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Trend Analysis

DAX: Healthy Channel Up aiming at 21,350DAX is on excellent bullish levels on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 66.832, MACD = 222.700, ADX = 20.758) as it just crossed the previous Resistance of the 5 month Channel Up. This is technically the new bullish wave of the pattern which got further confirmed after Monday's bounce on the 4H MA200. Both 1D MACD wise and relative price structure, it looks much like the previous two bullish waves. The recent HH was on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, thus we're aiming for the top of the pattern (TP = 21,350) yet again. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:DE40Long
by InvestingScope
$SPY January 16, 2025AMEX:SPY January 16, 2025 15 minutes. Yesterday gap open was held. For the last rise from 578.97 to 592.96 AMEX:SPY retraced to 589.5 before achieving the target 594 for yesterday's move. 598.5 represents 23.6% fall for the last rise and took support at 61.8% retracement for the fall 597.74 to 575.35. Hence it is important that AMEX:SPY holds 589 levels for upward movement. For the extension 575 to585 to 578.35, 594 was achieved being 1.618 levels for the first rise. At the moment we have 200 averages above 50 and 100 in 15 minutes, hence I expect AMEX:SPY to consolidate between 590 to 593 levels today for a further up movement tomorrow. Also, we have an oscillator divergence from 592.9 to 593.9 levels No trade day for me today.
AMEX:SPY
by RiderTrader
6
Bullish on Bitcoin: At Critical JunctureBitcoin is currently at a critical juncture, facing channel resistance and hidden bearish divergence on the On-Balance Volume (OBV) indicator. For this bearish signal to be invalidated, the price must break above $102,727. However, buyers have not shown strong support at the current levels, which is essential for a breakout. Without a decisive push from buyers, breaking through this resistance level remains uncertain. Bullish Momentum Despite the challenges, I remain fairly bullish on Bitcoin’s outlook. Every dip is being aggressively bought, as evidenced by the swift recovery from the $90,000 drop, which was absorbed in just two days. This robust buy-up indicates strong bullish momentum and significant interest from market participants. Understanding Bearish Sentiment While I maintain a bullish stance, I understand why some traders expect lower prices. Key factors contributing to this sentiment include: CME Gaps: These gaps are often filled, leading some to anticipate a return to lower levels. Fibonacci Retracement: Price has not retraced to the 0.386 Fib level, which is commonly the minimum retracement for a Wave 4 correction in Elliott Wave Theory. Wave 4 Correction: According to Elliott Wave Theory, if a Wave 4 correction hasn’t fully played out, the price needs to break the high of Wave 3 ($108,353) to confirm the end of Wave 4. Until this occurs, the possibility of an incomplete correction remains a consideration. Bullish Case for Bitcoin In the bullish scenario, the recent correction can be classified as a WXY correction, with Wave Y ending at $89,256. Wave C was truncated, meaning it did not fully extend, leading to a shorter-than-expected correction. This suggests that Bitcoin has transitioned into Wave 5, its final upward impulse. Why Wave 5 Matters Wave 5 is particularly significant as it often coincides with the peak of Bitcoin’s rally and the beginning of Alt Season. Historically, this phase sees strong price action, with dips being short-lived and quickly absorbed by buyers. Alts Rally with Bitcoins Wave 5 As you have seen XRP’s recent breakout means its now technically in its bullish Wave 3 lends further credibility to the bullish case. If Bitcoin were to experience further downside, it could drag XRP down, potentially invalidating its wave count. This scenario seems unlikely, given XRP’s strong momentum. Market Catalysts It seems plausible that Bullish Momentum will rally into the inauguration of Donald Trump. Conclusion Bitcoin’s current price action suggests a strong bullish momentum despite some underlying bearish signals. While caution is warranted due to the hidden OBV divergence and incomplete retracement patterns, the aggressive dip-buying and transition into Wave 5 paint an optimistic picture. The key levels to watch are $102,727 for invalidating bearish signals and $108,353 for confirming the end of Wave 4. For now, the dips are opportunities, and the path forward looks promising for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
Long
by heywippa
AUDNZD Testing Resistance – Pullback Toward 1.1069 ExpectedAUDNZD is at a significant supply zone, marked by historical price rejections and strong selling pressure in the past. This zone has previously acted as a turning point, where sellers regained control and drove prices lower. The recent bullish rally has brought the price into this critical resistance area. Given the strength of this supply zone, there is a high probability of a bearish reversal if price action confirms rejection (e.g., bearish engulfing candles or upper wicks signaling selling pressure). I anticipate a bearish move toward the 1.1069 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. This setup aligns with the expectation of a potential correction within the broader market context.
Short
by DanieIM
1
A review of the market1.16.25 I decided to talk about clutter and then need to keep the charts clean and accurate. it's important to take off lines that have no utility to you because that opportunity came and it went..... keep the chart from getting cluttered.... get rid of the lines that have no utility. I started with gold and I ended up with the NYSC composite which needs to start trading lower very soon or my thought that this move higher is more than just a correction. I talked about different strategies using the lines and the tools that we use but the actual Trading will be very different for some Traders versus others and yet the tools will work for a scalper as well as a Trader who wants to hold on longer.
TVC:NYA
by ScottBogatin
BTCUSD Daily Inflection Point UpdatePreviously I mentioned the weekly was consolidating, but there is potential for this momentum consolidation to have a breakout leg as momentum shifts and the final emotional price movements are played out. I was too conservative in my price projections; a lot more than I used to be- but there wasn't a whole lot of TA involved- I figured the dollar issues would crop up earlier. Now that the Fed had pivoted. the yields are creeping back up pushing bitcoin back down. The fed doesn't let on just how dire the situation is- and with global tensions rising, the dollar is at significant risk. I expect a broad correction in all the markets- and cash to become very tight. There is daily momentum consolidation- and if any other events occur that send yields upward- bitcoin is likely to suffer as a consequence. If instead we sail into the new year unscathed- then this consolidation may provide another leg up; but a break below 88k and a push towards 60k may solidify bitcoins correction. DAILY WEEKLY
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Mikhiavelli
CME - ETH 3DETH had a very interesting bullish signal flash on the CME chart. Not only did we get the brief flush below $3k to wipe out overleveraged longs, but we also printed a massive 3 day Doji. Unusually dojis mark reversals of a trend and since we were in brief downtrend this could reverse price back to the upside. Not only that but we also flipped old resistance into new support. The ETH highs of Aug 2024 that marked the top back then just marked our bottom of new support (purple line). This shows that key liquidity level in the past is still a key level to focus on.
CME:ETH1!
by VIAQUANT
EURCHF Massive Short! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for EURCHF is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.9406 Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.9385 My Stop Loss - 0.9417 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
1
BITCOIN UPDATES FOR ENTRIESWere still on a Bullrun, but we might see an clear of LONGS here!. if the premiums clear. wait for pullback. This idea would manipulates the LONGS. or the price could go back to 78k? before we go higher. This is only my view for now. I'm still bullish on MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN , this is not a financial advice, do your own research base on the sentiments right now. The long-term still on 128k? probably yes, but at what timeframe. follow for more. I will be posting daily updates on other pairs. Come and check this out. Daily reminder you need to rest on weekends. the market is just making liquidity. Lock in boys. keep stackingsss satttssss.. I believe on this coin. As we can see the US markets especially the ETFS, could drive the price high before our eyes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by D1GITALTRADES
The Great Depression 2025–2036: Here’s What Awaits UsThe Great Depression 2025-2036: Here's What Await Us Stock Markets: An expected decline of 80%, similar to 1929. Unemployment: Could rise to 30%, especially in the technology and manufacturing sectors. Housing Prices: A drop of 60–80%, severely impacting homeowners. Construction Sector: Predicted decline in activity by 90%. Energy Production: A reduction of 30–50% due to decreased demand. Global Trade: Anticipated contraction of 60–70%. Banks: Increasing bankruptcies and declining trust in financial institutions. Cryptocurrencies: Potential loss of 80–90% in value as central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) are introduced.
TVC:DJIShort
by EvertLenos
THE LIQUIDITY PARADOX: Charting the Macro Environment for 2025WEN QE !? TL;DR there will be NO Quantitative Easing this cycle. YES the markets will still go to Valhalla. LIQUIDITY DRIVES MARKETS HIGHER. FULL STOP. Global M2 has a highly correlated inverse relationship with the US Dollar and 10Y Yield. Hence why we have been seeing the DXY and 10YY go up while Global M2 goes down. THE SETUP We are in a similar setup to 2017 when Trump took office. M2 found a bottom and ramped up, which toppled the DXY. Inflation nearly got cut in half until July 2017, where it then slowly started to creep back up as M2 and markets exploded. To much surprise, all this occurred while the Fed continued to RAISE INTEREST RATES. This was in part due to policy normalization with a growing economy coming out of the financial crisis and having near 0% interest rates for so long. In Q4 2014, the Fed paused QT, keeping its balance sheet near neutral for the next 3 years. As inflation started rising, QT was once again enacted, but very strategically with a slow roll-off in Q4 2017. This allowed markets to push further into 2018. THE PLAYBOOK M2 Global Money Supply: Higher Dollar: Lower Fed Funds Rates: Lower 10YY: Lower Fed Balance Sheet: Neutral Inflation: Neutral TOOLS Tariffs Deregulation Tax Cuts Tax Reform T-Bills HOW COULD WE POSSIBLY WEAKEN THE DOLLAR? Trump has been screaming from the mountain tops; TARIFFS. Tariffs will slow imports and focus more on exports to weaken the dollar. The strong jobs data that has been spooking markets and strengthening the DXY will be revised to show it’s much worse than numbers are showing. The Fed will pause QT, saying it has ample reserves, but not enable QE. At the same time, they could pause interest rate cuts to keep a leash on markets and not kickstart inflation. Then once all the jobs data is revised and markets get spooked at a softened economy (Q2), they will continue cutting. WHY DOES THE FED KEEP CUTTING RATES EVEN WITH A STRONG ECONOMY? In short, the Fed has to cut interest rates for the US to manage its debt. THE US government is GETTEX:36T in debt. In 2025, interest projections are well above $1T. That would put the debt on par with the highest line items in the national budget such as social security, healthcare and national defense. The Treasury manages its debt by issuing securities with various maturities. When rates are low, they can refinance or issue new debt. As rates rise, the cost of servicing debt increases, and vice versa. It’s one of the underlying reasons why the Fed cut (but no one will say it out loud)… hence why everyone is so confused and screaming that they cut too early and the bond vigilantes have been revolting. HOW DOES THE MONEY SUPPLY GO UP IF NO QUANTITATIVE EASING? We’ve seen this before. President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have been telling you their playbook. In 2017, deregulation and tax cuts led to an increase in disposable income from individuals and corporations. Banks created more money in the markets through lending based on increased economic activity. Global liquidity increased in other major central banks like the ECB, BOJ, and PCOB who were still engaged in QE, and / or maintained very low interest rates, which created more liquidity in the US money supply. We’re seeing the same thing now with Central Banks around the world. The tax reform allowed for the repatriation of overseas profits at a lower tax rate, which brought a significant amount of cash back to the US. Like 2017, the US Treasury will increase short-term bill issuance (T-Bills), providing an alternative to the Reverse Repo (RRP), which reduces RRP usage. This provides liquidity to the markets because once the T-bills mature, funds can use the proceeds to invest in other assets, including stocks. Banks will buy T-bills and sell in the secondary market or hold til maturity, where they can then lend the cash or invest in equities. Another strategy to inject cash into the banking system would be standard Repo Operations. Here the Fed buys securities from banks with an agreement to sell them back later. This would increase lending and liquidity. Hopefully now you can see why markets DON’T NEED QUANTITATIVE EASING ! That would for sure lead to rampant inflation (see 2021), and blow up the system all over again.
TVC:DXYLong
by jonnieking
Cardano on the Edge: Breakout AlertADA is currently trading within a symmetrical triangle, a pattern that typically signals market indecision. The price is tightening as it moves between an upward-sloping support line and a downward-sloping resistance line. Currently the price is testing a descending resistance line. After making its new all-time high at $1.3264 the price is also trading within a range support zone Green at $0.8140 - $0.8416 and the resistance zone Blue at $1.1074 - $1.1567. A breakout above the resistance zone Blue and the symmetrical triangle with volume and daily candle close above could move the price towards the new all-time high, if the momentum continues Cardano (ADA) would make new highs.
Long
by TheCryptoCity
2
DXY could start correcting soonThe last quarter of 2024 was exceptionally bullish for the DXY, with the price climbing from 100 to a peak around 109—a substantial 9% increase in a relatively short period. The bullish momentum has continued into the start of 2025. However, since late December, the price action has become more overlapping, which could indicate the potential for a reversal. At present, the price remains above the bullish trendline, so there are no clear reversal signals yet. That said, it’s important to monitor for a downside break. If such a scenario occurs, the index could drop toward the 106 support level.
TVC:DXYShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1