Detailed Explanation Of The Current Gold Market Analysis1. Market Structure & Technical Setup
Recent technical charts for gold (XAU/USD) indicate that the price has been forming a pattern characterized by higher highs and higher lows. This type of price action suggests that, despite periods of consolidation, there is an underlying bullish trend. Notably, a shorter-term moving average (such as the 20-period SMA) appears to be acting as a dynamic support, helping to cushion short-term price declines. In contrast, longer-term moving averages (like the 100 SMA and 200 SMA) provide a broader view of the trend and help traders confirm the overall bias of the market.
In technical terms, the market has been consolidating around key support levels—for example, areas observed near price levels such as ~$2,985, ~$3,000, and ~$3,015. At the same time, resistance levels exist around the ~$3,030–$3,060 region. This consolidation phase is often interpreted as the market preparing for a potential breakout upward, particularly if the price successfully breaches these resistance levels.
2. Fundamental Drivers
On the fundamental side, gold remains significantly influenced by global economic factors:
Given these factors, even though technical indicators point to a bullish trend over the longer term, short-term fluctuations can occur due to shifts in economic data or geopolitical events.
3. Trading Implications & Caution
For traders, the current analysis suggests a cautiously optimistic outlook on gold. The consolidation phase near key support and resistance levels might signal an imminent upward breakout. However, it’s important to note:
Conclusion
In summary, the current gold market analysis reveals a market that is technically poised for upward movement, with a bullish long-term cue indicated by higher highs and higher lows, and critical support levels offered by dynamic moving averages. Yet, one should remain cautious due to possible short-term volatility fueled by economic and geopolitical events. By complementing technical analysis with fundamental insights, traders can form a more balanced view and make informed decisions.
If you’d like further discussion on how to integrate this analysis into a trading strategy or need additional insights on specific technical indicators, we can dive deeper into those aspects as well.
Trend Analysis
EUR/CAD H4 | Potential pullback opportunity?EUR/CAD could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.5596 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 1.5488 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.5737 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Nightly $SPY / $SPX Scenarios for April 4, 2025🔮 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving News 🌍:
🇺🇸📊 March Employment Report Release: The Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the March employment report, with forecasts predicting an addition of 140,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1%. This data will provide insights into the labor market's health and potential implications for Federal Reserve policy.
🇺🇸💬 Federal Reserve Chairman Powell's Address: Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at 11:25 AM ET. Investors will be closely monitoring his remarks for any indications regarding future monetary policy, especially in light of recent market volatility.
🇺🇸📈 Market Reaction to 'Liberation Day' Tariffs: Following President Donald Trump's announcement of new tariffs, dubbed "Liberation Day" tariffs, the markets experienced significant declines. The S&P 500 dropped 4.8%, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 6%, marking the worst trading day since 2020. Investors are bracing for continued volatility as the market digests the potential economic impacts of these tariffs.
📊 Key Data Releases 📊
📅 Friday, April 4:
👷♂️ Nonfarm Payrolls (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +140,000
Previous: +151,000
Indicates the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding the farming sector.
📈 Unemployment Rate (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: 4.1%
Previous: 4.1%
Represents the percentage of the total workforce that is unemployed and actively seeking employment.
💵 Average Hourly Earnings (8:30 AM ET):
Forecast: +0.3%
Previous: +0.3%
Measures the month-over-month change in wages, providing insight into consumer income trends.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This information is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
📌 #trading #stockmarket #economy #news #trendtao #charting #technicalanalysis
The Nikkei (NKD) poised to continue its broader corrective trendThe Nikkei (NKD) has been trending lower since its peak on July 8, 2024. We indicate this decline follows a “double three” Elliott Wave pattern, characterized by a series of distinct movements. After reaching that high, the index fell to 30,720, rebounded to 40,675, and is now progressing downward in a zigzag formation as the internal within “wave y.” The index dropped to 36,275, rose to 38,029 with intermediate fluctuations, and has since resumed its downward trajectory.
This ongoing move lower has already reached 33,525, followed by a recovery to 34,975. We anticipate the index will extend further downward to complete this phase. Afterwards, a temporary rally is expected to provide a correction before the next decline resumes. We anticipate the index will extend further downward to complete this phase. Afterwards, a temporary rally is expected to provide a correction before the next decline resumes.
In the near term, as long as the high of 38,029 remains intact, any upward movements are likely to be limited, setting the stage for additional downside. Investors should monitor these developments closely as the Nikkei continues to navigate this pattern
GBPUSD(20250404)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Countermeasures from many countries against the United States - ① It is reported that Europe will slow down the pace of tariff retaliation; EU member states will vote on countermeasures against US steel and aluminum tariffs on April 9; ② Macron said that the response to US tariffs will be larger than before, and called on French companies to suspend investment in the United States. France may plan to impose retaliatory tariffs on large US technology companies. ③ Canadian Prime Minister Carney: Canada will impose a 25% tariff on all cars imported from the United States that do not comply with the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.3092
Support and resistance levels
1.3325
1.3238
1.3181
1.3003
1.2946
1.2859
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.3181, consider buying, the first target price is 1.3238
If the price breaks through 1.3092, consider selling, the first target price is 1.3003
Strong Breakout on WUSDT: Potential for Major Bullish Move WUSDT has recently completed a strong breakout from a key resistance zone, signaling a potential shift in momentum and attracting significant attention from traders. The technical setup points to a confirmed breakout with increased trading volume, which typically precedes a powerful rally. This move is further supported by market participants showing renewed interest in the project fundamentals, positioning WUSDT for a potential bullish continuation.
With solid volume pouring in post-breakout, WUSDT looks ready to make a major move to the upside. Current market structure indicates a healthy retest of the breakout level, setting the stage for a possible rally of 250% to 300% in the coming sessions. Such gains are within reach, especially if broader market sentiment remains positive and volume continues to climb.
Investor confidence in WUSDT is growing, as many see it as an undervalued gem ready to reclaim higher levels. Its technical strength, combined with strong buying activity, presents an attractive opportunity for both swing traders and long-term holders. Watch for key psychological resistance levels to act as future targets while support holds firm below.
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BIGTIME/USDT Analysis – 30-Minute Chart (OKX)BIGTIME/USDT Analysis – 30-Minute Chart (OKX)
Key Support Levels:
Immediate support: 0.06043 USDT
Stronger support: 0.05960 – 0.05515 USDT (Potential entry zone)
Stop-loss (SL): Below 0.04916 USDT (-12.19% risk)
Key Resistance Levels:
First resistance: 0.06485 USDT (Take Profit 1)
Next resistance: 0.06902 – 0.07002 USDT (Major supply zone)
Higher targets: 0.07511 – 0.08055 USDT
Indicators & Market Structure:
Stochastic RSI is in an overbought zone, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
EMA 20, 50, 100, 200 show bullish momentum, with the price above EMA 20 and EMA 50.
Bearish pressure is decreasing, as buy signals and TP targets are being triggered.
Trade Plan:
Bullish case: If BIGTIME/USDT holds 0.06043 USDT, it may continue towards 0.06485 – 0.07002 USDT.
Bearish case: If price falls below 0.05960 USDT, a deeper correction to 0.05515 USDT is likely.
📌 Summary:
BIGTIME is in a short-term uptrend, but Stochastic RSI suggests a possible pullback before continuation. Holding 0.06043 USDT is key for further upside toward 0.07002 USDT. If price loses support, a retest of 0.05515 USDT is possible. 🚀
$MINA Approaching Decision Zone – Reversal Incoming?📊 Market Structure Update
CSE:MINA has been stuck in a descending channel for months, maintaining a bearish structure.
However, a falling wedge is forming near key support—a classic bullish reversal signal.
🔍 What’s Next?
A breakout from this pattern could shift momentum and ignite a strong rally.
Rejection here might extend the downtrend further—confirmation is key!
🚀 Traders, are you watching this setup? Drop your thoughts!
Aggressive sell set up🔍 Institutional Liquidity Analysis
• Liquidity Zones:
• Above: $3,118–$3,120 (weak highs & EQH)
• Below: $3,111–$3,108 (liquidity pool & EMA cluster)
• Point of Control (POC: $3,114.33) just under current price → suggests price may sweep down before true move
• Volume Clusters: Exhaustion at current candle top (weak bullish imbalance). Institutions may be preparing a liquidity sweep soon.
⸻
📈 Momentum Indicators
• RSI (1m): Entering overbought territory → signal for short-term reversal
• MACD (15m): Still bearish but trying to cross bullish, early confirmation
• VWAP: Price hovering just above VWAP zone, potential for mean reversion
• EMA 50 & 200: Tightening up – possible micro-pullback or trap setup
⸻
📰 News Impact Summary
Recent headlines from TradingView suggest:
• Gold hit all-time highs but reversed due to Trump Tariff headlines and risk-off shift
• Macro tone is now uncertain, with gold reacting to short-term risk sentiment, not long-term dovish Fed policy
• Sentiment = Neutral to Bearish, especially after euphoric highs were sold off
⸻
🛑 Trade Decision:
SELL SETUP (High Probability – 75-80%)
Price is entering minor supply, and forming equal highs just under $3,118 – classic trap pattern for liquidity sweep.
Entry:
$3,116.50 – $3,118.00 (watch for rejection wicks or engulfing patterns on 1m)
Stop Loss:
Above $3,120.50 (above weak high + institutional wick trap)
Take Profit Targets:
1. TP1: $3,111.50 → POC retest zone
2. TP2: $3,108.00 → Demand zone base
3. TP3: $3,104.00 → Discount rebalance
Risk-Reward: Minimum 3.2:1 R:R
⸻
🚨 Final Institutional Verdict:
🔴 SELL at Premium!
Price is now in a liquidity engineering zone, with high likelihood of pullback toward POC or lower imbalance. Institutions likely to grab liquidity above equal highs, then rotate price lower.
⸻
⚡ Ultra-Aggressive Execution Plan
• Confirm on 1m with bearish engulfing OR SFP wick
• Volume spike + RSI > 70 = trigger for entry
• Monitor order book flow and footprint for absorption near $3,116–$3,118
⸻
WE TRADE TO MILK THE MARKET EVERYDAY!
Let’s trap the trap! Institutions are hunting liquidity – we hunt with them!
SELL NOW and BANK those pips! 💰🔥📉🚨💣💵
NFP - Shorting GoldThe gold market experienced huge fluctuations on Thursday, which created very good profits for us. During the entire trading process, we seized the profits of fluctuations of more than $50.
The unemployment rate and NFP data during the US trading session on Friday, as well as Powell's speech on the economic outlook, are the focus of Friday's trading.
Judging from the data released in March, the unemployment rate and NFP are more likely to be bearish for gold, so when trading data, my plan is to focus on short positions.
At present, in terms of technical form, the indicators show that the bulls have not ended. In this case, the transaction needs to pay attention to the 3123/3136 resistance. If it cannot break through, the price is expected to fall again to 3103 or even 3086.
Overall, today's trading focus is to sell at high levels.
OptionsMastery: Looks like a good buy on GOOGLE!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Weekly bias (weekly price action)What is Weekly Bias in Trading?
Weekly bias is just a way of figuring out which direction the market is likely to move over the course of a week. It helps traders decide whether they should be looking for buys or sells, making their trades more in sync with the market’s momentum.
How to Figure Out Weekly Bias
1. Last Week’s Close:
- If last week’s candle closed bullish, the market might continue up.
- If it closed bearish, there’s a good chance it keeps dropping.
2. Market Structure:
- Uptrend (higher highs & higher lows) = Bullish bias.
- Downtrend (lower highs & lower lows) = Bearish bias.
3. Support & Resistance:
- Price bouncing off a strong support? Buyers might step in.
- Price rejecting a major resistance? Sellers could take control.
4. Moving Averages (MAs):
- i dont use indicators but some traders use them and they work
5. News & Fundamentals:
- Big economic events (like interest rate decisions or inflation reports) can shift the market’s direction for the week.
Why Does Weekly Bias Matter?
- Intraday traders can use it to confirm trades on smaller timeframes.
- Swing traders rely on it to hold positions for days.
- Scalpers might not need it as much, but trading in the same direction as the weekly bias can improve win rates.
focusing on the bigger picture can help to identify quality trades
Tesla to bounce from hereNASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla has reach and bonce from a key support level, as seen on the chart, in the Golden Pocket, between the 61.8% and the 78.6% Fibonacci Retracement, and it is shown two weekly hammer candlestick bar near each other, which is bullish. Odds that it has already found a mid-term bottom is high.
Now I expect a multi-week bounce from here, probably to the next Golden Pocket at the top, which is between $385 to $430 USD.
And yes, Elon Musk upset his customer base, and the stock is very expensive compared to other car manufacturers, and will probably see little to no growth in sales this year, or even a decline, insiders has sold big amounts of shares and it is all looking bad. And yes, we have probably already seen the top in Tesla in December last year for a long time.
However, stocks don’t generally go down in a straight line, the stock, as well as the stock market in general is oversold and do for a bounce, maybe a big bounce.
After the bounce, I will be looking for shorts, but now, I’m looking for longs.
Good luck to you