BTC: Crypto Market Faces Major CrashBTC: Crypto Market Faces Major Crash Amidst USD Strength
During the night, the entire cryptocurrency market experienced a significant crash, driven by the strengthening US Dollar (USD). The new tariffs imposed by President Trump on Canada, Mexico, and China have bolstered the USD, leading to aggressive movements across all markets.
Bitcoin (BTC) has completed a bullish harmonic pattern, indicating a more stable situation. The price may correct within this zone, but potential comments from President Trump regarding the crypto market could further support BTC's short-term strengthening.
A strong support zone is found near 31,230, where the price has previously reacted and formed the bullish harmonic pattern. Resistance zones ahead are located near 98,200; 102,385; and 105,470.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Wave Analysis
Hellena | GOLD (4H): LONG to 100% Fibo lvl (2857.750).Colleagues, the situation in the markets is quite complicated. But gold is aiming for new highs, given that in all difficult times gold has been a reliable instrument for storing assets.
At the moment, I expect the completion of lower wave “3” in the area of 2857.750 (100% Fibonacci extension level).
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold Sector Outlook 2025: Is the Golden Era Just Beginning? Gold Sector Outlook 2025: Is the Golden Era Just Beginning? ✨🏆
Introduction
The gold sector is shining brighter than ever in 2025. With prices climbing rapidly amidst global economic uncertainty and rising geopolitical risks, the precious metal is once again a top choice for investors. But what’s driving this bullish momentum, and what should you watch out for? Let’s dig in. 🕵️♂️💰
Trending Sector Performance
🔍 Recent Sector Highlights
Gold Price Surge: Since October 2023, gold prices have surged 53%, recently hitting $2,801 per ounce. Goldman Sachs predicts a $3,000 target by year-end, while J.P. Morgan is a bit more conservative at $2,600—with room to overshoot. 🚀
Mining Output: Industry forecasts show a potential 17% decline in new gold mining supply over the next five years, signaling tighter future supply. This supply squeeze could fuel higher prices. 📉⛏️
Central Bank Demand: Central banks bought 290 tonnes of gold in early 2024, a sign that institutional demand remains strong. Ongoing debt concerns and geopolitical uncertainty are only amplifying gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset. 🏦🌎
These data points underscore why gold's momentum might just be heating up.
Sector Valuation 📊
The valuation of key gold mining companies suggests opportunities for savvy investors. Here’s a quick snapshot of forward P/E ratios:
Barrick Gold Corp ( TSX:ABX ): 11.79
Barrick Gold (GOLD): 10.09
Gold Fields ( NYSE:GFI ): 8.01
AngloGold Ashanti ( NYSE:AU ): 7.10
Kinross Gold ( NYSE:KGC ): 12.18
With these valuations below broader market averages, the sector shows signs of potential undervaluation. For long-term investors, this could be a golden opportunity. 💡📈
Risk Assessment ⚠️
Like any investment, gold comes with risks:
Price Volatility: While forecasts remain bullish, economic stability or a stronger U.S. dollar could hurt prices.
Supply Constraints: With fewer new mining projects, gold miners may face production challenges if demand accelerates.
Strategic Sector Analysis 🛠️
SWOT Analysis
Strengths:
✅ Strong central bank demand.
✅ Gold’s status as a time-tested safe-haven.
✅ Potential supply constraints pushing prices higher.
Weaknesses:
❌ High operational costs for mining companies.
Opportunities:
💡 Geopolitical instability driving sustained demand.
💡 Mining innovations creating potential for new exploration.
Threats:
🚨 Economic recovery reducing gold’s appeal.
🚨 Higher interest rates diminishing gold’s relative attractiveness.
Key Trends Influencing Gold Prices 📈
Geopolitical Tensions: Uncertainty continues to steer capital towards safe-haven assets like gold.
Monetary Policy: Rate cuts or looser monetary policy could provide further tailwinds for gold prices.
These factors are expected to keep gold at the forefront of investment strategies throughout 2025.
Accuracy and Data Validity ✅
All insights in this article are based on recent data from financial reports, social media sources, and institutional projections, ensuring relevance for early 2025.
Conclusion 🏁
Gold remains a promising investment for 2025. With central bank demand, potential supply constraints, and persistent geopolitical risks, prices may continue their upward march. However, it’s crucial to stay alert to potential economic shifts that could affect the sector’s performance.
What's your 2025 gold price prediction?
🔺 Above $3,000
➡️ Between $2,600 and $3,000
🔻 Below $2,600
discuss in the comments! We’d love to hear your thoughts.
GOLD → Price is susceptible to manipulation. Correction?FX:XAUUSD amid high risks of tariff wars and high inflation reaches a new ATH and trend resistance, but due to manipulation by politicians there is a possibility of a small correction.
Gold price is consolidating above $2,800 after an all-time high of $2,831, awaiting US employment data and Fed speeches. Volatility increased amid manipulations about Trump's tariff policy: first they set tariffs, then a few hours later they cancel them. In a word, “politicians”. Gold is going into correction after a false breakout of resistance of the ascending channel and on the news about temporary suspension of tariff increase by the USA. Overall gold is holding its ground as the Fed remains cautious on rate cuts.
Resistance levels: 2817, 2830
Support levels: 2811, 2801, 2790
If the price breaks 2811 and consolidates below this area, we should expect a correction to 2800 - 2790 in the short term, there is no hint of a trend change, growth may continue from the key support areas.
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin Pullback or Trend Reversal? Key Levels to Watch!Bitcoin failed to Break the $107,000 Resistance as in the Previous post (the 7th attack failed ).
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )is moving in the Resistance zone($100,520-$97,200) , near the Support lines , the 50_SMA(Daily) , and Monthly Pivot Point .
This upward movement these few hours can be in the form of a pullback to 50_SMA(Daily) and Support lines (broken) . Of course, the worrisome point is the momentum of this upward movement .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , this increase of these few hours can be in the form of the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure so far is a Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to once again attack the 100_SMA(Daily) and the Heavy Support zone($93,300-$90,500) .
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $102,926-$100,450
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $92,570-$91,249
Note: If Bitcoin goes below $97,000, we should have more confidence that this analysis is correct.
Note: If the CME Gap($102,580-$100,320) fills in this uptrend, we should expect another attack on the $107,000 resistance.
Do you think the correction of Bitcoin continues, or should we wait for Bitcoin re-pumps in the coming hours? Please share your ideas in the comments.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Bitcoin’s Incoming Bear Market!🚀 Bitcoin’s Bullish Phase: The Final Push Before the Fall?
Bitcoin is currently in the parabolic uptrend phase of its halving cycle, with price action closely following historical patterns. Since the last halving on April 15, 2024, Bitcoin has mined approximately 42,480 blocks, pushing the market closer to the 70,000-block threshold where the trend historically reverses into a deep bear market.
Based on historical patterns, Bitcoin’s next major bull market peak is expected around 150,000 USD, approximately 70,000 blocks post-halving (projected for August 2025). However, investors must prepare for what follows—a severe bear market fuelled by miner capitulation.
🔥The 70,000-Block Bearish Reversal: Why It Happens Every Cycle
1. The Mining Difficulty Trap & Rising Costs
Bitcoin’s mining difficulty adjusts every 2,016 blocks (~2 weeks) to maintain the 10-minute block interval.
As BTC price surges in the bull market, more miners join the network, driving competition and difficulty higher.
This raises mining costs and squeezes profit margins, making it harder for smaller miners to stay afloat.
✅ Bull Market (~0-70,000 Blocks Post-Halving)
High BTC prices offset increased difficulty, allowing miners to hold rather than sell.
Low sell pressure from miners keeps Bitcoin in an uptrend.
❌ Bear Market (~70,000 Blocks Post-Halving)
After BTC peaks, prices decline but difficulty remains high.
Mining costs remain constant, while block rewards drop.
Weaker miners can’t afford to mine at a loss and are forced to sell their BTC holdings to cover operational expenses.
2. The Snowball Effect: How Miner Capitulation Triggers a Crash
Once inefficient miners begin selling, a chain reaction unfolds:
1️⃣ Bitcoin price starts declining after the cycle peak (~12-18 months post-halving).
2️⃣ Miners struggle to remain profitable due to high difficulty and lower block rewards.
3️⃣ Miners begin offloading BTC to cover expenses, increasing supply in the market.
4️⃣ More BTC supply leads to further price drops, triggering panic selling.
5️⃣ Additional miners shut down operations, selling off reserves, further flooding the market.
6️⃣ Capitulation accelerates, causing a cascading effect similar to leveraged liquidations seen in past bear markets.
🔄 This cycle repeats until enough miners exit, difficulty adjusts downward, and BTC stabilizes.
3. Historical Proof: How Miner Capitulation Has Marked Every Bear Market
Each Bitcoin bear market aligns with major miner capitulation events. Here’s how past cycles have played out:
📌 2012 Halving: Bull top in late 2013, miner capitulation in 2014, BTC fell -80%.
📌 2016 Halving: Bull top in late 2017, miner capitulation in 2018, BTC fell -84%.
📌 2020 Halving: Bull top in late 2021, miner capitulation in 2022, BTC fell -78%.
📌 2024 Halving: Expected bull top in late 2025, miner capitulation likely in 2026?, BTC decline TBD but estimated to be around -60%.
🔹 In all cases, BTC topped ~70,000 blocks after the halving, followed by a deep drawdown driven by miner capitulation.
🔹 The selling pressure from miners perfectly aligns with the start of major market crashes.
4. The Accumulation Phase: What Follows the Crash?
After miners capitulate and difficulty adjusts downward, Bitcoin enters a sideways accumulation phase (~140,000-210,000 blocks post-halving).
Weaker miners have already exited, reducing sell pressure.
Surviving miners adjust to lower rewards and stop mass selling BTC.
Smart money (whales & institutions) begin accumulating at undervalued prices.
The MVRV ratio drops below 1, signalling a market bottom.
Bitcoin stabilizes, setting the stage for the next bull cycle.
This predictable recovery cycle lays the groundwork for Bitcoin’s next exponential rally into the next halving period.
The Bitcoin Bear Market Prediction for 2025-2026
✅ Bitcoin is currently on track to peak near ~$150,000 around 70,000 blocks post-halving (August 2025).
✅ Following this, BTC is expected to enter its bear market, with prices potentially falling to ~$60,000 (by December 2026).
✅ The primary catalyst for this crash will be miner capitulation, just as it has been in every prior cycle.
Final Thoughts
If history repeats, the Bitcoin market is set to follow a sharp parabolic rise to ~$150,000 before undergoing a 70,000-block miner-driven selloff into a multi-month bear market. Investors should be aware of this pattern and plan accordingly.
Sources & Data Validation
The insights presented in this article are based on historical Bitcoin price cycles, on-chain analytics, and mining difficulty trends from various sources, including:
Blockchain Data (Glassnode, CoinMetrics)
Historical BTC Halving Data (Bitcoin Whitepaper, Blockchain Explorers)
Market Analysis Reports (Messari, Arcane Research)
Macroeconomic Influences (Federal Reserve Reports, Global Liquidity Cycles)
Disclaimer: Not an Investment Recommendation
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. Bitcoin and cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.
Gold's Uptrend Nearing Key Reversal Zone—Time to Sell?Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD ) is creating a new All-Time High(ATH) during these few days; finally, how far can gold continue this upward trend? What do you think?
Educational Note : From the point of view of Technical Analysis , when the asset is forming an All-Time High(ATH) and the previous history of the price is not around the price, the analysis becomes a little difficult, but we must be able to make the best use of the technical analysis tool.
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Gold is entering the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Also, Gold is facing a Series of Resistance lines that can stop its increase .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that Gold is in the Ascending Broadening Wedge Pattern formation. Do you agree!?
Educational Note : An Ascending Broadening Wedge is a bearish technical pattern characterized by higher highs and higher lows that expand over time. It signals increasing volatility and weakening bullish momentum, often leading to a breakdown below support. Traders watch for a confirmed breakdown as a short-selling opportunity.
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Gold seems to be completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 .
Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks.
I expect Gold to start falling after entering the PRZ and at least to the lower line of the wedge pattern and Support zone($2,800-$2,787) .
Note: If Gold breaks the Resistance lines and goes above $2,873, we should expect Gold to increase further.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 1-hour time frame.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Hellena | Oil (4H): SHORT to the 70.00 support area.Colleagues, the situation is quite complicated, so I assume that the price is in a combined correction. At the moment I expect the completion of wave “B” in the 77.00 area, then the completion of wave “C” in the 70.00 support area.
Complex compound corrections are always quite unpredictable, so I recommend not to forget about SL and lot calculation.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Gold - This Breakout Will Lead To $5.000!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is preparing a major breakout:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For more than one and a half decades, Gold has been respecting the structure of a rising channel pattern with one exception. Back in 2010 we saw a bullish breakout followed by a parabolic rally and as we are speaking, Gold is starting to break out of the channel once again.
Levels to watch: $2.900, $5.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
# ChainLink (LINK/USD) Weekly Elliott Wave AnalysisOverview 📊
This analysis examines ChainLink (LINK/USD) on the weekly timeframe using Elliott Wave Theory and Fibonacci levels to determine potential price movements.
🔹 Current Price: $20.66🔹 Key Trend: Impulsive structure in progress🔹 Indicators Used: MACD, RSI, Fibonacci Retracement & Extension🔹 Chart Pattern: Five-wave Elliott structure with potential upside targets
1️⃣ Elliott Wave Count 🔍
Primary Degree (Macro Trend)
📌 The primary Elliott Wave count suggests a classic five-wave impulsive structure:
Wave (I): Initial impulse rally
Wave (II): Corrective decline, forming a bottom
Wave (III): Strong expansion wave with key retracement levels
Wave (IV): Potential pullback region before the next bullish phase
Wave (V): Final expansion phase leading to the macro target zones
⏳ Current Progress: Price is in the early stage of Wave (III) within the broader cycle.
Intermediate & Minor Degree Waves
Intermediate Wave 1 is completed, and Wave 2 retracement is in progress.
The 0.382 ($18.57), 0.5 ($15.83), and 0.618 ($13.54) retracement levels serve as possible support for Wave 2 before a continuation move upwards.
A bullish reaction at these levels could confirm the start of Wave 3 within the intermediate cycle.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Targets & Key Price Levels 📈
Primary Wave (V) Extension Targets
1.618 Fib Extension: $94.09 (Major target)
0.618 Fib Extension: $207.77 (Long-term macro target)
These targets suggest a strong potential bullish continuation.
Wave (IV) Retracement & Pullback Zones
1.236 Fib: $52.79 (Potential resistance)
1.382 Fib: $49.17 (Wave IV correction zone)
0.382 Fib: $36.90 (Pullback area to confirm higher low)
Wave (ii) Retracement (Minor Degree Support)
0.382 Fib: $18.57
0.5 Fib: $15.83
0.618 Fib: $13.54
0.786 Fib: $10.81 (Final invalidation level)
These act as critical re-entry zones for bullish continuation.
3️⃣ Technical Indicators & Confirmation Signals 📊
MACD Analysis
✅ Bullish Momentum: MACD remains above the zero line, but a short-term correction is in play.✅ Cross Confirmation: A bullish crossover from a lower level would confirm the next upward move.
RSI (Relative Strength Index)
📍 Current Level: 61.11📍 Overbought Level: Above 70 (watch for potential corrections)📍 Support Zone: 50-55 (if price retraces, RSI staying above this range is a bullish sign)
4️⃣ Trade Plan & Risk Management 🎯
📌 Bullish Entry Zones: 🔹 Between $13.50 and $18.50 (Fibonacci retracement support for Wave (ii))🔹 Confirmation: Watch for MACD crossover & RSI support bounce
📌 Target Areas: 🔹 Short-Term: $36 - $52 (Wave III Mid-Target)🔹 Long-Term: $94 - $207 (Wave V Extension)
📌 Risk Levels: 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $10.81 (Wave (ii) invalidation)🔹 Downside Risk: If LINK breaks below $10.81, the structure may need reassessment.
5️⃣ Conclusion & Final Thoughts 🚀
🔹 ChainLink is currently forming a potential Wave (II) correction before a major impulse move.🔹 If support holds above $13.50-$18.50, a bullish continuation toward $52-$94 is likely.🔹 MACD and RSI will provide further confirmation signals for the next rally.🔹 Traders should monitor Fibonacci support levels and watch for a strong bounce before entering long positions.
📢 Let me know if you’d like any further refinements or trade-specific setups! 🚀🔥
ETH - One More, No More!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 ETH has been bearish trading within the falling channels.
🏹As ETH is hovering around the lower bound of the channels, which lines up perfectly with the $2,500 round number, it would be an attractive zone (at least for me) to look for longs.
🏹On the other hand, for the bulls to take over long-term, a break above the upper trendlines and $3,000 round number is needed.
For now, we wait! ⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURUSD On The Rise! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 1.0256
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 1.0358
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD → The trend is not broken, gold could go even higherFX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen after a small correction. There is a zone of interest ahead and the price may form a correction to the support before it starts to storm ATH
Gold is rising due to the growing risks on the background of the tariff war started by Trump. Despite the risks posed by the US residents as well, he is willing to continue to do so. In addition, his comment about the Fed, “The Fed made the right decision last week to hold off on cutting rates” gave aggressive support to the dollar, but that didn't break gold, which is heading for the highs. The trend is not broken and interest in the metal due to growing risks is also growing. The focus is on US and Chinese economic data as well as Fed statements.
Technically, the support in the form of the previous ATH - 2790 plays a key role and gold may test this area once again before continuing its growth. But, in the short term, it is worth keeping an eye on 2800.
Support levels: 2795, 2790
Resistance levels: 2802, 2808
There may be a small correction from 2802 or from 0.7-0.79 fibo before the price decides to storm this area again to consolidate above the support before rising further.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → A breakout of trend resistance. Change?FX:GBPUSD is forming a local trend change attempt. The price breaks the resistance of the descending price channel and forms a consolidation above the line, in the buying zone.
The fundamental background is very complicated and not stable because of Trump's policy and the tariff war with the whole world. Sharp shifting statements have a huge impact on the markets.
Technically, the price is breaking the resistance of the long downtrend and we have a chance to change the local trend. A breakout of the resistance at 1.2488 and a price consolidation above this zone may motivate a buyer to support this move.
Resistance levels: 1.2488, 1.26
Support levels: 1.2414, 1.2377
The price may test the previously broken channel resistance before rising further, but the 1.2488 trigger plays an important role. If the bulls can keep the defense above this area, the currency pair may rally a bit in the short term.
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for GOLD is below:
The market is trading on 2833.1 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2791.9
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to the area of 6136.8 (Wave 3).Colleagues, I believe that wave “2” has completed its development and now I expect the upward movement to continue in wave ‘3’, which should break the maximum of wave “1”.
So far, I set the target as a minimum in the area of 6136.8.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
SOL ANALYSIS (4H)From the point marked as "Start" on the chart, the correction of SOL has begun.
It appears that this correction is either a Diametric or a Symmetrical pattern.
Currently, it seems to be in Wave F.
It may reject downward from the red zone to complete Wave G.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Tesla - Another +100% After This Breakout!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) can still double from here:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
With Elon Musk actually becoming the richest person on this planet, Tesla is simultaneously attempting another all time high breakout. All the recent bullish momentum could further fuel this rally, leading to new all time highs and another 2x in Tesla's market cap.
Levels to watch: $450, $900
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold: Bullish Momentum Remains, But Caution is Advised - UpdateGold: Bullish Momentum Remains, But Caution is Advised
The bullish momentum for gold remains intact, but we must exercise caution.
In the gold analysis I explained yesterday, we can see that gold has already reached two of our targets: 2830 and 2836. The 2830 level was reached twice.
The price is currently testing a very strong zone near 2836 - 2844, which also corresponds with the resistance zone of a larger channel. You have to...
You can watch the analysis for further details.
Thank you! 😊
Breaking Point: Will USDT Dominance Wave C Spark Altcoin Inflows
In my view, the "manipulative squeeze" observed the other day represents wave B within an expanded flat correction. Yesterday, CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D reached three key targets simultaneously (FVG on both weekly and monthly timeframes, along with tests of the MA200-d and MA20W), which inflicted substantial pressure on CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 & CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 . By the end of the day, a reversal candlestick pattern had formed. Of course, we need confirmation, and the price may likely retest the wick area from yesterday’s candle — a normal market reaction.
Nevertheless, the overarching conclusion is that USDT Dominance may be prepping for a potential downward wave C, targeting the 3.2–3.4% range. If realized, this scenario could lead to an influx of capital into altcoins, benefiting from a reduced share of stablecoins.
At the same time, it’s essential to remember external factors such as news, macroeconomics, monetary policies, and developments in global financial markets. Any significant shifts in these areas can alter the balance of power and consequently adjust the current outlook for USDT Dominance.
My last global forecast