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Trend Line Break

GOLD → ATH retest before CPI. What should we expect?FX:XAUUSD is defending the psychological level and support zone at 2450 and testing key resistance at 2477 for a breakout, ahead of 2483. All eyes are on key US CPI inflation data Traders are still expecting a softer CPI report after a larger than expected decline in PPI data released yesterday. A softer CPI figure may confirm forecasts of an aggressive Fed rate cut, which will intensify the USD sell-off. This situation may trigger a northward movement in gold (strengthening the price) In addition, the price of gold continues to find support in the geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the situation is still heated to the limit. Technically, the price continues to head towards 2477-2483. Retests of resistance for a breakout of the level continue. Resistance levels: 2477, 2483, 2500 Support levels: 2458, 2450 On high news volatility, the price may form a quick breakout and rally or long-squeeze before rising further. BUT, unpredictable news may break the market structure, in which case the price may head beyond 2450. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
GOLD → Pullback from 2477. What's next? News ahead... FX:XAUUSD strengthens to an interim high and hits strong resistance at 2477.5. Gold is not ready to break the boundary yet and is forming a pullback ahead of the news - PPI to be released at 12:30 GMT. Fundamentally, traders are still watching the situation in the Middle East as there are rumors of different nature every day. If the conflict escalates, it will only increase the interest in the metal. Also, traders are waiting for PPI (one of the key inflation reports) as well as CPI (to be published on Wednesday) to determine if the US Federal Reserve is preparing a significant interest rate hike after the weak employment report. Technically, 2477 and 2458 are worth watching. If price starts to return to resistance and consolidate near the level, then a breakout is worth waiting for. But a break of support at 2458 will send the price down to the zone of interest before a possible rise. Resistance levels: 2477, 2483 Support levels: 2458, 2450, 2439 Key focus on news and market fundamentals that could set a medium-term tone for the dollar and gold. But, technically gold is strongly bullish... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
14
GOLD → The bull market continues. Ahead of the PPI...FX:XAUUSD has been breaking through the key resistance 2431 since the opening of the session and is holding towards the liquidity zone 2458. Ahead of PPI, which may set a short-term tone in the market. Gold continues to form a bullish trend, the general premise is that the price is going to test ATH. Ahead of PPI and it is worth paying attention to the inflation indicator, which plays an important role for the Fed and the formation of further strategy. Also a lot of attention to the Middle East, namely the actions of Iran.... Technically, the price is in the range of 2458 - 2431. Emphasis on the resistance, because, on the background of a distant retest, it will not be possible to break this zone from the first time and a correction may take place before further growth. Resistance levels: 2458, 2477 Support levels: 2431, 2418 Traders expect the PPI to remain at the same level, but if the data indicates a decline in inflation, the market may take it very positively. Unpredictable data can increase market volatility quite a lot. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
23
NZDCAD → Consolidation prepares the market for a trend change ↑FX:NZDCAD is breaking the current bearish trend and forming a bullish off-trend pattern. Focusing on the 0.82863 "trigger" resistance, bulls are targeting it to break this area... Accumulation is forming in relation to the mentioned zone, if the structure will remain, and buyers will continue active attacks towards the "trigger", then in the long term we can look for an entry point for a breakdown. The market is still restrained by MA-200 & MA-50, but the 200-day line is undergoing a third retest, which generally increases the chances of price consolidation above the key SMA. Globally we have a neutral trend, locally the market sentiment is starting to turn bullish. The structure will be broken if the price consolidates below 0.82239. Resistance levels: 0.82863, MA-200 Support levels: 0.82239, MA-50 Fundamentally, the situation in New Zealand is calming down and the market is starting to recover losses. Emphasis on the ascending triangle on H4, it is possible to build short-term and medium-term prospects in relation to this figure Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ NZDCAD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
GOLD → The bulls kept the market from falling. Emphasis on 2431FX:XAUUSD is working out the range support and realizing the potential of the pattern "symmetrical triangle" in a bullish direction. On H1-H4 the market is in a sideways range, locally we are dealing with a bullish trend. There is no news today. Technically, a bullish market is developing. Global trend is upward, local trend is neutral with bullish prerequisites. The price is squeezed between the resistance at 2431, which is the key resistance. A breakdown and consolidation above this zone will open a huge potential for the market. On H1, consolidation is forming above the support at 2418, a retest and liquidity capture is possible before further growth, as the bullish potential (locally) is not exhausted yet and the upward movement can be continued, but after a small correction. The market is perfectly working the lower boundary of the range 2369 and now considers the upper boundary 2477 as a potential.... Resistance Levels: 2431 Support levels: 2418, 2407, 2402 Emphasis on these levels. Most likely MM may test the support before the subsequent rise. But the primary retest of 2431 may give a small correction before the breakout and impulse to the mentioned targets. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
SOLANA → Correction to the liquidity zone before the rally ↑BINANCE:SOLUSDT enjoys high interest from both a fundamental and technical perspective. Bulls overcome key resistance, but the coin follows bitcoin and there are nuances.... Solana's growth is likely to continue because it is well positioned to capture the next wave of cryptocurrency adoption. Likewise, the coin is also strengthening as the third major crypto asset after Bitcoin and Ethereum. Investors evaluate such positive factors as: high activity amid the BTC correction, more meme coins (weird, but okay), growth in overall capitalization and DEX volumes on the network, and low commissions. This whole conglomerate suggests that Solana could be the next crypto-ETF to launch. Technically, we should pay attention to the nuance between Mt.Gox and BTC, accordingly, the market may slip to support until the situation stabilizes before further growth, which can be influenced by ETH-ETF. Resistance levels: 162.45 Support levels: 140.0 133.8, 122.3 The market may let the correction continue due to Mt.Gox, which activated BTC transfers after a test transaction today. And since SOL actively follows BTC, the moves could be correlated. The bullish trend will continue after the situation stabilizes. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with SOL ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
10
GOLD → What is the problem with a SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE ► ?FX:XAUUSD is still trading inside the flat 2420 - 2370 forming a symmetrical triangle. Traders continue to struggle for the area of 2400. News ahead... I understand that you don't like it when there is no clear direction on the chart, but there are nuances here and in some cases you need to have both bullish and bearish scenarios. Let's break it down... On D1 there is a rather encouraging situation indicating how the bulls continue to hold the support of the global trend. The issue of aggressive easing of the US Fed policy is still relevant. Likewise, speculators are closely watching developments around Iran's attack on Israel. If it happens, it is likely to give additional impetus to the growth of gold prices. Meanwhile, Initial Jobless Claims of the USA may provide short-term potential for the markets. Technically, gold is forming a symmetrical triangle on H1. The bearish pressure is still present in the market. Gold is not technical now, but depends on fundamental nuances. Resistance levels: 2400 Support levels: 2380 The problem with a symmetrical triangle is that no one knows where the price will go until the actual exit. Globally we have a bull market, locally there is pressure from the bears. There is a high probability of a breakout of the symmetrical triangle support and a decline to 2364-2351, but if the economic factor has a bullish effect on the market, gold may continue to test 2400 with the goal of a breakout and a rise to 2420. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
XRP → The court case is complete. Triangle Resistance Retest...↑BINANCE:XRPUSD is forming a rally from the intermediate bottom area. The reason for this is the end of the litigation between Ripple and SEC. The market has been laying a positive outcome for the past few weeks.... The SEC was demanding $2 billion dollars, but the court reduced their demand by 94%, admitting they lost! This is a positive outcome for Ripple, the industry. Ripple is only fined $125 million instead of $2 billion. The rumors have been around for a while, but the market reacted quite positively, giving an initial boost of 27% Technically, at the moment, all eyes are on the range 0.6378, 0.5663. Emphasis on the resistance breakout. If the bulls can overcome this boundary, it will be a confirmation of the price exit from the global descending triangle, which may affect the formation of a bullish trend, the promising targets of which may be 0.900, 1.300. Resistance levels: 0.6378, 0.7440 Support levels: 0.5663, MA-50 Fundamentally and technically, everything is unfolding with favorable winds for the bulls. It opens the way to the north, but before that, the bulls need to try to overcome the strong resistance. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:XRPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
4
GOLD → Consolidation above global trend supportFX:XAUUSD is trading inside the global range. The focus is on local support and resistance levels. The dollar is temporarily rising, which has an impact on gold, which is globally in a bullish trend. The gold price remains vulnerable despite the US Federal Reserve's dovish stance. The gold price continues to lose ground for the fifth day in a row on Wednesday, approaching a one-week low on the back of a generally stronger US Dollar (USD) and rising US Treasury yields. There are not many key news today, so the general fundamental background and technical component should be evaluated as a priority. Technically, gold is not allowed below 2369 and 2380, forming a correction and a retest of the resistance at 2397-2400. If the bulls are able to break this zone and consolidate above the level, we can get on the train to the north, but an active struggle of differently-minded traders is forming in this zone. The trading range for today is 2420 - 2370 (confirmed by the movement of August 05 - 06). Resistance levels: 2397, 2400, 2420 Support levels: 2380, 2370 If bears hold resistance, price may test the lower boundary of the range. But, a retest and breakdown of 2420 would disrupt the market structure and character and create a fickle mood, within which the bulls may give impetus. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
15
Gold prices enter a recovery period and the plunge is overOANDA:XAUUSD Against the backdrop of concerns about economic recession, global assets are experiencing a sell-off. But as a safe-haven asset, shouldn't gold rise? Instead, it followed the sharp drop of $100. This situation is very abnormal, so I don't think gold will continue to fall. Once investors calm down and look back, gold will soon highlight its safe-haven characteristics. The market now believes that the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September is 90%, and the US dollar index is also falling, and the probability of gold prices continuing to fall is shrinking. And the Middle East geopolitical crisis has not yet passed, and you don't know when it will break out again, leading to rising risk aversion. Under the above multiple premises, we should not be overly bearish on gold Technically speaking, 2420 is a watershed, which has already highlighted its importance in the previous trends that have served as resistance and support many times. Once it breaks through, it will open up room for growth. On the contrary, gold will maintain a low-level oscillation pattern, because such actions will be carried out after a big drop or a big rise. The main support area below is 2380-2365. Be prepared to sell if it falls below. ★Welcome to share your views and questions below, let's discuss TVC:GOLD 's latest ideas
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by AntonyTP
3
GOLD → False break of range support led to a reboundFX:XAUUSD reaches the liquidity zone of 2370, forming a false breakdown, confirms the presence of a strong range boundary. The market may move into a sideways trend. Fundamentally, the situation is still complicated. The U.S. regulators are trying to change the market's mind on the recession issue, trying to keep the market calm. The question of aggressive actions of regulators is still open. At the moment everyone is watching the actions in the Middle East, as the activity on the background of the war already unleashed can again affect the price of gold. Markets continue to estimate almost 90% probability of a 50 basis points cut in US interest rates in September. Let me remind you that it is not the fact of reduction that matters, but the hints and comments of regulators. At this time, gold is forming a global range of 2480 - 2370. Resistance levels: 2420 Support levels: 2400 Technically, gold may go into a consolidation phase, but in the future it is worth watching the resistance at 2420. As a pre-breakout consolidation or a quick retest may lead to a breakout attempt and growth Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
5
GOLD → A retest of trend support. ISM PMI ahead...FX:XAUUSD is moving into the correction phase amid unstable fundamental environment. The price of the metal is declining towards the rather important zone of 2420, which has shown itself more than once. Fundamentally, the market is in fear because of possible recession, which may become a motivation for the Fed to take hasty actions and more aggressive easing of monetary policy Rumors are emerging about a possible emergency FED meeting in the near future. Not to forget gold as a hedge asset, which continues to feel supported in volatile times. Speculators are cautious and refrain from premature actions ahead of the ISM services PMI data and the tense situation in the Middle East. Support levels: 2419,6, 2403, 2382 Resistance levels: 2451, 2474 Technically, gold is at a strong support at 2419 and judging by the reaction of the price to the level, the buyers are acting quite aggressively, trying to hold the market. Against this background, the price may strengthen to the nearest resistance 2430, 2445, 2450, but if the price starts to return to 2419, forming a quick retest, it will increase the chances of a possible breakdown of the bullish channel and further decline to the zone of interest and liquidity. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GOLD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
17
GBPUSD → Support retest amid falling dollarFX:GBPUSD is testing trend support for a breakout, but the situation is complicated by the difficult economic state of the Dollar... GBPUSD is going flat. Technically, GBPUSD could have a chic bullish outlook, provided buyers hold 1.27 support. Fundamentally, things are quite complicated, but more positive for the currency pair's growth: there is a high chance of recession in the US due to last week's unexpected data, indicating a very rapid slowdown in the economy. Rumors of the possibility of an emergency interest rate cut by the US Fed are forming. Also, in UK: Composite PMI +0.5%, Services PMI +0.4%). Technically: it is worth paying attention to the flat 1.28000 - 1.27000. If the bulls hold the lower boundary and bring prices back beyond 1.28 with further consolidation, we should expect a positive outcome and a northward course. Resistance levels: 1.2818, 1.2894 Support levels: 1.2707, 1.2615 Emphasis on this range, the flat boundaries play a key role for the medium-term perspective Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
7
EURUSD → Consolidation before distribution. Target 1.100FX:EURUSD is forming a wedge, the nature of the pattern is consolidation. FOMC & FED meeting is ahead. The main issue is inflation and interest rate cuts. What should we expect? 100% probability that today the rate will remain unchanged, but Powell at the meeting may signal a Fed rate cut in the coming months amid slowing labor market growth. Eurozone consumer inflation fell from +0.2 to 0% (expected -0.3%) and core CPI rose by 0.1 to +2.9%, suggesting a generally improving environment for a stronger EUR. Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the area of 1.08. A descending wedge is forming on the chart, another retest, if the fundamental background persists, may lead to a break of resistance. In this case, the market may move into the distribution phase, within which it is able to update the local maximum. Resistance levels: 1.0852 Support levels: 1.08 Traders are in no hurry to act prematurely and will wait for the Fed and FOMC meeting. Technically everything is favorable to start the growth. Potential target is 1.100 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
6