“Nasdaq's Target is 19,500”Today, there is an expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in the Fed meeting. By the end of the year, a total rate cut of 100 basis points is almost certain. This situation leads to a positive risk appetite being effective on the indices. On the U.S. side, retail sales increased by 0.1%. Meanwhile, industrial production in the U.S. pointed to a positivity exceeding expectations with a 0.8% rise.
Technically, if the resistance level at 19,500 is permanently surpassed, the rise could gain momentum towards the 19,700 and then 19,950 resistance levels. On the downside, if the index falls below the 19,100 level, a pullback towards the support levels at 18,800 and then 18,450 might be seen.
Trend Line Break
Brent oil trend moving down or up?Amid supply concerns in the markets, oil prices, which had dropped to the $69.30 level, saw a notable rebound. The American Petroleum Institute reported a 1.9 million barrel increase in weekly crude oil inventories, while a slight decrease is expected in the official crude oil inventories to be announced in the U.S. today. In the U.S., strong expectations remain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points today. Therefore, despite the positive risk appetite, Brent oil prices have continued to trade with a bearish trend below the $73.00 level.
Technically, if the 72.35 support level is broken, further declines toward 71.50 and 69.30 are possible. On the upside, if the 73.0 resistance is surpassed, buying momentum could accelerate toward the 74.30 and 75.50 resistance levels.
GOLD → Is it worth going up against knives? No trading history.. FX:XAUUSD continues to renew its high without any strong pullbacks. Buyers continue to behave quite aggressively before strong news. But everywhere there are risks and BUT!!!
There is a lot of news ahead before the important Fed meeting on interest rates, where they are likely to be cut. The question of “by how much” remains open, as weaker data (25 basis points) could trigger an unexpected reaction in the market that could lead to a correction....
But before that we have to face retail sales, CPI, FOMC.... Volatility will be elevated in the week ahead....
BUT! For intraday trading right now, there is such a problem as lack of history. You need to build a strategy from the general technical and fundamental background, as well as from local levels and key zones. BUT! The market is strongly bullish and before the news there can be both profit-taking and continuation of the rally....
Resistance levels: 2588, 2600, 2610
Support levels: 2577, 2573, 2563
The local range 2588 - 2577 is being formed. Before the news, traders may go into a consolidation phase, but we should keep an eye on the dollar, if it starts its downward flight, gold will react accordingly. Accordingly, a breakout of the local range boundaries may trigger a move to one side or the other.
REMEMBER! The market is bullish! Selling without proper reasons is the same as going against knives!
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
LHA - Downtrend breaks and Reverse H&S formationLufthansa is underperforming for quite some time already. It seems dip formation can be in play. Possible reverse H&S formation and price going out of downtrend channel. First target can be 6.60s where 200dma and fibo targets sit. Q3 balance sheet results, which is seasonally best for airlines, are on the way.
Xrp - The First Of Two Massive Breakouts!Xrp ( BITSTAMP:XRPUSD ) is still creating bullish structure:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the overall crypto market weakness Xrp is still holding and even rejecting the lower support trendline of the symmetrical triangle pattern. Xrp also created another short term triangle within the long term triangle, so two major breakouts might happen pretty soon.
Levels to watch: $0.6, $1.0
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD → Aggressive buyers... Ahead of PPIFX:XAUUSD is testing 2500 on the background of CPI data. Bulls actively continue to hold a strong support zone. An ascending triangle is being formed, the target of which is to break the resistance and rise.
After the release of CPI data in the US, the focus shifts to PPI and jobless claims data, which will give a new impetus to trading.
The CPI data has slightly cooled the increased bets on an excessive interest rate cut by the Fed next week. Despite the pullback, the gold price managed to defend a critical short-term support level around 2500 - 2505, keeping it in a three-week consolidated range.
Technically, the focus is on the SMAs, which are actively supporting the market, as well as the liquidity area of 2510, 2500, which the market may test once again on news before heading upwards.
Resistance levels: 2530
Support levels: SMA, 2510, 2500
The news may shake the market once again. Strong news may motivate the market to break resistance, but surprising PPI and Initial Jobless Claims data may trigger another sell-off attempt (to liquidity zones) before the price continues its rise. The market continues to focus on testing 2530
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
ETHUSD → Manipulating growth before liquidation BINANCE:ETHUSD is forming a counter-trend bounce and is aiming for strong resistance amid a bearish trend. The project is going through a rough patch, fumbling for a market bottom...
ETH faces troubles::
WisdomTree has requested the withdrawal of its ETH (Ethereum Trust) fund registration application three years after filing with the SEC. Earlier, VanEck closed its futures ETH-ETF, citing lack of demand.
Likewise, indicators suggest that Whale stopped accumulating ETH since July. Since then, they have been mostly selling.
Technically, we see the market being squeezed by strong resistance: trend lines as well as moving averages, which may negatively affect the market, keeping the coin from rising.
Resistance levels: 2375, 2460, 2510.
Support levels: 2309, 2111
The coin is heading towards the resistance and liquidity area amid a bearish trend. This can be seen as a manipulated move to capture liquidity before further testing the intermediate bottom. I expect a decline from the mentioned zones towards 2100-2000.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USDJPY → Full readiness to drop to 138.0 - 136.0FX:USDJPY breaks support at 141.68 and hits lows. The dollar is declining after the US election debate, but is still in consolidation ahead of CPI. The currency pair may continue to fall
Ahead of CPI, traders expect consumer inflation to fall to 2.5 for the year. This indicator will determine the interest rate cut next week, and more precisely by how much they will cut the interest rates, by 25 or 50 basis points.
Technically, everything is inclined to the further decrease of the dollar, which will be reflected on the currency pair. But, we should expect high volatility, within the framework of which, if the bears do not hold 141.68, the price may test 142.2 - 142.8 before further falling to 138 - 136.
Support levels: 140.75, 140.25
Resistance levels: 141.68, 142.2, 142.8
Global and local trends are under bearish pressure. Important news is ahead, which may strengthen the fall, or temporarily squeeze the price in the range. Consolidation of the price below 141.68 will be a good sign for the continuation of the fall
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Hey SPY lovers, look at all that green! Do you believe me now?We are undoubtedly in a scenario where the price is showing a lot of strength. As we can see, the price previously attempted to break all-time highs but encountered an institutional liquidity block, trying twice and creating a double top before making a pullback for days !
This second attempt to break the all-time high will be very important because, after the pullback, we were able to forecast the limit where the price would bounce back. Just one candle with a lot of volume and buying pressure was enough to realize that the price would reverse at $544.
If you've been following this analysis for weeks or months, you'll notice that everything is playing out according to our price action and institutional analysis.
Now, we just need to wait for that ATH, and I think this time will be different, especially considering that we're in election months, and the current president's political party wants the economy to look strong before the elections. So, we can expect a bull run from now until November.
Thank you for supporting my analysis, and if you've benefited from it and made profits, congratulations, I'm happy for you.
Best regards.
SPY In-depth Technical AnalysisA detailed technical analysis with Key Levels of support and resistance, expectations on the price action and trend.
Do your analysis and research as well while trading with these 3 simple tricks.
Identify entry, get in the trade, get green, get out.
Rinse Lather Repeat. Stay positive and Strong
FET/USDT 15mNYSE:FET is one of the leading AI projects in the crypto space, earlier this year it saw a meteoric rise in price up to $3.5. Since then price has dropped around 80% to a local low of $0.70, now recently price has grown and broken the daily downtrend rising to a local high of $1.44 +105% from the lows creating a dilemma for traders...
From previous price action we know that NYSE:FET is capable of huge moves, it's a fundamentally sound project with a strong narrative behind it. Finding a good entry to buy FET if sidelined or add to a position if already positioned can be tricky so these are my thoughts:
- HTF FET has broken the daily downtrend is is looking to reverse. Altcoins have been at the mercy of Bitcoin so it requires BTC to behave too. After an -80% correction a lot of the downside risk has already played out.
- LTF we have seen a strong recovery, if you has bought local lows at $0.70 you would have outperformed the entire drawdown of the last 6 months (assuming equal position size). So the feeling of FOMO can start to creep in at these levels.
- The chart shows potential points of entry on the LTF, obviously we may continue to drawdown, it's always a possibility but we have seen signs of strength and therefore opportunities to go LONG.
- Local range low @ $1.273 is the option with the best return out of the 3. Clearly strong support that was the base for the last local rally.
- Current level is an interesting one because it incorporates a LTF diagonal resistance trendline that would be bullish if broken. This combined with a range support line (0.25) could be a good option for a LTF entry.
- The final option is the 0.5/ Midpoint entry. This would mean flipping the 15m 200EMA bullish and reclaiming the midpoint making it the safest of the 3 entries but least rewarding, offering +6% return instead of 9% & 13% respectively.
With all this in consideration, NYSE:FET is one of the better altcoin options in the markets current state. IMO we still don't have a clear market direction just yet and so being nimble with positions is a must, but it does feel like the worst is over and if that is the case then a position in FET could be positive for a portfolio.
GBPJPY → Traders increase short, preparing for a fallFX:GBPJPY is unable to continue the uptrend. The price is breaking the price channel support, and the parabolic curvature can be interpreted as a set of short positions.
The Japanese Yen continues to strengthen. GBP is forming a small correction since the Open of the session, and the Japnese national currency is accelerating northward.
The parabolic curvature that is forming on the chart can be explained as a set or increase of short positions by large players. Such a maneuver indicates a possible strong and prolonged decline in prices. But, the focus is on the sideways range 192 - 189. Despite the fact that the price has left the channel, it is still in the range and the mentioned support restrains the market from falling.
Resistance levels: 190.97, 192, MA-50
Support levels: 189
If the bears manage to break 189 and consolidate below, it will be the reason for the continuation of the decline to the global low. On D1 the price is pushing away from the strong zone and also shows bearish preconditions
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD on the rise Yesterday, EURUSD broke above 1,1050, confirming the weakening bearish momentum.
This level now acts as support, and the price may retest it before moving higher.
Targets are set above previous highs.
Next week is crucial due to the upcoming FED interest rate announcement.
Stay rational and manage your risk carefully.
USDCAD - Technical Analysis [Long & Short Setup]🔹 USDCAD Analysis on 1HR chart
- The current Trend Seem neutral
- Bearish Divergence is Present
- No Reversal pattern
- Found Harmonics AB=CD Pattern
- Waiting for a Break of Structure for Confirmation Either at Point C or At Point B.
- If point C break we short.
- If point B break we long.
🔹 Trade Plan At Point C
- Entry Level = 1.35589
- Stop Loss = 1.36036
- TP1 = 1.35137
- TP2 = 1.34681
🔹 Trade Plan At Point B
- Entry Level = 1.36297
- Stop Loss = 1.35783
- TP1 = 1.36757
- TP2 = 1.37213
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
BNXUSDT → Liquidation on bullish trend before rising...BINANCE:BNXUSDT continues to correct and is heading towards global bullish trend support.Against the overall backdrop, the coin looks promising as one of the few continues to hold an uptrend....
Locally, BNX is testing the key liquidity area, a rebound to 1.300 may follow, but depending on the situation, there are various patterns indicating selling pressure on the market, such as: local lows, sma cross, closing bars at daily lows.... But, confidence is given by the overall trend. It is worth paying attention to the support 1.061 - 1.22, in this zone the struggle between the market participants is formed. The bulls may finally win if they are able to consolidate above 1.2000, but before that a long-squeeze or a scramble for support is possible.
Resistance levels: 1.2000, 1.31, 1.425
Support levels: 1.14, 1.06, 0.95
Technically, the trend boundary and liquidity area has not been tested yet. There are no strong bullish signals and MM may form a trap (false growth, liquidation (sell-off) and false breakdown followed by growth). Emphasis on these key zones...
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BNXUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Alibaba - The Bleeding Is OverNYSE:BABA dropped roughly -75% after it broke the long term trendline towards the downside back in 2021 before it found some strong support at a previous horizontal support level.
Click chart above to see detailed analysis 👆🏻
Bulls are still not giving up on Alibaba and after the strong retest and reversal of the all time low back in 2022, Alibaba managed to consolidate and stop the agressive downtrend. If Alibaba actually manages to break back above the confluence of resistance, this stock is actually back to a bullish market and we could see the beginning of a new uptrend and maybe even new all time highs.
Levels to watch: $81
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
GOLD → Liquidity is a magnet. Getting ready to test 2475FX:XAUUSD like the TVC:DXY is going up, only the currency has a reason, and gold forms this movement based on manipulation. The price is at a strong resistance and a double top, which forms the prerequisites for a decline towards 2490-2475.
The dollar is strengthening on the background of a weak report on the U.S. labor market, as well as due to the Asian market, where fears of a slowdown in the Chinese economy are growing, despite the fact that traders expect lower interest rates next week. The theme of a “hard landing” for the U.S. economy is still on a high tone.... The reason for gold's rise since the beginning of the trading session on Monday is behind the decline in US Treasury bond yields
All eyes are still on the US inflation data due to be released on Wednesday... There is no reason for the price to move out of the range, accordingly, gold will continue to form a sideways (neutral) market direction.
Resistance levels: 2507, 2516
Support levels: 2500, 2494, 2484, 2475
Technically, the price is bouncing off 0.5 fibo, forming a double top with no opportunity to reach the upper boundary of the range as there is no interest for MM. The key liquidity is hidden in the lower part of the range, where, most likely, the price will seek in the near future on the background of the dollar growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!