains a bullish sentiment, in line with the prevailing uptrend. Recent intraday price action suggests a corrective pullback, potentially retesting the previous consolidation zone for support. Key Level: 3090 This zone represents a significant area of prior consolidation and now acts as a key support level. Bullish Scenario: A pullback toward 3090 followed by a bullish bounce would confirm continued upside momentum. Immediate resistance targets include 3266, with extended upside potential toward 3350 and 3450 over the longer term. Bearish Alternative: A confirmed breakdown and daily close below 3090 would negate the current bullish outlook. This would open the door for a deeper retracement toward 3028, followed by 2945. Conclusion: Silver remains technically bullish while trading above 3090. A successful retest and rebound from this level would support further upside. However, a daily close below 3090 would shift sentiment bearish in the short term, increasing the risk of a deeper correction. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by TradeNation
ATOMUSD: Channel Down bottomed. Strong buy signal.Cosmos turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 60.498, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 27.015), which raised 1W to a neutral state. This is perfectly aligned with the market structure at the moment, which is a technical rebound at the bottom of the 3 year Channel Down. The 1W RSI is on a HL trendline, which is a bullish divergence as far as the Channel's LL are concerned. This means that there is potential to break this Channel to the upside, but until this happens, we will be targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 9.500), like the previous bullish wave did. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:ATOMUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
BTC - Analyzing monthly momentum shifts with the Stoch RSI!What is the stoch rsi? The Stochastic RSI (Stoch RSI) is a momentum indicator that applies the stochastic oscillator to the RSI, making it more sensitive to price changes. The Stochastic RSI has two lines: Blue line = the fast momentum line
Orange line = the slower momentum line How It Works: * Helps identify overbought (above 80) and oversold (below 20) conditions. * Crossing above 20 signals possible bullish momentum. * Crossing below 80 signals possible bearish momentum. Why Use It? * Reacts faster than regular RSI. * Helps spot momentum shifts and reversals. * Best used with other indicators for confirmation. Analyzing the Monthly BTC Chart Through the Lens of Stochastic RSI: A Cycle Comparison in this discussion, we’ll take a deep dive into the monthly Bitcoin (BTC) chart and examine how the Stochastic RSI aligns with previous market cycles, dating back to 2016. By comparing BTC’s historical price action with Stoch RSI signals, we aim to identify recurring patterns, overbought and oversold conditions, and how momentum shifts have played a role in past bull and bear markets. Understanding these correlations could provide valuable insights into where BTC currently stands in its broader cycle and what to expect next. Let’s break it down.   Let's dive into the bullmarket of 2016/2017: In 2016 and 2017, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart stayed consistently above the 80 level, often fluctuating between 80 and 100. During this period, the blue line occasionally crossed below the orange line, signaling a short-term pullback. When this cross occurred, it was typically followed by a red candle in the next month, indicating a brief dip before the price continued its upward movement. This pattern appeared multiple times throughout the bull market, allowing BTC to make higher highs and pushing the price further up. However, the key turning point came when both the blue and orange lines crossed below the 80 level. This marked a shift in momentum, often leading to a significant drop in price or even a bear market phase. When the Stochastic RSI fell below 80 and remained there, it indicated that bullish momentum had stalled, and a potential reversal or prolonged downtrend was likely to follow. This was a critical signal for traders to watch during the bull cycle.   What happened in 2019-2021? In 2019, the Stochastic RSI on the monthly BTC chart quickly moved from the oversold region to the overbought area, reflecting a rapid surge in BTC’s price during that time. This sharp movement in the Stochastic RSI mirrored the fast-paced price increase. However, once the Stochastic RSI entered the overbought zone, the blue line crossed below the orange line, signaling a potential reversal. When this happened, the Stochastic RSI fell below the 80 level, indicating that bullish momentum was weakening. This crossover was a critical signal of potential downside, suggesting that BTC could experience a correction or even an extended period of bearish pressure. The decline in the Stochastic RSI below 80 marked the beginning of a phase where BTC faced increased downside momentum, leading to a correction in price for months. Later in the cycle BTC and the Stoch RSI went up to the overbought area ones again. When the Stoch RSI with the blue and orange line crossed below the 80 was the start of a prolonged bear market. What occured in this cycle? In the current cycle of Bitcoin (BTC), there have been three notable crosses on the Stochastic RSI, which offer important insights into market conditions. The first cross stayed above the 80 level, which typically signals an overbought condition. When the Stochastic RSI is above 80, it indicates that the market may be experiencing strong bullish momentum, but it's also at risk of becoming overextended, potentially signaling a reversal. However, the other two crosses occurred as the Stochastic RSI moved below the 80 level, which is generally interpreted as a sign that the bullish momentum is weakening and that further downside could be in play. The fact that these two crosses occurred below the 80 level suggests that the overbought conditions are being worked off, and momentum may be shifting to the downside. The last cross is still in play. The momentum is quickly turning to the downside while BTC is facing downside pressure How can we compare this cycle with the last ones? In the last cycle of BTC, there were two key crosses of the Stochastic RSI below the 80 level, both of which marked important turning points for the market. The first cross below the 80 level triggered a significant crash of around 70%, which was a sharp correction from the bull market's peak. This steep drop signified a clear shift in market sentiment, with the bearish trend beginning to take hold. The second cross below 80 marked the official start of the bear market, though it wasn’t as dramatic as the first crash. An interesting aspect of the second cross was that Bitcoin briefly made a slightly higher high before the decline, which might have seemed like a potential sign of recovery or a continuation of the bullish trend. However, this higher high was not sustainable, and the bearish momentum quickly took over, confirming that the market had turned decisively to the downside. This higher high can often be seen as a bull trap, where traders were temporarily lured into thinking the market was rebounding, only for the price to reverse sharply. In contrast, the cycle before this one was marked by Bitcoin staying consistently above the 80 level for the entire duration of the bull market. The Stochastic RSI remained elevated, reflecting strong bullish momentum and a prolonged uptrend. Once the Stochastic RSI crossed below the 80 level, it signaled the official start of the bear market. This transition from above to below 80 is often seen as a clear indication that the overbought conditions had been worked off, and the market was beginning to lose its bullish steam. In both cycles, the Stochastic RSI's behavior has been crucial in identifying key points where the market shifted from bullish to bearish. In the most recent cycle, the sharp crash following the first cross below 80 and the subsequent bear market beginning with the second cross below 80 highlight the significance of this indicator in forecasting major market changes. Meanwhile, in the previous cycle, the sustained time spent above 80 helped to keep the bullish momentum intact until the market finally reversed with that pivotal cross below 80. These patterns suggest that once Bitcoin’s Stochastic RSI starts crossing below the 80 level after an extended period of bullish movement, it’s a strong signal that the market is entering a phase of weakness and may eventually lead to a bear market. Conclusion: The current cycle shows similarities to the 2019/2021 cycle, particularly with the second cross down on the Stochastic RSI, which previously marked a local top. There is a strong possibility that this could signal a cycle top. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
42
BITCOIN Do you really want to miss this rally???Bitcoin / BTCUSD remains supported by the 1week MA50 just like it has been through the whole 2020/21 period after the COVID crash. In spite of the massive bearish pressure of the polical developments (tariffs), the fact that the market is holding the 1week MA50, means that it is respective Bitcoin's Cycles. In fact this is like the May-June 2021 accumulation on the 1week MA50, following the first Bitcoin Top of April 2021. Similarly, we've had a peak formation in December 2024- January 2025 and the market corrected. In addition to that, the 1week RSI is testing the 42.00, which isn't just where the August 2024 and September 2023 bottoms were priced, but more importantly the June 2021 one. The symmetry between the last two Cycles is uncanny, both trading inside the long term Channel Up, with identical Bear Cycle and (so far) Bull Cycle ranges. If all ends up repeating themselves, expect a value of at least $160000 by September. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
EURUSD forming a top?EURUSD - Intraday Continued upward momentum from 1.0778 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday. Trades at the highest level in 6 months. A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 1.1105. Our medium term bias is bearish below 1.1014 towards 1.0700. There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited. We look to Sell at 1.1160 (stop at 1.1245) Our profit targets will be 1.0837 and 1.0700 Resistance: 1.1146 / 1.1160 / 1.1214 Support: 1.0837 / 1.0700 / 1.0675 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
Big Capitulation Pattern and Bull Trap Would Make Sense Now.We now have a lot of match up in how the BTC and SPX moves have formed with both of them showing properties of what could be a choppy wave 4. This would predict we see a period of panic selling (likely driven by news) and then we enter into the ABC correction. Now ... by the book, if a bigger bear move is happening the high should now be in. If there's to be a big bull trap it'll be an ABC to the 76 retracement and then there'll be a sharp second down leg - surpassing the first. By the way things actually are, we have to be wary of the butterfly bull trap. This would look and act identical to a 76 reversal up to a certain point and then it would make a hyper parabolic spike - which would briefly trade at new highs before setting up a big rug-pull event. I explained in a previous post 70K was a critical make or break area. Upon further swing development I still think that's broadly correct but a false breakout could go as far as 65K. If we get a sharp period of capitulation here I'll be very careful with my shorts. Trailing stops aggressively. And likely be very bullish around 65K. So long as I can get reasonable stop entries (breaking of this area could mean an out and out waterfall - would not be a fun knife catch if you tried to hold it). I kinda have a feeling the worst for the BTC drop might be directly ahead of us, but that is also likely the low for the foreseeable future. Contingent on there being the sharp drop (ideally with news to explain it) and me seeing things I like in the 65K zone I can see me being extremely bullish on this in the coming month.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by holeyprofit
4
BTCUSDT: Signs of discounts are still noticeableBINANCE:BTCUSDT breaking below the support of the local rising wedge on the basis of a downtrend (falling wedge) has been formed. And now there is no reason for Bitcoin to move higher or to be honest: "Just focus on selling because the risk of buying at this moment is high due to the newly announced reciprocal tariffs by President Trump, highlighting the increasing risk of Bitcoin in relation to macroeconomic uncertainties. I think we will drop much lower than 76,000 USD, as you may know from my previous analysis." If you find this information useful, please leave a like and follow Gary for the latest updates!
Short
by Garygoldtrader
AUDUSD buy ideaRegarding the recent tariff imposed by the US President, this currency pair has been negatively impacted and is expected to continue its downward trend. The price is likely to find support at either the 4-hour demand zone or the daily Order Block, which is located just below. To capitalize on this potential trading opportunity, consider placing a buy stop limit order instead of a limit order. I anticipate the price to stabilize at one of these two key zones. Important Disclaimer This is not financial advice. If you choose to take this trade, please apply proper risk and money management.
Long
by phoenixwicks9
3100 callback to go long3100 is a key support level, which always maintains strong support. From the hourly level, gold has risen strongly, with a big positive line rising from the ground, and a clear lower shadow at the bottom, indicating that the bulls are strong below and the moving average has begun to turn upward. There is a big non-agricultural data. The recent economic data has performed poorly, and this big non-agricultural data is likely to be bullish for gold. The sharp drop in gold is to better impact the high level. I hope everyone can understand this truth. The 3100 level is still valid at present. Today, the bullish thinking continues, and the decline is more! Gold: more above 3100.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AveryAusten
XAUUSD Today's strategyYesterday, as soon as the gold market opened, it rose strongly, and the price soared rapidly, once again hitting a new high of $3,167. After that, the market entered a volatile downward channel. During the noon period, there was even a sharp decline, dropping to $3,054 at one point, with a daily decline of 3.7%. However, the market trend was highly dramatic. Subsequently, the price rebounded and rose rapidly, and it maintained a consolidation trend near $3,110 at the end of the trading session. In this rapidly fluctuating market, both bulls and bears are trying to find the best entry opportunity. But the market changes are too crazy and rapid, and investors are often ruthlessly harvested by the market time and time again before they even have a chance to react. Today, based on a comprehensive analysis of both technical and fundamental aspects, the key support level of $3,100 remains valid. We continue to maintain a bullish view and expect that there is still room for the gold price to rise, and it is likely to continue the upward trend. XAU/USD buy@3100-3110 tp:3130-3140-3150 SL:3085 We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day If you want stable income, you can contact me
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke
GOLD short-term intraday analysisThe central bank's continued gold purchases, rising risk aversion and relatively low real interest rates will continue to attract funds into the precious metals market. Gold prices fell on a new profit-taking as traders chose to cash out before the release of the crucial US NFP employment data. Given the increased risk of recession, the NFP data will help provide more clues to the Fed's interest rate outlook. The volatility of gold is really getting bigger day by day, with a single-day fluctuation of several hundred US dollars. The decline is always faster and more fierce than the rise. After breaking the 3100 dividing line, it accelerated downward. Yesterday's lowest was 3054. The key position below is 3033/3054. Note that you can also participate in long positions at key support positions under the plunge, but you must be patient and wait for the position. The gold 1-hour moving average still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market did not allow the gold 1-hour moving average to enter a dead cross pattern. Although gold bulls rebounded strongly, it was also stimulated by risk aversion news. However, gold continued to fall after rising, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3078! Now that gold has fallen below the support near 3100 again, the gold bears are still more dominant in this tug-of-war. Today is the NFP data day. Overall, the impact of the NFP data is expected to be eclipsed. More importantly, the stimulus of risk aversion news. Key points: First support: 3085, second support: 3078, third support: 3054 First resistance: 3120, second resistance: 3135, third resistance: 3167 Operation ideas: Buy: 3078-3082, SL: 3068, TP: 3100-3110; Sell: 3132-3135, SL: 3144, TP: 3110-3100;
TVC:GOLDShort
by Jun-GoldAnalyst
USD/CAD H4 | Overhead pressures remainUSD/CAD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 1.4159 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 1.4243 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance. Take profit is at 1.4024 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
BTC sign of weakness & more drop coming BTC Struggles to Break Trendline Resistance: Signs of Weakness on 1D Timeframe Bitcoin is currently facing strong resistance on the daily (1D) timeframe, struggling to break above the trendline. This indicates potential weakness, with BTC showing signs of a downside move towards the $70K–$75K range. While we cannot pinpoint an exact support level, this zone serves as a potential drop area. Additionally, a sharp wick could extend lower, possibly touching $69K or even FWB:67K , as liquidity is swept from below before a potential recovery. On the bullish side, a bullish RSI divergence is forming, which suggests that sooner or later, BTC could experience a strong upward move. This could lead to a significant rally in the market. Given the current market structure, it’s a good time to position yourself in high-quality utility projects rather than meme coins. Focusing on fundamentally strong assets can lead to massive gains in the next bullish phase. Stay strategic, manage your risk, and be prepared for future opportunities.
Short
by Traderscorpion