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Trend Analysis

Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!! Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Long
by CobraVanguard
Be cautious when bullish on gold at high levels, as it may fall!In the long run, although there may be a short-term correction, fundamental factors still support gold. Global inflation concerns, monetary policy shifts in major economies, and geopolitical uncertainties will continue to provide upward momentum for gold prices, but we need to be wary of the risk of shock adjustments after a rapid rise in prices. Personal operation analysis: Lightly short selling idea around 3135, stop loss at 3043, take profit around 3100----3095, and trailing stop loss of 300 points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TimConrad
1
Has the gold tariff peaked?The 4H cycle failed to open upward. According to the general rule, there is a certain probability of a downward kill. The watershed below is still 3100. Only if it falls below this position can it gradually turn to short. At the same time, the current volatility is very large, and any fluctuation starts at ten points. It is recommended to reduce the position to trade; the current long structure of gold has not changed. The key support watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and enter the market near 3116 to gradually look up. Focus on the strength of the European session. If the European session rebounds and does not break the high, then short the US session at highs, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3148-50 area above. Today's gold short-term operation ideas suggest that rebounding should be the main focus, and callbacks should be supplemented by longs. The upper short-term focus is on the first-line resistance of 3148-3150, and the lower short-term focus is on the 3100-3110 first-line support. Short order strategy Strategy 1: Short 20% of the gold position in batches when it rebounds to around 3148-3150, stop loss 6 points, target around 3135-3125, and look at 3115 if it breaks; Long order strategy Strategy 2: Long 20% ​​of the gold position in batches when it pulls back to around 3115-3118, stop loss 6 points, target around 3130-3140, and look at 3150 if it breaks;
PYTH:XAUUSDShort
by UptonCharlotte
BTC - Rejection from Fair Value Gap (FVG) Incoming?This 4-hour BTC/USDT chart highlights a key resistance zone where Bitcoin is approaching a Fair Value Gap (FVG) near the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level. Key Observations: 🔹 FVG Resistance: Price is nearing an area of unfilled liquidity, a common reversal zone. 🔹 Potential Rejection: A move into the FVG could trigger sell orders, leading to a downturn. 🔹 Bearish Outlook: If resistance holds, BTC may resume its downward movement, possibly targeting lower support levels. Will Bitcoin push through or face rejection? Let me know your thoughts! 🚀📉
by wdstrades
5
NCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long PositionNCC - NCC LTD (2 hours chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea. Risk assessment: High {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 4.9 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 212.70 Entry limit range ~ 212.50 to 209.50 (Avg. - 211) on April 02, 2025 at 12:53 PM. 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 223 (+5.69%; +12 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 233 (+10.43%; +22 points) Stop order limit ~ 206.5 (-2.13%; -4.5 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:NCCLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
EUR/USD: Ready for another Fall? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining the EUR/USD chart on the 3-day timeframe, we can see that the price has moved exactly as expected since our last analysis. After reaching the supply zone between 1.083 and 1.093, the pair began a correction and is currently trading around 1.079. Keep in mind, only if the price stabilizes below the 1.080 level can we expect further downside from this pair. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
8
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the Markets today, with our analysis playing out perfectly completing our 1h chart idea. After completing 3090, 3103 and 3117, we stated that the lock above opened 3128 and just fell short and we were looking to buy dips to complete this target. This played out perfectly hitting this target and completing the chart idea. We will update a new 1h chart idea later this week and in the mean time, please refer to our multi time frame chart ideas (weekly), that we shared Sunday, which are still in play. BULLISH TARGET 3090 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3090 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3103 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3103 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3117 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 3117 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 3128 - DONE As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
9
Gold bullish trend remains unchangedGold surged and then fell back, with the highest price rising to 3167, but then the price fell back and gave up all the gains, falling to 3116. The daily line just touched the 5-day moving average support. As long as the 5-day moving average support is not broken, the short-term will continue to rise strongly. According to this momentum, we can see 3200 points in the non-agricultural data. However, one point worth noting at present is that the hourly MACD indicator has a dead cross signal. Coupled with the surge and fall of gold, the K-line has formed a combination of Yin and Yang, suggesting that the risk of high-level selling pressure is increasing. Once it falls below the key position of 3100 below, the market will be completely controlled by the bears. The current bullish structure of gold has not changed. The key support for the long-short watershed below is still 3100. Above 3100, the strong bullish idea remains unchanged. Short-term operations rely on 3100 for defense, and pay attention to the resistance of the 3140-45 area above.
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by GladysEmily
Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide (Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results) Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset. --- Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average! Example: - Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators. - Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators. If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this. --- The Pivot Point Method for Calibration One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step: Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings. How to Add ZigZag on TradingView : 1. Open your chart. 2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it. 3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters). The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys). --- Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle. Example : - If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars. - If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars. In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots. Formula for Indicator Settings : - RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days. - MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8 --- Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators Backtest on TradingView : 1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings. 2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve. Look For : - Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early). - Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves). --- Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules) 1. RSI (Relative Strength Index) - Default : 14 days. - Calibrated : Half the average cycle length. - Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days. Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto). 2. MACD - Default : 12, 26, 9. - Calibrated : - Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle. - Slow EMA = ½ of cycle. - Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle. - Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3. Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts. 3. Williams %R - Default : 14 days. - Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle). --- How to Avoid Common Mistakes Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past) - Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future. - Fix : Test on 2 types of data: 1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate). 2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works). Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes - Problem : What works today might not work next month. - Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes). --- Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed) 1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested). 2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators Try pre-built adaptive indicators like: - Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility. - Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels. --- Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method : 1. Add ZigZag to your chart. 2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings. 3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD. Example : - Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12. - Calibrated RSI = 6 days. --- Why This Works (Without the Math) Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings. The Science Behind It When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm: - Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time - Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster - Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately --- A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration For even better results, calibrate across timeframes: 1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading 2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading 3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation --- Final Tips for Beginners 1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first. 2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations. 3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets. 4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it. Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by TradeVizion
BTC/USD: More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that the price is currently trading around $83,000. This week alone, BTC has dropped by 6%, showing signs of bearish momentum. A correction toward the $70,000 zone seems likely in the near future. Key supply zones are located at $93,400 and $99,700, while key demand zones are at $80,800 and $73,700. This analysis will be updated accordingly. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
4
EUR/JPY: Bullish Continuation SetupDisclaimer: This is not professional financial advice; it is purely my personal opinion. Please consult a qualified financial expert before making any trading decisions. In my analysis of EUR/JPY, the market appears to be maintaining a bullish trend on the four-hour timeframe. The recent price action suggests that the upward momentum is still intact, and I believe the market is showing potential for continued long positions, unless price action indicates otherwise. Starting on the four-hour chart, I observed that the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, indicating that buyers are still in control. Moving down to the one-hour timeframe, we can see the formation of key supply and demand zones that could present opportunities for traders to enter long positions at favourable prices. This setup appears to be well-suited for traders looking to capitalize on the bullish trend, especially if the market retests demand zones for a potential entry.
Long
by clever_jeph
Gold is under dark clouds, waiting for opportunitiesThe 1-hour moving average of gold has begun to turn downward, and gold bulls have suffered heavy losses. After gold rebounds and repairs, we can only continue to short. The support below the range of gold 1 hour ago was 3110, and now it has fallen below. Then gold 3110 has formed an effective suppression in the short term. Trading idea: short gold near 3110, sl: 3120, tp: 3090 The above is purely a sharing of personal views and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Fortune-signal
US100 - Weekend Gap Filled, What’s Next?The US100 1-hour chart shows that the weekend gap has been completely filled, and price is now approaching a critical Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. This level could act as a strong resistance or a point of continuation for the current bullish momentum. Here are two possible scenarios: ✅ Scenario 1: If price consolidates above the FVG and finds support, we could see a continuation towards the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, pushing towards 19,800+. ❌ Scenario 2: A rejection at the FVG zone could signal a bearish reversal, leading to a move back down towards 19,200 or even lower. Which scenario do you think will play out? Let’s discuss! 🚀📉
CAPITALCOM:US100
by Louigi_24
21
Closing all my orders with Profit / time for correctionAs discussed throughout my yesterday's session commentary: "My position: My Medium-term Buying orders (#3 Buying orders from / engaged at #3,052.80 benchmark breakout) each #3.5 Volume are currently on excellent Profit as I will look to close them as near as #3,152.80 benchmark. On the other hand, I am successfully Buying every dip lately and my last order was yesterday's session #3,110.80 Buy which was closed in Profit. Keep Buying every dip as I advised many times on my recent remarks." I have closed all of my Medium-term Buying orders (#3,052.80 - #3,133.80) on excellent Profit as I re-Sold Gold throughout yesterday's session (#3,124.80 - #3,009.80). Technical analysis: The Price-action was once again seen Trading below the #3,152.80 benchmark extended decline where Sellers should finally prevailed and dragg the Price-action more than #57 points downwards (as was announced on one of my remarks lately that Gold always prints #57 point decline once the local High’s rejects the sequence and delivers the eminent rebound). Gold is dangerously approaching again the Higher High’s trendline of the Daily chart’s wide Ascending Channel, way above the #MA50 (aswell on Daily chart, representing in the same manner the Long-term Support zone) in Overbought waters, however every pullback on Gold is accumulation zone for new Bullish cycle. My position: Even though I am Buying Gold aggressively, I do expect pullback to be delivered due Overbought instruments and #3,100.80 benchmark test possibility.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
Crude oil's Strong Return: Exclusive Trading Strategy and LayoutOverall, yesterday's market can be considered as a one-sided upward trend within the day. Both crude oil and gold gave a wonderful performance on the upward path yesterday. Gold reached a record high yesterday, and crude oil didn't show any weakness either, breaking through the $71 mark in one go. Traders who followed John's advice yesterday are believed to have reaped good profits. The data released by the US Energy Information Administration yesterday showed a decrease in production, which further pushed crude oil above $71 and to the current high of $71.8. Every time crude oil is at a crucial juncture and needs to choose a direction, there will be bullish news in the market to support it. This is caused by the excessive instability resulting from the current turbulent international situation, and Trump's fickle policies also lead to the dual nature of the market that makes it prone to fluctuations. Crude oil reached around $71.8 at its highest point yesterday, and the trend and price levels basically met the expectations. Judging from the current trend of crude oil, there are signs of a continued rebound. The resistance levels above are $72.5, $73.3 and $74 respectively, while the support levels below are $70.9, $70.4 and $69.9 respectively. USOIL buy@70-70.5 tp:72-73 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
TVC:USOILLong
by JohnGonzalez7
ETH - Relief bounce on the 1-hour?Ethereum (ETH) is showing signs of potential exhaustion on the 1-hour timeframe, hinting at a possible relief bounce. Despite forming smaller lower lows and lower highs, which indicate a short-term downtrend, the reduced volatility and diminishing selling pressure suggest that bears may be losing momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as relief bounces in a downtrend can be short-lived. Confirmation from increased volume and a shift in market structure would strengthen the case for a more sustained recovery. At this moment ETH is still in a clear downtrend. With a possible relief bounce it is an option to look for shorts at resistance areas to trade ETH back down. If ETH breaks it's current low it could get ugly with 1500 as a possible level. On the daily timeframe is ETH at his supportlevel from the initial, drop a couple weeks ago. So with ETH on the daily support and on the 1-hour indicating for a possible short relief bounce we have to trade accordingly with risk management if you are opening shorts at this stage. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment!
Long
by Youriverse
52
Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Shares Drop Over 7%Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Shares Drop Over 7% As the chart shows, Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) shares declined by approximately 7.6%, reaching their lowest level since late February. This marked one of the worst performances in the stock market yesterday. Why Did JNJ Shares Fall? Two major bearish factors contributed to the decline: A Texas judge rejected Johnson & Johnson's third attempt to settle lawsuits related to allegations that its baby powder and other talc-based products harmed consumers. On Tuesday, Johnson & Johnson announced that its upcoming acquisition of Intra-Cellular Therapies is expected to dilute adjusted earnings per share by approximately $0.25 for the full year 2025. Investors appear to have reacted negatively to this outlook, despite the company’s expectation that the deal will generate around $700 million in additional sales. Technical Analysis of JNJ Stock Chart Price movements in 2025 have formed an ascending channel (marked in blue), with indicators highlighting how: → The channel’s boundaries have acted as support and resistance levels. → The channel’s median line has served as a “magnet” for price action, reflecting the balance between supply and demand. As JNJ's share price approaches the lower boundary (circled), just above the psychological support level at $150—previously a key level in February—traders have reasons to anticipate that the decline may slow down or even lead to a significant rebound from this support area. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NYSE:JNJ
by FXOpen
Aussie H4 | Overlap resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci projectionThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6324 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss is at 0.6370 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension, 100% projection and a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6264 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
XAUUSD Today's strategyAt present, Trump has announced that the United States will impose a comprehensive 10% tariff on all goods. This tariff policy will lead to an escalation of global trade tensions and an increase in economic uncertainties. Investors' concerns about risky assets have intensified, and they will flock to safe-haven assets such as gold, thus driving up the price of gold. The increase in tariffs will cause the prices of imported goods to rise, which in turn will trigger inflation expectations. Under the inflation expectations, as a store-of-value asset, the value of gold will be enhanced, and its price will rise correspondingly. These impacts are merely based on an analysis of general situations. In reality, the market conditions will also be influenced by a combination of various factors, such as the countermeasures taken by different countries, other macroeconomic factors, market expectations, and so on. Therefore, the price trends are likely to be more complex and changeable. XAUUSD Today's strategy buy@3115-3125 tp:3140-3150-3160 We share various trading signals every day with over 90% accuracy Fans who follow us can get high rewards every day If you want stable income, you can contact me
OANDA:XAUUSD
by HenryClarke
#AUDCAD: Using 1-Day Time Frame For Intraday Entry! We have been closely monitoring the AUDCAD currency pair for an extended period and believe that selling AUDCAD at the current market conditions presents a more favourable opportunity with a sufficient number of sellers. However, we must acknowledge that we need to wait for the price to approach our entry zone, which will allow us to execute a sell entry with strict risk management. This analysis has identified a single target. We extend our best wishes for your success and encourage you to provide support by liking and commenting on the idea. Team Setupsfx_
Short
by Setupsfx_
8