GOLD → 2319 keeps the market from falling, but for how long?FX:XAUUSD GOLD is still consolidating within the local range of 2340 - 2320, which is formed after breaking a strong trend line support. The dollar index is still heading northward
Gold is still unable to break downside resistance, as well as forming price consolidation below previously broken support. The key risk zone on which the bulls put so much is 2319-2320. A breakdown and consolidation of the price below this line may trigger a rally to 2290-2275.
All eyes are on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's speech today at 13:30 GMT
The recent rise in gold prices can be attributed to lower US Treasury yields as traders resort to profit taking ahead of important US events. ISM, FOMC, NFP are ahead, but the fundamental background for gold is still weak and buyers do not believe in upward movement yet.
Resistance levels: 2332, 2341
Support levels: 2319, 2306, 2297
Technically, a bearish pattern is developing on the senior timeframe, unless Powell says something unpredictable today, the general background will remain the same, which will be favorable for further price decline to these areas.
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Line Break
XRP → Rally to 0.730 ↑ The fundamental denouement is comingBINANCE:XRPUSDT is approaching a possible decoupling, both technically and fundamentally. Positive signs of life could lead to a rally, first stop could be around 0.73.
On W1, the coin is trying to live, but there is a huge fundamental reason that keeps the price from going beyond resistance and flat: The SEC v. Ripple litigation.
The Ripple vs. SEC case is a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency regulation, as a final victory would be a strong green sign for the entire cryptocurrency community amidst the SEC getting a number of restrictions on its activities lately due to overstepping its authority.
Ripple's CEO believes that the final verdict could come at the end of the summer. Everyone is counting on a positive outcome for XRP:
The court found that Ripple violated federal securities laws by making institutional sales of XRP, but dismissed other charges brought by the SEC.
Ripple Labs opposed the SEC's proposal to fine the company nearly $2 billion.
Ripple Labs said the court should impose a civil penalty of no more than $10 million
Technically:
Price continues to test the wedge resistance with the aim of breaking it, volatility decreases and consolidation continues. Below 0.4637 buyers are not letting the price in yet, which may lead to another retest of the resistance, which will only increase the chances of a breakout.
Price consolidation above 0.4962 will be the root cause of market character change and possible rally to 0.6265 - 0.73.
Support levels: 0.4637
Resistance levels: 0.4962, 0.5720
I expect that the buyers will still be able to break through the resistance of the bearish figure in the near future and ride the rally to the mentioned targets.
Regards R. Linda!
ADAUSDT → Change of character, are the bulls coming back? ↑ 0.77BINANCE:ADAUSDT forms a change of market character, and also breaks the resistance of the wedge. Regarding the reversal zone on W1 a false breakout is formed. The coin may move into the realization phase.
The token is lagging behind the overall capitalization and market movement, still in the consolidation phase, the boundaries of which are 0.2392 (0.4) - 0.777. In the distribution phase, ADA has chances to recover. At the moment we should consider trading inside the range and after confirmation of the formation of an intermediate bottom above 0.4 (consolidation above this zone) the market will define a new range for itself. 0.4 - 0.77. The potential in this case will be the corridor with the width of 93%.
Technically, if the bulls hold the price above 0.4, it will be a good signal for the price distribution to 0.52, further to 0.678.
Support levels: 3775, 0.400
Resistance levels: 0.42, 0.522
The bearish wedge is a strong technical pattern, capable of turning the market, but in order to start the realization, the bulls need to take the defense above the key zone, in our case it is 0.400.
With Respect R. Linda!
NZDUSD → Traders prepare for bearish rally to 0.60OANDA:NZDUSD is consolidating after breaking the uptrend support. There are no signs on the chart for possible growth, only if the fundamental environment does not change drastically...
Technically, a bearish situation is forming on the senior timeframe within the 0.6219 - 0.6084 range. Traders do not believe that the dollar will start to fall and are forming sell-offs of the New Zealand dollar. A break of 0.6083 could lead to a strong sell-off that could spill the market to 0.60 - 0.587. But as the US GDP will be released tomorrow, the market may continue to move flat until some important measures are taken by the major traders.
Resistance levels: 0.6140, 0.6215
Support levels: 0.6083, 0.600
I expect a retest of the support against which a small rebound may follow. But, if the situation both technically and fundamentally will not change in the near future, we should expect the formation of a bearish trend.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The rallies in GBP continue. Falling to 1.26?FX:GBPUSD on Friday updates the local low and confirms the bearish nature of the market. Since the opening session traders have been trying to buy back some of the decline and are heading towards the liquidity zone, from which bears may intensify selling
Traders increased selling in GBP to a 16-month high amid expectations that the Central Bank of England will start cutting interest rates sooner than the US Fed. Investors are expecting the GDP of both countries (UK and US) on Wednesday and Thursday. This will help to form a medium-term strategy.
Technically, price is heading towards the 1.270 zone of interest (psychological area), which previously played the underlying consolidation support. A retest and capture of the liquids could change the imbalance in the market, which could lead to an intensified sell-off from the said area
Resistance levels: 1.27, 1.275
Support levels: 1.26, 1.257
The dollar index looks stronger than the pound sterling, which continues to weaken due to fundamental reasons. The Feds are not yet ready to take premature action, which generally determines a negative fundamental background for the currency pair.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Countertrend correction or consolidation before a fall ↓FX:XAUUSD has been updating the local minimum since the opening of the session and confirms the bearish nature of the market. The price is heading towards the area of interest and liquidity before a possible decline
Today the focus is on the news: S&P PMI, ISM. Traders are expecting relatively warm data, but, at the moment, everything revolves around the perception of inflation news regarding the inflation itself in the Fed's further view on monetary policy. High volatility is possible.
Technically, on D1 gold is trading in bearish territory and at the moment, after updating the local low, the price is heading towards the liquidity zone, from which the sell-offs may increase. There is a possibility that before further decline the price may go deeper, for example, to test the imbalance area, as well as the previously broken channel boundary (liquidity capture).
Resistance levels: 2332, 2341, 2346
Support levels: 2325, 2315, 2306
It is possible that the situation may change, as traders are overreacting to inflation-related news, but at the moment, on the high timeframe is formed exclusively bearish setup on the negative fundamental background.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Further direction depends on PCE and traders' perceptionsFX:XAUUSD strengthens on the news as traders took it as a possible easing of inflation. The dollar under pressure is favorable for gold.
Ahead of the core PCE, traders expect inflation to ease from 2.8 to 2.6
If inflation data points to a slowdown in inflation, the gold price is likely to recover as the US dollar will be under strong selling pressure. This fact could be a kind of signal for a possible interest rate cut in the US in the fall (which everyone is waiting for). On the contrary, the US dollar may continue to strengthen and put pressure on the gold price if the data is unexpected....
On Thursday, mixed data on the growth of the US economy, put downward pressure on the US dollar. This helped the gold price to strengthen to 2330.
Technically, the price is testing the liquidity area where the bears may enter the fray. A false breakdown of the previously broken channel boundary may lead to another selloff.
Resistance levels: 2340, 2352
Support levels: 2332, 2319
Gold is currently in the selling zone and traders do not believe in the possible growth, the priority is to consider the price decline, but do not rush to conclusions ! Ahead of the news, a change in the fundamental environment will attract investors and we may see a breakdown of 2340 and growth to 2360, but if the fundamental background does not change, an impulse to 2300 may be formed.
Regards R. Linda!
Nvidia : Learning from the pastNASDAQ:NVDA
Looking at the past is easy, but learning from it is easier.
Let's get listed the points.
1. Breakout of trendline on 24Jan23, that started
on 19Nov21, confirmed on 29Mar22;
2. Bullish divergence started in Sep22 and
confirmed in mid Oct22;
3. No lower low after 13Oct22;
4. Breakout of previous lower high of 13Dec22 on
24Jan23 (which happened to be breakout
of Trendline as well.
EURUSD → Weak market. The target is 1.06. But, news... FX:EURUSD is forming a consolidation, characteristic of a pre-breakout, against a key support line as the dollar index continues to gain support and hold north.
A strong bearish situation is developing on D1. There is no strong buyer in the market that can turn around a weak market under pressure from strong bears. The market is below the MA200-MA50 daily moving averages and is also forming consolidation relative to the support, which with a high degree of probability speaks about the intentions to go lower.
On H4 the price is in consolidation, above the local maximum is the area of liquidity, as well as resistance, which can test the market before the subsequent decline.
BUT! Today's news. Traders are waiting for PCE inflation data....
Resistance levels: 1.07238, 1.07816
Support levels: 1.0664, 1.0606
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair is in a neutral-negative outlook. If the fundamental background does not change today, I will still stick to the downward movement to 1.06- 1.055.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPCAD → Trend Change. The fall may continue to 1.710OANDA:GBPCAD breaks the uptrend, a bearish rally is forming and the price is testing local support. A break of the liquidity area will renew the sell-off against a weaker GBP and a rising CAD.
Pound sterling is moving from accumulation to realization and downward distribution on the background of expectations that the UK central bank will start an earlier interest rate cut relative to the US Fed. The Canadian, on the contrary, is growing on the background of monetary policy tightening in the country.
The resistance at 1.7336 plays a key role for the currency pair at the moment. A false breakdown (touching the SMA) is possible before the subsequent price drop, a breakdown of 1.7297 will strengthen the sell-off.
Resistance levels: 1.7336, 1.7387, 1.7415.
Support levels: 1.7297, 1.7228
I expect consolidation in the local range, which may turn into a phase of further decline. Key liquidity zones are 1.7228 - 1.7085.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Correction before the news. Bears may resist ↓FX:XAUUSD after falling to 2293 is forming a correction before the news as traders are shrugging off fear of unpredictability. Important news ahead that determines the medium term strategy
Traders are waiting for US GDP and PCE inflation data. Bullish data against the dollar could hurt the price of gold quite a bit, which could head towards 2220 and get a downward correction phase change to a downtrend. Regulators are still sticking to the fact that inflation is high and it is still hard to fight it.
Technically, price is forming a bounce. Local rally is directed towards interest and liquidity: 2315-2325. Possible retest of local resistance before the news, if the general mood does not change, the fall will continue from the above zones. But, a break of the resistance at 2325 will bring the market back to the range boundaries....
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2332
Support levels: 2306, 2397, 2287
Unpredictable news makes trading difficult, but based on the current data the market is bearish, there is no big buyer yet, local data may form a shakeout and increased volatility, after the exhaustion of which traders may return to sell-offs of metal
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → An attempt to break H4-D1 support. Fear?FX:XAUUSD is updating the low. The breakdown of the structure confirms the dominant bearish potential. But, the price is moving reluctantly in anticipation of the news. There could be a retest of resistance (trap) before falling.
The dollar is strongly bullish. The US market situation is difficult and regulators have hinted more often about rate hike, inflation is uncontrollably rising and this is a negative scenario for the markets.
The situation in the Middle East is heating up: the Israeli army continues to pull heavy military equipment to the borders of Lebanon. The intensification of the conflict will increase the interest in gold as a safe-haven asset.
At the moment, technically, gold is in a selling zone, as the price is breaking the strong support area H4-D1. A retest is possible before the subsequent fall (if the overall fundamental environment does not change dramatically).
Resistance levels: 2326, 2332, 2341
Support levels: 2315, 2306, 2297
Traders are waiting for the US GDP, which will be released tomorrow. Traders expect the DXY to continue its northward course, accordingly, the expensive dollar on gold may have a negative impact...
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD - Gold prices continued to fall💵GOLD PRICE AND ECONOMIC INFORMATION
Gold fell to around $2,310 per ounce on Wednesday, extending its decline from the previous session, as investors digest more hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials about the outlook for interest rate cuts. Fed Governor Lisa Cook stated on Tuesday that a rate cut will be appropriate at some point, but the timing is uncertain, while Fed Governor Bowman mentioned that she doesn't anticipate any rate cuts this year. This came on top of strong US business activity data last week, reaching a 26-month high in June, adding further to the hawkish pressure. Meanwhile, investors are looking forward to Friday’s core PCE index data, the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, particularly after the recent cooling of CPI and PPI data, alongside the third estimate for Q1 GDP growth and consumer spending and income.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2334 - 2336, SL: 2340
🟢BUY GOLD: 2302- 2300, SL: 2296
🟢BUY GOLD: 2294- 2292, SL: 2288
⛔️Breakout: top border 2324 - 2335 - below 2311 - 2305
🔼Support: 2311- 2306 - 2300 - 2295 - 2290
🔽Resistance: 2337- 2341 - 2345 - 2349 - 2354
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
USDJPY → False break of support, Yen weakens. 160.0 again?FX:USDJPY fell under the correction wave, which was caused by the liquidation of buyers based on the change in the fundamental sentiment of the dollar index. It didn't last long.
Buyers liquidation on the back of strong bullish trend. (A big player collects the position)
In general, both technically and fundamentally, the situation remains unfavorable for the Japanese yen. The national currency may continue to weaken and thus test the current ATH.
False breakdown of trend support brings the price back to the range of 155.95-157.23. Possible retest of resistance with the subsequent breakout and growth to the far liquidity zones.
Resistance levels: 157.23, 158.44
Support levels: 155.95, 154.77
The bulls should hold the defense above 155.95 with the aim to continue rising. The intermediate key point is 157.23 with the possibility of further breakout and growth.
Regards R. Linda!
BTC USDT: WE NEED TO FLIP CERTAIN LEVELS TO SAY TO THE MOON!Based on my analysis, I believe DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) into large-cap alts at current levels may be more prudent than waiting to DCA out at higher prices like 64K. My current investment strategy prioritizes Large Cap > Mid > Low > Meme > USDT > BTC.
Several technical indicators support this view:
1 Bullish RSI divergence between oscillator and price
2 Quick RSI reset without prolonged low levels
3 Moving Average crossover on the RSI
4 20-day MA crossing down to meet the 150-day MA, with price showing strength
(I'm keeping this analysis relatively basic, avoiding more complex concepts like Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Inner Circle Trading (ICT) for broader accessibility.)
These factors suggest we may be approaching a market bottom. I made a similar analysis when BTC was around 18K, which proved accurate. However, I'm always open to new perspectives and would be interested in hearing why you might view the current situation differently.
Personally, I'm maintaining my positions in large-caps and BTC from here. My confidence stems from thorough research into the assets I've chosen. I'm curious about your investment thesis - what factors drive your confidence in your holdings?
It's worth noting the potential impact of Bitcoin miners on the market. Historically, respecting their influence has often preceded BTC price increases.
Short-term, I anticipate a possible retracement to around 54K as a 'max pain' point, particularly for less experienced traders. I'm so confident in this projection that I'm willing to offer a free month of my subscription service if it doesn't materialize.
The large-caps I'm particularly focused on include BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, ARB, and AVAX. I'm also keeping an eye on AI and DePIN projects. For Real World Assets (RWA), I'm currently most interested in ONDO, CFG, and PENDLE.
I'd be keen to hear your thoughts on this analysis. Do you see similar patterns in the market? Are there other indicators or factors you believe are crucial to consider in the current environment?
GOLD → Trading inside the range. 2340 zone of interest FX:XAUUSD is not preparing to leave the local ascending channel (the nature of the channel is corrective-consolidation), as traders do not seek premature action before the news
The U.S. market is facing another problem: slowing economic growth and rising inflation is leading to recession, no matter how much the authorities deny it. Accordingly, the phase of active currency support may continue and this may have a negative impact on the metal price. Today CB Consumer Confidence - the indicator can give some idea about the mood on the market, but in general traders are waiting for the US GDP, which will be published on Thursday. Neutral data is expected, but there is a high probability that the actual data will be different from the expected...
Resistance levels: 2341, 2354
Support levels: 2326, 2315, 2305
The general mood is neutral, the big players are not in a hurry to act and are consolidating. Technically, gold may strengthen to 2340 (area of interest and liquidity) within the range. The bulls may stop the micro rally and turn the price to the support, if the market maker is not enough, the price may strengthen to 2354 before coming back down
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD Gold prices continue to trend downPrice range to note:
Upper breakout amplitude: 2334
Lower border breakout: 2323 - 2316 - 2312
Support: 2316 - 2312- 2306 - 2300
Resistance: 2337 - 2341 - 2345 - 2349 - 2354
SELL price range 2336 - 2338
BUY price range 2302 - 2300 stop loss 2296
The scaling strategy will be launched when the above supported resistances signal on command.
Note: Full TP, SL to be safe and win the market.
GBPJPY → Breaking the psychological level. What's next, 215.0?OANDA:GBPJPY is getting ready to break resistance (ATH for 15 years). In the long term, there is upside potential to 215.8. A strong bullish formation is forming on H4-D1
On the monthly timeframe, price is in the 195-215 range. Bulls kept the defense above the support, at the same time a pre-breakdown setup is forming on the chart, the focus of which is on the resistance at 200.6. The psychological level may be broken in the nearest future, which may provoke the market to active growth towards 202-205, further towards 215 (medium-term perspective).
Japanese Central Bank is not doing well, today we expect news in the US: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, inflation data is expected to be neutral.
Resistance levels: 200.6
Support levels: 199.9
Technically and fundamentally, the currency pair has a strong bullish bias. If the bulls are able to consolidate above 200, this zone will become a strong support in the medium term.
Regards R. Linda!
Solana - TWO Bearish IndicationsSolana has lost a longstanding trendline that acted as support since October 2023. The price has been unable to bounce back, and we're seeing a steep decline as bears are outweighing buyers:
A Technical Indicator (which I use mainly to determine trend swings from a macro perspective) has just flashed SELL in the weekly timeframe. Now based on previous instances, this took us MUCH lower. These alerts happen in real time when a certain conglomeration of parameters are met (based on Strength, Trend, Averages, Real Time) and so naturally, the higher the timeframe the better the result:
The only way we will be safeguarded against a steep incoming drop, is if the price can reclaim the green trendline in the Weekly Timeframe. From a candlestick analysis perspective, seeing Three White Soldiers in the daily could be a step in the right direction ( which is UP ).
____________________________
COINBASE:SOLUSD
Bitcoin - Ultimate 2025 target + Name your coinBitcoin should bounce soon from the 62,400 level and continue in the bull market to an all-time high. Why 62,400? All details are in my previous analysis in the related section down below.
Critical news:
Looking at AI-generated images and listening to AI music causes internal mental bleeding. Regulations on AI will follow. Bad news for AI crypto coins? (Source: X).
Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy Acquires 11.9K More Bitcoin for $786M. The company now holds 226,331 bitcoins worth just shy of $15 billion. The company's bitcoins were purchased at an average price of $36,798 each. (Source: CoinDesk).
To establish the ultimate profit target for the whole bull run, we need to use the Fibonacci extension and Elliott Wave theory. Throw away all Fibonacci levels on Bitcoin and use only following that works: 0.382, 0.500, 0.618, 1.000, 1.382, 1.618, 2.000, 2.382, 2.618, 3.000 etc......First, we need to make an Elliott Wave count, and after that, we can use the Fibonacci extension tool. As per my Elliott Wave count, we are in the final wave (5) of the whole bull cycle. That means we are in an impulse wave (1)(2)(3)(4)(5) and finishing the fifth wave. In general, to establish the profit target for wave (5), we need to use the Fibonacci extension tool from the start of the bull market, to wave (3), to wave (4). Usually, we want to target the 0.382 fib extension or the 0.618 fib extension. But in this case, it seems to be too low, so I am targeting a 1:1 FIB extension because of the wave (2) look. This gives us a profit target of 114,853.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Also, name your coin in the comment section and I will tell you my opinion + TA. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
TSLA: Key Support Levels and Potential Breakout (1H/D charts).Hourly Chart: Critical Support at 167.75
The hourly chart for TSLA highlights a crucial support level at 167.75, reinforced by the 50% Fibonacci retracement, marked in yellow. This price area acted as a support twice, one time in May 10, and another one in June 11, indicating its importance. The purple ascending trendline suggests a potential upward movement if the support holds. However, the resistance level at 186.88, marked by the black line, must be closely monitored as it has repeatedly acted as a barrier to price advances.
Daily Chart: Congestion and Key Levels
On the daily chart, the congestion zone around 167.75 is evident, indicating a period of price consolidation. This congestion area suggests indecision in the market, often preceding a significant price move. The key resistance at 186.88 aligns with the hourly chart, making it a crucial level for us to watch. A break above this level could signal a potential breakout, while a failure could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
The 186.88 level is a significant resistance point. A break above this level, confirmed by strong volume, could indicate a bullish breakout, providing a potential buying opportunity. If the support at 167.75 fails, the next significant support level is at 138.80, marked by the black line. This level should be monitored for potential buying opportunities if prices decline further.
Key Considerations
- Support Holding: The double support at 167.75 has shown strength. Its ability to hold in the future will be crucial for any bullish scenarios.
- Breakout Potential: The congestion and repeated tests of resistance at 186.88 suggest a significant move is imminent. We should be prepared for a potential breakout or a sharp move downwards if resistance holds, and if its price misses the short-term support lines seen on the hourly chart.
Conclusion
The TSLA charts suggest a period of consolidation with critical support at 167.75 and resistance at 186.88. We should closely monitor these levels for potential trading opportunities. A break above the resistance could signal a bullish move to the $206, while a failure to hold support might indicate further downside.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“ To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate. ” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
GOLD → Correction after the rally. Bears still dominateFX:XAUUSD has been strengthening since the opening of the session, buyers are trying to hold the defense above 2325 and redeem part of Friday's fall. Fundamental background remains negative.
Idea: GOLD → Bears are engulfing the market. What's next?
We discussed a possible rebound and the strength of the bear market.
The price consolidation above the strong support at 2326 opens the range for maneuvering and may allow traders to strengthen to 2341 (2354) - the area of interest, the target of such maneuvering may be the liquidity inside the range, formed within Friday's rally by those who tried to catch the departing train. If 2341 will be confirmed and the bears will not let the price go beyond its limits, the market may go into the sell-off phase again.
Investors this week are interested in GDP and PCE, which are released in the second half of the week, the first half of the trading week may be relatively quiet.
Resistance levels: 2341, 2354
Support levels: 2325, 2315, channel support
I expect the correction to continue to the area of liquidity and interest. A major player may gather the rest of the potential before further movement in one direction or the other. Watch the price reaction to the level of 2341, which may determine either a fall or further growth to 2354.
Regards R. Linda!