New analysis on CADCHF
OANDA:CADCHF we are have bullish push in last periods, ASCENDING CHANNEL is visible, its be breaked, price is make push around 40PIPS and its start reversing at end my ex. analysis on CADCHF i am CANCEL.
Currently price again pushing on same zone from last idea-strong zone(violet line), +H&S pattern looks like will not be continued after its have confirmation, which for me here is one more sign for bullishness.
NOTE: Analysis on CADCHF before this one will be attached
SUP zone: 0.63200
RES zone: 0.64000, 0.64200
Trend Analysis
BTC - Where to Buy? Answer in VideoMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1W key liquidity level and left untouched level higher.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
XAU/USD Longs from 2,696.000 back upMy analysis for GOLD this week focuses on the continuation of the strong bullish trend. GOLD has shown impulsive movement and reacted perfectly to the demand zone I marked out last week. This reaction led to a break of structure to the upside, further confirming the bullish direction.
Now, with new demand zones formed, I’ll be waiting for the price to retrace back to either the 1-hour or 3-hour demand zone before the next bullish rally. From there, I plan to buy up to the Asian high, which is positioned just above the nearest supply zone.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
- Price reacted strongly off last week’s demand zone and remains bullish.
- Both the short-term and long-term trends are bullish.
- Price has broken structure to the upside again, confirming direction.
- An Asian high above needs to be taken, providing a clear target.
Note: If the price moves up first, I may consider a quick sell from the 1-hour supply zone. However, I’ll wait for additional confirmations before taking any counter-trend trades.
#XRP still validCurrently, CRYPTOCAP:XRP has found some resistance in the form of a bullish wedge after a nice run.
Although I still assume that my target is still valid as a first target, it is also possible that we continue directly from here to our higher 2nd target.
In both cases, I believe we will see a lot more bullish movement with $XRP.
For now, I will keep an eye on what will happen within my first target box in the coming hours/days before I determine what the 2nd target will definitively be.
Be kind to the world and each other!
Breaking: Bitcoin Crosses $104,000 , Defying Market ExpectationsBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has achieved a significant milestone, breaking through the psychological resistance level of $100,000 and trading as high as $104,000. This 4.27% surge has positioned BTC as the focal point of global financial discussions. However, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicating overbought conditions, traders are left questioning whether the rally can sustain its momentum or if a correction is imminent.
Technical Analysis:
BTC’s move above the $100,000 resistance level highlights its bullish momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as overbought signals from the RSI suggest the possibility of a near-term correction. Immediate support lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a critical technical zone that could act as a buffer against potential selling pressure.
Should CRYPTOCAP:BTC break below this support, the price may dip toward the one-month low of $90,000. Such a move could trigger a massive sell-off, further intensifying bearish sentiment. Conversely, maintaining the current momentum above $100,000 could pave the way for BTC to explore new all-time highs, fueled by increased institutional and retail interest.
Miners Bolster BTC Reserves
Recent data underscores the pivotal role of U.S.-based cryptocurrency miners in Bitcoin’s growth trajectory. As of December 2024, miners have doubled their BTC reserves to nearly 100,000 coins, raising over $3.7 billion since November to bolster their holdings.
Top players such as Marathon Digital Holdings (40,435 BTC), Riot Platforms (16,728 BTC), and CleanSpark (10,097 BTC) lead the charge. Their "HODL" strategy—holding rather than selling mined Bitcoin—has not only strengthened their balance sheets but also amplified investor confidence. This is reflected in rising stock valuations for these firms, showcasing the synergy between strategic asset accumulation and market sentiment.
Key Drivers Behind Miner Resilience
1. Market Conditions: Lower Bitcoin prices in early 2024 allowed miners to acquire BTC at discounted rates.
2. Technological Advancements: The adoption of efficient mining equipment and energy optimization strategies enabled miners to enhance profitability.
3. Price Recovery: The late 2024 Bitcoin rally increased the value of miners’ reserves, positioning them advantageously in the current market landscape.
Challenges on the Horizon
Despite their impressive growth, U.S.-based miners face mounting challenges. Rising global hash rates, driven by increased competition from international miners, are squeezing profit margins. Furthermore, the upcoming Bitcoin halving in April 2024—which will reduce mining rewards by 50%—poses an additional hurdle. Miners will need to innovate, optimize operations, and explore diversified revenue streams to remain competitive.
Market Sentiment and Macroeconomic Factors
Bitcoin’s latest surge also aligns with macroeconomic developments. The cryptocurrency has gained 7.85% in the past week, fueled by speculation around the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump on January 20. Market participants anticipate favorable regulatory policies under the new administration, further boosting confidence in digital assets.
Outlook
At a market cap exceeding $2 trillion, Bitcoin’s ascent to $104,000 signifies both the resilience of the crypto market and the strategic maneuvers of key industry players. However, the overbought RSI, coupled with potential resistance at higher levels, necessitates vigilance among traders and investors.
While the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, near-term corrections could provide strategic entry points for those seeking to capitalize on its upward trajectory. As miners continue to accumulate reserves and innovate, their role in shaping Bitcoin’s future will be pivotal in navigating the challenges of an evolving crypto ecosystem.
TESLA WILL GROW|LONG|
✅TESLA made a retest of
The wide key horizontal
Support level around 380/400$ range
Then established a double bottom
And is going up now so as the
Stock is in the uptrend
We are bullish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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MANTA/USDT CHART UPDATE !! MANTA/USDT daily chart highlights a promising long-term trade setup with a strong bullish potential.
The chart shows an upward-sloping trendline that has been respected since the token’s inception. It serves as a crucial support level around $0.75–$0.80.
The price is consolidating near the trendline support, creating a low-risk entry zone for long positions.
A rapid bounce off this zone could signal the start of a strong upward move.
The chart indicates a large, bullish arrow towards $4.00, suggesting a potential 4x move upon exiting this accumulation phase.
The main resistance zones are near $1.50 and $2.50 before reaching the $4.00 target.
Risk Management:
If the price breaks below the trendline, it will invalidate the bullish setup, indicating caution.
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
A potential Leap on TSLA!🔉Sound on!🔉
📣Make sure to watch fullscreen!📣
Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
Etherium might surprise everyone. BINANCE:ETHUSD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
BINANCE:ETHUSD is showing strong bullish momentum after the BINANCE:BTCUSD breakout above 69K. However, the price of ETH is still in a trading range. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the middle of the range zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Second resistance: All-time high around 5000.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Buy (XRP)Wave 1 from the beginning of the price and then the price correction, which is wave 2 and wave 3, which I think will lead to this price going up, and wave 1 is equal to wave 3. What do you think?
Ripple has hit its first price target and has gone up by the length of the triangle and we are going for the next target
AMD - Medium Long Term Potential for circa 25% upside in 2025This one is nice and quiet, and well corrected
Short-Term Analysis (Days to Few Weeks)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Price Action & Support/Resistance:
AMD appears to be trading in a consolidation phase. Recent price action has shown AMD testing a key support level which may be associated with a recently established trend line or the 20/50-day moving averages. A breakout above this consolidation zone could catalyse a short-term upward move.
• Momentum & Volume:
The RSI has hovered near the neutral-to-oversold territory, suggesting that any bounce may be brief if buying pressure fails to accelerate. Conversely, modest increases in volume during upward moves hint at a cautious optimism in the market. Traders might also observe MACD crossovers as indicators for a near-term reversal.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
Should AMD break out to the upside, a conservative target in the short term could be approximately 3–5% above current levels. Conversely, if support fails, a move 3–4% lower is plausible.
• Probability:
There is an estimated 55–60% chance of a modest recovery if support holds, balanced against roughly a 40–45% risk of further decline should the asset lose key support.
Medium-Term Analysis (Several Weeks to a Few Months)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Trend Confirmation & Moving Averages:
On the daily chart, AMD has demonstrated some convergence between the 50-day and, in some cases, the 200-day moving averages. This could hint at an evolving medium-term trend, especially if a bullish crossover (often termed a “golden cross”) is confirmed. A consistent cluster of higher lows in the price action further reinforces medium-term recovery potential.
• Technical Indicator Convergence:
Both MACD and RSI are transitioning away from oversold levels, and support from recent trendlines suggests the build-up of medium-term momentum. Any significant divergence between these indicators and price action should, however, be monitored closely.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
If bullish momentum continues, AMD could target a rise of roughly 10–15% above current levels over the medium term. This projection assumes that key resistance zones act as temporary hurdles rather than insurmountable barriers.
• Probability:
There’s approximately a 50–55% likelihood of this upward move being realised, contingent on sustained trading volume and broad market sentiment supporting AMD’s recovery.
and finally..... the Long Game
Long-Term Analysis (Several Months to a Year and Beyond)
Chart Patterns & Indicators:
• Long-Term Trend & Accumulation:
On weekly and monthly charts, AMD has shown signs of a longer-term accumulation phase. This phase is typified by intermittent pullbacks that have set the stage for a gradual build-up in buying interest. Higher-timeframe moving averages and trend lines indicate that the market may be slowly re-calibrating to a more bullish perspective.
• Integration with Broader Market Trends:
Beyond the technicals, AMD’s performance is also intertwined with sector-specific and broader economic trends. An improvement in macroeconomic conditions, along with sustained institutional interest, could validate the longer-term bullish technical picture.
Price Target & Probabilities:
• Target:
In a scenario where the long-term uptrend gathers momentum, AMD might feasibly reach 20–30% above current levels over the coming year. This target assumes a clear breakout from consolidation and the eventual confirmation of a sustained bullish trend on monthly charts.
• Probability:
Given the current accumulation patterns and long-term trend indicators, there is an estimated 45–50% probability for this scenario. However, this likelihood is subject to change based on external market influences and AMD-specific corporate developments.
XAUUSD BUYPrice is obviously respecting an uptrend. Therefore, once price retest an area of interst.
A trade opportunity present itself
Even thought the RRR is less than 2:1, the trade is still valid,
and proper risk management is needed
Let's see if price hit profit today
Like and comment your thoughts
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Gold (XAUUSD) Analysis: Liquidity Grab and 1-Hour OB ReactionMarket Context:
The chart indicates a potential liquidity grab below the $2,700 level, targeting sell-side liquidity.
A clear 1-hour Order Block (OB) at $2,694–$2,696 is anticipated to act as a demand zone.
The bullish target is set to reclaim the Asian High at $2,717 after the anticipated reaction from the OB.
Key Levels:
Liquidity Sweep: Below $2,700, where price may clear stops and activate pending buy orders.
Demand Zone: 1-hour OB at $2,694–$2,696.
Bullish Target: The Asian High at $2,717, which aligns with the next liquidity zone.
Final Target: Previous High at $2,725.74, marking a major resistance level.
Technical Confluences:
Liquidity Engineering: Price has formed relatively equal lows near $2,700, creating an attractive level for liquidity grabs before a bullish move.
1-Hour OB as Demand: The 1-hour OB coincides with previous price inefficiencies, making it a high-probability area for bullish reactions.
Choch (Change of Character): A potential reversal in market structure is expected once the price reacts bullishly from the OB.
Execution Plan:
Entry: Place buy limit orders within the $2,694–$2,696 1-hour OB.
Stop Loss (SL): Below the OB at $2,692.00 to account for potential wicks.
Take Profit (TP):
Primary TP: $2,717 (Asian High).
Secondary TP: $2,725.74 (previous high).
Market Expectations:
Price is likely to sweep liquidity below $2,700, tap the 1-hour OB, and begin a bullish rally.
Confirmation for the move can be observed through bullish engulfing candles or a break of the immediate lower-high structure.
Monitoring the reaction at the OB is crucial to validate the bullish bias.
This setup offers a high reward-to-risk opportunity, targeting key liquidity zones while respecting price structure.
New Easy Play on Apple for EveryoneHello everyone, thank you for following me! If you're keeping up with the EASY PLAY idea series, here's a fresh one for 2025! As we've seen (and as you can check in my TW ideas), with AAPL, we've predicted every move: from the June idea with the pre-earnings candlestick pattern, to the March retracement stalemate with all targets hit, and up to the most recent idea with the triangle chart formation, which we fully achieved even before it was completed.
With all these fantastic gains, we can confidently say that my technical approach to APPLE works. So, here’s a simple idea for any trader, which could lead us to even more profits!
So let's proceed: we have Apple in a retracement phase after taking our profits with the target achieved using Fibonacci, precise and reliable. Apple dropped after reaching our target zone (see the Apple idea on my profile). Now, we move to buy in the lower green zone to sell immediately in the upper green zone, and the game is done! SIMPLE IDEAS ARE ALWAYS THE BEST.
Rigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) Long SetupRigetti Computing Inc. (RGTI) price appears to be completing ABC correction in the 15min chart, possibly completed wave (2) of an impulse wave structure and is set for a potential bullish continuation into wave (3).
Setup:
RGTI is completing wave (2) correction and is poised to enter wave (3), targeting higher levels.
Strategy:
Enter at current levels or wait for confirmation of bullish momentum breaking above $11.79.
Trade Plan:
Entry: $10.46, or confirmation entry $11.79
Stop Loss: $9.70
Take Profit: $18.26
Position Size: Adjust to limit risk to 1-2% of account equity.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Entry at $10.26 with a stop at $9.70 and target at $18.26 offers an RRR of approximately 1:10.
Confirmation Entry RRR is ~1:3
Confirmation:
Monitor for bullish candlestick patterns or a breakout above the $11.70 level to confirm the start of wave (3).
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trading financial markets involves risk, and you should not trade with money you cannot afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Consult a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Trade Advice:
Stick to your risk management rules and avoid overleveraging.
If the price breaks below $9.70, then the trade is not valid for confirmation entry.
Use alerts to monitor key levels ($11.7 for confirmation and $9.70 for the stop loss).
Nasdaq Futures: Key Setups to End the Week Strong | January 17Finish the trading week with today’s analysis of Nasdaq futures for Friday, January 17, 2025. We break down key zones, potential setups, and strategies to navigate the market ahead of Monday's anticipated volatility.
📈 Long Opportunities: Watch for entries around 21,360 or 21,440, targeting 21,560 and 21,650.
📉 Short Setups: Key zones include 21,510–21,560, with potential moves toward 21,360 or lower.
📊 Market Insights: A possible trend shift is forming across multiple timeframes. Be ready for significant movements heading into the weekend.
💬 Join our daily lives at 9:30 AM (NY time) for live analysis and Q&A. Let us know in the comments what other assets you’d like us to analyze or if you’d prefer swing trading strategies in future videos.
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XAU/USD Analysis (1H TF)The price has reacted strongly from the 1H Demand Zone, aligning with the broader bullish structure and multiple Break of Structure (BOS) confirmations. However, the key question is whether this zone will hold or fail, driving the price towards the lower 4H Demand Zone for a potential reaccumulation in the 1H. 👀
Current Observations:
Shift and BOS Confirmations: The recent structure shifts indicate bullish momentum.
Short-Term Target: Price is hovering near $2706, with a potential move towards the previous high near $2724.
Demand Zones in Play:
- 1H Demand Zone: Holding for now.
- 4H Demand Zone: Positioned below, providing a stronger area for mitigation if the current zone fails. (confluence with another unmitigated 1H demand zone)
What do you think, team? Will the demand zone hold, or are we looking at a retest of the lower demand zone? Share your thoughts below! 💡
DXY (INDEX) analysis This chart shows the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on the 1-hour timeframe. Key observations:
1. **Support Zone**: The shaded grey area around 108.800–109.000 is acting as a strong support zone, with multiple rejections visible.
2. **Rounded Retest**: There seems to be a rounded retest pattern forming, suggesting bullish momentum might build if the price sustains above this level.
3. **Structure**: Break of structure (BOS) and change of character (ChoCh) markers indicate recent shifts in momentum. The latest BOS suggests the potential for bullish continuation.
4. **Key Resistance**: Immediate resistance is visible near 109.400–109.600. A breakout above this could lead to further upside.
5. **Strategy**: Watching for bullish confirmation above the support zone or at breakout levels could be prudent. Alternatively, failure to hold this zone may lead to bearish pressure.