Today's trading trends, selling strategiesThe employment and economic data released by the US last week showed both positive and negative trends. However, the fairly positive job market has caused the market to predict that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will not cut interest rates before November this year, instead of September as previously forecast.
Experts say that world gold prices in the next few days will adjust within a narrow range to wait for information from the Fed meeting taking place on June 11-12. Surely the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged this meeting. However, the market will look for information about the health of the US economy and the direction of inflation.
Some financial institutions believe that the Fed cutting interest rates may consider the deflation situation of the world's No. 1 economy, when it twice reported the country's gross domestic product growth in the first quarter. a sharp decrease compared to the fourth quarter of 2023.
Experts recommend that investors should patiently wait for information from the Fed meeting. Because gold prices will be strongly affected when the Fed releases positive information from the US economy.
Trend Line Break
Gold fell deeply at the end of the week, the downtrend continuedWorld gold prices tend to recover with spot gold increasing by 2.3 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,294.9 USD/ounce.
The gold market this week is forecast to have many fluctuations and the direction of this precious metal depends heavily on the consumer price index (CPI) report and the interest rate decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). ) and a speech from the head of the world's most powerful central bank.
Last week, the market witnessed a strong sell-off when receiving two unfavorable information. Gold lost up to 80 USD during the day, recording the strongest intraday decline in 4 years. Specifically, the price reversed when the latest report showed that the People's Bank of China did not add gold last month, cutting off this central bank's 18-month gold buying streak. The report raises concerns that gold demand will slow down in the near future.
While the market is gradually stabilizing, expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates in September are gradually fading after the US Department of Labor's employment report dealt another strong blow to the market.
The Fed started the fight against inflation from March 2022 with interest rate increases. In this way, the US Central Bank wants to slow down economic growth and reduce inflationary pressure, with the goal of bringing inflation down to 2%. Recent inflation reports show that inflation is currently at 2.7%.
AUDUSD Analysis: Shorting Opportunities Amid RetracementFor those eyeing AUDUSD, here's my take:
While some might be tempted to buy, anticipating a retracement (UP) due to the recent price action, I'm not focused on buying opportunities. Instead, I have more strategic shorting setups in mind.
4-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : Waiting for a retest at 0.6638 or a retest of the channel for shorting opportunities.
1-Hourly Chart:
- Resistance Levels : 0.6595, 0.6613, and 0.6636.
- Preferred Entry : 0.6636 is my ideal shorting price, as it aligns with the key resistance level .
What's your trade plan for AUDUSD? Comment down below and share your insights!
Happy trading!
USDJPY Analysis: Opportunities for Shorting EnthusiastsUSDJPY is still pretty bullish, but for those looking to short, here's what I'm watching:
Daily Chart:
- Signal : Retest of the broken trendline
- Entry : Wait for MCC
1-Hourly Chart :
- Bearish Deep Gartley Pattern at 157.33
- Conservative Entry : Wait for MCC, preferably a retest on the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) with RSI Divergence
What's your trade plan for USDJPY? Comment down below and share your thoughts!
Happy trading!
FILUSDT → Waiting for the Rally. Potential target 11.8BINANCE:FILUSDT may move from the consolidation phase to the realization phase. The coin has 70% potential, which in general may give a chance to renew ATH. The bullish trend may get its continuation.
On D1 a break through the resistance of consolidation is formed. Bulls are starting to realize their scenario. The focus is on 6.808. The break of the resistance and price fixation above this area may provoke a large volume of purchases, which will only strengthen the rally. At the same time, bitcoin is saving up to continue its growth on the background of increasing interest in the cryptocurrency market. If bitcoin starts to kick off, it could generally favor the coin, which already (locally) looks stronger)
Resistance levels: 6.808, 8.120
Support levels: 5.666, trend support
I expect a retest of 6.808 followed by a breakout, which will only strengthen buying. If this scenario is followed, we can reach interesting targets, such as 9.34 - 11.8.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Poised for Surge Towards $85,000?Bitcoin (BTC) bulls are back in the driving seat, predicting a potential surge towards $85,000 in the coming months. This bullish forecast comes amidst heightened anticipation surrounding key U.S. economic data that could significantly influence investor sentiment towards the Federal Reserve's (Fed) monetary policy trajectory.
Technical analysts are pointing to a trendline formed by connecting several price points on Bitcoin's chart, suggesting a potential trajectory towards the coveted $85,000 mark. This technical analysis hinges on the assumption that the price will continue to follow the established trendline.
Factors Fueling Bitcoin's Optimism
Several factors are contributing to the renewed optimism surrounding Bitcoin:
• Potential Fed Rate Cuts: The upcoming release of key U.S. economic data, such as inflation figures and employment numbers, is keenly awaited by investors. If this data indicates a softening of the U.S. economy, it could bolster expectations of a rate cut by the Fed. A dovish pivot by the Fed, potentially lowering interest rates, is generally considered positive for riskier assets like Bitcoin, as it increases liquidity in the market.
• Institutional Adoption: The continual rise in institutional adoption of Bitcoin is another tailwind for the cryptocurrency. Major financial institutions are increasingly offering Bitcoin-related products and services to their clients, signifying growing acceptance and legitimacy within the traditional financial landscape. This broader institutional participation lends further credence to Bitcoin as a viable asset class.
• Scarcity: With a capped supply of 21 million Bitcoins, scarcity is a fundamental property baked into Bitcoin's design. This inherent scarcity, coupled with rising demand, could theoretically drive up the price of Bitcoin in the long term.
• Store of Value Narrative: Bitcoin proponents tout the cryptocurrency as a digital store of value, similar to gold. In times of economic uncertainty or inflation, investors often seek refuge in assets perceived as hedges against inflation. Bitcoin's limited supply and decentralized nature position it as a potential candidate for this role.
Technical Analysis: A Bullish Case
Technical analysts utilize price charts and mathematical indicators to predict future price movements. In the case of Bitcoin, some analysts are pointing towards a trendline established by connecting several significant price points on the chart. This trendline suggests a potential bullish trajectory for Bitcoin, with a target price of $85,000.
It's important to remember that technical analysis is not an infallible science. Past performance does not necessarily indicate future results, and unexpected market events can disrupt even the most meticulously drawn trendlines.
Challenges and Considerations
While the outlook for Bitcoin appears promising, there are still challenges to consider:
• Regulation: Regulatory uncertainty surrounding cryptocurrency continues to be a hurdle for wider adoption. Governments around the world are still grappling with how to regulate this nascent asset class. Stringent regulations could dampen investor enthusiasm.
• Volatility: Bitcoin is notorious for its price volatility. This volatility can deter risk-averse investors.
• Environmental Concerns: The energy consumption associated with Bitcoin mining has drawn criticism. If sustainable solutions aren't implemented, this could continue to be a black mark against Bitcoin.
Conclusion
Bitcoin's potential surge towards $85,000 hinges on a confluence of factors, including the upcoming U.S. economic data, continued institutional adoption, and Bitcoin's inherent properties as a scarce, digital store of value. Technical analysis also suggests a bullish trend. However, investors should be aware of the challenges posed by regulation, volatility, and environmental concerns.
GOLD → Price dump before NFP. Will we go to 2400?FX:XAUUSD is manipulatively declining and catching buyers by surprise (liquidation) before the news. Price may start a strengthening phase from strong support (2330-2325) on the back of weak dollar
Traders are waiting for NFP to be released at 12:30 GMT. Yesterday, the market received 229K on Initial Jobless Claims, which generally gives hints of a possible scenario. The dollar index may continue to lose ground amid the general environment, markets are slowly but already starting to prepare for Fed policy easing.
NFP is expected to be 183K vs. previous 175K, but the focus is on the actual data. If those are below the expected 183K, the dollar will break key support and fall under a wave of sell-offs, which would be a favorable scenario for gold. But, the problem with news is its unpredictability. Data above 185K may strengthen the dollar (But not for long).
Resistance levels: 2354, 2374
Support levels: 2328
There is liquidation and strong selling by buyers, but it happens before the news ( there are interesting thoughts, but... ). Below 2328 the price may not be allowed (from a technical point of view) and it would be logical to expect a false breakdown or a rebound from the liquidity block to which the price has approached.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → ECB rate and NFP in the US. What to expect?FX:XAUUSD is supposedly ending the correction wave on the background of fundamentally weaker dollar. ECB rate and US news (Initial Jobless Claims & NonFarm Payrolls) ahead
The European Central Bank is expected to cut interest rates for the first time since March 2016 at the end of its June policy meeting later today.
Meanwhile, markets now have a better chance of an imminent Fed rate cut amid signs of a slowing US economy. Ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continue to act as a safe-haven price for gold. Also, everyone is interested in the NFP (as one of the first signs of the Fed's readiness to loosen the policy), which will be published on Friday.
Technically, gold is forming a false break of MA-50 on D1, and breaking trend resistance on H1. All eyes are on the near-term support at 2354-2350
Resistance levels: 2374, 2405
Support levels: 2354, 2350. 2328
Possible support retest (false breakdown or intermediate struggle), which may lead to strengthening of the price. On the background of news, volatility may increase.
Regards R. Linda!
Today's trading strategy, increasing trendAbout 6 o'clock on June 7, today's gold price of the world traded at 2,376 USD/ounce, an increase of 21 USD from the same price as the previous day was 2,355 USD/ounce.
World gold price fluctuated in the context of the European Central Bank (ECB) for the first time since 2019, down 0.25 points of interest rate.
This move makes the market raise expectations that the United States will continue the ECB to loosen monetary policy, in the direction of reducing interest rates in the near future. At that time, the dollar will drop compared to many other foreign currencies. World gold price can increase further in the future.
So at this time, investors increased their purchasing power. Today's gold price increases tens of dollars/ounce is understandable.
Gold constantly increases when the trend is brokenThe world gold price continued to increase with spot gold increased by 20.4 USD to 2,376 USD/ounce. Future gold traded at 2,395.1 USD/ounce, up 19.6 USD compared to the dawn.
The price of gold continues to increase and reach the highest level in 2 weeks when the US bond yield falls after the latest labor report. The published data shows that the "cooling down" of the US labor market has strengthened the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates in September. Currently, investors are still hot. Waiting for non -agricultural payroll data of the US to be more sure about this expectation.
The number of important non -agricultural jobs is forecast to increase by 178,000 compared to the April report with an increase of 175,000 jobs. Reporting the private sector in May of ADP published in the middle of this week has shown that the US labor market is gradually cooling down.
According to the market analyst Carlo Alberto de Casa of Kinesis Money, precious metals are supported by the expectation of the recession of the world's leading economy and the peaceful US Bank in the next few months. .
XAU/USD Swing TrendXAU/USD Swing Trend
- Primary : Down Trend
- Secondary : Down Trend
- Minor : Down Trend
I think now It may be at the end of leg C of 4. and Finished 13 day of Down Trend Already.
However, Trade with the trend, when my Minor Trend looked up, I then waited for the price to adjust down to the EMA line and to the +1 SD line as well.
Therefore, the Buy Position has been opened. The target is to make a profit in the area of 2400, which is the Supply Zone. And place SL when the price breaks the POC of Volume below.
Gold trading strategy today, continuing the upward momentumWorld gold prices increased sharply with spot gold increasing by 29.3 USD to 2,355.6 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,375.20 an ounce, up $27.80 from the bright spot.
World gold prices edged higher midweek, supported by a weakening USD and falling Treasury yields after the latest data showed the labor market cooling.
According to ADP's report, private companies created an additional 152,000 jobs in May, much lower than the number recorded last month and experts' forecasts. This is the lowest monthly number unchanged since the bad month.
RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn said the weak labor numbers act as a catalyst that could force the Federal Reserve to cut back before the end of the year. This has increased the appeal of gold. Lower performance reduces the opportunity cost of holding gold.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, traders saw a roughly 67% chance that the Fed will deliver monetary policy in September, up from less than 50% last week.
Analysts say that important upcoming US economic reports, including data on the health of the service sector and non-farm payrolls reports, are likely to influence the direction of printed gold prices. short.
GOLD → The market is waiting for the news. What could happen?FX:XAUUSD in consolidation ahead of the news. The price after strong sell-offs is accumulating potential, traders are not doing anything yet, at the same time the dollar is breaking trend support.
Stalemate situation. A consolidation range is marked on the main chart. It is acceptable to trade from the boundaries of the range either breakout or false breakdown.
The complexity of the overall situation is that the news is an unpredictable part of trading. On the technical side: Gold is weak, there is no strong buyer in the market yet (Maybe they are waiting for news). But based on TA, I would see the market as preparing for a break of 2325 followed by a fall to 2300-2275. Fundamentally, the US still has high inflation and the regulators will not let the dollar fall much. DXY is breaking the upside support (which is supposedly a downside signal) but it still has not reached the support and liquidity zone, which is also a sign of a strong index.
Resistance levels: 2341, 2351
Support levels: 2325, 2315
Based on the technical behavior of the gold price, a break of 2325 and consolidation of the price below this area will provoke sales. Breakout of 2345-2350 will provoke buying. The situation is complicated by the upcoming news.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD Gold price movements tend to decreaseGold edged lower to $2,330 per ounce on Wednesday, as the US dollar stabilized ahead of May’s US jobs report expected later this week. The US nonfarm payrolls will be closely watched as investors seek cues on the potential timing of the Fed rate-cut
🔴SELL GOLD: 2348 - 2350, SL: 2354
🟢BUY GOLD: 2307 - 2305, SL: 2301
Breakout & retest:
📉Breaking and closing on: 2338 - 2354 - 2360
📈 Break and close below: 2322 - 2315 - 2306 -2300
🔼Support: 2322 - 2315 - 2305
🔽Resistance: 2338 - 2348 - 2354 - 2360 - 2374
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
SWING TUTORIAL - EMAMILTDThe stock had found a Resistance zone @ 602 during Aug 2021 and had started a Lower Low Pattern ever since.
Eventually finding its Support Zone @ 360 during Mar 2023 after 1 Year and 7 Months.
At this point notice that the Lower Low Pattern in the Price Action, however MACD slightly started showing a Higher Low formation. Hence the Convergence Divergence indicating a good move upward and also the 1st confirmation upward.
Finally in July the stock showed its 2nd confirmation once it successfully exited the Lower Low Pattern Trendline with a massive huge green candle.
Thus giving us our 1st Entry point at this stage which took the stock as close to the previous Resistance zone @ 602 and a safe exit as High as 31% for the Trade as well.
Another cool thing to note here is the Stock also retested the same breakout zone and the MACD as well was making a new Crossover, thus indicating another fresh Entry into the stock.
This trade had eventually broken the 4 Year Resistance zone @ 602 with a large volume and taking the stock as High as 67% in returns as of today.
What do you think about this Tutorial? Give your comments in the Comments Section below:
GOLD → Consolidation before NFP. What to prepare for?FX:XAUUSD is strengthening after a false breakdown of range support and is testing resistance with a subsequent bounce. Price is forming a flat and is not ready to go up or down yet. There are reasons for this:
Traders are waiting for news that will start to be released in the second half of this week starting Wednesday. The focus is on ISM PMI, Initial Jobless Claims, NFP. Accordingly, I would recommend watching the flat for now: 2354 - 2328 (2320). Most likely the price will be inside this consolidation for some time, the dollar is also standing still. Perhaps there will be an attempt to breakout (false breakout) or even a retest of more distant levels, but in general, due to the fact that there are no major players in the game yet, who are not eager for pre-temporal action, the price will consolidate within the specified range.
Resistance levels: 2354, 2374
Support levels: 2328, 2322, 2315
A quick approach to the liquidity zone may lead to a rebound or a false breakdown, accordingly, there is a chance to see local strengthening. We are looking at an intra-range trading strategy.
Regards R. Linda!
XAUUSD TODAY: Gold price keeps risingGold prices hovered around $2,340 per ounce on Tuesday, after logging gains in the previous session underpinned by growing expectations of eased monetary policies by major central banks. On Monday, data showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for a second consecutive month in May, while construction spending unexpectedly fell in April due to declines in non-residential activity. This further increased speculations that the Fed has room to cut rates this year. Traders are currently pricing a 60% probability of rate cut in September
SELL GOLD: 2374 - 2376 , SL: 2380
BUY GOLD: 2327 - 2325, SL: 2321
Good luck investors
Gold is in a downtrend, entry sell todayGold prices in the international market increased sharply amid weak US economic data. Specifically, the purchasing managers index (PMI) in the manufacturing sector decreased from 49.2 points to 48.7 points. This has reinforced market expectations that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by the end of 2024.
In response to the above information, financial investors sold off USD, causing the currency to fall to its lowest level in the past 3 weeks. USD Index dropped to 104 points. Gold price today has momentum to go up.
On the other hand, US bond yields fell to 4.4%, meaning the value of bonds went down. Accordingly, investors sell bonds and shift capital to precious metals. Today's world gold price increases by tens of USD/ounce is inevitable.
Sideway gold, selling strategy todayWorld gold prices increased with spot gold increasing by 21.5 USD to 2,350.5 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2.3716 USD/ounce, up 25.6 USD compared to yesterday morning.
Gold prices rose at the beginning of the week when the latest report showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for the second consecutive month. Specifically, the purchasing management index in the manufacturing sector decreased to 48.7% in May, compared to 49.2% recorded in April. This figure is weaker than the forecast of the world. expert. Disappointing economic data that raised the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates this year pushed the dollar to a three-week low and benchmark US Treasury yields fell. dropped to its lowest level in 2 weeks.
According to High Ridge Futures Chief Investment and Alternative Trading Officer David Meger, the positive trend in gold comes from strong expectations that interest rates will be cut at some point later this year.
Accordingly, the latest economic data makes investors believe that interest rate cuts will soon be implemented. Late last week, data released showed US inflation stabilizing in April. This has increased bets on an interest rate cut in September. Traders are currently pricing in around 56%. The possibility of cutting interest rates in September, increased sharply compared to before the report.