RIOT / 3hNASDAQ:RIOT has exceeded 12.12, which I'd considered as a validating line at the extreme high of that leading diagonal in my prior analysis. Hence, the leading diagonal as the entire wave (1) is not valid now.
Wave Analysis >> According to this adjusted wave count, wave 1 and 2, i(circled) and ii(circled) all are over, and advance in wave iii(circled) of Minor degree impulsive wave 3 is underway.
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
Trend Analysis
Fartcoin Swing Long – 7R Setup in PlayI’m entering a Fartcoin swing long on a golden pocket pullback during a bullish structure continuation, with confluence from EMAs, fibs, and demand volume. The setup is based on the daily chart for trend structure and 1-hour chart for entry timing.
My stop is placed below structural invalidation, and I have two profit targets: one conservative (TP1) and one trend-continuation (TP2).
Entry at $1.15 – Inside the golden pocket (0.618–0.65 fib), where bullish pullbacks often reverse. Confluence with reclaim of daily 50 EMA.
Stop-loss at $1.08 – Below structure and golden pocket. If broken, the setup is invalid and trend may shift.
TP1 at $1.36 – 0.786 fib level and previous local high. Strong resistance and logical partial profit zone. Locks in 3R.
TP2 at $1.64 – Full fib retrace and swing high. If trend continues, this is where momentum likely tops out short term. Gives 7R.
DISCLAIMER: I am not providing trading signals or financial advice. The information shared here is solely for my own documentation and to demonstrate my trading journey. By openly sharing my process, I aim to put pressure on myself to stay focused and continually improve as a trader. If you choose to act on any of this information, you do so at your own risk, and I will not be held responsible for any outcomes. Please conduct your own research and make informed decisions.
7/3: Focus on Short Positions, Watch Support Near 3320Good morning, everyone!
Yesterday, gold tested support near 3328 but failed to break below it effectively. The price then rebounded toward the 3350 level. At today’s open, gold briefly extended to around 3365 before pulling back.
Technically:
On the daily (1D) chart, the price remains capped by the MA20, with no confirmed breakout yet.
Support levels below are relatively dense, and moving averages are increasingly converging, suggesting a breakout in either direction is approaching.
Key intraday support lies in the 3321–3316 zone.
On the 2-hour chart, we are seeing the first signs of a bearish divergence, indicating a need for technical correction. Much like Tuesday’s setup, there are two possible scenarios:
If 3342–3334 holds, the price may extend slightly higher, intensifying divergence before pulling back;
If 3337 breaks, we could see a drop toward 3320, where correction would occur through a direct decline.
From a fundamental perspective, several high-impact U.S. data releases are scheduled for the New York session, which may increase volatility and make trading more challenging.
Trading suggestion:
For most traders, the safest approach is to wait for data to be released, then look for oversold rebounds or overbought corrections following sharp market reactions.
This style requires patience and strong risk control—avoid being overly aggressive or greedy, as such behavior can easily lead to trapped positions or even liquidation.
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆
Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline.
If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold.
Key Factors to Watch:
✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up
✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance
✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60)
⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers
⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control
Trading Insight:
This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties.
Trade Safely...
#MJTrading
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
USD/CHF 4H – Pullback Into Supply Zone for Potential Reversal
🧠 USD/CHF 4H – Pullback Into Supply Zone for Potential Reversal
USD/CHF has been trading within a well-defined bearish structure over the past few weeks. Price action continues to respect lower highs and lower lows, with multiple short-term supports (SS) consistently being broken — confirming sustained selling pressure.
🔍 Market Structure & Smart Money Perspective
* A clear Break of Structure (BOS) early in the chart shifted market sentiment to bearish.
* Since then, the market has formed several short-term support levels, each broken successively.
* This confirms that bears are in control, and any rallies are likely corrective rather than a trend reversal — unless a new BOS to the upside forms.
🧱 Supply Zone Analysis
* The marked supply zone around 0.83100 – 0.84000 is the last institutional distribution zone before the significant drop.
* Price is currently retracing aggressively into this premium zone, following a likely liquidity sweep of the previous lows.
* This reaction is typical of smart money behavior — sweeping liquidity before initiating a retracement to mitigate orders or fill imbalances.
📈 Current Price Action
* The large bullish impulse may seem like a shift in momentum, but without a confirmed break of major structure, this is viewed as a pullback into premium pricing.
* We anticipate that price will react to the supply zone, presenting a high-probability shorting opportunity.
📌 Trade Idea
* Bias: Bearish (pending confirmation from supply)
* Entry Zone: 0.83100 – 0.84000
* Stop Loss: Above 0.84000 (to cover potential liquidity spikes)
* Take Profit: 0.78738 (prior demand zone)
* Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:4+
🧠 Confirmation Triggers to Watch For:
* Bearish engulfing candlesticks within supply
* Internal BOS on lower timeframe (LTF)
* Fair Value Gap (FVG) formation and reaction
* Weak bullish momentum/tap-and-reject from zone
📌Conclusion
This setup aligns with the Smart Money Concept framework. As long as price remains below the supply zone, my bias remains short. I’ll wait for lower timeframe confirmation before executing the trade.
⚠️ Always manage risk — this is a zone of interest, not an automatic sell. Let price show its hand.
GOLD BULLS We saw gold impose a strong bullish strength since the open of this new week, and even at the beginning of the new month (JULY).
Based on this analysis, this bullish momentum has structured in a bullish trend channel which has been shown, we still have more top liquidity to mitigate as we have made a bearish retracement for a continued bullish rally to 3360's, 3380's and 3400's.
Further updates would be given as the market gains momentum
GBPUSD politics and the upcoming NFPFX_IDC:GBPUSD trading was influenced by politics in UK. The pair recovered half of the losses, but the downside risk still remains. NFP could be a trigger. Let's dig in.
MARKETSCOM:GBPUSD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
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Palladium Shows Strength — A Bullish OpportunityPalladium is beginning to show strong bullish momentum. I believe this is a good opportunity for those who haven’t entered yet.
A stop-loss can be placed at $1120, or better yet at $1090 — giving the trade a bit more room to move.
Target: $1250.
On a broader scale, platinum and palladium are trading at parity, so we could potentially see a breakout toward the $1400–1450 level.
I’m watching closely for the upcoming resolution and expect a strong rally in the asset.
BTC/USD Heist Mode: Buy Low, Escape Rich🔓 BTC/USD Crypto Vault Breach: Thief Strategy for Long Entry Robbery (Swing/Day Setup) 🔓
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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🚨 Welcome to our next Thief Trading-style breakout mission — this time targeting the mighty BTC/USD vault. Using a fusion of technical precision and macro-level insight, we're charting a long entry blueprint for a profitable heist.
🔑 Entry Plan
"The vault is open!" 💥
Buy at current price or set Buy Limit near swing lows (15–30min timeframe pullback entries). We're timing the entry with stealth—precision over panic.
🛑 Stop Loss Setup
SL set near recent swing low (4H TF reference: ~104.000).
Adjust based on position sizing, risk appetite & multi-order tactics.
🎯 Take Profit Target
Targeting 115.000—or exit earlier if price action stalls. Get in, get out. Efficiency is the code.
👀 Scalpers' Notice
Only work the Long side. If your bag’s heavy, strike instantly. If light, ride with swing robbers. Use trailing SLs to protect your bag.
📈 Why We’re Bullish
Market momentum favors the bulls:
Overbought zones acting as lures
Bearish traps ready to flip
Key confluences from sentiment, COT, on-chain & macro analysis
➡️ Full supporting breakdown available 👉👉🔗🔗.
📢 Risk Note – Stay Sharp
Major news events = increased volatility ⚠️
Avoid entries during news. Trail stops to protect running profit. Rob smart.
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If this blueprint aligns with your mission, hit that Boost button. It fuels the team, and together, we profit like pros. One heist at a time. 💪🎉
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XRPUSDT UPDATE
Pattern: Falling Wedge Breakout
Current Price: \$2.2983
Target Price: \$2.60
Target % Gain: 20.23%
Technical Analysis: XRP has broken out of a falling wedge on the 12H chart with strong bullish candles and a volume surge, indicating momentum. The measured move targets a 20% gain from the breakout zone.
Time Frame: 12H
LONG ON USD/JPYUSD/JPY has given us a CHOC (change of character) from down to up.
It has engineered sell side liquidity right above a demand zone.
I expect price to sweep sell side liquidity, tap into the demand zone then take off to the upside.
looking to catch 150-250 pips on UJ. (Economic News could set this trade on Fire!)
BTC Setup: 2.7 R:R"Bitcoin Poised for New Uptrend After Bull Flag Breakout Retest"
Bitcoin appears ready to begin a new uptrend after successfully retesting the breakout from a bull flag pattern and completing consolidation above key support.
This setup offers a 2.7:1 risk-to-reward ratio, with the following trade parameters:
Entry: $109,965.79
Stop Loss: $106,300
Target: $120,000
Gold Market Eyes 3380s After 3350s mitigated Gold market currently priced in the 3350s, with the daily candle formation suggesting an intent to mitigate the previous day's open. This setup may trigger a full bullish sentiment, potentially driving price action toward the 3380s. follow for more Insights , comment and boost idea
USDJPY Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for USDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 143.869.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 144.699 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDUSD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 0.657.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.654 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
NZD/USD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 0.607
Target Level: 0.592
Stop Loss: 0.617
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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