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Trend Analysis

HIPPO/USDTKey Level Zone: 0.002150 - 0.002210 LMT v2.0 detected. The setup looks promising—price previously trended upward with rising volume and momentum, then retested this zone cleanly. This presents an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity if momentum continues to align. Introducing LMT (Levels & Momentum Trading) - Over the past 3 years, I’ve refined my approach to focus more sharply on the single most important element in any trade: the KEY LEVEL. - While HMT (High Momentum Trading) served me well—combining trend, momentum, volume, and structure across multiple timeframes—I realized that consistently identifying and respecting these critical price zones is what truly separates good trades from great ones. - That insight led to the evolution of HMT into LMT – Levels & Momentum Trading. Why the Change? (From HMT to LMT) Switching from High Momentum Trading (HMT) to Levels & Momentum Trading (LMT) improves precision, risk control, and confidence by: - Clearer Entries & Stops: Defined key levels make it easier to plan entries, stop-losses, and position sizing—no more guesswork. - Better Signal Quality: Momentum is now always checked against a support or resistance zone—if it aligns, it's a stronger setup. - Improved Reward-to-Risk: All trades are anchored to key levels, making it easier to calculate and manage risk effectively. - Stronger Confidence: With clear invalidation points beyond key levels, it's easier to trust the plan and stay disciplined—even in tough markets. Whenever I share a signal, it’s because: - A high‐probability key level has been identified on a higher timeframe. - Lower‐timeframe momentum, market structure and volume suggest continuation or reversal is imminent. - The reward‐to‐risk (based on that key level) meets my criteria for a disciplined entry. ***Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. Important Note: The Role of Key Levels - Holding a key level zone: If price respects the key level zone, momentum often carries the trend in the expected direction. That’s when we look to enter, with stop-loss placed just beyond the zone with some buffer. - Breaking a key level zone: A definitive break signals a potential stop‐out for trend traders. For reversal traders, it’s a cue to consider switching direction—price often retests broken zones as new support or resistance. My Trading Rules (Unchanged) Risk Management - Maximum risk per trade: 2.5% - Leverage: 5x Exit Strategy / Profit Taking - Sell at least 70% on the 3rd wave up (LTF Wave 5). - Typically sell 50% during a high‐volume spike. - Move stop‐loss to breakeven once the trade achieves a 1.5:1 R:R. - Exit at breakeven if momentum fades or divergence appears. The market is highly dynamic and constantly changing. LMT signals and target profit (TP) levels are based on the current price and movement, but market conditions can shift instantly, so it is crucial to remain adaptable and follow the market's movement. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! From HMT to LMT: A Brief Version History HM Signal : Date: 17/08/2023 - Early concept identifying high momentum pullbacks within strong uptrends - Triggered after a prior wave up with rising volume and momentum - Focused on healthy retracements into support for optimal reward-to-risk setups HMT v1.0: Date: 18/10/2024 - Initial release of the High Momentum Trading framework - Combined multi-timeframe trend, volume, and momentum analysis. - Focused on identifying strong trending moves high momentum HMT v2.0: Date: 17/12/2024 - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: Date: 23/12/2024 - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks HMT v3.1: Date: 31/12/2024 - Enhanced entry confirmation for improved reward-to-risk ratios HMT v4.0: Date: 05/01/2025 - Incorporated buying and selling pressure in lower timeframes to enhance the probability of trending moves while optimizing entry timing and scaling HMT v4.1: Date: 06/01/2025 - Enhanced take-profit (TP) target by incorporating market structure analysis HMT v5 : Date: 23/01/2025 - Refined wave analysis for trending conditions - Incorporated lower timeframe (LTF) momentum to strengthen trend reliability - Re-aligned and re-balanced entry conditions for improved accuracy HMT v6 : Date : 15/02/2025 - Integrated strong accumulation activity into in-depth wave analysis HMT v7 : Date : 20/03/2025 - Refined wave analysis along with accumulation and market sentiment HMT v8 : Date : 16/04/2025 - Fully restructured strategy logic HMT v8.1 : Date : 18/04/2025 - Refined Take Profit (TP) logic to be more conservative for improved win consistency LMT v1.0 : Date : 06/06/2025 - Rebranded to emphasize key levels + momentum as the core framework LMT v2.0 Date: 11/06/2025 - Fully restructured lower timeframe (LTF) momentum logic - Enhanced entry timing for better precision and alignment with key levels
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
Diminishing log returnsThere is no such thing as diminishing log returns. The most basic technical analysis, based on chart shapes disproves it. Only an idiot would attempt to apply it to the most deflationary asset the world has ever seen. Other kinds of curves do exist. There is the bell curve, for instance, where many people find themselves on the wrong side of it. There are all manner of parable and sine waves. Types of waves you've never heard of. But somebody said diminishing log return, and it sounded profound, but wasn't backed up by anything. My chart attached is your "shrimp" pattern, and we can all see that Bitcoin is breaking out from whatever overhead you imagined. So, I've proven your theory false.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Shammus01
XAUUSD Weekly Trade Setup(14-18th July 2025) - Bullish StrategyIn the ever-volatile world of commodities, Gold (XAUUSD) has yet again presented a promising technical setup. For traders looking to capitalize on price action and structure-based strategies, the upcoming week (14th to 18th July 2025) offers a clean breakout and retest opportunity backed by a strong risk/reward ratio. Let’s break down the trade plan in detail. 1. Overview of the Current Market Structure As shown in the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD is approaching a key horizontal resistance zone around 3360–3370. Historically, this area has acted as a rejection point for buyers. However, the recent bullish momentum, supported by price trading above the 200 EMA, suggests a potential breakout. This forms the basis of a Breakout-Retest-Continuation strategy – one of the most reliable setups in price action trading. 2. The Trade Plan Here’s the structured plan for this setup: 🔵 Step 1: Wait for the Breakout Price must break above the resistance zone (3360–3370) with a strong bullish candle. Avoid chasing the breakout; instead, let the market confirm its direction. 🟠 Step 2: Look for the Retest After the breakout, wait for the price to pull back to the broken resistance, now acting as support. Confirm this retest with a reversal candlestick pattern (e.g., bullish engulfing or hammer) on the 1H or 4H timeframe. 🔴 Step 3: Entry and Stop Loss Enter the trade after the confirmation candle closes. Place a stop loss below the swing low of the retest zone. This protects the trade in case of a false breakout. 🟢 Step 4: Set Your Target The profit booking zone lies around the 3440–3450 region. This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:4, targeting 1:2, 1:3, and potentially 1:4 if momentum continues. 3. Why This Setup Makes Sense EMA Confirmation: Price is trading above the 200 EMA, showing bullish bias. Clean Price Action: Well-defined structure makes it easy to identify breakout/retest levels. Strong Risk Management: The stop is tight and logical, while the upside potential is considerable. Psychological Support Zone: 3360–3370 has repeatedly acted as a key decision level. 4. Trade Management Tips Trail your stop loss once 1:2 R:R is achieved. Consider partial profit booking at 1:2 or 1:3 to lock in gains and reduce risk. Be patient – the key to this strategy is waiting for the retest confirmation. 5. Final Thoughts Trading XAUUSD can be both rewarding and risky. This weekly setup gives you a disciplined approach to enter the market at a high-probability point with excellent reward potential. Whether you’re a swing trader or an intraday scalper on lower timeframes, this strategy adapts well with proper confirmation. Stay tuned for live updates, and as always – plan your trade, and trade your plan. Happy Trading! ================================================================= Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. =================================================================
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by TradZoo
July 2025 - Internet computer ICP ;-(Every other week Without Worries is asked for his thoughts on Internet Computer project. It is very clear a number of folks are invested and for a few it is the only crypto token they hold. Disclaimer . Without Worries does not hold or trade this crypto token. My opinion is impartial. Two questions every trader or investor must ask themselves before exposure to any asset: What is the trend? Support or resistance, which is it? To not answer either or even ignore the answers; that is to ignore the facts of the chart. You’re here to make money, nothing else. The questions are best answered on a higher time frame where possible, especially a time frame where market pivots align with the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Question 1, what is the trend? Start by looking left, on both Price action and RSI. The first lower high is observed in tandem with a lower high in RSI. This trend is matched in RSI as lower lows in price action and RSI break legacy support. This is clearly a downtrend. Question 2, Support or resistance, which is it? As before, look left. Typically best to start with higher timeframes. Support levels are identified by observing historical price charts where the asset has repeatedly stopped falling and reversed upwards. Similarly, resistance levels are identified by observing historical price action where the asset has repeatedly stopped rising and reversed downwards. These levels are often marked by previous swing highs, areas where the price has consolidated, or psychological round numbers (blue and red arrows). It is fairly clear price action on the above chart now finds resistance on past support. Bonus observation With questions 1 and 2 both answered, it is clear future price action favours a bearish outlook on the macro outlook. A long term bear flag has established, now awaiting confirmation. That confirmation shall be a print of rejection from the underside of the flag, which will also be an additional lower high around $10. It is entirely possible (and is often the situation for flags to print their forecasts without confirmation!). After the confirmation price action will begin its decent towards 60 cents. ww
by without_worries
2
EUR/CAD: Quant-Verified ReversalThe fundamental catalyst has been triggered. The anticipated strong Canadian CPI data was released as expected, confirming the primary driver for this trade thesis. Now, the focus shifts to the technical structure, where price is showing clear exhaustion at a generational resistance wall. 🧱 Our core thesis is that the confirmed fundamental strength of the CAD will now fuel the technically-indicated bearish reversal from this critical price ceiling. The Data-Driven Case 📊 This trade is supported by a confluence of technical, fundamental, and quantitative data points. Primary Technical Structure: The pair is being aggressively rejected from a multi-year resistance zone (1.6000 - 1.6100). This price action is supported by a clear bearish divergence on the 4H chart's Relative Strength Index (RSI), a classic signal that indicates buying momentum is fading despite higher prices. Internal Momentum Models: Our internal trend and momentum models have flagged a definitive bearish shift. Specifically, the MACD indicator has crossed below its signal line into negative territory, confirming that short-term momentum is now bearish. This is layered with a crossover in our moving average module, where the short-term SMA has fallen below the long-term SMA, indicating the prevailing trend structure is now downward. Quantitative Probability & Volatility Analysis: To quantify the potential outcome of this setup, we ran a Monte Carlo simulation projecting several thousand potential price paths. The simulation returned a 79.13% probability of the trade reaching our Take Profit target before hitting the Stop Loss. Furthermore, our GARCH volatility model forecasts that the expected price fluctuations are well-contained within our defined risk parameters, reinforcing the asymmetric risk-reward profile of this trade. The Execution Plan ✅ Based on the synthesis of all data, here is the actionable trade plan: 📉 Trade: Sell (Short) EUR/CAD 👉 Entry: 1.6030 ⛔️ Stop Loss: 1.6125 🎯 Take Profit: 1.5850 The data has spoken, and the setup is active. Trade with discipline.
Short
by MaxellAguiran
Wait patiently for a pullback and go longFrom the 4-hour analysis, today's short-term support is around the neckline of the hourly line last Friday, 3340-45, and the focus is on the 3325-30 first-line support. The intraday retracement continues to follow the trend and the main bullish trend remains unchanged. The short-term bullish strong dividing line focuses on the 3325 mark. The daily level stabilizes above this position and continues to follow the trend and the bullish rhythm remains unchanged. Before falling below this position, continue to follow the trend and the main tone of participation remains unchanged. I will remind you of the specific operation strategy in the channel, so please pay attention to it in time.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by JoyLouise53
Gold 30Min Engaged ( Two Bullish Entry's Detected )Time Frame: 30-Minute Warfare Entry Protocol: Only after volume-verified breakout 🩸Bullish Reversal 3311 Zone 🩸Bullish Break 3343 Zone ➗ Hanzo Protocol: Volume-Tiered Entry Authority ➕ Zone Activated: Dynamic market pressure detected. The level isn’t just price — it’s a memory of where they moved size. Volume is rising beneath the surface — not noise, but preparation. 🔥 Tactical Note: We wait for the energy signature — when volume betrays intention. The trap gets set. The weak follow. We execute.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Path_Of_Hanzo
43
The 7.15 gold shock adjustment is not the top!7.15 Gold Operation Strategy Reference: Short Order Strategy: Strategy 1: When gold rebounds around 3370-3375, short (buy short) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 10 points, target around 3350-3345, break to see 3340 line; Long Order Strategy: Strategy 2: When gold pulls back to around 3340-3345, long (buy long) 20% of the position in batches, stop loss 10 points, target around 3355-3365, break to see 3375 line; I am a financial enthusiast. I may not have a 100% winning rate. If you are a novice or your account is about to be burned, you can ask me. I will give you free professional advice.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Johnny_Jun
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/07/2025Nifty is expected to open with a gap-up today near the 25050–25100 zone. If the index sustains above this level after the opening, bullish momentum could follow with potential upside targets of 25150, 25200, and 25250+. This zone will act as the key intraday support-turned-demand area. However, if Nifty struggles to hold above 25200–25250 and shows signs of reversal from this zone, we might witness selling pressure. A rejection from this region could lead to a pullback toward 25150, 25100, and 25050 levels. On the downside, a breakdown below 24950 will signal further weakness. If that level is breached decisively, it can lead to sharp downside movements toward 24850, 24800, and even 24750. This would indicate a reversal of early bullish sentiment. Today’s session could remain volatile around key levels. It’s advisable to watch price action around the 25050–25250 range for intraday confirmation before taking directional trades.
NSE:NIFTY
by TradZoo
Signs of Weekness: Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum?Last week, Bitcoin made a new all-time high and gave bulls some serious profits. Price action has been looking solid and strong ever since it broke above the psychological and technical level of $110,000. But now, we’re starting to see signs that the market might need a healthy retracement. On the daily chart, there’s a clear long wick at the top, which is a sign that buyers may be losing momentum up here. There’s also a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between roughly $115,200 and $112,200. In most cases, price tends to revisit these imbalances, so I wouldn’t be surprised if we dip back into that zone. I’m watching the midpoint around $113,700 because that could be a key level for a bounce if the bulls want to keep control. If that zone fails to hold or we see a clean breakdown without much of a reaction, there’s a chance we revisit the $110,000 breakout level. From a Fibonacci standpoint, the 0.382 retracement of the recent move from around $98K to $120K also lands near $111.6K, which adds some confluence to that area. Overall, I still think the trend is strong, but after this daily candle, I think that a 5–7% pullback wouldn’t be unusual or unhealthy. What are your thoughts? Are we just cooling off before another breakout, or is a deeper retracement on the table? Comments and suggestions?
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by billionaire_guru
Where is the next stop? 133,333?Leg 1 was clean. Leg 2 looks ambitious. But here’s the real question: Where’s the next stop—or has smart money already left the station? BTC just sliced through both EMAs with conviction, now hovering above $116K. Volume’s decent, sentiment’s euphoric… but is this rally genuine markup, or a cleverly disguised distribution phase? 🔍 Price targets like $133K are seductive—but what if consolidation isn’t horizontal anymore? Vertical consolidation is real. And it’s where retail gets baited hardest. 📊 Leg 2 might still play out—but don’t ignore the possibility that this is the final markup before a liquidity sweep. 👉 Where do you think the next stop is? 🧠 Is this a continuation—or a trap? Drop your guess... Who has entered here:? Who can let the winners run in this situation: #MJTrading #ATH #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #WyckoffMethod #LiquiditySweep #DistributionPhase #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoChart #PriceAction #EMA #Consolidation #CryptoStrategy #TrendReversal #CryptoCommunity
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MJElahifx
1
Gold: Data, Tariffs & Trading LevelsThis week is packed with market news and economic data 😣. Key focuses include the US CPI, PPI, retail sales data, and the University of Michigan's preliminary consumer sentiment index. Additionally, former US President Trump plans to make a "major announcement" on Russia; the Federal Reserve will release the Beige Book (Economic Conditions Survey); and the CFTC's weekly positioning report is also worth monitoring 📊. Over the weekend, Trump imposed tariffs on the EU and other regions, prompting a strong counterattack from the EU. The subsequent evolution of the situation requires continuous tracking, as it has triggered sharp market volatility pushing toward the 3400 mark 😱. Trump has recently announced frequent tariff policies (e.g., 30% tariffs on the EU and Mexico, and threats of 100% tariffs on Russia), amplifying market uncertainty. While this theoretically benefits gold's safe-haven demand, the actual impact requires close observation of institutional capital flows 🤔. Gold prices consolidated at the bottom after a sustained pullback last night and extended their rebound this morning. Key pressure levels have undergone a support-resistance flip. The current gold rebound is merely a secondary confirmation of the 30-minute top structure, and after surging to 3365 in the afternoon, short-term signs of pressure have emerged 😕. In a volatile market, if prices start to consolidate sideways, it may signal the end of this oscillating upward trend, with a shift to a downward phase ahead. Given market sensitivity ahead of the CPI data release, it’s advisable to focus on a volatile pullback trend 🧐. After today’s rebound, key attention should be on the 3363-3368 range as a shorting zone, with the long/short defensive level set at yesterday’s intraday high of 3375. Downside support is focused on the 3340-3335 range 🔍
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Sovereign_11
Gold Likely to Extend Gains as USD Weakens, but Faces Resistance📊 Market Move: Gold surged to a three-week high near $3,370/oz, driven by safe-haven demand amid renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and EU/Mexico and threats of a 100% tariff on Russian imports. Investors are now focused on upcoming U.S. CPI data, which could trigger sharp moves if inflation comes in below expectations. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: ~$3,365–$3,372; a breakout could open the way to $3,400–$3,440 • Nearest Support: ~$3,340 (S1), then ~$3,326 (SMA50), and deeper at $3,300–$3,320 (Fibonacci zone) • EMA: Price remains above short-term EMAs (20/50/100), suggesting a continuing bullish bias • Candlesticks / Volume / Momentum: • RSI is neutral-to-bullish around 54; MACD shows strengthening bullish momentum • Bollinger Bands are narrowing, signaling potential for a breakout 📌 Outlook: Gold may continue edging higher or consolidate around the $3,365–$3,372 resistance zone if no new geopolitical shocks occur. However, if U.S. CPI comes in below expectations or if USD/Yields weaken, gold could rally further toward $3,400–$3,440. ________________________________________ 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,370–3,373 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,376 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,340–3,337 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,334
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals