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Gold (XAUUSD) – Trap, TP1 Hit, and Reaction Play | Case Study 5🔙 Recap Part 2–3: A Head & Shoulders on lower TF acted as a bullish trap, followed by a rally → TP1 at $3,701 achieved. Part 4: Daily chart formed an Evening Star at resistance, hinting at slowing momentum. Yesterday’s reaction (Part 5): Price pulled back into support, retested $3,630–$3,615, and bounced. This shows how market structure continues to respect our zones and case study flow. 📊 Market Context Timeframe: 30M → Daily link Key Observation: $3,701 TP1 achieved ✅ $3,630 tested as support ✅ Evening Star still active on Daily ❗ The market is ranging between $3,630 (support) and $3,702 (resistance) — preparing for the next decisive move. 🧭 Scenarios (with Probabilities) 🟢 Scene 1 – Bullish Push (55%) If $3,630 continues to hold → upside targets: $3,674 → $3,701 → $3,735 → $3,765. 🔴 Scene 2 – Bearish Breakdown (45%) A daily close below $3,615 could trigger a correction toward: $3,604 → $3,579 → $3,540. 📚 Lessons Reinforced Traps are part of smart money behavior – The H&S breakdown lured shorts before reversing. Partial booking is protection – TP1 capture gave us profit before volatility returned. Higher TF candles matter – The Evening Star is still a caution flag until invalidated by a daily close above $3,702. 🎯 Trading Guidance Stay neutral in the $3,630–$3,702 box until a clear breakout. For buyers → protect with stops under $3,615. For sellers → wait for daily confirmation below $3,615 to avoid false breaks. ✅ Conclusion The case study continues to unfold: Trap → Rally → TP1 Hit → Pullback Reaction. Now, Gold is at the decision box ($3,630–$3,702). The next daily close will reveal whether we extend toward $3,765 or slip into deeper correction. 🔖 Tags #XAUUSD #Gold #TradingCaseStudy #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MultiTimeframeAnalysis #Tradyoga #Yogeshonale
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by Tradyoga
BTC crossing DEATH CROSS (SMA200)You can't say I didn't tell you so. BTC and Nasdaq are highly correlated and the market is just wayyy too hot. All the FOMO in the world won't help now. Overnight we saw a big dip in the Japanese market and the cracks are starting to show. Next will the long term yields spiking as risk goes up and investors want to be compensated for long term risk. Strategy is using VIX, MSTZ, BTCZ as relatively cheap "insurance." The volatility is great, but many don't know how to enter and exit. The technicals here show weakness at the top, and going from a historical / fundamental perspective we are bound for a nice / deep pullback. When short term rates are cut, and the market bumps up long term rates it is big FU and we all know what happens next. Could be wrong, but worse case you bought into cheap insurance with a massive high reward / risk ratio! Best of luck out there....!
Short
by antonini2002
CRWV (CoreWeave) – Technical Outlook & Options Play📊 CRWV (CoreWeave) – Technical Outlook & Options Play CRWV is showing signs of strength after breaking out of a descending channel. Volume spikes confirm accumulation, and price is approaching equilibrium levels. Support Zone: $110–$120 Immediate Resistance: $140–$150 supply zone Breakout Target: $160+ (Fibonacci extension & institutional models align) Forecast Models: Institutional-grade forecast → Target $161.61 (+27.6%) within 15 days WaverVanir DSS model → $176.98 (15D) / $278.66 (30D) if momentum sustains 📌 Options Position: I bought CRWV $150 Calls exp. 10/3 at $1.90. Breakeven: $151.90. Risk capped at premium. ⚠️ Watchouts: Must clear $140–$150 zone with volume. IV crush risk into expiration. 💡 Thesis: If CRWV reclaims $150+ on momentum, this can run toward $160–$175 short-term. Longer horizon models even suggest $250–$275 if momentum compounds. 🔗 #CRWV #OptionsTrading #AI #TechStocks #TradingView #Breakout
NASDAQ:CRWVLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
BTCUSD uptrend continuationThe BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective sideways consolidation within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 112,630 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 112,630 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 118,840 – initial resistance 120,930 – psychological and structural level 122,260 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 112,630 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 110,940 – minor support 109,430 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 112,630. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation
XAU/USD – Eyes on Liquidity Zones & Fed CuesGold is trading around $3,655, and we’re approaching a key decision zone. Here's how I'm currently mapping out the price action: 🔍 Technical Outlook Key Resistance Zones: $3,661.77 – $3,664.86 (major supply zone) $3,668.15 – $3,668.44 (liquidity sweep potential) Support Zones to Watch: $3,649.64 – $3,646.45 (intermediate demand) $3,646.45 – $3,643.51 (major liquidity pool & potential long trigger) 📉 Bearish Scenario: A rejection from the $3,660s could offer a nice shorting opportunity into the lower liquidity zones. I'm watching for a reaction near the $3,654 - $3,651 area for confirmation. A break below may accelerate the move to $3,646s and lower. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and sustains above $3,664, we could see a clean sweep toward the $3,668s, where further liquidity sits. A potential long setup could emerge on a retracement back to the $3,657 zone. 🌐 Fundamental Drivers 💬 FOMC in Focus: Traders are closely eyeing any dovish shifts from the Fed after recent CPI data came in softer than expected. 🏛️ Rate Cut Speculation: With inflation showing signs of cooling, market participants are starting to price in a possible cut by December, which could support Gold's bullish case. 📉 Bond Yields & Dollar Weakness: A continued pullback in yields and DXY would provide tailwinds for Gold. 📌 My Plan: Waiting for confirmation near the marked zones (especially the $3,651 or $3,657 regions). Let price come to you – liquidity tells the story! 💬 What’s your bias on Gold? Drop your analysis below! 🔔 Don’t forget to like & follow for more real-time setups! Greetings, MrYounity
VANTAGE:XAUUSD
by MrYounity
The best trade is the one where you can’t lose anymore.ALAB is up +122%. 🚀 Most traders would still be asking: Do I hold? Do I sell? But here’s the beauty of risk management: once a position doubles, you don’t have to play that game anymore. I pull out my original capital. What’s left running is pure profit. Risk = zero. Upside = unlimited. From this moment forward, the market is paying me to hold. Even if ALAB crashes to zero tomorrow, I’ve already won. This is how you transform trades from stressful bets into risk-free holds. Not by predicting the future… but by structuring the trade so the downside disappears. That’s how you play this game for the long run. What would you do? 👉 Hold 100% indefinitely? 👉 Bank 100% and walk away? Drop your choice in the comments — I want to see how you think. 👉 Follow for more setups & insights into trading with precision, not prediction.
NASDAQ:ALABLong
by nexxtrade
1
XRP 4hr chartMonthly timeframe Pink Weekly = Grey Daily = Red 4hr = Orange 1hr = Yellow 15min = Blue 5min = Green 4 candles, 6 Levels, & MarketMeta A Range = 2 or more candles in the same direction, either Accumulation ranges, Distribution ranges or Single candles which are ranges on lower timeframes. the 4 candles are: 2 from the Distribution Range - BackSide (BS) which is the first distribution candle in the range. It has an expectation to have a strong influence on price when price is above it. If price is below the BS level, price enters the distribution range and the BackSide level acts as resistance to keep price down in a distribution trend. The FrontSide candle (FS) is the last distribution candle is the range. the bottom side wick is the swingLow level and distribution range boundary. A FrontSide candle has an expectation to create an accumulation trend and keep price above the swingLow. The other 2 candles are in the accumulation range and the exact opposite of the BS & FS level so they are labeled Inverse BackSide (Inv.BS) & Inverse FrontSide (Inv.FS)
COINBASE:XRPUSD
by StudyGuideTA
EUR/USD 4H Trade Setup🔎 Bias Mid-term bullish continuation after corrective pullback into demand. 📊 Technical Breakdown Weekly/Daily: Structure remains bullish after breaking out of consolidation. 4H : Clear impulsive leg (i-ii-iii) with current correction into the 71% fib retracement. Demand zone: 1.1730 – 1.1770 aligns with BOS retest + liquidity sweep. Confluence : Trendline support + untested 4H demand. 🎯 Entry / Exit Entry zone : 1.1740 – 1.1770 demand Targets: TP1: 1.1860 TP2: 1.1960 TP3 (extended): 1.2050+ (wave (v) projection) Invalidation : Below 1.1685 ⚖️ Risk Management Risk only 1–2% per trade. Stop loss tucked under 1.1685 demand break. 📌 Outlook Expecting a corrective dip into demand before continuation higher. If demand holds → strong bullish wave (v) towards 1.20+. Bias: Pullback → Mid-term bullish 🚀
Long
by jamesibartram
Gold Elliott Wave Update: Waiting for a Perfect BUY at 361xContinuing with yesterday’s gold plan, the market is still in a corrective phase and is likely to move down toward the 361x area. This level acts as an important support zone and also aligns with the Elliott Wave corrective structure, making it a potential area to watch for buying opportunities. At this stage, traders should remain patient and avoid rushing into early entries before clear signals are confirmed. Once the price approaches the 361x zone, it will be crucial to monitor reversal patterns, candlestick confirmations, or strong technical signals such as RSI divergence, a bullish MACD crossover, or smaller wave structures indicating the beginning of a new uptrend. If these signals appear, this will present an excellent opportunity to enter BUY positions in line with the larger bullish outlook. The main objective of this plan is to capture the next upward wave of gold once the correction has been completed. However, it is important to emphasize that this is only a personal viewpoint. Proper risk management and position sizing should always be the top priority to protect capital and ensure sustainable trading results.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by ew_17i