GBPUSD Retest before continuing to the downsideI anticipate price will retest (to at least) the recent ascending channel lower band breakout, before continuing to the downside.
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At Forexity: my trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations.
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#intraday
#daytrading
Trend Line Break
GOLD → Open gestalt 2280 but the price goes up, what's next?FX:XAUUSD closed last week in the plus side despite the negative fundamental backdrop, but the focus is on the consolidation that the price is in. Previous patterns indicate that consolidation, amid a bear market, could be followed by buyers liquidation, but there is always a BUT!!!!
Relevant, gold is closing in a pat range of 2340-2325. . The market doesn't know where to move yet. So the big question is: where will the price go on Monday?
The general background is bearish, accordingly, the pressure from sellers continues. Technically:
If the 2340 resistance is broken, the price will head towards the descending channel resistance.
BUT, if the support is broken, the new trading week may start with a decline towards 2300.
From a fundamental point of view, gold has no support
China has temporarily reduced purchases.
But at the same time, a rather hot conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe may support the gold price. Against the backdrop of the rising dollar, gold traders may intensify the sell-off of the asset and strike another blow to the buyers who appeared in the range of 2290 - 2325.
There is not much news in the coming week, but the focus is on: CPI (eur), Core Retail Sales & retail Sales, Initial Jobless Claims, S&P PMI and Fed Monetary Policy. The data is expected to be relatively lukewarm for the dollar, but the situation changes daily.
Resistance levels: 2340, 2355
Support levels: 2325, 2305, 2290
Technically, the market maker has not yet reached the key liquidity below 2380, there are no strong and obvious preconditions for the medium term, it is worth paying attention to the daily price behavior.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD - GOLD Zone 2322 rebounded💵GOLD PRICE AND ECONOMIC INFORMATION
Gold dropped to around $2,320 per ounce on Monday, following a more than 1% rise last week, under pressure from higher US Treasury yields, while market participants awaited further cues to gauge the Federal Reserve's monetary policy trajectory. Last week's data indicated that US consumer prices held steady in May for the first time in nearly two years, while producer prices unexpectedly declined.
Analysis:
Gold is currently stuck in the price range
Current gold range: 2340 - 2295
Between the 2 EMAs of frame D.
Large frame H4 shows a clear selling trend
🔴SELL GOLD: 2340 - 2342, SL: 2346
🟢BUY GOLD: 2307 - 2305, SL: 2301
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2340
📉 Breakout below: 2312
🔼Support: 2312 - 2305 - 2291 - 2286 - 2280- 2274
🔽Resistance: 2338 - 2340 - 2350
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
NOT ▵ → Is a rally possible now? Why is 0.020 so important?BINANCE:NOTUSDT breaks the resistance of the descending wedge (bullish set-up) and forms consolidation inside the range 0.0169 - 0.0199. A retest of support or the previously broken pattern boundary before rising is possible.
NOT under dump, after a strong rally, has eliminated some traders and may strengthen at the moment after the bulls hold the defense above key support and liquidity zones. The coin is in a consolidation stage after exiting the descending range. The market's transition to the stage of active strengthening and growth may be a breakout and consolidation of the price above 0.0188 - 0.0199. The potential of the coin both technically and fundamentally is quite tempting, but everything depends on the bulls.
Resistance levels: 0.0188, 0.0199, 0.023
Support levels: 0.0169, 0.0153
Since the price is inside the range, for an active price action the price must overcome one of the boundaries, the most likely scenario is a retest of the support (false breakdown) before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
Will we see a price break attempt again on ETH?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the chart of ETH in pair with USDT, on a four-hour interval. As we can see, the price has risen from the first channel of the downward trend, then we can see a break from the local upward trend line and now we can see the second channel of the downward trend,
Currently, the price has bounced off the support at $3,495, but remaining in the descending channel, we may see the price drop to the support at $3,179. Going further, we have a very strong support zone from $2,954 to $2,678.
Looking the other way, you can see how the price remains in front of a strong resistance zone from $3,645 to $3,814, then there is resistance at $4,098, and then we have a very strong resistance at $4,560.
Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see that we are entering the upper part of the range despite a slight price movement on the chart, while the STOCH indicator shows that we are exceeding the upper limit, which may still result in another attempt at price recovery.
AU D Buy Idea 5/8/24Daily bearish trendline has broken and is now being retesting, so I am now looking at buys.
There's been a bullish impulse with a bearish correction (pullback) happening now. If price follows suit there should be a bullish continuation happening soon pushing price bullish.
This will have EMCers looking for entries Thursday or Friday to take price up to around .66722 for a -.27 TP.
**This is for educational purposes only and this is not financial advice because I am not a financial advisor.**
GOLD → Retest of resistance before possible decline to 2290FX:XAUUSD is forming the range of 2325 - 2290. In general, the market is bearish and the local bullish distribution that happened since the opening of the session may lead to a false breakdown and further decline
Today at 15:00 GMT Fed Monetary Policy Report. I think it is worth paying attention to the Fed comments.
As for Gold. All attention to the resistance area of 2315-2325. Most likely we should wait for a false breakdown, at the moment there is no potential to go up against a strong bear market. Against the background of the growth of the dollar index gold traders can strengthen the sales of gold. Consolidation of the price (after the false breakdown) below 2325 or below 2315 may lead the market down to 2300-2290.
Resistance levels: 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2315, 2305, 2291
Friday may end with the price testing the resistance and returning to the boundaries of the sideways range, i.e. to the flat state.
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → The currency pair may lose up to 2.5% ↓FX:EURUSD is testing the 1.0884 resistance again after breaking the local channel. But it does not lead to success, as the bears are not letting the price up yet amid the complex fundamental environment.
Technically, the currency pair is under a strong resistance zone. The limit level of 1.0884, formed by a big seller, continues to have a negative impact on the price. EURUSD may test 1.0802 in the near future. It is necessary to monitor the price reaction to this area. A quick retest or consolidation could be a prerequisite for a downside breakout and further fall to the lower boundary of the global range at 1.0606
Resistance levels: 1.0884, 1.0942
Support levels: 1.0802, 1.0736
I expect that the bears will continue to dominate the market on the background of the expensive dollar, which may lead to the fact that the currency pair may lose up to 2.0-2.5% of its value.
Regards R. Linda!
SAIL - Reversal pattern in action!Monthly Time Frame:
Overview & Observation:
1. CHange in price structure from LL-LH to HH-HL
2. Good volume support
3. Bouncing from weekly demand and fib support zone.
4. Expected to continue to move higher.
5. Earnings are weak though!
Trade Plan:
1. Entry = cmp 154
2. Stop Loss = 10-12%
3. Target = 40%
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
GOLD PRICE DECREASES LAST SESSION💵GOLD PRICE AND ECONOMIC INFORMATION
Gold held steady above the $2,300 per ounce mark on Friday, on track for its first weekly gain in four weeks after falling over 1% in the previous session, as investors assessed softer-than-anticipated US inflation figures against the Federal Reserve’s updated interest rate projections. Thursday's data showed that the US PPI unexpectedly fell in May amid lower energy costs, indicating that inflationary pressures continued to subside. This followed cooler-than-expected consumer inflation data released last Wednesday. However, the latest dot-plot projections from FOMC members revealed that, on average, they anticipate only one 25 basis point rate cut this year, with four members forecasting no cuts at all.
✉️Deekop's Analysis:
After the FOMC and CPI forecasts as expected, gold increased slightly to 2340 and fell in line with the FOMC's good USD direction.
Today's milestone 2304-2308 is quite important. Gold will grind to break this mark if it wants to create a downward trend to conquer the 2291-2267 mark.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2319 - 2321, SL: 2325
(Sell retest dow + down vol)
🔴SELL GOLD: 2336 - 2338, SL: 2342
🟢BUY GOLD: 2282 - 2280 SL: 2276
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2325
📉 Breakout below: 2305- 2291 - 2286 - 2280
🔼Support: 2305 - 2291 - 2286 - 2280- 2274
🔽Resistance: 2317 - 2321 - 2325 - 2333 - 2338
Deekop's daily plans all achieve fixed profits
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
GOLD → Shakeout and false breakdown of 2325. PPI aheadFX:XAUUSD rises to 2340 on the back of yesterday's CPI and Powell's comments form a shakeup in the market and the price of the metal drops to 2308, forming a false breakdown of the key liquidity area of 2325.
Today the market is expecting PPI (MoM) and Initial Jobless Claims. Producer Price Index is expected to be lower than last period 0.1% instead of 0.4%, but it all depends on the actual data. Mind you, yesterday the market got a CPI of 3.3%, versus the expected 3.4%. But Powell did not say anything interesting in the change of views and still sticks to the hawkish side. Technically, gold is breaking local upside support and forming a consolidation below 2325. If the data is bullish for the dollar, gold could continue to fall towards 2290-2265.
Resistance levels: 2325, 2340
Support levels: 2305, 2291
Technically gold is showing weakness, but it reacts quite strongly to any small positive news. The whole emphasis on today's news, if the fundamental background remains negative, we will consider the targets below, if there are hints of a change in the background, we can consider price growth to 2340-2355.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → CPI and FED. What to expect from the market? FX:XAUUSD is stopping after correction, traders are afraid to make premature decisions as news is ahead. A consolidation below 2315 is forming.
False break of support leads the price to retest 2310-2315, after which traders take a breather before the news.
All eyes remain on the upcoming big events, CPI and Fed. Key US CPI data will help shape the Fed's view on interest rates, which will significantly impact the value of the US dollar and gold prices in the near term. The market is expecting neutral (no change) data, which could generally keep the same fundamental backdrop. But, all eyes are on the actual data as the market is still confused by last Friday's higher NFP than expected.
Nevertheless, any initial reaction to the US CPI data may be temporary as gold traders will quickly switch to the FOMC & FED meeting.
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325, 2354
Support levels: 2305, 2291, 2267
Technically and fundamentally, gold is weak at the moment. On the background of high volatility, the price may try to break through 2325 and test the liquidity area of 2335-2345, then move to the decline phase, if the fundamental background is suitable for this. Risks of further decline are quite high, but the coming news can both strengthen this decline and break the market structure.
Regards R. Linda!
INJUSDT → Interested buyer. Ready to rise to 43.0?BINANCE:INJUSDT looks stronger than bitcoin and the crypto market. Against the background of the general decline, the coin is growing and this is a rather strong premise.
The price may return to the range of 29.0 - 43.0.
On D1, a pre-breakout setup is forming regarding the 29.2-29.45 area. If the price can consolidate above this area, then further traders will open bullish potential, the target of which could be a rise towards resistance (intra-range movement). The coin looks green in the red market and it means that someone is interested in it (big player). On the overall negative fundamental background there is a risk that the coin will go down, but for now I am looking out for further upside.
*The long scenario will be broken if the price closes below yesterday's opening.
Resistance levels: 33.62, 43.4
Support levels: 29.21, 29.85
The potential is there. It can be realized if the bulls hold the defense above the key support area.
Regards R. Linda!
Gold prices dropped sharply with tonight's newsInvestors will focus on updated economic projections from the central bank, which are expected to show fewer rate cuts than policymakers previously anticipated. Markets now see only one rate reduction from the Fed this year in light of stronger-Gold prices eased toward $2,310 an ounce on Wednesday, hovering close to one-month lows as caution prevailed ahead of key US inflation data and the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Investors will focus on updated economic projections from the central bank, which are expected to show fewer rate cuts than policymakers previously anticipated. Markets now see only one rate reduction from the Fed this year in light of stronger-than-expected payrolls data last Friday. Additionally, China’s central bank, the biggest official sector buyer of gold, paused its purchases in May after 18 consecutive months of buying spree. Elsewhere, gold miner Polymetal International announced this week that it plans to double output by 2029 through acquisitions in Central Asia.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2325- 2323, SL: 2329
(Resistance H4 + VCM EMA 89 zone H1)
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2340, SL: 2344
🟢BUY GOLD: 2270 - 2268, SL: 2264
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2325
📉 Breakout below: 2304 - 2300 - 2391
🔼Support: 2286 - 2274 - 2268
🔽Resistance: 2325 - 2338
Investors will focus on updated economic projections from the central bank, which are expected to show fewer rate cuts than policymakers previously anticipated. Markets now see only one rate reduction from the Fed this year in light of stronger-Gold prices eased toward $2,310 an ounce on Wednesday, hovering close to one-month lows as caution prevailed ahead of key US inflation data and the latest Federal Reserve interest rate decision. Investors will focus on updated economic projections from the central bank, which are expected to show fewer rate cuts than policymakers previously anticipated. Markets now see only one rate reduction from the Fed this year in light of stronger-than-expected payrolls data last Friday. Additionally, China’s central bank, the biggest official sector buyer of gold, paused its purchases in May after 18 consecutive months of buying spree. Elsewhere, gold miner Polymetal International announced this week that it plans to double output by 2029 through acquisitions in Central Asia.
🔝🔝 Deekop's research and comments XAUUSD PLAN DAY TODAY June 12
🔴SELL GOLD: 2325- 2323, SL: 2329
(Resistance H4 + VCM EMA 89 zone H1)
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2340, SL: 2344
🟢BUY GOLD: 2270 - 2268, SL: 2264
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2325
📉 Breakout below: 2304 - 2300 - 2391
🔼Support: 2286 - 2274 - 2268
🔽Resistance: 2325 - 2338
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
Bitcoin looks good for a 20% upmove from current levelsKUCOIN:BTCUSDT has been hovering around and below 70k+ levels for few months now and looks prime to make an upmove after breaking this zone.
If we draw a trendline using the highest close values then we have got a marginal close above the trendline this week and today, #BTC is again trying to push past it. If it manages to convincingly breakout above this trendline, we might see a 20% upmove from current levels.
Keep an eye!
BITCOIN WILL FALLlast night the BTC broke the area of validation.Breaking such a strong trend line indicates that the marker will be fallen to a nother demand.so we will able to buy at around first demand around area 67000 then we have to see the reaction around that area .If its a corrective one we will sell again in premium, if it rejects hard, we will buy btc at cheap price.that is the BTC plan
GOLD → Price range. Test of resistance before the news FX:XAUUSD is testing trend resistance. The struggle continues, but on the background of strong dollar the price can test the minimum or even update it. The news is coming and the market may go flat.
GOLD is testing the strong resistance area 2304 as well as the pullback level 2314.7, forming a new key resistance within the correction. The technical and fundamental background for gold is negative, in the mid-term we should expect a fall, but tomorrow we are waiting for news such as: CPI, FOMC and FED meeting, where obviously the overall inflation situation and the US interest rate will be discussed.
If we pay attention to D1, we can see that the dollar continues to grow in an uptrend, at tomorrow's speeches, the regulators may continue to support the dollar, which may have a negative impact on gold, which by then may test the liquidity area 2304-2314-2325 before a further possible fall.
Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267
Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325
Today the market may trade within the range of 2291 - 2325, the prospective direction can be discussed tomorrow (before the news), but within the intra-day I would expect a retest of resistance and a possible decline to support.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → Negative fundamental backdrop could break the trend FX:GBPUSD is bumping into a strong limit resistance zone lined up by sellers. As the fundamental background changes, the bears are strengthening their positions. An impulsive downward movement is forming in the market
The opening session is formed with a gap on D1, in general this is rare in the forex market, but indicates potential. We are interested in the level of 1.271. A break of this area will be a trigger for a fall, because, in general, the short and medium-term outlook based on the fundamental background is predetermined.
Most likely, the first test of the support area will be followed by a bounce, but a retest of the support will strengthen the chances of a breakout and further decline to our target.
Resistance levels: 1.28
Support levels: 1.271, trend support
In the long term, we are waiting for a test of support and market reaction to the mentioned area. The local trend may be broken. Consolidation of the price in the selling zone will be the confirmation.
Regards R. Linda!
POLYXUSDT | Testing the New Trading SystemMarket Context
Exciting times as we put our new trading system to the test with POLYXUSDT!
Strategy: Buy the Dip
We spotted a trendline break on the 5M chart and used adjusted Fibonacci levels to set up our limit orders. Here's the plan:
LIMIT Order 1: 0.5169 | TP: 0.5415
LIMIT Order 2: 0.5080 | TP: 0.5163
LIMIT Order 3: 0.5000 | TP: 0.5078
Results
We hit LIMIT #3 and secured a solid 2.53% gain! 🎉
This system is showing promise—let’s see how it continues to perform. Stay tuned for more updates and trades!
XAUUSD / GOLD www.tradingview.com
GOLD is challenging a robust resistance area at 2304, as well as a pullback level at 2314.7, establishing a new key resistance within the correction phase. Both technical and fundamental indicators for gold are negative; thus, a medium-term decline is anticipated. However, tomorrow's announcements, including CPI, FOMC, and the FED meeting, will likely address the overall inflation scenario and U.S. interest rates.
Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267
Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325
Today, the market may fluctuate within the 2291 - 2325 range. The prospective direction will be clearer tomorrow (before the news), but intraday, a retest of resistance followed by a potential retreat to support levels is expected.
GOLD IS READY TO INCREASE IN PRICEGold prices fell near $2,300 per ounce on Tuesday, hovering at one-month lows, as investors wait for US inflation data and the Federal Reserve's policy announcement later in the week. Traders will closely monitor for cues on when the Fed might begin reducing rates, in light of a stronger-than-expected payroll report last Friday.
🔴SELL GOLD: 2320 - 2322, SL: 2327
🔴SELL GOLD: 2338 - 2340, SL: 2344
🟢BUY GOLD: 2270 - 2268, SL: 2264
🔝Technical analysis:
Gold experienced a sharp fall after being affected by two important news about China stopping buying gold in May and Nonfarm being very good for USD.
Today Gold is staying in the price range of 2320$ -2280$. Waiting for the scalp is the breakout strategy here
⛔️Breakout:
📈 Breakout on: 2309 - 2320 - 2329
📉 Breakout below: 2286 - 2280
🔼Support: 2286 - 2280 - 2274 - 2268 - 2259
🔽Resistance: 2308 - 2320 - 2329 - 2338
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
GOLD → Causes of the fall. Can gold fall even lower? 2265?FX:XAUUSD is making a new low and there are a number of reasons for that. The price after Friday's sell-offs is returning in the bearish trend boundaries, which determines the medium-term prospects for us
On D1, price is still in a global sideways range and support (global liquidity zone) is still untested. So why did gold fall? The market was negatively affected by the strengthening of the dollar, due to the positive NonFarm Payrolls for the US market, which generally forms a medium-term mood for the markets. Traders also moved to the bearish train on the background of news related to the suspension of global gold purchases by the Central Bank of China.
Technically, the continuation of the downtrend on H1 is most likely. On D1, a takeover is forming and Friday's close is practically at the minimum values (The movement, theoretically, is not over yet), but before that the market may test the lower boundary of the consolidation (the nearest resistance).
Resistance levels: 2315, 2325
Support levels: 2291, 2267
I expect local strengthening before the subsequent fall. Traders may try to buy back some of the decline (liquidity gathering) before further testing support with a view to breakout.
Regards R. Linda!
NOT → "DUMP" and 0.015 or false breakdown and 0.04?BINANCE:NOTUSDT looks strong both fundamentally and technically, but the hourly timeframe is forming the preconditions for a “Dump” of the coin before a possible further rise.
Since the opening (not counting the listing day), the coin has strengthened quite strongly without much pullbacks, which has created a rather large imbalance. In addition, there is a clear “Dump” scenario, where first the coin was pumped up to 450% and now it can be dumped in order to collect liquidity at the expense of traders who caught up with the outgoing train.
At the moment all the attention is on the area of 0.02-0.0199. There are two possible scenarios regarding the level and everything depends on the market reaction and traders' behavior. Either it will be a breakout and liquidation, or a false breakdown with the subsequent continuation of growth to the liquidity zones.
Support levels: 0.0199, 0.185
Resistance levels: 0.023, 0.0253
Volumes, investments are growing, but the coin cannot grow all the time. The market needs energy and whales may eat some buyers in order to form long positions at more favorable prices. We are watching the specified zone of 0.0199.
Regards R. Linda!