$SPY week of Feb10 2025SPY - rejected 607 to 610 three times (Sentiment - Bearish) Below 597 to test 592 and 589, 586 Above 600 ->604 ,607by nkr6280
Market Update - 2/9/2025Caught the EP nicely on NASDAQ:AFRM , and the breakout on NASDAQ:MGNI , but other than that we're still in a bad environment, the distribution days and declining breadth are not good signs. Will remain cautious. 09:58by BenedekBokor0
SPY Possible Sell SPY is currently still inside the ascending channel but had a change of character on daily time frame. A sell entry is possible once the price test the resistance level and mitigate OB . Good LUckShortby Alpha_543210
Bull Flagging??? Sure Looks It To MeGreat Sunday to all my TradingView peeps out there! I present a potential play to you that not only provides a NASTY dividend yield (152.78%) but also looks to be forming a bull flag that possibly gives you an upcoming 20% increase in share price... With that being said, I'd like to present a what if scenario but more importantly provide you with some insight on what could be a phenomenal play for 2025. This particular YieldMAX Option Income Strategy focuses on generating income through selling call options on the underlying asset of NASDAQ:COIN and I want to lay out a particular scenario of what could have been in 2024 and guide you towards what can be in 2025. If you bought 1000 shares of AMEX:CONY at the beginning of 2024, it would have cost you roughly 9000 (1000 shares x 9.00). At the end of the year, the price of each share closed at 11.26 (for easy peezy math calculations and my anxiety, I will use round numbers) and you would have roughly 11000 dollars. However, that isn't including the 152.78% dividend yield and whether or not you chose to reinvest your dividend payments back into the stock. So based off your initial investment of 9000 dollars, using a 150% dividend yield, your balance at the end of 2024 would approximately be 24500. Again, this scenario is only breaking down the change of share price (1000 shares x 2.00 = 2000 dollars) and the dividend yield payment (9000 x 150% = 22500 dollars). This ultimately would be more than 24500, if you were to reinvest your monthly dividend payout back into the stock buying more shares. To sum this idea up, I believe this is a substantial play for any type of investor in 2025. As I am seeing a Bull Flag and the potential that the share price reaches the ATH (14.85) by the end of 2025. I have displayed on my chart what I feel is the new support for 2025. I also included a 6 Month Support Trendline as well as what looks to me like a bull flag. Again, as I've said before... I am not a financial guru and definitely not a financial advisor (yet) but I will share with you my claims regarding what price action I see. I'd suggest you complete your own Due Diligence and not jump into mine or anyone else's picks without diving into some analysis yourself. Last and definitely the most important part... Take Profits, Take Profits, Take Profits!!! I cannot stress that enough. Good luck on your trading journey ladies and gentlemen!Longby FliCityOptions1
one more shakeout coming!As much as I hate to admit it, I think that we will have one more major shakeout that will be intense and will cause panic in the precious metals markets. The bullion banks are loaded up with shorts...and yes that could mean that a short squeeze ensues and takes metals up explosively. However, absent some major geopolitical event or similar, I think that the bullion banks will slam the markets one las time...it will hurt big time and test even the most resolute stacker!Shortby ConservativeOne10
Beautiful cup & handle in commoditiesLoving the turnaround: gold, commodities are stronger than stocks this year. Longby gkretininUpdated 0
Bearish XLK: has been underperforming for a while now......made a rounding top starting December, trapped the bulls on a 3-day bullish island reversal in January. Ended up in the middle of July '24 gap down. Negative YTD, under the VWAP from the top. It was never about NVDIA or DeepSeek news.Shortby gkretininUpdated 0
QQQ AnalysisMy view is bullish and I think that a price correction can be confirmed by buying.Longby smuggler651
IWMgoing for a big swing to the downside and on the way down catch daily plays over all bearish but who knows don't quote meShort15:15by SMASHHH960
QQQ sell to 500We recently formed a double bottom at 510 and a double top at 531 , we’re definitely going to complete the sell to 510 however Watch for a break and retest below 510 and we’ll be able to head to 500 to complete the previous move upwards to 531 that originally started January 13th. Shortby MuggaMatrix5
$SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 20AMEX:SPY Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders for Feb 7 2025 Alright, y’all, ATH’s are back in the trading range today. We have a downtrend line off of ATH’s midway through the range and then ATH’s, and 612 as the top of the implied move for the day. Underneath we have the 35EMA -which we bounced on yesterday - and the 30min 200 for support. Under all of that we have the 50 Day Moving average. Easy Trading range today. Bullish moving averages but they are close together and that means that could change. by SPYder_QQQueen_TradingUpdated 3
MSTX: The Setup for a Major MoveHey! Currently, MSTX is exhibiting bullish structural development, aligning with what could be a textbook re-accumulation phase ahead of a major move to the upside. Looking for price to break above $64.40 with Volume and Strength. All up to BTC of course. Key Technical Signals: The bottom of the current structure exhibits a converging IHS (Inverse Head & Shoulders) and Double Bottom—a powerful bullish reversal pattern. Bullish Continuation Divergence confirms hidden strength as price action builds momentum for a breakout. The macro trend aligns with MSTR and BTC correlations, historically leading to explosive price action when BTC enters an expansion phase. BTC, MSTR & MSTX Projections Based on Historical Relativity BTC currently: $96,750 MSTR currently: $327 MSTX currently: $41 If BTC Rises 20% to $116,000 Historically, MSTR moves 3x BTC, meaning MSTR could rise to ~$522. MSTX, as a 2x leveraged ETF on MSTR, could reach ~$90. If BTC Reaches $180,000 (~86% Gain) MSTR, moving 3x BTC, would explode to ~$1,171. MSTX, moving 2x MSTR, could reach $252. Factoring in MSTR Share Dilution MSTR’s ongoing share issuance to buy BTC may introduce slight dilution. MSTR sells shares and uses the capital to buy more BTC. However, historically, BTC's price appreciation has vastly outpaced dilution effects, making MSTR's BTC holdings per share continue to rise significantly over time. Why This Setup is High Conviction MSTX provides leveraged exposure, amplifying potential returns. BTC is already trending towards new highs, increasing probabilities of continuation. This trade setup has the potential for a 5x move or more if BTC continues its cycle. Mute the noise. There is technical bullishness in this chart. Set alerts and stick to a plan. Thank you for your time and happy trading! OnePath by OnePath1
S&P 500 Forecast for 2025: Insights from Stock Market CyclesAMEX:SPY CME_MINI:ES1! SP:SPX January Barometer: The month of January has already closed with a net gain over December. Therefore, in accordance with the January Barometer this suggests a positive year. First Five Days Indicator: The first five trading days being positive further supports this outlook. Although they were barely positive at +0.6% it still counts. December Low Indicator: This indicator is bearish if the December low is taken out in Q1 of the year. Unfortunately, the December low was already breached in January, which adds a note of caution. We now have two bullish indicators and one negative indicator. Presidential Cycle: With 2025 being the first year of a presidential term, historically this has been bearish for the stock market. It brings uncertainty, which may temper expectations. This is the year where presidents typically enact changes and tough fiscal measures, although president Trump may prove to be atypical here; especially if he enacts any of his tax policies, rate cuts or large government spending programs this year. So, while this indicator is bearish, it has a caveat given how unorthodox Trump is as a president. For example, in 2016 the stock market was very volatile but still gained 10% under Trump’s first term year. Outlook: Combining these factors, the outlook for 2025 is cautiously optimistic. While the January barometer and the first 5 days indicator point to a positive year, the breach of the December low coupled with this being the first-year of a presidential cycle suggests a volatile to bearish year. When combining all indicators we arrive at the conclusion that we are in for a volatile RANGE year. The bulls and bears will battle it out in a tug of war. While January-April tend to be seasonally bullish, May-October tend to be bearish. November and December are seasonally bullish too. So whether the year closes with a slight gain or slight loss isn’t the focus. The best approach for this year is to capitalize on the swings. Therefore, mean reversion strategies (buy low, sell high) are ideal. Momentum and breakout strategies should be avoided. Finally, avoid being caught in a drawdown in the May-October period and position yourself to capitalize on the Nov-Dec seasonally bullish period. by ConvictionTrades5
Dinosaur Strategy, SPY is going down!According to my Dinosaur strategy, we can see resistance at the dinosaur's head. It's time to hold your CASH, PEOPLE! GET YOUR CASH READY AND PUT YOUR SEATBELTS ON! Shortby duongquocvu146610
4HR FVG told us early So in looking back to the four hour chart today, it was super interesting to see how we feLL right back into the 50% FVG from yesterday's bullish run up. I saw this set up on the four hour timeframe and it's just interesting how these confluences can align with each other. My bullish fvg is blue and bearish is purple by joshblack526112
$QTUM Maybe Trying to break out of This Wedge (VCP)I have been long this name for a few months now in my investment account. I have added more today with a stop on the added position size just below today’s low. There are some very big names in this ETF, it invests in AI learning as well as Quantum Computing. It looks to me to be in a Volatility Contraction Pattern (VCP), more popularly called a wedging pattern. I went long more shares as indicated above in anticipation of a break above the declining upper trendline. It also is supported by both the 8 and 20 EMAs and has consolidated to get more inline with the 50 DMA (red). If you like it, make the trade your own and make sure it fits your trading plan. Look at the fund holdings in “More About Fund” link supplied by TradingView. Here are some of the names you might recognize: NASDAQ:KLAC NYSE:IBM NASDAQ:PLTR NYSE:RTX NYSE:BABA From Defiance ETF Website: QTUM Index Description: The BlueStar® Machine Learning and Quantum Computing Index (BQTUM) tracks liquid companies in the global quantum computing and machine learning industries, including products and services related to quantum computing or machine learning, such as the development or use of quantum computers or computing chips, superconducting materials, applications built on quantum computers, embedded artificial intelligence chips, or software specializing in the perception, collection, visualization, or management of big data.Longby jaxdog1
SPY 1d swing strategy backtestSimple algorthmic swing strategy for SPY posting just to show off its performance LuxAlgoby StonkSniper554
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 2-7-25: Where's The Deep-VShortly after I created the morning video, the markets opened with a BANG. First rallying, then rolling over - just as I predicted. Granted, I never expected the markets to rally above 606 before rolling downward, but the breakdown move into a potential Deep-V looks to be playing out very nicely right now. Come Monday (2-10), and possibly carrying into the 13th, we could see a very sharp deep-V type price move that pushes the SPY below 580 for a period of time. That could be a very big move from the 606+ levels we saw this morning. And you know I'll be saying, "Just as I predicted," for at least 3 to 5 days starting early next week if that happens. Again, I put my research out to the public like this to either live or die by my work. Very few people are able to do this - or they flip/flop all the time (every 2-3 hours). My research is different. I'm really trying to make a difference by telling traders what to expect now and in the future. I know I'm starting to make a difference for many people because I'm getting emails and messages from individuals who use my research to identify great trade opportunities. Are you going to be the next person to share your success story with me? Remember, have a safe weekend and GET SOME come Monday morning. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold Short08:29by BradMatheny14
UVIX...super easy tradeOne of my fav ETFs to trade. The set-up is perfect and so is the trend. There's plenty of upside, esp in the after market. Always do your due diligence and best of luck!Longby antonini20020
Selling SPY after signs of lost of momentumSPY has once again tested the ATH level, marking its third approach to this price zone and, once again, making a reversal candle. It feels like the market may be losing momentum, so I’ve decided to set up a bear put spread trade that would benefit from a potential decline within the next 42 days. All information is available on the chart.Shortby thessia_Updated 115
Opening (IRA): IBIT March 28th 45 Covered Call... for a 43.91 debit. Comments: Adding, but at lower delta and at strikes better than what I currently have on, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call. Metrics: Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 43.91 Max Profit: 1.09 ROC at Max: 2.48% 50% Max: .55 ROC at 50% Max: 1.24%Longby NaughtyPines0
The SPY will go up for the rest of the weekThe market will go up for the next 3 more days. I am using the Heikin Ashi candlesticks. Why Heikin Ashi candlesticks? 1) They show more of a directional movement within candlesticks. 2) They tend to filter out the market noise so you can see the market direction better. 3) It reduces false signals, allowing you to stay in the trade longer. 4) And, it gives you a smoother appearance making it easier to see trends and reversals. (This information is from Dr. Keith Wade who speaks at the Wealth365 Summits.) Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. I still tend to switch back and forth between Heikin Ashi candlesticks and regular candlesticks since regular candlesticks are what I am familiar with and have been using since I started trading. I use the MacD, the Stock RSI and the DMI to assist me with the direction of the market. I am not perfect at them. I will hopefully try to explain these in future trading charts. I personally find: * the 5 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next half and hour. * the 10 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the next hour. * the 30 minute indicators typically represents what will happen in the daily. * and, the hour indicators typically represents what will happen in the next week. I am anticipating a bull trend for the next few days as the 30 min, 1 hour, 2 hour, 3 hour and 4 hour indicators are already looking bullish. I have a few targets. In the past I have said the market is usually moving about 34 points, but I think it will make a less of a move this time due to the Stock RSI only being slightly lower as it is not starting close to 0. If you look at some of the past moves, the market moved around 20 points such as from July 1 to July 16, Oct 7 to Oct 17 and Nov. 20 to Dec 6th. As well, if you look at the Stock RSI on the daily charts, it has only declined a little. So even if it turns soon, it only has a little way to go upward. As well, it is hitting a resistance around 610. I think the market will bounce back and forth between 610 and 590 for a few more weeks. Typically, I would wait until there are 2 green Heikin Ashi green candlesticks before entering. The targets I have in place are: 20 point move = 610.42 1 Fibonacci move = 610.59 5 day move = Feb 7 If it hits one of these targets, I am out of my trade. And I will even shave a little off, so if it hits 609, I will be out. My stops are: 1) the low of the previous Heikin Ashi candlestick, 2) 2 red Heikin Ashi candlesticks, 3) a specific dollar amount for a total loss for my trade or 4) a specific dollar amount per contract. If it hits one of those stops, I am out of my trade. Lastly, I believe tomorrow it may go lower as I find the 3rd day typically moves sideways or goes lower. And some of the shorter term indicators are looking weak. I really encourage you to draw a chart yourself. The first chart is the most nerve racking, but I have learned the most through drawing charts. I am trying to take trading classes through Udemy, mostly because they are cheap. LOL! I usually wait for a sale where the courses are as low as $14.99 instead of over $100 per course. They have sales a few times per year. Just keep checking the website. I am NOT affiliated with this company in any way. I am just trying to tell you where I have found cheaper courses online to learn more. www.udemy.com I always try to attend Wealth365 Summit which is held about 4 times a year where I always pick up some more useful information. Again, I am not affiliated with this company in any way. www.wealth365.com My chart is not guaranteed and I am still learning. Trade at your own risk. Happy trading everyone! Longby PrincessgirlUpdated 7722