GOLD short-term intraday analysisThe central bank's continued gold purchases, rising risk aversion and relatively low real interest rates will continue to attract funds into the precious metals market. Gold prices fell on a new profit-taking as traders chose to cash out before the release of the crucial US NFP employment data. Given the increased risk of recession, the NFP data will help provide more clues to the Fed's interest rate outlook.
The volatility of gold is really getting bigger day by day, with a single-day fluctuation of several hundred US dollars. The decline is always faster and more fierce than the rise. After breaking the 3100 dividing line, it accelerated downward. Yesterday's lowest was 3054. The key position below is 3033/3054. Note that you can also participate in long positions at key support positions under the plunge, but you must be patient and wait for the position.
The gold 1-hour moving average still shows signs of turning downward, but the rise of gold in the US market did not allow the gold 1-hour moving average to enter a dead cross pattern. Although gold bulls rebounded strongly, it was also stimulated by risk aversion news. However, gold continued to fall after rising, and gold began to return to volatility. In the short term, gold is supported near 3078!
Now that gold has fallen below the support near 3100 again, the gold bears are still more dominant in this tug-of-war. Today is the NFP data day. Overall, the impact of the NFP data is expected to be eclipsed. More importantly, the stimulus of risk aversion news.
Key points:
First support: 3085, second support: 3078, third support: 3054
First resistance: 3120, second resistance: 3135, third resistance: 3167
Operation ideas:
Buy: 3078-3082, SL: 3068, TP: 3100-3110;
Sell: 3132-3135, SL: 3144, TP: 3110-3100;
Trend Analysis
BTCUSDThis chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on a 1-hour timeframe, with several key levels identified and a potential bullish continuation setup. Here's a breakdown of the chart and its components:
Key Observations:
1. Price Channel:
- The price is currently moving within an ascending channel between 82,579.97 (lower boundary) and 85,576.69 (upper boundary). The price has been respecting these boundaries, making higher highs and higher lows. The channel indicates a bullish trend, and if the price continues within this structure, it could aim for the upper boundary near 85,576.69.
2. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- There is an FVG (Fair Value Gap) identified between 83,200 and 83,626.01. FVG represents a price imbalance where the market may return to fill the gap. The gap is likely to act as support on any retracement, providing a potential buying opportunity before the price continues upward.
3. Support Level:
- The support level is around 82,579.97, which is the lower boundary of the ascending channel. If the price retraces to this level, it may find support and bounce back upward, respecting the channel's structure.
4. Order Block:- The order block is a significant level identified at 87,075.05. This level is likely to act as resistance, and if the price approaches it, there could be selling pressure, which may result in a price pullback or rejection.
5. Target:
- The target for this setup is set at 85,200, which is within the FVG area. The price is expected to continue its bullish move towards this level, potentially filling the FVG gap and testing the upper boundary of the channel. This target is based on the current bullish trend and the price's movement within the ascending channel.
6. Volume:
- The volume bars show increasing activity as the price rises, which indicates strong buying interest. However, as the price reaches near the upper boundary of the channel, the volume decreases, suggesting that the buying pressure is weakening. If the price tests the FVG gap, it could act as a reversal point before another leg higher.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bullish Continuation:
GOLDThe chart displays Gold (XAU/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe, showcasing a possible reversal and price target. Here’s a detailed analysis of the chart:
Key Observations:
1. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- The FVG zone is highlighted between 3,130.68 and 3,138.94. This represents a price imbalance that typically acts as a resistance zone. The price has recently tested the upper part of this gap around 3,138.94, showing rejection, indicating that the market may not sustain the upward movement.
2. Order Block:
- An order block is identified at the higher level, around 3,163.99. This area is likely a strong resistance where market participants may have placed selling orders. Price rejection here could push the market downward, as suggested by the current price action.
3. Price Action:
- The price has recently formed an ascending triangle pattern, suggesting bullish continuation. However, it has now reached the FVG zone, where it faced rejection, and the price is now showing signs of moving downward.
- After testing the FVG, the price appears to be in a retracement phase. The pullback could eventually target 3,100 if the price fills the FVG gap.
4. Target:- The target is set at 3,100, just below the FVG zone. This level represents a potential support zone, where the price might stabilize before deciding whether to continue down further or reverse to test higher levels again.
5. Volume:
- The volume bars suggest relatively strong buying in the early part of the trend. However, there is declining volume as the price reaches the FVG zone, indicating that the buying pressure is weakening. This suggests a higher likelihood of a pullback towards the target of 3,100.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bearish Retracement:
- After reaching the FVG zone around 3,138.94, the price might face resistance and reverse down toward the target of 3,100. If the price breaks below this target level, further downside movement is possible toward the next support levels.
2. Support at 3,100:
- If the price reaches 3,100 and shows signs of reversal (such as a bullish candlestick pattern or an increase in volume), it could find support at this level, leading to a potential recovery toward the FVG zone again. A successful break above the FVG would suggest further upside toward the order block.
3. Break Below Support:
UXLINK ANALYSIS (8H)From the point where we placed the green arrow on the chart, an expanding triangle began, and the pattern completed at the point where we placed the red arrow.
Now, the price seems to be in a correction, which appears to be either a Diametric or Symmetric pattern. Currently, it looks like we are in wave D of this structure.
We expect a drop from the red box. Demand 1 is a temporary rebuy zone, while Demand 2 is a suitable area for a set-and-forget approach with good gains.
Let's see what happens!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Woah This One is InterestingI couldn't seem to find a single trend or pattern in this until I scaled back my time frame and zoomed out.
There is a massive volume profile gap that I labeled in my green lines that I believe price is now targeting long term.
One single tiny piece of news will make this thing sky rocket.
Watch for a nothing burger or spike down to grab liquidity one final time. With time, this will rocket.
WILL APPLE (AAPL) BREAK SUPPORT ON 1 HOUR CHART? CRASH INCOMING?The California based AAPL is down nearly -18% since March. It appears to be approaching some key support trend lines. Will the support prices hold for this tech giant? Are Trump Tariff's fueling a sell off?
Disclaimer: Not financial advice.
XAG/USD...4h pairMY analysis presents a solid trade plan for XAGUSD based on technical indicators. A few additional considerations:
1️⃣ For the short setup:
A break below 33.85 aligns with momentum weakening, but watch for fakeouts, especially if volume is low.
The 32.00 target is ambitious, so partial profits around 33.00 could be wise.
2️⃣ For the long setup:
If price rebounds from 34.60, confirmation with bullish candlesticks or an RSI divergence could strengthen the trade.
Watch for resistance near 34.80–35.00 before fully committing.
Would you like to add risk management tips or additional confluences?
GBPJPY INTRADAY support retest at 191.70The GBP/JPY pair is in an overall uptrend, though currently experiencing a short-term pullback.
• Key Support: 191.70 – A bounce from this level could push prices higher.
• Upside Targets: 194.00, 195.50, and 195.70 if the bullish trend continues.
• Bearish Scenario: A break below 191.70 could lead to further declines toward 190.90, 190.00, and 189.00.
Conclusion: The trend remains bullish unless GBP/JPY drops below 191.70, which would signal further downside risk.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SILVERThis chart shows Silver (XAG/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe with important levels and technical patterns marked. Here's a breakdown and analysis of the chart:
Key Observations:
1. Price Structure:
- The price of Silver has been moving in an ascending channel (marked by the blue trendlines), indicating a bullish trend over the period shown on the chart. The price makes higher highs and higher lows in a structured fashion.
- Recently, the price reached the upper boundary of the channel and reversed, signaling a potential price correction.
2. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- The FVG (Fair Value Gap) is marked twice in the chart (at 32.40 - 32.50 and 33.10 - 33.40). An FVG represents an area where the market experienced a sharp price movement, leaving an imbalance. Price tends to return to fill these gaps, so the market could retrace to fill the FVG zones before continuing in either direction.
- The FVG gap around 33.10 - 33.40 is particularly important as it has already seen a retest and can potentially act as resistance now.
3. Order Block:- An order block is identified around the 33.40 - 33.60 range, suggesting this is a key resistance zone. If the price approaches this level again, it could face selling pressure, which may result in further downside if the market fails to break above it.
4. Support Level:
- The support level is indicated around 32.00 (just above the FVG gap), which could act as a strong floor for the price. If the price retraces lower, this zone is likely to act as a buying opportunity, providing strong support before any further upward movement.
5. Recent Drop:
- The price has recently made a sharp bearish move from the upper boundary of the channel, signaling a correction from the recent high of 33.40. The market is likely testing the support level at 32.00 or the FVG zones.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bearish Continuation:
- The price has recently broken below the FVG zone around 33.00 and is headed toward the support zone around 32.00. If 32.00 holds as support, we could see a reversal from this level. However, if the price continues lower and breaks through this level, it could target further downside levels, possibly reaching the next FVG gap around 31.50.
2. Bullish Reversal from Support:
Gold Analysis StrategyTechnical analysis of gold: Gold surged and then fell in the early trading, with the highest price rising to 3167. However, the price subsequently fell and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116 at the lowest. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term trend will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we will see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data tomorrow, Friday. However, one point worth noting is that the 4-hour MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. In addition, the high and fall of gold today, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. So far, there has been a sharp decline, and the impact of the news is more of a roller coaster up and down wide fluctuation. The daily and monthly lines are currently under pressure on the upper track, and bulls should be careful.
The 4H cycle failed to open upward. As a rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support below is still the long-short watershed of 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and gradually look up near 3116. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs. Pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above. On the whole, today's short-term operation strategy for gold is to mainly short on rebounds and supplemented by long on pullbacks. The short-term focus on the upper side is 3148-3150 resistance, and the short-term focus on the lower side is 3100-3110 support.
Short order strategy:
Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3148-3150, short sell (buy short) in batches, 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, break to 3115
Long order strategy:
Strategy 2: When gold falls back to around 3115-3118, buy long positions in batches (buy up) of 20% of the position, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, break the position and look at 3150
NASDAQ Trade Plan: From 4-Hour Trend to 15-Minute Execution!NAS100 Strategy: Using Fibonacci and Market Structure for Precision!
📊 In this NASDAQ (NAS100) trade idea, I focus on a top-down approach starting with the 4-hour chart. If the 4-hour trend is bullish, I look for higher highs and higher lows. If bearish, I focus on lower highs and lower lows. 🔄 My key strategy is identifying pullbacks into equilibrium—around the 50% Fibonacci retracement level—within any price swing. This is my point of interest.
Once price moves into this area, I shift to the 15-minute chart to refine my entry. 🔍 Here, I wait for a break of structure during the pullback, aligning with the overall trend direction. This approach allows for precise execution while staying in sync with the larger trend. 🚀
⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage your risk.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 04/04/2025Gap down opening expected in nifty near 23200 level. After opening if nifty starts trading below this level then possible strong downside upto 23000 level in opening session. Currently consolidated movements in nifty. If nifty sustain above 23250 level then possible upside movement upto 23450 level. For today's session 23450 level will act as a strong resistance for index.
Gold Intraday Trading Plan 4/4/2025Gold was quite mad yesterday. After touched a new ATH of 3167, it quickly dropped more than 1k pips to 3155 and went back another 800pips to 3135. Finally it closed the day above 3110.
While in smaller timeframes it showed bearish signals, in 12hrly TF, it is above EMA and daily support of 3105. I will be cautious about trading today as it is NFP today.
In short, I will trade breakout today. If 3137 is broken, i will buy towards 3175. If 3105 is broken, I will sell towards 3137.
EURCAD A Fall Expected! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURCAD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.5572
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.5508
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Logarithmic channelsThe price has reached a support area at the bottom of the long-term logarithmic channel. If this area will not hold the price I see a possible spike to 5330 level which is 1.618 retracement of March 13 bottom - March 25 top. The price did the same retracement in October 2023. Pay attention that we have 1d positive divergence forming on RSI. We are bottoming, a crash is unlikely right now. The reversal will most likely happen this week.