BTCUSD: Failing to recover, short setup near EMABTC analysis – october 14, 2025
At the moment, BITSTAMP:BTCUSD has failed to sustain its recovery and is pulling back toward the 111,192 USD area. The overall trend remains bearish, as price is now trading below the EMA, indicating that sellers still have control over the market.
Trading plan for today:
Priority: look for short (sell) opportunities in line with the main trend.
Wait for a pullback as price retests the EMA zone.
Once price reaches that area, watch for one of the following price action setups:
DD (Double Doji)
SB (Second Break)
→ When either setup appears, consider a market entry.
Trade management:
Stop loss: above the nearest swing high of the pullback.
Take profit: targeting a 2R – 3R reward-to-risk ratio, depending on price behavior.
Summary:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD remains in a clear downtrend. Any short-term bounce is seen as an opportunity to sell with the trend. Patience is key wait for a clean setup around the EMA zone to secure a good entry and minimize risk.
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
Trend Line Break
XAUUSD — Decline Reaction Not Yet Confirmed as ReversalXAUUSD — Decline Reaction Not Yet Confirmed as Reversal | Favor Buying on Fibonacci Pullbacks 🟡
Summary: The rapid early session decline hasn't broken the upward structure. Gold continues to move within the Fibonacci expansion wave; prioritize buy-the-dip at confluence zones. Sell orders are only for short-term scalping when there's a clear rejection signal.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1)
Structure & Price Behavior
Price is climbing in a stair-step pattern, with recent adjustments not breaching key lows, leaning towards a trend-following pullback.
The chart shows multiple Fib expansion levels (0.618/0.786/1.618/2.618); the 4120–4135 zone is the short-term trading hub, with clusters above at 4160–4188–4179 and further at 4200–4220.
Volume has slightly decreased compared to previous sessions → easier for price to bounce at support before continuing.
Price Zones to Watch
Resistance: 4160–4162, 4179, 4200.
Support: 4116–4118, 4102, 4073, 4062–4065, 4024.
Significance: 4062–4065 coincides with Fib + old resistance (good confluence for buying); 4116–4118 is the nearest retest; 4160–4162 is a sell retest only for scalping.
If 4116–4118 holds and H1 closes above 4130, the probability of retesting 4155/4188 increases.
If 4062–4065 breaks and stays below 4057, the adjustment range may extend to 4024.
📰 Fundamental Factors (Highlights)
Central banks continue to buy gold, supporting foundational demand.
On October 14, gold led the commodity basket this year; expectations of Fed rate cuts in upcoming sessions are the main driver for holding gold.
Gold ETF: attracted an additional ~2 billion USD (~14 tons) last week; YTD cumulative ~68 billion USD, annual demand ~645 tons (second only to the 2020 record).
⇒ The cash flow picture supports a medium-term uptrend, although short-term fluctuations remain around Fib/resistance levels.
🎯 Trading Plan (European–US Session) — if–then
Scenario 1 — BUY near retest (priority)
Entry: 4116–4118
SL: 4110
TP: 4134 → 4155 → 4188 → 4222
Condition: if price retests 4116–4118 and a confirmation candle/bounce appears on H1.
Scenario 2 — BUY at Fib + old resistance (backup)
Entry: 4062–4065
SL: 4057
TP: 4082 → 4098 → 4115 → 4135
Condition: only activate if there's a bounce at 4062–4065; better if reclaiming 4073/4102 thereafter.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (scalping)
Entry: 4160–4162
SL: 4168
TP: 4134 → 4118 → 4100 → 4078
Note: only sell when there's a clear rejection signal (long wick/distribution volume); do not chase price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
Losing 4057 → reduces buy priority, wait for new signals at 4024.
Risk only ≤1–2% per trade; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️
Summary
Bias: Upward; current decline reaction not yet confirmed as reversal.
Strategy: Prioritize buying at 4116–4118 and 4062–4065; sell only to scalp at 4160–4162 when signaled.
Levels to Watch: 4102 – 4073 – 4024 – 4179 – 4200.
Note: This article is for reference purposes only, not investment advice.
GOLD → Ready for continued growth. Target 4100 - 4125FX:XAUUSD remains above $4,000, starting the week with a record high amid the escalating trade war between the US and China. Traders bought up all of last week's decline.
Key drivers: Trump's new tariffs: Introduction of 100% tariffs on all Chinese goods and export controls on software from November 1. China is not sitting idly by: Restrictions on exports of rare earth metals and technologies.
The ongoing shutdown and trade uncertainty are weakening the dollar.
US inflation data (CPI on October 24) will be the first key release after the shutdown.
Speeches by Fed officials may adjust rate expectations.
Gold remains in an uptrend, but momentum will depend on the progress of trade negotiations. A breakout to new highs is likely if tensions remain high.
Resistance levels: 4078, 4100, 4110
Support levels: 4059
A breakout of 4078 and a close above the key level could trigger a continuation of the growth to 4100. An additional scenario could be a correction to 4059 before further growth to 4100-4125.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GBP/CAD 4HR Trendline Breakout Long Setup. Daily Continuation.I am going to be placing a trade once spread hour is over on the daily open on GBP/CAD to the upside.
Stoploss and take profit is provided.
I will be looking to trail my stoploss either at the 4HR or 8HR Lows as the trade progresses based on my own discretion.
Mostly likely will close the trade at the close of Tuesday daily candle if I feel this is the right decision to make.
XAUUSD — Accumulation Phase Awaiting Breakout XAUUSD — Accumulation Phase Awaiting Breakout | European–American Session Scenarios & Detailed Trading Plan 🟡
Summary: Gold maintains an upward trend within a rising channel. The European–American session prioritizes buying in confirmed support zones; selling is only a secondary option when there is a strong rejection signal at the peak.
📊 Technical Analysis (H1/H30)
Market Structure
Price moves within an ascending channel, with adjustments mainly being pullbacks.
Two prominent liquidity zones on the chart: Buy zone around 4020–4030 and Sell zone above 4125–4135.
Key & Confluence Price Zones
Support:
4057–4059: former resistance turned support + channel boundary, suitable for retest.
4022–4024: coincides with buy zone and dense volume cluster (VPVR).
Resistance: 4072 / 4088 / 4105 / 4125, watch for reactions at 4095–4100 (near Fibonacci extension 1.618/2.618).
Fibonacci: extension measurement suggests a target of ~4130; this is also near the sell liquidity zone, likely to see a short rejection before deciding the next direction.
Note pivot points: 4069 – 4042 – 4095 – 4120 are key levels to monitor price action.
Structure Reading Suggestion: If a "buy test trend" move appears near the channel bottom, prioritize finding confirmation candles to continue buying on retracement.
📰 Fundamental Analysis (Highlights)
Imperial Bank of Commerce: long-term inflation concerns support gold's rise; target 4,500 in the next 2 years → bullish inclination.
State Street: delayed rate cuts keep USD/real yields sensitive, maintaining volatility; gold remains a safe haven as risks increase.
Pansen Macro (ECB): difficult to cut rates soon due to weak growth → impacts EUR/DXY, indirectly affecting gold.
Commodity Context: Goldman Sachs remains cautious on copper (10k–11k/ton 2026/27); risk capital may rotate, benefiting gold as defensive sentiment rises.
Connection: The contrast between tight policy and risk sentiment creates an accumulation range; when yields ease, gold may break through 4100–4130.
🎯 European–American Session Trading Strategy (if–then)
Scenario 1 — BUY at support (priority)
Entry: 4057–4059
SL: 4052
TP: 4072 → 4088 → 4105 → 4125
Condition: if price retests 4057–4059 and there is a confirmation candle / reclaim of the channel boundary, continue to buy with the trend.
Scenario 2 — BUY deep at buy zone
Entry: 4022–4024
SL: 4016
TP: 4038 → 4052 → 4077 → 4090
Condition: only activate when there is a wick at the buy zone and price holds above 4042 afterward.
Scenario 3 — SELL reaction (secondary)
Only consider short selling when there is a clear rejection at 4120–4130 (sell liquidity zone) accompanied by weakening momentum; target a pullback to 4100/4088. Do not chase the price.
Invalidation & Risk Management
If price breaks and accepts below 4042, stay out and wait for a new structure; losing 4016 opens risk of returning to the 3990x cluster (old POC).
Each trade risk ≤ 1–2% of the account; adhere to SL first, position later. 🛡️
XRPUSDT → Resistance at 2,700 could trigger a correction BINANCE:XRPUSDT is forming a correction after a strong sell-off. It is not yet worth hoping for strong growth without pullbacks, as there is a strong resistance zone ahead.
The cryptocurrency market is recovering after liquidation. Bitcoin and XRP are approaching a strong resistance zone, where a correction may form.
Technically, after two months of consolidation, the price broke through the support of the trading range, forming a breakdown of the structure. As part of the correction, the price is testing the liquidity zone of 2.7 - 2.7266, which may trigger a sell-off.
Resistance levels: 2.7 - 2.7266, 2.8286
Support levels: 2.505
A sharp rise and the lack of technical potential to break through the resistance level of 2.70 may trigger a false breakout and a correction to the support level of 2.5050.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSD: Buy signal forming📊 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 13, 2025
🔁 Last Week Summary
Last week, we successfully completed the BTC Sell plan,
and the trade reached its target as expected.
📈 Market Outlook for the New Week
After a deep correction, BTC is showing signs of recovery.
Currently trading around 115,561, above the EMA,
indicating that a short-term bullish structure is forming.
🧭 Trading Plan for Today
Scenario 1 – Buy with trend:
Wait for a pullback to EMA and look for a DD (Double Doji) setup.
If confirmation appears near EMA → enter long following the bullish momentum.
Profit target for long position is 2R or more.
Scenario 2 – No setup / breakdown below EMA:
If price fails to form DD and closes back below EMA,
it may lead to the formation of a wider consolidation range.
In this case, stay on the sidelines and wait for clear trading signals before entering.
🎯 Summary:
Short-term bias: Slightly bullish, pending confirmation.
Key plan: Buy near EMA if DD forms.
If price breaks below EMA → expect wider accumulation, stay patient.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
BTCUSD: 1R secured, looking for next short signal📊 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 10, 2025
🔁 Current Position Update
The Sell position from October 8 remains active and profitable.
The trade is currently up around 1R.
Traders can move stop-loss to breakeven to secure profits and eliminate downside risk.
📈 Market Outlook & Trading Plan
Trend bias remains bearish.
The main plan for today: continue looking for short entries in line with the trend.
On the H2 timeframe:
Price has closed below the EMA, confirming ongoing bearish momentum.
Wait for DD (Double Doji) or SB (Second Breakout) setup as confirmation for the next Sell opportunity.
For traders already holding positions, consider DCA add-on entries to compound profits if the downtrend extends further.
⚙️ Position Managemen t
The current trade remains safe and in profit.
Monitor price reaction near the H2 EMA for possible re-entry setups.
Avoid impulsive entries – focus only on clear signals with a proper R:R structure.
🎯 Summary:
The active Sell trade has reached 1R – stop can be moved to breakeven.
Continue monitoring for DD/SB setups on H2 to scale in or add new short positions in line with the trend.
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
GOLD → Retest 4000. Pullback before a breakout and rise to 4100?FX:XAUUSD , after a sharp sell-off and testing of the 3950 support zone, is aiming to return to the $4000 level on Friday, preparing for its eighth consecutive week in positive territory.
The Senate adjourned for the weekend until Tuesday, postponing a decision on the shutdown. John Williams supported further rate cuts, Mary Daly confirmed her readiness for cuts, despite the fact that Powell did not say anything particularly interesting about policy on Thursday.
The upward trend in gold remains unchanged. The potential for growth to new highs remains, provided the shutdown continues and the Fed maintains its soft policy. The $4000 level remains a key psychological support.
Resistance levels: 4000, 4059, 4075
Support levels: 3986, 3980, 3968
The 4000 zone may prove to be strong resistance, so expect a battle (consolidation or trading range in this zone), during which the price may form a pullback to 3980-3970 before returning to 4K for a breakout attempt.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCUSD: Short still in play, eyes on 117K support📊 BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Analysis – October 9, 2025
🔁 Review of Yesterday’s Plan
As projected in yesterday’s plan (Oct 8), after BITSTAMP:BTCUSD broke above the EMA and moved toward the upper resistance zone, our Sell entry at 123,449 was triggered.
Price then dropped sharply, following the expected scenario perfectly.
🎯 Objective for Today
The focus for today is trade management on the current open position.
The active trade is now approaching a profit range of 2R – 3R.
We expect BITSTAMP:BTCUSD to continue declining toward 117,000 – 116,000,
→ which is also the key support area to look for potential Buy setups,
according to the Daily plan mentioned in yesterday’s analysis.
✅ Trading Plan for Today
Maintain the current Sell position, monitoring price action near 117,000 – 116,000.
Once price reaches this zone, watch for confirmation signals (DD/FB or strong volume reaction) to prepare for a Buy setup aligned with the main trend.
Avoid new entries between current levels — focus on managing the running trade and waiting for key zone reactions.
🎯 Summary:
The Sell setup worked precisely as planned, now yielding solid profits.
Next focus: monitor 117,000 – 116,000 for a potential Buy opportunity aligned with the higher timeframe structure.
You can refer to my previous analysis here:
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Daniel Miller @ ZuperView
GBP/JPY Short Setup. 4HR Trendline Breakout. Daily Continuation.On friday daily candle open I will be taking a short trade looking to capitalize on the 4HR trendline breakout.
My stoploss and take profit have been provided.
Management will be either close the trade at the end of friday daily candle or trail my stoploss above 4HR candle closure highs if I believe this is a good option to do so.
Simple trading.
Impulse and Correction — XAUUSD-GOLD InformationElliott Wave Perspective on Gold
Gold is now testing the $4,000 level, marking one of its historic highs. On a yearly basis, the metal has been in a strong uptrend for a long time. But Elliott Wave Theory reminds us: no impulse lasts forever — every rally hides a correction.
At some point, this climb will lose steam and give way to a pullback. The real question is when — and that timing is known only by the market movers. Elliott’s structure shows us probabilities, not certainties.
👉 Consider this purely educational and informational. One day we will see sharp drops in gold, because just as every relentless rally comes with a relentless fall, gold is no exception.
💬 My friends, every single like from you is my biggest motivation to keep sharing these analyses. Thank you to all who support me with your likes.
PAYPAL(PYPL) 1D - gaining traction On the daily chart, the price has confidently broken through the descending trendline — the first strong sign of a bullish shift.
All key moving averages (MA, EMA, SMA) sit below the price, showing that buyers are clearly in control.
Buy zone: 74.50.
A retest in this area (74.5–76) looks likely before another push higher.
First resistance: 79.47.
This level might trigger a short-term pullback, but a breakout above it opens the way toward targets at 85.90 and 94.00.
In short - the structure looks healthy, the breakout is done, and PayPal may be just warming up for a bigger move. Stay sharp - dips could be opportunities, not danger.
GOLD → The correction will provide a good opportunity for longFX:XAUUSD remains above the psychologically important level of $4,000, having corrected from a record high of $4,059. The market is awaiting Powell's speech, which could set the medium-term tone for the markets...
Key supporting factors: Uncertainty over the shutdown: The phased reopening plan has not yet been approved, which is keeping demand for safe-haven assets high.
Expectations of Fed easing: The probability of a rate cut in October is 100%, and in December is 80%, despite disagreements within the Fed.
As prices rise, the risks of a correction increase, especially against the backdrop of the Fed chair's speech.
Gold remains in a bullish trend. A correction to $4,000 looks like a healthy pause. Further dynamics depend on the Fed's tone and developments with the shutdown — a break below $4,000 is unlikely without new fundamental reasons.
Resistance levels: 4041, 4059, 4100
Support levels: 4001, 3986
Technically, gold has been rising without pullbacks for 35 days. The growth amounted to more than 22%. Accordingly, the market may form corrections, pullbacks, or consolidations within local timeframes. News may provoke such corrective maneuvers before the main movement. I consider the support levels of 4000 - 3986 - 3961 to be areas of interest. A retest or false breakdown could trigger a rebound and growth.
Best regards, R. Linda!
XAUUSD – MID-TERM OUTLOOK ON H1 | STAY CLOSE TO THE MAIN TREND
Hello trader 👋
Gold prices are currently holding steady within the rising channel but are approaching a strong resistance zone around 4043 – 4005, a critical boundary to assess whether the uptrend will continue or begin to adjust.
In the current context, the market is showing signs of caution as the USD rises slightly and political - financial news in the US escalates, causing strong investor sentiment fluctuations.
🔎 Technical Analysis
On the H1 frame, prices continue to move within a clear upward channel, but the upward momentum is beginning to weaken.
Fibonacci extension and volume profile indicate a strong liquidity zone concentrated around 4005 – 3980, where buying and selling forces may appear in a tug-of-war.
Important resistance: 4078 – 4080 (Fibo 4.0 and upper edge of the rising channel)
Important support: 3985 – 3980 (liquidity zone + high volume node)
RSI is giving a slight divergence signal, warning of the possibility of a technical adjustment.
⚙️ Detailed Trading Plan
🔴 MAIN SELL:
Entry: 4078 – 4080
Stop Loss: 4085
Take Profit: 4060 → 4053 → 4025 → 4008
👉 Sell reaction at the channel peak resistance zone, coinciding with the high liquidity area.
🔴 SELL on confirmation of breaking 4005:
Entry: 4015 – 4017
Stop Loss: 4023
Take Profit: 4005 → 3988 → 3970 → 3945
👉 Breakout sell order, only activated when the candle confirms closing below 4005.
🟢 SHORT-TERM BUY:
Entry: 4056 – 4058
Stop Loss: 4050
Take Profit: 4068 → 4088 → 4095
👉 Wave surfing buy order at the support zone within the rising channel.
🟢 BUY SCALPING:
Entry: 3982 – 3985
Stop Loss: 3978
Take Profit: based on price reaction / wave confirmation
👉 Quick buy at the strong liquidity zone if a reversal signal appears.
💡 Fundamental View
Latest news: Bensont has completed the first round of interviews for the Fed Chair candidate, with questions revolving around interest rates and QE, indicating that upcoming monetary policy remains the focal point.
The DXY index has surpassed the 99 mark, up 0.16% on the day, exerting certain pressure on gold.
Market sentiment is fluctuating strongly, reflecting concerns about the direction of US monetary policy in the next quarter.
⚖️ Conclusion
Mid-term trend: Upward but weakening
At this stage, it is necessary to closely follow price action at the 4043 – 4005 boundary to determine the next direction.
Prioritize selling at resistance – buying at support, taking advantage of fluctuations within the price channel.
Maintain a flexible trading mindset, manage capital tightly when the market fluctuates due to news.
📈 Quick Summary:
Sell: 4078–4080 / 4015–4017
Buy: 4056–4058 / 3982–3985
Key zone: 4043 – 4005 (confirm new trend)
USDCHF → Change in local trend. Confirmation...FX:USDCHF confirms a change in the downtrend and is ready to move into a distribution phase amid growth in the dollar index.
The dollar is breaking through resistance and may continue its bullish correction within the global downtrend. Against this backdrop, the Swiss franc is losing ground...
The currency pair is forming a breakout of the local trend. The breakout of the resistance of the ascending triangle confirms bullish action. As part of the distribution, the price may test local highs.
Resistance levels: 0.8071, 0.8132
Support levels: 0.800
A consolidation of the price above 0.800 may form an intermediate bottom, which will provide support for the bulls before the next run.
Best regards, R. Linda!
GOLD → Testing 4050 - 4100. Need a pullback to tradeFX:XAUUSD is hitting a new all-time high, testing $4,050, and looks set to reach $4,100. This record growth is linked to falling interest rates and economic risks, which are causing money to flow into hedge assets...
Key drivers: The White House may announce civil service cuts amid the shutdown, which increases uncertainty. The probability of interest rate cuts in October is 95%, supported by the delay in data publication due to the shutdown. Global central banks continue to build up reserves. However, as prices rise, so do the risks of correction. The USD is also receiving support as a safe haven, which may limit further growth in gold.
Resistance levels: 4050, 4075, 4100
Support levels: 4020, 400, 3986
Technically, we need to wait for a slowdown and correction to take a full breath before further movement. I consider the local liquidity zones of 4020 - 4000 - 3986, 3961 to be promising areas of interest. I do not rule out the possibility of sharp shocks in the market, so we need to be prepared...
Best regards, R. Linda!
SOLANA → Retracement for consolidation before growth to 250.0BINANCE:SOLUSDT bounces off trend support, forms a reversal pattern, and enters a distribution phase, during which it updates its maximum but encounters strong resistance. What's next?
Bitcoin breaks through resistance, updating its maximum and opening up a new chance for growth for altcoins. Correction and retesting of support in the market may end with continued growth.
SOL is testing resistance at 231.5. The rally has temporarily stalled, and a correction is forming, during which the market may test the break-even and imbalance zone before returning to growth. It is worth keeping an eye on Bitcoin, as a resumption of growth by the flagship will support the growth of altcoins.
Resistance levels: 231.5, 235, 250
Support levels: 218, 205
A false breakout of 231.5 is provoking a pullback. It is necessary to monitor the further halt in price. I expect a retest of 220-218 before the price returns to growth.
Sincerely, R. Linda!
GOLD: The upward structure continues, target 4090 is approachingLiamTrading – GOLD: The upward structure continues, target 4090 is approaching
Hello everyone,
Gold and US stocks are setting new records, but don't forget — strong sell-offs often occur when everyone believes prices can only go up.
Currently, gold maintains a sustainable upward structure, with each subsequent low higher than the previous one, confirming a clear trend on the H1–H4 frames.
📊 Technical Analysis (Chart 45m – XAUUSD)
The price structure remains clearly Higher High – Higher Low, indicating that buyers still control the market.
Key liquidity zones are around:
🔹 4050–4060 (resistance – POC Volume Profile)
🔹 4020–4025 (temporary support zone – confluence Fibo 0.618)
🔹 3980 (technical bottom, strong previous liquidity zone)
The upward target according to Fibonacci Extension is currently in the 4090 zone, corresponding to the 2.618 extension level — likely to become a major profit-taking area for buyers.
🎯 Today's Trading Scenario
Short-term Sell (based on resistance reaction):
📍 4048–4050
🛑 SL: 4055
🎯 TP: 4030 – 4018 – 4005 – 3980
Buy scalping:
📍 4022–4024
🛑 SL: 4017
🎯 TP: 4030 – 4045 – 4060 – 4080
Buy swing (trend-following):
📍 3980–3982
🛑 SL: 3975
🎯 TP: 3995 – 4010 – 4025 – 4040 – 4060
🧭 Fundamental & Market Sentiment
According to the FOMC minutes from 16–17/9, most Fed officials believe that continuing to cut interest rates this year is appropriate.
This is the first time since 2020 that the Fed has officially reduced the interest rate by 0.25%, bringing the range down to 4.75% – 5.00%.
→ Cheap money + safe haven sentiment continues to be the main driver pushing gold higher.
However, with both gold and stocks reaching peaks, the risk of technical correction may occur when prices hit major liquidity zones.
📌 Conclusion
Gold is still in a stable upward trend, with a short-term target towards 4090 USD/oz.
However, watch for liquidity zones around 4050–4060 and 4000–4025 to optimize entry points, avoiding FOMO when prices are already high.
👉 I will continue to update details each trading session.
Follow me to not miss the earliest gold scenarios!
AUD/USD 4HR Trendline Breakout Long Setup. Daily Continuation.I will be entering a long trade at the close of the current daily candle on AUD/USD.
Stoploss and take profit provided. With this one management will be if the market does not trade through the target area by daily candle close on Thursday then I will close the trade manually.
Simple trading execution and plan.
US30: Consecutive breakouts signal an emerging downtrend
SPREADEX:DJI – When price rejects the high, the market begins to shift
On the 30-minute chart, price action is clearly signaling a loss of bullish momentum and a transition toward a bearish structure.
________________________________________
🧠 Price Action Analysis
1. First Failed Breakout
Price initially broke above the ascending trendline that had held since early October — but failed to hold the breakout.
➤ A classic early warning of buyer exhaustion, often seen during distribution phases.
2. Multi-Layered Resistance Zone
The 46,725 – 46,779 region has become a clustered resistance zone, rejecting price repeatedly.
➤ Multiple rejections here suggest dominant selling pressure, with strong supply overhead.
3. Second False Breakout
A more subtle second breakout attempt followed — but again, price was swiftly rejected.
➤ Consecutive failed breakouts typically indicate a lack of conviction and precede sharp reversals.
________________________________________
📉 Trend Structure Has Shifted Bearish
• Lower highs and lower lows now visible
• Price broke below the previous trendline
• Pullback attempts failed to reclaim broken support
• Market is respecting resistance instead of support
➡ These are clear signs of a short-term downtrend emerging.
________________________________________
🔻 Trading Strategy: Favoring Sell Setups in the New Bearish Context
✴️ Scenario 1: Sell at Retest of Proven Resistance Zone
• Optimal Sell Zone: 46,700 – 46,750
• This area has already triggered two failed breakouts — a third touch could be the ideal trap for late buyers
• Watch for bearish rejection candles (pin bars, bearish engulfing, etc.)
Suggested Sell Limit Order:
→ Entry: 46,730
→ Stop Loss: 46,830 (above prior swing high)
→ TP1: 46,500
→ TP2: 46,300
→ Risk-Reward: At least 1:2
_______________________________________
✴️ Scenario 2: Momentum Sell on Breakdown of Local Support
• Trigger Level: 46,580 — if price breaks below with strong momentum (long red candle, increased volume)
• Confirms trend continuation after consolidation
Suggested Sell Breakout Order:
→ Entry: 46,580
→ Stop Loss: 46,680
→ Target: 46,350 – 46,200
→ Tip: Use smaller position size if breakout appears weak to avoid getting trapped in a fakeout
________________________________________
🎯 Trade Management
• Only enter trades with clear price rejection or momentum confirmation
• Move SL to breakeven after TP1 is hit to lock in safety
• Exit the trade if price closes above 46,830 — that would invalidate the bearish thesis
________________________________________
False breakouts leave a trail — for those who know how to read it. It's not a failure. It’s the market whispering that direction has changed.
Please like and comment below to support our traders. Your reactions will motivate us to do more analysis in the future 🙏✨
Harry Andrew @ ZuperView
XAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: TRULY INSANE FOR TRADERSXAUUSD – PRICE ABOVE $4000: TRULY INSANE FOR TRADERS
Gold has officially surpassed the $4000 mark, marking one of the most robust rallies in recent history.
Let's take a look at key price zones and short-term opportunities 👇
🔻 SELL Scenario
SELL 4025–4027 → SL 4033 → TP 4015 – 4000 – 3980
SELL 4042–4044 → SL 4049 → TP 4030 – 4015 – 4000 – 3980
🟩 BUY Scenario
BUY 3993–3995 → SL 3988 → TP 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
BUY 3980–3983 → SL 3975 → TP 3998 – 4005 – 4013 – 4023 – 4040
📈 Technical Analysis
The medium-term uptrend channel continues to be maintained steadily.
Rising lows indicate that buying pressure remains very strong.
The nearest psychological resistance is around the 4043 area, coinciding with the Fibonacci extension.
The expected buying zone is at the POC Volume Profile area — a high liquidity zone, previously where many traders expected gold prices to be rejected, but now could become a strong demand area.
🧭 Macro Perspective
If the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to cut interest rates, the market could aim for the next milestone – 5000 USD/ounce.
Although short-term fluctuations may occur (such as temporary ceasefires in the Middle East or Ukraine), the core drivers of this trend remain unchanged:
US public debt is increasing
Central banks are diversifying foreign exchange reserves
The USD is weakening
All support the medium-term uptrend of gold.
⚡️Summary
Gold remains in a solid bullish structure, even as it approaches overbought territory.
There may be strong corrections, but as long as the uptrend structure is maintained, buyers remain in control.