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Trend Analysis

BTCUSD – Potential CHOCH Before Bullish Continuation |SMCAThe Bitcoin market continues to maintain a strong uptrend structure. Previously, price formed a Double Top, followed by a Change of Character (CHOCH) that led to the creation of a new Higher High — confirming bullish strength. Currently, the market has printed another Double Top, suggesting the potential for another CHOCH or short-term retracement. A move toward the Bullish Order Block (BU-OB) could provide a point of interest before the next leg higher and continuation of the overall bullish trend. 💬 Share your thoughts below — what do you think the next move will be? 👍 Don’t forget to like and follow for more structured Smart Money Concept analyses.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by ZACKFX7
1
Will XRP Form a Death Cross or Repeat July 2025 Rally?At the time of writing, XRP trades at $2.55, holding slightly above the crucial $2.54 support level. The altcoin needs renewed bullish activity to break through resistance at $2.64, which would confirm upward momentum. If the Death Cross materializes, XRP could face a short-term correction, possibly dropping toward $2.35 or lower. Such a decline might trigger short-lived selling as traders react to the technical setup. Conversely, if investor maturity continues to grow, XRP could replicate its July 2025 breakout. A successful push above $2.64 could propel the token toward $2.75 and potentially $2.85. This would invalidate the bearish outlook and reigniting bullish sentiment
by BeInCrypto
USD/JPY Extends Rally Toward Key Fibonacci Resistance at 154.78USD/JPY has extended its upward momentum, breaking decisively above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (151.59) and now approaching the 0.786 retracement zone (154.78), a level that previously acted as resistance. The broader structure remains supported by an ascending trendline that has guided price higher since April, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The 50-day SMA (149.32) and 200-day SMA (147.76) both slope upward, reflecting strengthening medium- and long-term trends. Price has consistently held above these averages since early October, confirming underlying trend support. The MACD line remains above the signal line, reinforcing bullish momentum, while the RSI (67) approaches but has not yet entered overbought territory—suggesting the rally may still have room to extend before conditions become stretched. Overall, USD/JPY continues to trade in a constructive formation, with momentum indicators and trend structure supporting the ongoing advance toward higher resistance zones. – MW
by FOREX.com
GBP/USD Tests 200-Day SMA Support Near 1.3140 Fibonacci ZoneGBP/USD has declined sharply, reaching the confluence area of the 200-day SMA (1.3245) and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level (1.3143), a region that has historically acted as support. Price is currently holding just above this level, with intraday momentum showing signs of stabilization after several consecutive bearish sessions. The 50-day SMA (1.3441) remains positioned above price, reflecting continued medium-term downward pressure. A sustained break below the 1.3140 area could expose the next Fibonacci levels near 1.2940 (50%) and 1.2745 (61.8%), while a bounce from here would highlight the importance of this technical support zone. On the momentum side, the MACD histogram remains in negative territory, suggesting persistent bearish momentum, while the RSI (37) sits near oversold conditions, implying that sellers may be losing strength in the short term. Overall, GBP/USD is testing a key technical juncture where long-term moving averages and Fibonacci support converge—price action over the next few sessions will likely determine whether this zone holds or gives way to deeper weakness. – MW
by FOREX.com
US Dollar Index Tests Range Resistance as Momentum Firm Post-FedThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continues to trade within a well-defined horizontal range, bounded by resistance near 100.30 and support around 96.42. Price is currently hovering near the upper half of this range, suggesting renewed bullish momentum in the short term. The 50-day SMA (98.17) is trending upward and recently acted as dynamic support, while the 200-day SMA (100.53) remains above price, serving as a longer-term resistance barrier. A sustained move above the 100.30 zone would be required to shift the broader structure toward a more constructive outlook. The MACD shows a mild bullish crossover above the signal line, indicating strengthening momentum, while the RSI (61) remains in neutral-to-bullish territory — suggesting there is room for further upside before overbought conditions emerge. Overall, the index remains range-bound but shows short-term bullish undertones as it approaches key resistance. Traders may watch for price action confirmation near the upper boundary to gauge the next directional move. – MW
TVC:DXY
by FOREX.com
EURGBP awaits ECB rate decisionThe EURGBP remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a breakout within the broader uptrend. Support Zone: 0.8746 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level. A bullish rebound from 0.8746 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at: 0.8824 – initial resistance 0.8850 – psychological and structural level 0.8870 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.8746 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward: 0.8717 – minor support 0.8687 – stronger support and potential demand zone Outlook: Bullish bias remains intact while the EURGBP holds above 0.8746 A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by Trade Nation
Bitcoin Holds Strong, Eyes on $114K!Bitcoin has recently witnessed a strong wave of support driven by rising institutional inflows, alongside relative stability in the performance of digital asset ETFs in the United States. This momentum reflects growing confidence among major investors in Bitcoin as a long-term asset, especially amid expectations of a slowdown in the correction phase and an extension of the current bullish cycle toward new highs in the coming months. Bitcoin continues to trade in a general uptrend, forming higher highs consecutively. It may maintain this bullish direction, particularly after the easing of trade tensions between the world’s two largest economies , the U.S. and China. These factors could boost investors’ risk appetite, potentially leading to further Bitcoin buying activity. If the price holds above $106,658.05, the overall trend remains bullish with a first target at $114,092.52. However, a break and four-hour candle close below $106,658.05 would signal a potential shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
CFI:BTCUSD
by CFI
ETH: Ethereum Foundation Launch Sparks 5% Rebound ETH: Ethereum Foundation Launch Sparks 5% Rebound Amid Institutional Buzz – SWOT, Price Action, and Intrinsic Value Insights 📊 Introduction As of October 30, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is navigating post-Fed volatility with a mild rebound trend, climbing 1% intraday to around $3,939 after dipping to $3,854 earlier, on volume exceeding $40B. This price movement follows the Ethereum Foundation's launch of a new institutional adoption portal, amid viral social media buzz (#EthereumInstitutional trending with over 800K mentions) highlighting DeFi growth and staking opportunities. Applying timeless investing principles to identify profitable setups, this reveals potential mispricings in the blockchain sector, influenced by macroeconomic factors like Fed's 25bps rate cut hints and $2T liquidity boosts, though sector dynamics reflect Ethereum's 67% DeFi dominance amid competition from L2s and regulatory shifts. 🔍 SWOT Analysis **Strengths 💪**: Ethereum's robust ecosystem, with over 1.6M daily transactions and average fees near $0.01 per filings and on-chain data, supports a secure network with 35.7M ETH staked (29% of supply). This has driven recent price rebounds from $3,800 lows, tying into strategies for capitalizing on network effects and scarcity for long-term returns. **Weaknesses ⚠️**: High long-term holder selling (3-month high in October) and energy consumption concerns contribute to 5-10% price pullbacks during sentiment shifts, emphasizing the need for safety in volatile assets. **Opportunities 🌟**: The Foundation's portal for tradfi onboarding, coupled with TVL at $85B+ and projected 30% growth in DeFi, positions for 15-20% price surges on adoption news, with valuation metrics like P/TVL ~8x offering re-rating asymmetries to generate compounding gains. **Threats 🚩**: Fed rate cut profit-taking and competition from Solana (faster TPS) risk 10-15% corrections, as seen in recent dips post-BTC dominance spikes, but proven principles help filter for profitable navigation. 💰 Intrinsic Value Calculation Employing a value investing approach to estimate intrinsic value, we adapt a discounted network model with a margin of safety as emphasized in classic methodologies, ensuring actionable, money-making insights. Key inputs from public data: TVL ~$100B (averaged from reports), circulating supply 120.7M ETH, staking yield ~3.5%, projected growth rate 40% (based on DeFi surges and institutional catalysts). Formula: Intrinsic Value per Token = (TVL per Token * Weight) + (Annualized Yield * Growth Multiplier) - TVL per Token = $100B / 120.7M ≈ $828.50 (weighted at 0.7 for core value) - Annualized Yield = 3.5% (weighted at 0.3, multiplied by 12x growth factor for ecosystem) Calculation: (828.50 * 0.7) + (0.035 * 12) = 579.95 + 0.42 = 580.37 Scaled to market comparables (e.g., BTC's P/TVL ~10 vs. ETH's current 8.5): Adjusted Intrinsic = 580.37 * 7 (blended for scalability) ≈ $4,062.59 Apply 20% margin of safety: $4,062.59 * 0.8 ≈ $3,250.07 At current price ~$3,939, ETH appears overvalued by ~18% (factoring limited upside to $4,063 fair value per adoption alignment). No debt flags, but sustainability depends on TVL growth outpacing holder sell-offs. 📉 Overvalued. 🚀 Entry Strategy Insights Rooted in time-tested disciplines for compounding wealth, identify support zones around $3,800-3,850 (near 200-day SMA) for unleveraged, long-term positions via dollar-cost averaging, entering on breakouts above $4,000 after 5-10% corrections from news events. Tie non-repainting momentum signals to viral launches like the Foundation portal for profitable timing amid volatility. ⚠️ Risk Management Position sizing at 1-5% allocation to preserve capital during crypto swings, diversifying across Layer-1s and stables. Watch for 15-25% volatility from Fed news; use trailing stops 10% below entry (e.g., $3,545) and hold long-term if fundamentals hold, ensuring sustainable profitability through principle-driven caution. 🔚 Conclusion Ethereum's institutional push, rebound dynamics, and overvalued metrics signal caution in the current rally, but principle-driven analysis highlights opportunities in dips for measured gains. Key takeaways: Prioritize network adoption for value, verify TVL trends independently. Share your thoughts in comments – does this Foundation launch change your view? #ValueInvesting #Ethereum #CryptoRally #DeFi #Blockchain This is educational content only; not financial advice. Always conduct your own due diligence.
BINANCE:ETHUSD
by DCAChampion
Gold on side Swings on Fed aftermathAs discussed throughout yesterday's session: 'My position: I am Buying Gold aggressively throughout yesterday's session all along especially when #3,952.80 benchmark got invalidated to the upside. Gap to the downside on Asian market opening delivered excellent chances to Buy more as I closed all orders with #4,000.80 Take Profit. Keep in mind that I might Sell #4,024.80 now (aggressive Scalp to the downside) only to Buy more. #4,052.80 benchmark and #4,100.80 extension are my Targets.' If you followed Trading plan I announced above, you would be in excellent Intra-day Profits. I have Sold Gold from #4,027.80 High's multiple times and re-Bought Gold from #4,004.80 especially delivering excellent results and altered all my Trading activity (no need to gamble on Fed Rate decision aftermath). My Profit is excellent and will sit out today's session as it will be full of side-Swings where I will continue comfortable Trading throughout tomorrow's session.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by goldenBear88
Today's Bitcoin Trading StrategyDerivatives: "Bearish Crowding + Basis Correction", squeezing risk accumulation The perpetual contract market exhibits "extreme imbalance" characteristics: the proportion of bearish positions is as high as 53.8%, far exceeding the average of the past 3 months (48.2%), and the leverage ratios of platforms such as Bybit and Deribit have risen to 6.2 times, approaching the liquidation threshold. At the same time, the futures basis (the difference between forward contracts and spot prices) has recovered from a discount of -0.3% to a premium of +0.1%, indicating that the market's pricing for a short-term rebound is beginning to heat up. Historical data shows that when the proportion of bearish positions exceeds 53% and the basis turns positive, the probability of a bearish squeeze within 72 hours is 81%, with an average rebound amplitude of 4.2%. Funding: "Stablecoin Accumulation + Panic Sentiment Bottoming Out", ample ammunition The market value of stablecoins has remained at a high level of $178 billion for three consecutive weeks, and the premium rates of USDT and USDC have risen from -0.2% to 0.1%, indicating that off-exchange funds are waiting for the entry opportunity. While the panic index (Crypto Fear & Greed Index) has dropped to the "panic" range of 32, when this indicator is below 35, the average return rate of Bitcoin in the following 14 days reaches 8.3%, and excessive pessimism in the sentiment can actually breed rebound momentum. Today's Bitcoin Trading Strategy buy：109000-110000 tp:112000-111000 sl:108000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Ryan_Lewis1
Starbucks (SBUX) — Fibonacci Targets Ahead $340 → $1600☕ Starbucks (SBUX) — Riding the Wave 3 Expansion to New Highs 🚀 Starbucks (SBUX) — Wave 3 Expansion in Progress ☕ | Fibonacci Targets $340+ Before Wave 4 Correction 🚀 “Smart Money Brewing — Wave 3 Still in Play!” ☕📈 ⚙️ Elliott Wave | 🧠 Smart Money Concept | 📊 Fundamentals | ⏳ Long-Term Cycle 🌍 Macro & Fundamental Outlook Starbucks continues to dominate the global coffee market with unmatched brand power, digital innovation, and steady margin recovery. While short-term volatility and inflation pressures exist, the company’s fundamentals remain strong — supported by global expansion , loyalty growth , and stable cash flows 🌱. This aligns perfectly with the ongoing Wave 3 impulsive phase of the long-term Elliott Wave structure — a stage often marked by powerful institutional momentum and broad investor participation. 🌀 Elliott Wave Context We’re currently in the macro Wave 3 of a multi-decade supercycle: Wave (1): 1993–2007 — the foundation and expansion era ☝️ Wave (2): 2008 crisis correction 💧 Wave (3): Began in 2009 and still in progress 🚀 🔹 Internal subwaves suggest SBUX is in the late stages of Wave 3 , targeting the 2.618 Fibonacci extension (~$340–$350) before a macro correction (Wave 4). 🔹 Once Wave 3 completes, a broad Wave 4 retracement could revisit liquidity zones around $70–$85 , before Wave 5 propels the next long-term bull cycle. 📈 Price Action & Smart Money Confluence Market Structure: Price is still forming higher highs and higher lows — confirming macro bullish continuation. Smart Money Accumulation: Institutions appear to be reloading within the $80–$90 demand block , anticipating the next internal breakout. Liquidity Targets: Above $110–$126 , a liquidity pocket and Fair Value Gap (FVG) remain open — a likely magnet for upcoming impulsive moves. Premium–Discount Range: Current price sits in a discount zone relative to the internal wave, favoring long entries for continuation setups. 📊 Fibonacci Levels & Targets Wave 3 Fibonacci Extensions: 1.618 → $210 2.0 → $270 2.618 → $340–$350 🟢 (Wave 3 target zone) Projected Wave 4 Retracement: 0.382 → $130 0.5 → $90 0.618 → $70 (macro re-entry zone) Wave 5 Supercycle Projection (2040–2045): 3.618 → $1,600–$1,700 💎 ⏱️ Timeframe Outlook Wave 3 Continuation: 2025–2029 Wave 4 Correction: 2029–2033 Wave 5 Expansion: 2033–2045 Wave 3 is historically the strongest and fastest phase in Elliott Wave structure — the “smart money phase” ⚡ 🔔 Key Highlights ✅ Still within the impulsive Wave 3 ✅ Institutional demand between $80–$90 ✅ Structural target: $126 → $210 → $340 ✅ Supercycle potential beyond $1,000 in Wave 5 ✅ Long-term accumulation opportunity now 📢 Summary Starbucks (SBUX) is in the heart of its macro Wave 3 expansion. Strong fundamentals, healthy market structure, and Smart Money positioning align with Elliott Wave and Fibonacci confluence for a powerful bullish continuation. As accumulation deepens around $80–$90, the next leg toward $300+ could unfold before the next major cycle shift. ☕🚀 #SBUX #Starbucks #ElliottWave #SmartMoneyConcepts #WaveTheory #LongTermInvesting #StockMarket #GrowthStocks #Fibonacci #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketCycles #Bullish
NASDAQ:SBUXLong
by fibcos
US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/30/2025 📍 US30 Technical Breakdown – 10/30/2025 US30 cooled off after a strong rally last week 🔥 Price printed a local high around 47,800, then started retracing as momentum slowed. The index is now testing the 47,500–47,400 support zone, sitting right around the EMAs — a crucial spot for bulls to defend 👀 📊 Market Behavior: 🔹 Higher highs and higher lows still intact (bullish structure) 🔹 EMAs starting to flatten → possible short-term pullback 🔹 Buyers defending 47.4K area so far 📌 Key Levels: 🔹 Resistance Zones: 47,790 → recent high / intraday resistance 48,000 → major breakout level 48,200 → continuation target 🔹 Support Zones: 47,400 → EMA & structure support 47,100 → previous breakout zone 46,520 → demand base 🧠 Bias: Bullish overall ⚡ ➡️ Above 47,800 → breakout continuation toward 48,200+ ⬅️ Below 47,400 → short-term correction back toward 47,100
FX:US30Long
by h4rVey
NAIL (Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X ETF) Long Asset: NAIL (Homebuilders 3x Leveraged ETF) Timeframe: 15-min Heikin Ashi Bias: Bullish reversal from accumulation zone Entry Zone: Current price around 75.10 Stop Loss: 69.90 Take Profit: 97.62 RRR (Risk/Reward): ~4.33 Target Gain: +29.99% Potential Drawdown: -6.92% Technical Breakdown Trend Shift: Downtrend broken with a clean reversal pattern; bullish momentum building. Demand Zone: Tested and respected around 66.6–72, indicating accumulation phase is complete. EMA Cross: Green MA crossing above red = early trend reversal confirmation. Supply Zone: Overhead resistance at 95–99 (watch for reaction or partial profit zone). Breakout Structure: Break of descending trendline + HL-HH structure = bullish confirmation. 💼 Trade Management Max Risk: 1–3% of total capital. SL clearly below demand zone = protected. Management Tip: Move SL to breakeven once price reclaims 83–85 range. Scaling: Add more above 85 on breakout continuation. Macro Tailwinds: Potential rate cut or housing stimulus news = bullish for homebuilders. Leverage Note: NAIL is 3x leveraged, so volatility is magnified – use tight sizing. “Buy when there’s blood in the streets, even if it’s your own.” – Baron Rothschild ⚠️ Disclaimer: Leveraged ETFs are high-risk, high-reward. Execute with a proper trading plan and risk control. #NAIL #Homebuilders #LeveragedETF #TrendReversal #DemandZone #BreakoutTrade #HighRR #TechnicalSetup #SmartMoney
AMEX:NAILLong
by DubaiTradersHub
2
AUDJPY Overextended: Watching for a Corrective Pullback 📈 Taking a closer look at AUD/JPY, we can see that price is in a strong bullish trend, but currently overextended and trading into a major external range high — an area rich in liquidity 🏦. The market appears to be absorbing buy-side liquidity, signaling that a corrective phase may be approaching. From a structural standpoint, I’m monitoring two overlapping concepts — a potential Three-Drive pattern 🌀 and a Five-Wave structure that may lead into an ABC correction. Both suggest that price could be preparing for a deeper retracement before the next bullish leg resumes. At this stage, I’m not interested in buying at a premium 💸. Instead, I’ll wait for price to pull back, ideally into a discount zone, and then look for bullish structure confirmation to rejoin the trend. Patience here is key — let the market come to you. 🧘‍♂️ 💬 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade responsibly and manage risk effectively.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
TON/USDT — Defense Zone at 2.20–1.92: Reversal or Breakdown?TON is now standing at a critical inflection point — the 2.20–1.92 zone (yellow block). This area isn’t just another support level — it’s the make-or-break zone that will decide whether TON will rebound for a macro reversal or collapse into a deeper downtrend. After a sharp fall from the 8.28 high, price has reached its historical demand base, showing a strong wick rejection below support — a classic sign of liquidity sweep or stop-hunt, often marking the final shakeout before larger players begin accumulating. However, without a clear structure break and volume confirmation, the risk of a fake bounce remains high. --- Structure & Pattern Analysis 1. Macro trend remains bearish, with a series of lower highs and lower lows since the 2024 peak. 2. The 2.20–1.92 zone represents a major accumulation range, also aligning with the previous breakout base from early 2023. 3. The deep wick indicates a potential spring phase in a Wyckoff Accumulation pattern, where weak hands are flushed out. 4. A confirmed close above 2.65 would mark a structural shift — signaling a possible start of a new bullish leg. 5. On the other hand, a close below 1.92 would validate a macro breakdown, opening room for a prolonged bearish continuation. --- Bullish Scenario (Potential Reversal) Confirmation: A 4D candle close above 2.65, supported by increasing volume. Technical narrative: After a long liquidation event, price tends to form a V-shaped rebound or base breakout once smart money steps back in. 🎯 Upside Targets: Target 1 → 3.55 (local distribution zone) Target 2 → 4.60 (key structural pivot) Target 3 → 6.84 – 8.09 (major supply zone & prior 2024 top) 💡 If momentum builds, this could evolve into a multi-month recovery rally, similar to the early bull phase of 2024. --- Bearish Scenario (Continuation Risk) Confirmation: A 4D close below 1.92 confirms breakdown of the macro support. Technical narrative: Once this zone fails, buyer exhaustion could drive price toward 1.50–1.20, the next historical liquidity pool. 🎯 Downside Targets: Short-term support → 1.80 Extended range → 1.50 – 1.20 A proper reversal would then require a new long accumulation base forming at lower levels. --- Technical Summary TON is currently hovering within its largest accumulation zone in over a year. This yellow block (2.20–1.92) will determine the next major trend: Hold and reclaim 2.65 → bullish reversal confirmed. Fail and close below 1.92 → macro breakdown confirmed. At this stage, TON offers a high-risk, high-reward setup for swing traders — ideal for those waiting for clear structural confirmation before entry. #TON #TONUSDT #CryptoAnalysis #TONCoin #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #BreakoutSetup #SupportAndResistance #Wyckoff #MarketStructure #AccumulationPhase #CryptoUpdate #PriceAction
Long
by CryptoNuclear
DeGRAM | GBPUSD keeps a descending structure📊 Technical Analysis ● GBP/USD remains confined within a descending channel, facing continuous rejections from dynamic resistance near 1.3360. ● The price structure shows lower highs and lower lows, pointing to sustained bearish momentum targeting the next key support at 1.3165. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● The pound weakens amid softer UK macro data and BoE officials’ cautious tone, while stronger US economic performance supports the dollar. ✨ Summary ● Short bias below 1.3360; target zone 1.3165. Technical downtrend and macro divergence reinforce the medium-term bearish outlook. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1