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Trend Analysis

EURUSD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.177. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.172 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
DeGRAM | EURUSD downturn in the channel📊 Technical Analysis ● Price is capped by a confluence of the June-July down-sloping channel roof and the former median resistance line at 1.1780; the last three candles form lower highs inside a micro bear-flag. ● Intraday structure now leans on the 1.1745–1.1750 support cluster: a break beneath this shelf completes the flag and exposes the channel floor/June pivot at 1.1690. 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Pre-NFP dollar demand is rebuilding as ADP and ISM-services beat consensus, while French election uncertainty revives euro risk premium. ✨ Summary Sell 1.1775 ± 5 pips; sustained trade below 1.1745 targets 1.1690. Short thesis void if 30-min candle closes above 1.1800. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1
USDJPY Converges in Triangle Ahead of Potential BreakoutUSDJPY on the daily chart is coiling within a textbook contracting triangle, with support ascending near 143.00 and resistance compressing downward toward 147.00. This symmetrical structure suggests traders are awaiting a decisive catalyst, as volatility has steadily declined alongside rangebound price action. Recent sessions show USDJPY respecting both its triangle boundaries and key moving averages. The 50- and 100-day SMAs near 145.00 have capped advances, while buyers have consistently defended dips toward 143.00. Price remains inside the triangle’s narrowing apex, hinting that a breakout could be imminent. Technically, the pair has followed recent divergences between price action and the stochastic oscillator. RSI remains neutral near 49, offering little directional bias, while ATR confirms the tightening range with sharply falling volatility. If bulls manage to push past 147.00 and the descending trendline, momentum could accelerate toward 149.00. Conversely, a daily close below 143.00 would invalidate triangle support and open the path toward 141.00. Until then, USDJPY may continue oscillating between these boundaries. Fundamentals now favor the dollar, after stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data showed 147,000 new positions added in June, beating forecasts. While private hiring slowed, the drop in unemployment to 4.1% supports a cautious Fed, likely delaying a rate cut until at least September. This labor resilience underpins near-term dollar strength. With sentiment and structure aligning, USDJPY’s breakout from this triangle pattern may shape its next major move. Traders should watch for price and volatility confirmation above 147.00 or below 143.00.
TVC:JXY
by Jacques1000
1
EURJPY BUY TRADE PLAN### 🔥 Pair + Date **EURJPY – July 4, 2025** --- ### 📋 Plan Overview Table | Type | Direction | Confidence | R\:R | Status | | ---------------- | --------- | ---------- | ----- | ------------- | | Momentum Retrace | Long | 78% | 2.8:1 | Active Watch | | Value Limit Play | Long | 83% | 3.5:1 | Pending Setup | --- ### 📈 Market Bias & Type * **Market Bias:** Bullish continuation on macro + structural trend (despite short-term pullback). * **Type:** Continuation with retrace entry --- ### 🔰 Confidence Level * **Overall Confidence:** 78% Momentum Retrace, 83% Deep Value * **Breakdown:** * Macro alignment: +7 sentiment * Structure: Valid higher high / higher low formation * Confirmation: Pending at retrace zone --- ### 📍 Entry Zones * **Primary (Momentum Retrace):** 169.55 – 169.70 zone (structural retrace zone to broken high / support flip) * **Secondary (Value Limit Play):** 169.10 – 169.30 (deep value at prior breakout cluster + H4 origin block) --- ### ❗ SL with Reasoning * **Momentum Retrace SL:** 169.20 (below key low + liquidity sweep risk zone) * **Value Limit SL:** 168.80 (below value zone + invalidation of bullish structure) --- ### 🎯 TP1/TP2/TP3 Targets * **TP1:** 170.60 (recent swing high) * **TP2:** 171.20 (expansion target) * **TP3:** 172.00 (macro extension projection) --- ### 🧠 Management Strategy * Scale out at TP1 (50%) * Move to breakeven on rest after TP1 hit * Trail above H1 swing lows post TP2 --- ### ⚠️ Confirmation Checklist ✅ Bullish candle on H1 / M30 at entry ✅ Session: London / NY overlap preferred ✅ Volume spike or wick rejection on retrace --- ### ⏳ Validity * **Momentum Retrace:** H1 plan valid 12-16 hours * **Deep Value:** H4 plan valid 48 hours+ --- ### ❌ Invalidation Conditions * Clean break + close below 168.80 on H4 * Risk sentiment flips risk-off sharply (JPY safe haven flows surge) --- ### 🌐 Fundamental & Sentiment Snapshot * Macro bias: Bullish EURJPY continuation (ECB hawkish tilt + BOJ still ultra-loose policy) * Recent data: Post-NFP risk sentiment neutral-positive, no fresh JPY strength triggers * Sentiment: +7 (supports trend continuation) --- ### 📋 Final Trade Summary 👉 EURJPY bullish continuation play. Primary focus on momentum retrace entry \~169.55–169.70 with deep value as secondary optional zone. SLs tailored per entry zone, R\:R targets healthy. --- ⚠ **Reminder:** This is *not* investment advice. Forex trading carries substantial risk. Use with licensed institutions only.
Long
by jibkhan111
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers." Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session. Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle. My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by goldenBear88
Excellent NFP sessionAs discussed throughout yesterday's session commentary: "My position: Gold is Trading within #3,350's belt which represents crossroads for the Short-term. Either #3,362.80 - #3,368.80 break-out to the upside towards #3,377.80 strong Resistance, or #3,342.80 - #3,352.80 break-out to the downside towards #3,327.80 Support. Current Price-action is ideal for Scalping since I don't expect major movement until tomorrow's NFP numbers." Firstly I have re-Sold Gold almost all Wednesday's Asian session from #3,360's (Wednesday - Thursday) closing my orders on #3,352.80 then re-Bought Gold with set of aggressive Scalping orders from #3,345.80 towards #3,352.80. As NFP numbers were delivered, I have waited for decline to find a Support and Bought Gold aggressively from #3,312.80 and closed on #3,320.80. Later on, #3,332.80 Sold again (#4 aggressive Scalps) and closed on #3,327.80 and with mentioned order finalized excellent NFP session. Technical analysis: The Short-term Price-action is Trading within #3,327.80 - #3,352.80 belt as I can easily spot idle movements on Hourly 4 chart with #3,327.80 Support bounces but regardless, Gold is Trading within my predicted values. Spot though on the Hourly 4 chart how Technicals are showcasing different / mixed values, and Gold is isolated within Neutral Rectangle with detectable Higher Low’s Upper and Lower zone. This is what I described on my commentary as an Bearish Divergence (BD) and is usually a first alert that the trend might be pointing to even stronger takedown. See how the very same divergence has Traded since November - April. On the November #12 Low, the Price-action started rising on an Ascending Channel but only once the structure formed a new Low. Then again after mentioned Low’s, Gold started rising until the next Bullish Divergence (which means, after local Low's tested, Gold engaged parabolic uptrend). I am monitoring closely #MA50 on Daily chart which is pointer for new #1 - #3 Month cycle. My position: I will take no new orders as I am Highly satisfied with my returns / also it is holiday in U.S. as I do not expect major moves throughout the session (only ranging candles with Low Volume). Enjoy the Profits and have a great weekend!
TVC:GOLDShort
by goldenBear88
GBPJPY H1 I Bullish RiseBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling toward our buy entry at 196.80, which is a pullback support that aligns closely with the 50% Fib retracement. Our take profit will be at 198.09, an overlap resistance level. The stop loss will be placed at 195.39, a swing low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by Tradu
July 9, the next key date for the S&P 5001) Caution: the S&P 500 is now in short-term technical overbought territory and may enter a retracement (without jeopardizing the underlying uptrend) Over the past two weeks, the S&P 500 future contract has technically broken above its all-time high of 6,150 points, thereby validating a signal that the underlying uptrend is continuing. The market has risen for several consecutive sessions without pausing, and is now overbought in the short term. From a purely technical point of view, the market is therefore exposed to a reversal, and a test of its former all-time high is a possible scenario for deflating short-term overboughtness and waiting for dynamic support. The chart below shows the monthly, weekly and daily Japanese candlesticks for the S&P 500 future contract. You can see that there is still potential on the long-term timeframes, but the short-term framework (daily timeframe) is overbought in terms of momentum (momentum being represented here by the RSI technical indicator). The market will need to be able to hold the 6000/6150 technical support in order to preserve the uptrend in place since the beginning of April. 2) The US labor market remains resilient according to the latest NFP report, which is good news for the macro-economic situation, but postpones the FED rate cut The US job market has just delivered an unexpected signal: the unemployment rate has fallen to 4.1% of the working population, after several months of stability around 4.2%. Although this drop may seem modest, it comes at a time when the Federal Reserve (Fed) is closely monitoring the labor market for signs of a more pronounced slowdown in economic activity. This drop in unemployment suggests that, despite the monetary tightening of the past two years, the US economy remains resilient. It is now unlikely that the FED will resume cutting the federal funds rate on Wednesday July 30. 3) BEWARE of the Wednesday July 9 deadline for trade agreements between the USA and its trading partners US President Donald Trump has confirmed that the USA plans to send a series of official notifications to several trading partners from this Friday July 4, setting unilateral tariffs that will take effect from August 1. A dozen letters will be sent initially, followed by further mailings over the next few days. This marks a new stage in his strategy of pressuring foreign countries to conclude agreements before the deadline he had announced for Wednesday July 9. At this stage, it seems unlikely that the Wednesday July 9 deadline will be extended. So it's important to bear in mind that the trend at the very beginning of next week will be directly influenced by the news coming in on the trade war/diplomacy. The S&P 500 index will react very directly to this information. We need trade agreements with China, India, the European Union and Japan if we are not to jeopardize the S&P 500's fundamental uptrend. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. 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CME_MINI:ES1!
by Swissquote
EUR/JPY: Bullish Setup on 170.00 Breakout & Dovish BoJWe've identified a compelling, high-conviction long trade setup on EUR/JPY, perfect for a limit order right now. This trade leverages a powerful combination of fundamental divergence and a confirmed technical breakout, setting the stage for quick execution and potential profit! 🎯💰 Fundamental Rationale: 🌍📊 Japanese Yen (JPY) Weakness: The JPY is under significant bearish pressure. 📉 The Bank of Japan's (BoJ) persistently dovish monetary policy, keeping interest rates at historic lows, creates a wide interest rate differential. This fuels "carry trades," where investors borrow low-yielding JPY to invest in higher-yielding currencies like the Euro, increasing JPY supply. Recent weak economic data, including a decline in Tokyo CPI, reinforces expectations that the BoJ will not hike rates in 2025. Additionally, a global "risk-on" sentiment diminishes the JPY's safe-haven appeal, leading to capital outflow and sustained Yen depreciation. 🐻‍📉 Euro (EUR) Stability: While the Euro isn't showing explosive bullish momentum, its relative stability provides a crucial counter-balance to the weakening Yen. 🇪🇺 The European Central Bank (ECB) is inclined to maintain its current policy, and recent Eurozone inflation data hasn't significantly altered expectations for further rate cuts in H2 2025. This steady footing, paired with the pronounced JPY weakness, creates a compelling bullish case for EUR/JPY. The Euro's role is to be a stable anchor against a fundamentally weak JPY, allowing the cross to climb. ⚖️ Technical Setup: 📊✨ Decisive Breakout Confirmed: EUR/JPY has achieved a powerful and decisive breakout above the critical psychological resistance of 170.00 and its previous yearly high of 169.75. This is a monumental technical event! Such a sustained move above key long-term barriers signals strong underlying buying pressure and confirms a "new trigger for the bulls," indicating a high probability of continued uptrend. 🚀⬆️ High-Probability Entry Strategy: Our entry strategy is designed for a quick and successful fill. Following the confirmed breakout, we anticipate a classic "breakout and retest" phenomenon, where price pulls back to retest the former resistance (now new support). By placing a limit order slightly below the current market price, at 170.10, we aim to catch this anticipated pullback, securing an optimal entry with a tighter risk profile. 🔄🎯 Clear Resistance Target: Our single Take Profit target is strategically set at 170.90, just below the next significant resistance: the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 170.93. This level, derived from a previous long-term decline, represents a key area where price might encounter resistance. Targeting slightly below it increases the probability of the TP being hit before any potential reversal. 🎯✅ Trade Parameters: 📋✨ Currency Pair: EUR/JPY 💶🇯🇵 Direction: Long (Buy) ⬆️ Entry (Limit Order): 170.10 Take Profit (TP): 170.90 Stop Loss (SL): 169.60 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1.6:1 (A favorable ratio for a high-probability setup!) ✅
Long
by MaxellAguiran
GBP/USD Bearish Trend Analysis GBP/USD Bearish Trend Analysis The GBP/USD pair is currently exhibiting a bearish trend on the 1-hour chart, with the market forming lower lows, a clear indication of sustained selling pressure. This downward momentum suggests that traders are favoring short positions, and the bearish sentiment may continue in the upcoming trading sessions. Bearish Flag Pattern Suggests Further Downside Adding to the bearish outlook, the price action is forming a bearish flag pattern, which is typically a continuation signal in a downtrend. This pattern consists of a sharp decline (the flagpole) followed by a slight upward or sideways consolidation (the flag). A breakdown below the flag’s support could trigger another wave of selling, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Support Levels to Watch If the downtrend continues, the market could target the following support levels: - 1.35850 – The initial downside target, likely to act as a short-term support zone. - 1.35100 – A deeper support level that may come into play if selling pressure intensifies. A break below these levels could open the door for further declines, potentially extending toward 1.34500 or lower, depending on market momentum. Resistance Level as a Key Barrier On the upside, the 1.37900 level serves as a critical resistance. If the price retraces higher, this zone could act as a strong barrier where sellers might re-enter. A sustained break above this resistance could invalidate the bearish outlook, signaling a potential trend reversal or consolidation phase. Trading Strategy Considerations - Bearish Scenario: Traders may look for short opportunities near resistance levels or upon a confirmed breakdown below the bearish flag. - Risk Management: A stop-loss above 1.37900 (or a recent swing high) could help mitigate risk if the market reverses unexpectedly. - Bullish Caution: If GBP/USD breaks above 1.37900 with strong momentum, the bearish thesis may need reevaluation. Conclusion The GBP/USD pair remains bearish in the short term, supported by the lower lows and the bearish flag pattern. Traders should monitor the 1.35850 and 1.35100 support levels for potential downside targets, while keeping an eye on 1.37900 as a key resistance that could determine whether the downtrend continues or reverses. Proper risk management remains essential in navigating this market structure.
Short
by Brillant_Capital
AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D4 Y25AUDJPY SHORT FORECAST Q3 W27 D4 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly Order Block Identified ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅15' Order block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Healthy Correction Could Set Up Next Bullish LegEURUSD continues to trade within a strong bullish structure, marked by a consistent sequence of higher highs and higher lows across multiple timeframes. The pair recently tested a significant resistance zone around $1.18, which acted as a swing high and has since been defended by sellers. This rejection has led to a short-term pause in the uptrend, with price now consolidating around the value area high, a critical area on the volume profile that typically precedes either continuation or a corrective move. From a technical standpoint, a pullback from the current level would be healthy, especially given the extended nature of the recent move. The ideal retracement zone lies between the 0.618 Fibonacci level, the point of control (POC), and the 200-period moving average — all of which converge to form a strong demand region. A revisit of this zone would offer a textbook opportunity for the formation of a higher low, which would preserve the existing bullish structure and invite renewed buying interest. A correction into this region would not indicate weakness but rather reinforce the strength of the trend. It allows for momentum reset and offers a more sustainable base for the next potential move higher, potentially targeting a breakout above the $1.18 swing high. As long as price action remains above the previous higher low and these key support zones hold, the bullish bias remains intact, and traders may look for long opportunities on signs of a reversal within the corrective zone.
Long
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
1
Indicates the target for potential bearish liquidity grab.BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Marked near $3,360 at the top (gray zone). Represents an area where buy stops may be resting above recent highs. SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Marked around $3,260 at the bottom (red zone). Indicates the target for potential bearish liquidity grab. FVG (Fair Value Gap): Highlighted in yellow near $3,270–$3,280. Unfilled imbalance that may attract price. ChoCH (Change of Character): Two ChoCH labels are marked: One minor bullish ChoCH around the $3,328 area indicating a short-term shift in structure. One bearish ChoCH below $3,310, suggesting a possible return to bearish bias if broken. Blue Supply Zone: An area of previous supply or resistance where price may reverse. 📉 Projected Price Path: Initial move up into the blue supply zone, possibly to induce buyers or sweep short-term highs. Followed by a strong bearish rejection, breaking below the lower ChoCH level (~$3,310). A drop is anticipated all the way to the SSL zone (~$3,260), possibly filling the FVG on the way. 🧠 Summary: This chart implies a smart money bearish setup: Short-term liquidity sweep to the upside. Break of structure (ChoCH) to confirm reversal. Bearish continuation targeting: Fair Value Gap (FVG) → ~$3,270s Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) → ~$3,260
ICMARKETS:XAUUSD
by King_Maker_FX
EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT