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Trend Line Break

GOLD → The uncertainty factor before the news. Down / up?FX:XAUUSD after updating another high to 3578 went into the phase of profit taking before two busy news days. The trend is aggressively bullish, but the risks of correction are quite high due to the uncertainty factor.... The price pulled back from record highs amid profit taking and reduced panic in the bond market. The dollar stabilized, but remains under pressure due to expectations of Fed rate cuts this year. The key event will be the publication of US employment data (NFP) on Friday. A correction after a sharp rise is a natural reaction, but the expectation of Fed policy easing is supporting the metal's price. Geopolitics: Trade risks (Trump's tariffs) mitigate gold's fall. Gold's correction so far looks like a pause before further movement. The main driver is NFP data, which will determine Fed rate sentiment and USD direction. But, today all eyes are on ADP Nonfarm, Initial jobless claims, and ISM data. Unexpected data may intensify the sell-off.... Resistance levels: 3546, 3559, 3563 Support levels: 3526, 3508 It is difficult to determine the news reaction in advance, we will have to orient ourselves after the fact. Technically, I expect a deeper correction for a healthy market. I expect a retest of the 3560 zone and further decline to local liquidity zones. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Consolidation in the ATH zone. Risk zone...FX:XAUUSD hit a new all-time high of around $3,550 as investors worldwide rushed to safe-haven assets. As prices rise, the risk of profit-taking increases, especially with news coming up... The key driver is the crisis in the bond market: long-term government bond yields are rising sharply in the UK and Japan. This is boosting demand for gold as a safe haven. We should also not forget about expectations of Fed easing: weak employment data could increase bets on a rate cut in September. However, strong US employment data (starting with JOLTS today) could support the USD and limit gold's growth. Correction: Record levels could trigger profit-taking, especially given that the price has come a long way since the last pullback, rising nearly 6% (7 days of growth). Key factor: US labor market data (JOLTS today, NFP on Friday). Weak figures will strengthen gold, strong ones may cause a correction. Resistance levels: 3546, 3550, 3575 Support levels: 3526, 3508, 3500 Technically, a retest of resistance at 3342-2246 could lead to a breakout and further growth. However, since the price has stopped updating its highs locally, I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of support at 3529-3526 before further growth. However, a weak reaction to support could lead to the formation of a pre-breakdown base, and a breakdown of support could trigger a decline to 3500. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
24
GBPNZD → Retest 2.276 before resuming the bullish trend FX:GBPNZD is testing a key support level as part of a correction after breaking through consolidation resistance. The trend is bullish, and liquidity capture could resume the upward movement. GBPNZD is testing a strong support level within the uptrend during the correction phase. Against the backdrop of the long-term decline of the NZD, the currency pair has every chance of continuing to grow. On the daily timeframe, we have a fairly strong upward structure, with the previously broken consolidation resistance and the 0.5f area playing a key role. This tandem hides a liquidity area that could become a driver for the market. A false breakdown of 2.276 could trigger a resumption of growth. Support levels: 2.276, 2.2682 Resistance levels: 2.2983, 2.3215 The bullish trend may support the main trend. The current correction is a healthy movement within an uptrend that may continue after a pullback and consolidation. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
AMD Trendline Break – Short-Term Weakness, Long-Term AI Power PlAMD has broken below its long-standing ascending trendline, which has been respected multiple times since April. This is the first real sign of weakness after months of steady upside. The $162–165 zone, once strong support, is now acting as resistance. Unless bulls can reclaim this area quickly, AMD risks sliding lower toward $150 or even deeper levels. Technical View: • Trendline: Broken on daily chart → bearish short-term shift. • Resistance: $162–165 (former support), $186–187 (weak high). • Support Levels: $150 psychological, then $135–140 range. • Indicators: RSI softening, MACD negative, short-term MAs leaning bearish. Fundamental Backdrop: Despite this technical weakness, AMD’s long-term story remains strong. HSBC recently upgraded AMD with a $200 price target, citing its MI350 AI chips that rival Nvidia’s Blackwell GPUs. The MI400, due in 2026, could expand GPU sales to $20B by 2028. Melius Research also raised its target to $175, highlighting AMD’s AI trajectory. Fundamentally, AMD is building momentum as a serious competitor in the AI chip race. Trade Setup (Swing Idea): • Entry Zone: $162–165 rejection area. • Stop Loss: Above $188 (weak high). • Take Profit 1: $150 (psychological level). • Take Profit 2: $135–140 demand zone. • Long-Term Accumulation: Any dip below $150 could be a strategic buy for investors with a $175–200 upside target in the AI cycle. My View: Short-term, the break of trendline favors bears — I’m watching for a retest of $162–165 to confirm resistance. Medium-term, I see pullback opportunities. Long-term, AMD’s AI roadmap gives conviction that dips should be accumulated rather than feared. (Not Financial Advice) NASDAQ:AMD
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by KhaleelSuliman
3
GOLD → False breakout at 3500. What next? 3400 or 3600?FX:XAUUSD updates its ATH on the spot market to 3508.5 and forms a false breakout, provoking liquidation and profit-taking. The imbalance in the market is changing, and a deeper correction is possible... Gold updated its historical maximum above $3500, but faced a correction amid a short-term strengthening of the dollar. The market's attention is focused on the US ISM Manufacturing PMI data, which may determine further dynamics. Key drivers: The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90%, which supports gold. Pressure on the USD continues due to concerns about the independence of the Fed (pressure from Trump) and geopolitics. The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict (new strikes by the Armed Forces of Ukraine on Russian territory) is increasing demand for defensive assets. Ahead of the ISM Manufacturing PMI: Forecast — growth to 49 (but remains in the contraction zone). If the data turns out to be weaker, it will strengthen dollar sales and push gold to new records. Resistance levels: 3485, 3500 Support levels: 3467.6, 3441, 3423 Technically, gold may enter a longer consolidation or correction. If the bears keep the price below 3490-3485, then in the short term, we can expect a decline to the specified support zones. I do not rule out the possibility of a retest of 3500-3505, but at the moment I do not see the potential for the market to continue growing (in the short term!). Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
25
WLFIUSDT → Liquidation of hamsters before the rally to 0.3300BINANCE:WLFIUSDT.P is Trump's project. This relatively new coin is demonstrating aggressive and manipulative trading, but there are key areas on the chart that can be used as a guide... We all know about the manipulative games of Trump's projects ;) and this can be used in trading... The WLFI coin has growth potential, but we need to wait for confirmation. Technically, this is a rather aggressive and manipulative game. A sharp drop and liquidation of all “hamsters” to the 0.25 - 0.20 zone. However, the price has stopped updating lows, volatility is decreasing (consolidation). If the price returns to the range, there will be potential for growth. At the moment, the price is not allowed to fall, consolidation is forming, with resistance at the 0.2521 trigger. The market is testing this trigger... At the same time, Bitcoin is strengthening and may support altcoins... Resistance levels: 0.2521 Support levels: 0.2250, 0.2042 Technically, if the local structure does not break down and the price continues to storm 0.2520 - 0.255, this could lead to a return of the price to the trading range, which would open up the possibility of growth to 0.33. The structure will break if the price breaks through the support level of 0.225 - 0.22. Best regards, R. Linda!
BINANCE:WLFIUSDT.PLong
by RLinda
22
COFFEE could turn around big timePrice on COFFEE looks very interesting at the moment, this latest move broke the narrative of a downtrend. The most recent interaction with the downtrend is particularly interesting, because it's already showing early signs of consolidation, decreased bearish momentum. What may follow: retest of trendline, low-volume candles suggesting exhaustion, all aligning for potential upwards. My target would be toward 350$ where we have a clear zone. If this move plays out, it will make a beautiful switch of a narrative that’s we've been seeing for COFFEE. This is what makes the setup so compelling. It’s a "story being shown". Though a scenario for more downside is possible. Still, I am taking the side for more upside because such decrease is not sustainable long without a correction. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:COFFEELong
by TrendDiva
14
GOLD → One step away from 3500. Consolidation. What next?FX:XAUUSD has been rallying towards 3500 since the opening of the session, and the market has every chance of testing this level. Consolidation or correction may form before the next breakout... Gold resumed its growth at the beginning of the week, reaching five-month highs around $3480 amid declining risk appetite and expectations of Fed policy easing. Trading activity remains low due to holidays in the US and Canada. Key drivers : Weak Asian markets and uncertainty surrounding Trump's trade policy are supporting interest in gold. The probability of a rate cut in September is estimated at 90% after last week's PCE data. Overall, the market maintains its momentum towards record levels ($3500), but low liquidity may increase volatility. Technically , gold is strongly bullish. The price is striving to test the ATH - 3500. Before that, consolidation or a retest of the 3469-3460 zone may form. The dollar is weak at the moment and continues to trend downward, which generally supports gold. Resistance levels: 3484.8, 3500 Support levels: 3469.5, 3460 Undoubtedly, after consolidation or correction, gold may reach its target. However, continued growth beyond 3500 may be questionable due to a lack of energy, as the market has spent it to reach 3500. Accordingly, a false breakout of the ATH could trigger a strong profit-taking phase, which in turn could lead to a sell-off and correction. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
31
Gold Update – With US Banks Closed, Beware of a Possible TrapGold Update – With US Banks Closed, Beware of a Possible Trap Hello traders, With US banks closed today, market liquidity linked to the dollar may be thinner than usual, creating less predictable moves for gold. The rally during the Asian session has tempted many traders to look for a “sell the top” opportunity with hopes of sizeable profits. In my view, the market could set up a trap for short-sellers, meaning price may either push higher during the US session or remain sideways at current levels before revealing clearer direction. At this stage, it may be better to wait for a cleaner wave structure before committing. The priority should still be trading in line with the broader uptrend. Buy entry zone: around 3340–3345, with a stop-loss of roughly 10 dollars. For short positions: patience is key – wait for clear channel confirmation on the M15–H1 timeframes before considering entries. That’s my current view on gold for today’s US session. Use it as reference and manage risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD → Retest 3400 before the news. Will there be a rally?FX:XAUUSD is pulling back slightly after hitting a new high of 3423. The trend is bullish, and on the D1 chart we see a breakout of a symmetrical triangle, which generally hints at bullish potential. Gold is correcting after rising to $3423 in anticipation of US PCE inflation data. Key factors: Doubts about the Fed's independence are limiting the USD's strengthening. Soft Fed rhetoric: Board member Waller supported a rate cut in September and further easing. The probability of a September rate cut is estimated at 87%. Today's news: Core PCE inflation data (forecast: 2.6% y/y). If below forecast → increased expectations for policy easing → support for gold If above forecast → dollar strength → gold correction Short-term gold dynamics depend on inflation data and its impact on Fed rate expectations Support levels: 3405, 3394, 3386.5 Resistance levels: 3415, 3423, 3433 As part of the correction, the price may test liquidity zones and enter a consolidation phase ahead of the news. However, the market is one step away from distribution (exit from a symmetrical triangle). If the bulls keep the price above 3400 as part of the correction, we will have a good chance to catch the rally... Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
20
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading ScenarioXAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading Scenario Hello traders, Gold is moving into the final stage of its flag formation. Medium-term traders are now waiting for a clear breakout confirmation, as that will determine the next medium- to long-term move. Once confirmed, the plan is to trade immediately in the breakout direction. In the meantime, short-term and intraday traders continue to work inside the flag, taking scalping opportunities while price remains range-bound. From my perspective, the probability of an upside breakout and continuation of the broader bullish trend is high after such a long period of consolidation. To optimise entries, buying near the lower boundary of the trendline makes sense, with stop-losses placed just below in case of a breakdown. A particularly important zone is the Fibonacci retracement 0.5 at 3354, which combines dynamic and static support with a key Fibonacci level. This is a strong area to build medium- to long-term long positions. An earlier entry can also be considered around 3372, where the previous candle confirmed strong bullish momentum. In this case, stops should be kept tight, just under the nearest support. The bullish case only fails if price breaks and closes firmly below the lower trendline, which would confirm a reversal. That’s my view on gold for the coming sessions – stay patient, manage risk, and wait for the structure to confirm. What’s your outlook? Let’s discuss in the comments.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD → Retest 3400. Readiness for a breakthroughFX:XAUUSD is "consolidating" creeping up on resistance, which generally increases the chances of a breakout, but the initial resistance test may end in a pullback. However, there is news ahead that could trigger one of two scenarios... At the moment, gold is testing $3,400, but is ready for a correction pending new data from the US. However, further decline may be limited for the following reasons: Weak dollar: The probability of a Fed rate cut in September is estimated at 90%. Trump-Fed conflict: Pressure on Fed Chair Lisa Cook undermines confidence in the dollar. Trade wars: New US tariffs (on India) and retaliatory measures (Mexico, Canada against China) increase demand for "safe havens" What is important: Political uncertainty and soft rhetoric of the Fed continue to play in favor of gold. Any attempts to reduce will be supported by buyers. It is also worth paying attention to the GDP and Initial Jobless Claims, which will be published today at 12:30 GMT. Resistance levels: 3405, 3420, 3433 Support levels: 3386, 3373, 3369 Technically, the situation is ambiguous and everything depends on the reaction to 3405 and further news. Weakening of the fundamental background may lead to consolidation or correction to 3373 - 3369. However, if traders feel support, then the retest of 3405 may end with a small consolidation around the level and subsequent breakout and growth to the specified targets (I am more inclined to this scenario based on the above situation) Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
XAUUSD Price Action Update – Waves in PlayXAUUSD Price Action Update – Waves in Play Hello traders, As I shared yesterday in the long-term outlook for gold, the first scenario is playing out almost perfectly. Price reaction levels have been spot on, making trading much easier – and that’s exactly why detailed planning is so important when building a scenario. Key reaction zones have already delivered profits: the buy at 3375 and the sell at 3409 both worked well. More importantly, my long-side projection is still valid, with targets at least around 3430 and potentially as high as 3450. Following that scenario, the plan remains to look for buy entries on pullbacks, since no market goes straight up or straight down. Every move needs secondary phases of liquidity grabs and corrections. With the current structure, buying here feels a bit “mid-range”, but with larger profit potential the risk can be justified. A buy entry around 3405 looks reasonable, while corrective short setups can be considered near 3430. Holding onto long positions at current levels remains very logical – and remember, cultivating the right trading mindset is just as important as finding good entries. Drop your thoughts in the comments, let’s discuss this setup together.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD → Bullish trend. Pullback before growthFX:XAUUSD continues to gradually storm the 3375-3405 area, paving its way to strong resistance at 3410. The fundamental background is relatively positive, with a bullish trend. Gold has retreated slightly from its two-week peak ($3400), but retains its growth potential against the backdrop of two key factors: Pressure on Fed Chair Lisa Cook is undermining confidence in the dollar and strengthening demand for defensive assets. New tariffs on China and India are reviving fears about global growth, which is beneficial for safe havens. But there are also restraining factors: A strong dollar could limit gold's growth. It is also worth paying attention to Friday's US inflation data (PCE), which will determine the further trend. Soft data will reinforce expectations of a Fed rate cut and push gold higher. Resistance levels: 3386.5, 3393.5 Support levels: 3373.7, 3369.6 Movements up to 3410 may be zigzagging due to the fairly heavy zone of 3375 - 3410 (this can be seen in the volume profile). Focus on local but strong support: 3373 - 3369, the market may test this area before storming resistance 3386 - 3393 for growth to 3405 - 3410. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
33
NZDJPY → A false breakout of resistance will trigger a declineFX:NZDJPY entered a correction phase after a sharp decline. The main trend is downward, with a countertrend movement aimed at consolidating potential before further decline. A countertrend correction is forming against the backdrop of the main downward trend. The current movement may be aimed at hunting for liquidity before continuing its movement. Focus on the resistance zone at 86.67 The currency pair is trading below key resistance within the global downtrend. As part of the correction, the price may test 86.67 - 87.10 before continuing the main trend. Resistance levels: 86.67, 86.97, 97.11 Support levels: 85.97, 85.6 If a false breakout of the key zone of interest forms during the correction without the possibility of continuing growth, we will receive confirmation that the market is ready to move down. Consolidation below the level may trigger a downward impulse. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
Bitcoin Correction Unfolding — First Wave in MotionAfter successfully hitting the BITCOIN target and anticipating a major correction in my previous ideas, here’s how the first wave of that correction is shaping up on the daily chart: 1- At the recent high, a Shooting Star candle formed — a classic reversal signal. 2- Using Volunacci analysis, the price retraced exactly to the Golden Zone, validating the first leg of the pullback. 3- The next step? A breakdown of the blue trendline would likely send us toward the Volunacci target at $108,600. 4- For confirmation, we're watching the RSI trendline — if it breaks down as well, it would strongly support the bearish continuation. The setup is clean and developing as expected — it's all about following price and letting the chart guide the story.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by HEISENBERG_SayMyName
GBPAUD → The correction is nearing completion...FX:GBPAUD is set to end the correction formed within the global bullish trend. A false breakdown of the liquidity zone is forming... GBPAUD on D1 is testing a strong support zone, which gives traders hope for a possible recovery. Locally, the chart shows signs of the correction ending... After correcting to 1/2 of the range, GBPAUD is forming a false breakdown of the order block and breaking the bearish structure, confirming the end of the correction. Consolidation above 2.076 could trigger a recovery within the bullish trend. Resistance levels: 2.086, 2.0978 Support levels: 2.076, 2.0715 Despite breaking through the resistance of the local correction, the market must confirm the bullish sentiment. Consolidation of the price above 2.076 will confirm this nuance, and consolidation above the key support may influence further growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading OutlookXAUUSD – Medium-Term Trading Outlook Hello traders, Gold is now entering the final stage of its flag formation. Medium-term traders are watching closely for a clear breakout confirmation, as this will define the next medium- to long-term move. Once price confirms the break, the plan is to enter immediately in the direction of that breakout. In the meantime, short-term and intraday traders can continue trading within the flag, taking advantage of scalping opportunities inside the range. From my perspective, the probability of an upside breakout and continuation of the broader bullish trend is fairly high after such a long consolidation. To optimise entries, it makes sense to buy near the lower boundary of the trendline, with stop-losses placed immediately if the pattern breaks down. The key level to watch is the Fibonacci retracement 0.5 at 3354 – an area that acts as both dynamic and static support, as well as a critical Fibonacci level. This is a strong zone for long-term buy setups. Additionally, an earlier entry can be considered around 3372, where the previous candle showed strong buying momentum. Traders entering here should keep stops tight, just below the nearest support. This bullish outlook would only be invalidated if price breaks below the lower trendline and closes firmly underneath it, confirming a reversal. Wishing you success with this trading plan. If you share a similar outlook, feel free to drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s discuss further.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Bitcoin – Long-Term Outlook with Elliott Wave StructureBitcoin – Long-Term Outlook with Elliott Wave Structure Hello traders, Taking a step back for a medium- to long-term perspective on BTC. The broader trend remains bullish, yet for any rally to be sustainable, corrective phases are essential. Right now, BTC is in a corrective move, which aligns with wave 4 of the Elliott Wave structure. To measure the depth of this correction before wave 5 develops, we can look at the Fibonacci retracement levels. Two zones stand out as significant: 0.618 and 0.5. At 0.618, support is strong but not yet decisive. If price reacts here and wave 5 unfolds, the Elliott count stays intact and relatively clean. At 0.5, this is often the ideal retracement level on Fibonacci. The chart also shows this as a major structural support. If it breaks, deeper downside could follow, as the ascending trendline also suggests. Long-Term Trading Plan Entry 1: Around the 0.618 retracement at 105k Entry 2: Around the 0.5 retracement at 99k This setup forms the basis for a medium-term strategy, but if the second zone (99k) holds strongly, it could well serve as the foundation for a longer-term bullish cycle. Stay patient, keep risk management at the forefront, and let the structure play out. What’s your take on BTC’s long-term wave structure? Drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s discuss.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
1
Gold – US Session UpdateGold – US Session Update Hello traders, Gold is moving in line with the scenario, currently tracking wave 2 in Elliott, even though overall market volume remains light. What matters now is a clean break above 3386 resistance – that would provide enough momentum for gold to extend higher, with the next target around 3411, before continuing into wave 3. At present, the setup is already running with around 200 pips profit. Traders can continue to hold positions, but taking partial profit (closing half) may help ease the psychology and allow more comfort in holding for extended targets. For those who missed the earlier entry, the 3380 zone still offers a possible entry point. Although it’s slightly late, the target remains far enough to justify action. Stick with this scenario if it aligns with your outlook – and always remember to manage risk carefully. Wishing you success with your gold trades.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
GOLD → Consolidation to continue growth towards 3400FX:XAUUSD is updating its local maximum but is facing pressure in the 3375-3400 zone. The market is bullish, but the dollar is consolidating. Traders are waiting for signals and stronger drivers... Gold resumes growth, approaching the $3400 level, amid a weakening dollar and falling US government bond yields. Key drivers: Trump's new threats of tariffs on Chinese goods and his attack on the Fed (removal of Lisa Cook) are undermining confidence in US assets (pressure on the dollar). Soft Fed rhetoric: Expectations of a September rate cut have strengthened after Powell's speech. Key risks: The dollar's recovery amid trade threats, US economic data may adjust rate expectations, and the escalation of the trade war supports demand for safe assets The short-term dynamics of gold will depend on the balance between the Fed's soft monetary policy and trade tensions. Resistance levels: 3379, 3400 Support levels: 3369, 3362, 3358 As part of the correction, the market may test local support zones located within the current trading range, after which gold may return to attack 3375-3379 to continue its growth towards 3400. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
BNBUSDT → Strong altcoin. Correction before growth.BINANCE:BNBUSDT.P , after forming an ATH, entered a correction, which may stop at 10-15%, after which the market may enter a recovery phase. The coin looks quite strong, especially against the backdrop of a bullish trend... BNB looks quite stronger than Bitcoin. While the flagship is forming a deep correction, the altcoin is testing local support within the bullish trend. BNB has quite positive dynamics. There is a strong bullish trend, the ATH has been updated, but a correction is forming, which is 8% of the permissible 30% (there is still room to move). The liquidity zone of 820-815 may serve as an area of interest. By the time the mirror level and strong area of interest are retested, Bitcoin may move into a recovery phase, which in turn will trigger growth in BNB. Support levels: 820, 816, 796 Resistance levels: 861, 884, 901 At the moment, the entire cryptocurrency market is in a downtrend. As part of this cycle, BNB may test support at 820-816. A false breakdown of support and consolidation above this level may indicate that bulls are interested in further growth. This could trigger a recovery within the main trend. Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2