Tesla on the Rise: Can We Hit $350Hey traders! MB Trader here—hope everyone had a great week of trading. Let's dive into Tesla and talk about two potential scenarios I'm watching closely. There are some key levels in play, so here’s a quick breakdown of what could happen next:
Scenario 1: Correct and Push Higher
-We could see a correction, but Tesla might still head upwards toward the $250 range.
-This means a short-term pullback followed by a rise to $250 before any bigger correction hits.
This is the scenario I’m leaning toward until we get more data confirming the move.
Scenario 2: Deeper Correction Before Rebound
-If the correction goes deeper, Tesla could drop to $223-$228 before rebounding.
-This range is a crucial support level to watch—if it holds, we correct back up.
But, if that level doesn’t hold, we could break down toward $200 or even lower.
What I'm Thinking:
Right now, I’m more inclined toward the idea of hitting $250 first, then seeing a deeper pullback.
However, I'm staying cautious until we get more data, as Tesla’s moves can be unpredictable.
Let’s see how this plays out—stay sharp and keep those key levels on your radar. Talk soon!
Tslaanalysis
Tesla 4 HOUR Are we Going to 234???? Good morning Traders
In this video I speak on Tesla and doing a quick break down on which levels to look for if we are breaking up with a target of 134 and beyond.
Enjoy the video
If you have any questions, comments, tell me what you like , dont like and what videos you want to see.
Happy Hunting
MB Trader
TSLA / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4HTSLA / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Currently, prices are trading below the turning level at 250, which indicates a potential for downward pressure.
If prices remain below 250, it suggests a potential decline towards 214. Should prices stabilize below this level, further declines towards 194 could be expected.
However, if prices break above 250, confirmed by a 1D or 4H candle close, the market may shift to an upward momentum, potentially reaching 264 and 277. Breaking the channel at these levels would indicate the activation of an upward trend zone.
Turning Level : 250
Tesla Part 2 Video Monthly - 5 Min : Where are we GOING & WHY Good evening Traders
Part 2 of my video I just created for Tesla:
In this video we get into the nitty gritty where this market is going and and some possible scenarios we can go.
We take this video from the 4 hour time frame and bring it down to the five minute chart for you all to see which levels to look for and why
Any questions, comments, what do you like ? What do you hate and why?
Lastly which countries is everyone from? I'm from Canada myself
Happy Hunting Traders
MB Trader
TSLA forecastDescending Trendline (Yellow Line):
The stock appears to be in a downtrend, as shown by the yellow descending trendline. This line indicates a resistance level that the stock has tested multiple times but hasn't yet broken through.
Support and Resistance Levels (Red and Orange Horizontal Lines):
Several horizontal lines, likely key support and resistance levels, are drawn.
Red Lines: These represent support zones where the price has bounced in the past (120.48, 154.22, 167.21).
Orange Lines: These are resistance levels (257.67, 302.74) that the price may struggle to break through.
Current Price and Movement:
Tesla’s price is at $226.13, which shows a gain of 4.56% for the day.
The blue and red boxes to the left represent the current bid and ask prices.
Future Price Projection (Blue Path):
The zig-zag blue path seems to be an anticipated price movement. It shows the price possibly breaking above the yellow trendline (resistance) and moving upwards towards the next resistance level near 257.67.
After potentially retesting the breakout, the price might continue its upward movement as suggested by the upward arrow.
Measured Move (Orange Vertical Line):
The orange vertical line on the right highlights a potential price gain of 136.69 points (112.03%) if the stock were to move from the low point (around 120.48) up to the higher projected level (possibly above 257.67).
Overall Interpretation:
The chart suggests that Tesla’s stock is currently testing a key descending resistance. A breakout above this trendline might lead to a significant upward move, potentially targeting the 257.67 or even higher levels. However, if the breakout fails, the price might retest lower support zones around 185 or even 167.
$TSLA Ready to go bullish?
First of all, the price has broken above the downtrend line, and started to moving in a uptrend market.
However, according to the trading volumes, more chips are bought in the top area, meaning that there's strong resistance above the current price.
Therefore, I think the price might continue to fluctuated below the resistance area in a short term period.
TSLA cybertruckin' it to $243-$258 price range - 4-5 Elliot WaveNASDAQ:TSLA drawing a 4th to 5th Elliot Wave potentially all the way to the $243-$258 price range
Moving averages consolidating around that area too. I track the 20, 50, 100, and 200, but mostly the 50 and 200 for confirmation, and trendlines, but mostly the Elliot Wave when I see it straight out of Ralph Nelson Elliots playbook..
Invest smart, invest hard.
Boost my post if you like this idea 💡
Also follow and subscribe for more uproars. Let's spread the word together.
Roaring Puppy 🐶 out.
NASDAQ:TSLA
TSLA daily chart shows clean channels for trading this week.NASDAQ:TSLA has clean channels on the daily chart, both to the upside and downside, for trading this week. TSLA closed just below the daily 10 SMA, which is the next key supply it must reclaim before going higher and potentially testing the daily 325 SMA and daily 50 SMA just above that. If it can reclaim the daily 50 SMA, along with NASDAQ:QQQ building a strong base above its own daily 50 SMA, then TSLA will be in a strong position to push higher to the daily upper Bollinger Band, while continuing higher on the C to D leg of the Gartley harmonic discussed previously.
Alternatively, if QQQ continues to reject the daily 10 SMA and loses the daily 50 SMA demand, TSLA may lose its daily 200 SMA. This would invalidate the Gartley harmonic and TSLA would trade down to the next daily demand, which is the rising daily 100 SMA. I continue to be positioned long into next week, because I believe the upside potential is stronger on this name; however, it is important to always be prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios in order to execute with confidence during the trading day.
Tesla’s China-Made EV Sales Rise Amid Strong CompetitionTesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) continues to make significant strides in China, the world’s largest electric vehicle (EV) market. According to the latest data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), sales of Tesla’s China-made EVs rose 3% year-over-year in August. Deliveries of the Model 3 and Model Y surged by 17% from July, driven by Tesla’s aggressive strategies to attract local buyers. As the company expands its influence, a closer look at both the fundamental and technical aspects of Tesla’s stock reveals an intriguing narrative for investors.
Rising Sales Amid Fierce Competition
Tesla’s growth in China is particularly impressive given the fierce competition it faces from domestic EV makers like BYD, Leapmotor, and Li Auto. BYD, Tesla’s biggest rival in China, reported a staggering 35.3% year-over-year increase in sales, reaching a record high of 370,854 units in August. Despite this, Tesla’s consistent performance indicates that it is holding its own, thanks to several strategic moves:
1. Extended Incentives and Financing Options: Tesla has been offering zero-interest loans of up to five years since April, catering to cautious buyers amid a sluggish economy. This strategy has proven effective, especially in smaller cities, where Tesla saw a 78% year-on-year increase in deliveries in tier-three cities and a 47% rise in second-tier cities like Hangzhou and Nanjing.
2. Government Endorsement: Tesla has gained significant government backing, with several local authorities recently approving Tesla models for official car purchases. This endorsement helps Tesla penetrate segments of the market previously closed off due to regulatory restrictions, boosting both its sales and brand credibility.
3. Expanding Product Line: Looking to keep its offerings fresh, Tesla plans to produce a new six-seat Model Y in China starting in late 2025. This move is seen as an effort to appeal to family-oriented buyers and differentiate Tesla from other competitors in the market.
Despite a global downsizing of its sales force, Tesla’s China operations have maintained strong sales momentum, thanks to these strategic adjustments. Analysts project that if the current trend continues, Tesla could hit a record quarterly sales volume in China for Q3 2024.
Navigating a Mixed Market Environment
Tesla’s stock has shown a mixed performance recently, with technical indicators presenting both opportunities and cautionary signals for traders:
1. Price Action and Chart Patterns: Tesla’s stock was up 3% in Friday’s extended trading session but dipped 0.18% in premarket trading on Tuesday. The chart shows a bullish engulfing pattern, a positive signal suggesting that buyers are stepping in at current levels. This pattern, coupled with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 50.21, indicates a potential uptrend in the near term. If the RSI dips to 40, near the one-month low pivot of $183, a rebound could be expected.
2. Support and Resistance Levels: Tesla’s stock is poised to hold its current levels, with analysts maintaining a “Hold” rating on the stock. Key support lies around $183, while resistance levels hover near $200, indicating that Tesla could be gearing up for a potential breakout if buying pressure increases.
3. Investor Sentiment and Volume: Trading volume and investor influx are critical factors. A surge in these could further propel the stock upward. With the introduction of Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) feature in China expected by year-end, sentiment could turn increasingly positive, leading to higher trading volumes and bolstered prices.
Outlook: A Balanced Perspective
Tesla’s ongoing success in China and strategic initiatives point to a promising future, but investors should also be mindful of the broader market conditions. With high competition, economic pressures, and evolving consumer preferences, Tesla’s path forward in China will be closely watched. Technically, the stock shows signs of resilience, but maintaining its trajectory will depend on continued strong sales performance, positive regulatory developments, and the successful execution of new product rollouts.
For traders, Tesla offers a balanced risk-reward profile at current levels. The fundamentals provide a strong backdrop, while the technicals suggest that the stock is at a critical juncture. Whether you’re looking to hold for the long term or capitalize on short-term price movements, Tesla remains a key player in the evolving EV landscape. As always, keep an eye on macroeconomic trends and market signals to navigate this dynamic market.
TSLA has multiple daily demand zones converging.NASDAQ:TSLA has several daily demand zones converging below today's low. This may provide an intraday short opportunity tomorrow, followed by an opportunity to add equity long into these demand zones for a move higher in the coming days, as long as the daily 50 SMA is held.
TSLA (Tesla), growth after accumulationHi friends, Tesla want to growth in friday and monday time ... We have more then 1,5 million contracts to long position, also bearish solds come to finish label. So my opinion growth to 218.1 (x-lines level) in near time and maybe target 229 is optional for next week .. will see..
Have a nice trading day ;)
Tesla is closing to resistance level, More Correction?Firstly, Tesla is closing to the downtrend line, which might be rejected to drop.
Secondly, the high volume candle shares the same level with this resistance area, double confirmed the importance of this resistance level.
So, in my opinion, it may go bullish after break above the resistance level.
TSLA / TESLATSLA (Tesla, Inc.) Stock Analysis:
Key Dates and Potential Market Movements:
1. August 23, 2024 - Potential Upside:
• Scenario: The chart indicates a potential bullish movement around late August 2024. This could be driven by positive earnings reports, advancements in Tesla’s technology, or an increase in market optimism around Tesla’s leadership in the EV market.
• Impact on Price: We might see a short-term rally in Tesla’s stock price, pushing it towards previous highs around the $270 mark.
2. October 15, 2024 - Potential Downside:
• Scenario: As we approach mid-October 2024, the chart suggests a potential bearish phase. This could be due to broader market corrections, profit-taking by investors, or any negative news related to supply chain disruptions or increased competition in the EV market.
• Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock could see a pullback, potentially testing support levels around $215 or even lower.
3. February 19, 2025 - Recovery Phase:
• Scenario: By early 2025, the chart indicates a recovery phase, possibly due to strong Q4 2024 earnings, the introduction of new Tesla models, or significant advancements in battery technology.
• Impact on Price: This period might mark the beginning of a new bullish trend, with Tesla’s stock price climbing back towards the $250-$300 range.
4. May 9, 2025 - Consolidation or Continued Growth:
• Scenario: The market could enter a consolidation phase, where the stock trades within a range, or Tesla could continue its growth trajectory depending on the broader economic conditions and Tesla’s performance.
• Impact on Price: If the market conditions are favorable, Tesla might break out to new highs; otherwise, we could see sideways movement in the $250-$300 range.
5. September 4, 2025 - Potential Market Shift:
• Scenario: As we approach late 2025, the chart suggests another critical phase, potentially influenced by macroeconomic factors, such as changes in interest rates or shifts in consumer demand for EVs.
• Impact on Price: This could lead to either a breakout to new highs or a retest of lower support levels, depending on the prevailing market sentiment.
6. December 4, 2025 - Year-End Rally:
• Scenario: The end of 2025 could see a year-end rally, driven by strong sales numbers, holiday season demand, or favorable policy decisions regarding EV subsidies.
• Impact on Price: Tesla’s stock might experience a strong rally, potentially setting new highs or revisiting levels around $300.
Considerations for Investors:
• Technological Advancements: Tesla’s continued innovation in battery technology, autonomous driving, and energy solutions could be key drivers of its stock price.
• Market Sentiment: Investor sentiment around the EV market and broader technology sector will play a crucial role in Tesla’s stock movements.
• Geopolitical and Economic Factors: Changes in global trade policies, supply chain disruptions, and shifts in consumer demand could impact Tesla’s performance.
Given the potential market shifts and Tesla’s leadership in the EV space, are you considering adding Tesla to your portfolio? How do you see Tesla’s position evolving as we approach key market dates in 2024 and 2025?
Technical analysis on TSLA #TSLA I mainly use the Daily and 15 minute chart quite regularly unless otherwise then i will use the 5 minute but lets take a look at the daily and 15 minute timeframe. here
Daily Time Frame (1D):
##Let’s take a look at the bigger picture first:
Right now, Tesla’s stock is hanging around the $200 mark. If you zoom out a bit, you’ll notice it’s been a bit of a bumpy ride lately. The price seems to be showing some hesitation, like it’s trying to decide which way to go next.
##So, what’s the game plan?
There’s a key support area between $182 and $184. Think of this as a safety net where the price might land if it starts dropping. The idea here is that the price could dip down to this zone before bouncing back up, possibly even reaching $230. But don’t get too excited yet—there’s still some bearish energy in the air.
##What are the signals telling us?
The strategy that i am using here is pretty methodical, relying on signals that tell us when to buy or sell. There’s a cool little trick called the Heiken Ashi Smoothing indicator on the chart. This helps smooth out the noise, making it easier to spot trends. Right now, it’s suggesting that the overall momentum is bearish, but there are hints that things might start turning around.
##What does this mean for you?
Well, if you’re playing the long game, you might see a few green (bullish) days before the stock makes that drop towards the $182-$184 range. And if you’re quick on your feet, there could be some short-term opportunities to trade in and out during these consolidations. But be careful—there’s still a lot of uncertainty.
##15-Minute Time Frame (15M):
Now, let’s zoom in a bit:
On the 15-minute chart, things are moving a little faster, as you’d expect. We are still hovering around $200, but it’s had a slight dip. Nothing major, but it’s worth noting.
##What’s happening in the short term?
There’s been a lot of back-and-forth lately, with the price consolidating—basically, it’s been stuck in a tight range. This can be frustrating if you’re waiting for a big move, but it also presents some opportunities for quick trades.
##Should you make a move?
The signals are still showing some bearish vibes, but just like on the daily chart, there are signs that a reversal could be coming. If you’re looking to make a quick trade, there might be a chance to jump in during this consolidation phase and ride a small wave before the price makes a more decisive move.
$TSLA Powering down expected until we break the channel The chart is still showing a bearish trend with the price trading within a descending channel, indicating a consistent downtrend.
Key Levels:
- $200 Resistance:
The failure to reclaim and hold above $200 reinforces bearish sentiment.
- 0.618 Fibonacci Support at $165:
This level is the next major support within the current downtrend. A break below could lead to further declines.
- Target 1 ($165): Immediate support level, aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement.
- Target 2 ($100): A deeper support level and potential downside target if bearish momentum continues.
The price remains below the moving averages, further supporting the bearish outlook. NASDAQ:TSLA is likely to test the $165 level, with the potential for further decline towards $100 if the bearish trend persists. A bullish reversal would require a break above the descending channel and key resistance levels.
Ultimate Winrate KDJ Strategy by reset parameter!(best tutorial)You've ever had this happen?
Bought a stock at rock bottom, and it starts to rise a bit, and then the J line turns down on the KDJ indicator, telling you to sell. So, you sell, but then it quickly shoots up, leaving you pretty blue. like you missed out on a fortune. Was the KDJ indicator down?
Nope
Hold tight, cause we're about to see a miracle. By just tweaking a bit the KDJ indicator's parameters, you can nail those short-term highs and be on your way to the success.
So, how do you find the right KDJ indicator parameters?
Stick around, and I'll spill the beans!
First off, why do we need to optimize this lil' parameter?
Well, every stock moves differently cause the folks trading it are different. So, a one-size-fits-all KDJ indicator won’t always work well on every stock at every stage. To up our chances, we gotta tweak those parameters to find the best fit for our stock.
Now, onto the second question: how do you find the right ones?
Let’s go back to the Tesla stock chart.
After changing the KDJ indicator parameters to 74, the sell point lines up perfectly with the peak.
Why 74?
Well, from point A to point B, there’s exactly 74 candles. Why use the number of candles between those two points as the KDJ parameter?
Here’s the crux of it.
The KDJ indicator is a momentum oscillator, calculating the close price at latest candle with the highest and lowest prices of the previous nine candles since the default KDJ parameter is 9.
so If the price breaks above the highest price of those nine candles, it will be constantly giving false sell signals.
So, we need to set the KDJ parameter to the number of candles from the previous high to the low. This way, the highest price and lowest price are not broken.
Then, the KDJ works accurately.
Still lost? Let’s look at another example. Here’s an Apple stock chart.
With the default parameter of 9, we bought after the golden cross, but few days later, it prompt to sell signal, and then the price soared. Feeling furious yet?
But if we set the KDJ parameter to 95, we’d have sold right near the top, securing a nice profit!
Why 95?
Same method: from the highest point A to the lowest point B, there’s 95 candles.
Got it? Ain’t it something?
Check your stocks with this method. Got questions? Leave a comment, and I’ll get back to ya ASAP! Today we focused on using KDJ to find sell points. It’s just as magical for buy points, which I’ll cover in future videos.
So, please follow me and hit that boost bell so you don’t miss out!
Tesla - It was a clear fakeout!NASDAQ:TSLA just confirmed a false breakout and is now reversing towards the downside.
Being able to only read price action properly can already make you a profitable trader. Tesla was attempting a triangle breakout last month but closed with a significant bearish wick. Therefore this is considered a false breakout and Tesla will head lower over the next couple of weeks since it is still trading below the resistance trendline. This was just pure price action.
Levels to watch: $160, $120
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
TSLA weekly chart shows confluence.NASDAQ:TSLA weekly chart shows that it is coming into key demand areas around $205 to $215. The weekly chart shows a Wyckoff accumulation phase since the 2021 all-time high at $414.50, with a spring during Phase C at the recent lows below $140. This corresponds to the bottom of the cup, with Phase D of accumulation corresponding to the handle. A close over the weekly 200 SMA, currently at $232, will give room to the weekly 150 SMA supply. Reclaiming these weekly supply zones may lead to a break of the weekly handle, and a push up to the final weekly supply zones of the weekly upper Bollinger Band and upper weekly 100 linear regression channel ahead of $300 during Phase E, which may start at the end of this year or into next year. The trade is invalidated below the weekly 20 SMA, which is currently at $187.
Tesla - Fakeout leading to a -50% drop?NASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading at a key inflection level, forming a trend for the next years.
Within a couple of hours, an entire stock can reverse and fundamentally change its trend. Tesla is still retesting a multi-year resistance trendline and is down about -8% today. If this selloff continues and Tesla rejects the resistance trendline with a massive bearish wick, then we will most likely see a correction back to the lower support of the descending triangle pattern.
Levels to watch: $240, $120
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
$TSLA Retesting Critical Support Range After Earnings MissIf you've been following the analysis, we've hit quite a few short-term targets...
NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:TSLA | So far, we've seen a 40%+ move from our entry at $145.
Targets: $180 , $200 , $260 , $300, $450
After 29 weeks of analysis with consistent levels, a plan for scaling in, where to stop, and that big-picture thesis - this earnings leading into the RoboTaxi event will paint the rest of this picture.
Now let's take a look at the earnings readout:
Optimus Development
• A significant new addition to Tesla's innovative portfolio is the development of the Optimus robot, which Elon Musk recently announced is slated for low production by 2025 and high production by 2026.
• Optimus, expected to be utilized internally by Tesla as early as next year, represents a leap into robotics that could revolutionize labor and operational efficiency within Tesla’s manufacturing processes.
• It would be great to learn on the earnings call about the initial integration of Optimus into Tesla’s ecosystem, its production timeline, and the expected financial and operational impacts of this groundbreaking development.
Autonomous Driving
• The Q2 earnings call is anticipated to shed light on Tesla’s progress with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) capabilities and the Robotaxi service. The delay in the Robotaxi rollout, while initially a setback, has allowed Tesla additional time to refine and enhance its autonomous technology.
• Updates about the integration of FSD into the Robotaxi design -- which is central to Tesla's strategy in autonomous driving -- will be of interest. Tesla's vast real-world driving data fuels its AI, making continuous advancements possible and setting Tesla apart in the race towards fully autonomous vehicles.
• Elon Musk's vision for transforming Tesla into a leader in mobility-as-a-service (MaaS) will also be a focus. With Tesla's autonomous tech, the company is poised to dramatically reduce transportation costs, making mobility more accessible and affordable. The introduction of the Robotaxi and potential partnerships with existing ride-hailing services could significantly expand Tesla’s market reach and influence.
Energy Storage
• Tesla's energy storage segment is likely to be a focal point of the Q2 earnings, following its impressive growth. In 2023 and 2024, this segment's contribution to gross profit notably rose, accounting for less than 8% of revenue in Q1 but potentially reaching or exceeding 14% if revenue doubles sequentially as anticipated
• Last quarter, energy storage constituted 10.9% of Tesla’s $3.69 billion in gross profit, a significant increase from 3.7% in Q1 2023. The segment boasts a higher margin profile than Tesla’s automotive operations, achieving over a 24% gross margin in the first quarter. Despite this impressive growth, the expected surge in Q2 revenue will likely not substantially impact EPS, due to the automotive margin stabilizing around 18%
• Additionally, the role of energy storage in Tesla's long-term strategy to create a more sustainable energy ecosystem will be examined, with expectations for clear plans on how Tesla intends to leverage its tech capabilities to maintain leadership in this high-potential market.
China Market
• Tesla's strategy and performance in China will be another significant topic in the Q2 earnings report. Given the dynamic and highly competitive nature of the Chinese EV market, Tesla is expected to outline how it is adapting its business strategy to address local competition and regulatory challenges. This includes detailing efforts to optimize its Shanghai Gigafactory's output and innovations specific to the Chinese market
• Interest in Tesla’s customer engagement and marketing strategies in China, especially how Tesla plans to compete with local EV giants like NYSE:NIO , will be high. Furthermore, Tesla’s approach to managing supply chain issues, tariffs, and geopolitical tensions that could affect its operations will be critical.
Earnings Estimates
Q2 2024
• Sales $24.7B -- down 1% YoY
• GAAP EPS $0.48 -- down 38% YoY
FY Outlook
• Sales $99.4B -- up 33% YoY
• GAAP EPS $2.18 -- down 49% YoY
Forward looking, the future looks bright...