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Gold (XAU/USD) – 15 Min - Trade Plan📊 Overview: Today's market shows a clear bearish structure with a Break of Structure (BOS) on the 1H timeframe, signaling potential downside momentum. 🔑 Key Levels: Sell Zone: 1H Order Block around 2620-2625. Take Profit (TP): 15 Min Order Block at 2604. Stop Loss (SL): Above the 1H OB, ensuring a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 📈 Plan: I'm waiting for price to retrace back into the 1H Order Block (2620-2625), looking for bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks, lower timeframe structure break). If confirmed, I’ll enter a short position targeting liquidity around 2604. 🛡️ Risk Management: Minimum 1:2 Risk-to-Reward Ratio. Entry confirmation required before executing the trade. What are your thoughts on this setup? Are you seeing the same structure? 👇 Let me know! #Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #DayTrading #TechnicalAnalysis
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mr_Babz
The Impulse Master indicator nailed the top of this rallyThe Impulse Master indicator accurately identified the top in NQ (Nasdaq Futures) and signaled a shift in market structure. The key observation here is the breakdown under the critical support level, which confirmed a reversal in the trend. Explanation of the Pattern: Supply Zone and Reversal Signal: The chart highlights a supply zone where bullish momentum begins to stall. This area marks the exhaustion of buying pressure, as seen with the "Turn Down" label. The price repeatedly failed to break higher within this zone, signaling a potential reversal. Support Breakdown Logic: A rally typically continues as long as the price respects key support levels. Think of the structure as comprising a micro wave iv (a small corrective dip) followed by a wave v up (a final push higher). In this case, the breakdown below the first major support invalidates the continuation of the uptrend. The failure of bulls to produce a higher high off the low created by wave iv is a clear indication that the rally has ended. Confirmation of Trend Reversal: Once the price broke below support, the rally's structure was compromised. This failure to sustain higher levels signals the transition from a bullish trend to a bearish phase, as confirmed by the "Trend Down" signal and the formation of resistance at 21,652.81. Indicator Precision: The Impulse Master indicator effectively mapped the turning points in the market, including the Breakout Zone, the critical support retest, and the ultimate rejection leading to a downtrend. Key Takeaway: The breakdown below ** the key support** is a crucial confirmation that the uptrend has concluded. This methodology highlights the importance of observing raising support levels as benchmarks for trend continuation or bearish reversal. ***When bulls fail to push the priceto a higher high after a corrective dip, then drops under the previously made low, it serves as a reliable signal that the rally is over and a new down trending move might have started.***
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by CastAwayTrader
Could silver outperform next year?Gold has had a tremendous year, having added 35% from early January to its new all-time high in October. Perhaps it’s more accurate to say that it had an incredible eight months, rallying from below $2,000 in mid-February to $2,790 at the end of October, for a gain of 40%. But it has struggled since then. Fundamentally, there’s evidence that certain newer, and perhaps more enlightened, central banks (led by the People’s Bank of China) remain strong buyers. But the dollar’s rally since late September hasn’t flattered the gold price, although it now appears to be consolidating quite happily just above $2,600. The Fed’s hawkish rate cut before the holidays has also failed to boost gold’s short-term appeal. It’s possible that gold may get a second bite of the cherry in 2025, particularly if investors sour on equities, and look around for alternatives. But it could be that next year will prove to be silver’s turn in the spotlight. Silver began the year below $24 per ounce. But it came within a few cents of $35 at the end of October for an overall gain of 46%. This was still significantly below its all-time high just shy of $50 from 2011. And since October, silver has lost around 15%. A look at the chart suggests that there could be a head and shoulders developing, which would be completed once silver gets back to $28 or thereabouts. That would also see the daily MACD reset at oversold levels. Busted flush, or opportunity?
TRADENATION:XAGUSD
by TradeNation
Crude Oil Price Set for a Pullback - Consider Short Positions Ne Key Insights: Crude Oil prices have been under pressure recently due to oversupply concerns amid a slowdown in global demand. Geopolitical tensions, particularly in major oil-producing regions, are also creating uncertainty. Current market sentiment tends to lean bearish as economic indicators suggest weakening growth, especially in key markets like China. Traders should be cautious for potential further declines in price as recent patterns indicate a possible reversal. - Price Targets: For short positions, I suggest targeting the following: T1 = 66.50, T2 = 64.00 with stop levels at S1 = 71.50 and S2 = 72.00. This setup reflects a bearish outlook, allowing for a strategic entry while providing ample risk management. - Recent Performance: Crude Oil has experienced a notable decline, with prices falling from recent highs. The current price around 70.65 reflects a significant support level being tested. A continuing downtrend emerged after a brief period of consolidation, suggesting further downside potential. - Expert Analysis: Experts generally believe that Crude Oil faces substantial headwinds. Analysts cite that rising inventories and a lack of significant OPEC+ intervention may exacerbate downward pressure. Market sentiment is largely bearish, with traders expecting more volatility as economic data releases unfold. - News Impact: Recent reports indicate increased production from the U.S. shale sector is contributing to the oversupply scenario. Additionally, investor sentiment has been affected by mixed signals from central banks regarding interest rates, which could impact economic growth and consequently oil demand. Keep an eye on upcoming economic reports and geopolitical developments as they may influence short-term movements in the market.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CrowdWisdomTrading
XAUSD 2025Market StructureHigh Timeframe Overview (Weekly)Gold appears to be trading within a bearish retracement phase, but key bullish order blocks remain intact, hinting at potential demand zones.Key Resistance Zones:$2,718.72: Major unmitigated supply zone.$2,704.09: Strong supply level likely to attract sell-side liquidity.Key Support Zones:$2,611.99: Unmitigated bullish order block, critical for price reaction.$2,585.06: Lower significant demand zone. Mid-Range ZonesFVGs: There are visible fair value gaps near $2,659.64 and $2,639.44, acting as magnets for price retracements before continuation.Breaker Blocks: Around $2,611.99, Gold might revisit this level for liquidity before resuming any upward movement. Lower Timeframe (4H & 1H)Price shows consolidation within a narrow range between $2,655.81 (resistance) and $2,611.99 (support).An FVG exists around $2,659.64, where price may react before making further moves. Long Entry:Entry Point: $2,611.99 (Bullish OB) or during a sweep below into liquidity zones.Stop Loss: Below $2,585.06 to protect against deeper retracements.Take Profit (TP):TP1: $2,655.81 (Local Resistance). Short Entry:Entry Point: $2,704.09 (Bearish OB/Supply Zone) after confirming bearish price action.Stop Loss: Above $2,718.72.Take Profit (TP):TP1: $2,659.64 (FVG fill).TP2: $2,611.99 (Bullish OB). Fundamental Analysis US Dollar Strength:A strong USD could suppress Gold prices. If January's NFP or CPI data exceeds expectations, Gold may face bearish pressure due to rate hike fears. Inflation Hedge:If CPI data in January signals persistent inflation, Gold's role as an inflation hedge could spark a rally. Watch for upward pressure toward $2,704.09 or higher. Geopolitical Risks:Any escalation in global tensions could push Gold higher as a safe-haven asset. Pay attention to developments in the Middle East or Asia for unexpected catalysts. Upcoming Key Events (January 2025)Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP):A strong NFP report could lead to USD strength and Gold weakness.A weak NFP would likely weaken the USD, providing support for Gold to test higher resistance levels. CPI Data:Hot CPI: Likely to boost USD and pressure Gold lower.Cool CPI: Could weaken USD, allowing Gold to rally toward $2,704.09. Market SentimentRisk-Off Environment:Gold is likely to attract safe-haven demand during uncertain market conditions.Liquidity Grab Scenarios:Expect engineered liquidity sweeps around $2,611.99 to trap sellers before price rallies. Trade PlanScenario 1: Bullish CaseIf $2,611.99 holds as support and shows bullish price action:Entry: $2,611.99.SL: $2,585.06.TP1: $2,655.81.TP2: $2,704.09. Scenario 2: Bearish CaseIf $2,704.09 rejects strongly:Entry: $2,704.09.SL: $2,718.72.TP1: $2,659.64.TP2: $2,611.99. Scenario 3: Liquidity SweepIf price sweeps below $2,611.99 to $2,585.06:Wait for bullish confirmation before entering long positions.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by TalkativeJuan
Long Gold with Target Growth Next Week - Key Insights: Gold has shown increased demand due to ongoing economic uncertainty and inflation concerns. Investor sentiment remains bullish as central banks continue to face challenges in controlling inflation, making Gold a safe-haven asset. Traders should look to capitalize on the volatility surrounding inflation reports and geopolitical tensions. - Price Targets: - Next week targets: T1=2720, T2=2760 - Stop levels: S1=2600, S2=2570 - Recent Performance: Gold has recently stabilized around the 2600 mark following a rollercoaster of fluctuations driven by market reactions to macroeconomic data. The recent consolidation hints at a potential upward breakout given supportive fundamentals and persistent investing activity. - Expert Analysis: Analysts remain cautiously optimistic on Gold prices, citing that the current price environment is ripe for upward momentum. Most experts believe that if the price holds above key support levels, we could see a significant rally as institutional demand increases. - News Impact: Recent economic data reporting higher-than-expected inflation rates and ongoing geopolitical tensions have contributed to increasing Gold's appeal. Central banks' futures guidance indicates a likelihood of continued support for Gold due to currency fluctuations and market uncertainty.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Is gold going to have a big fall?Gold fell again in the European session. The current trend broke the rising channel and the price rebounded at 2610. In the short term, it will maintain a narrow horizontal consolidation. 2622 short-term resistance above. If this position is broken, gold will fall into a slow rising structure in the short term. 2610 support below. If this position is broken, gold will form a head and shoulders top breaking structure. Test 2588 below. In terms of operation, it is recommended to sell gold on rebound. Pay attention to the suppression of the 2620-2625 resistance area above.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by RonPeter_Trading
Daily Analysis of Gold Ounce to USD – Issue 179The analyst believes that the price of { XAUUSD } will decrease in the next 24 hours. This prediction is based on quantitative analysis of the price trend. Please note that the specified take-profit level does not imply a prediction that the price will reach that point. In this framework of analysis and trading, unlike the stop-loss, which is mandatory, setting a take-profit level is optional. Whether the price reaches the take-profit level or not is of no significance, as the results are calculated based on the start and end times. The take-profit level merely indicates the potential maximum price fluctuation within that time frame.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by MoonriseTA
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
FXOPEN:XAUUSDLong
by syomking76418
Cocoa: Potential Reversal Opportunity After Recent DropAfter capturing the significant drop in Cocoa prices over the past few days, we could now be looking at a favorable setup for a reversal to the upside. Key Observations Demand Zone Reaction: Price has entered a major Demand Zone , collected liquidity, and is showing a sharp bounce directly from the opening. RSI Recovery: The RSI is rebounding strongly from oversold levels, signaling a possible shift in momentum. Gap to Be Filled: There is a visible gap between 11,750 and 11,100 that aligns with our upward target. Filling this gap could provide the momentum for a bullish run. Trade Setup Take Profit: 11,750 (gap fill target). Stop Loss: 9,525 (placed below the Demand Zone). Risk Management Reminder Cocoa is known for its volatility. Always apply proper risk management and adjust your position size accordingly to protect your capital. Conclusion This setup provides a solid risk-reward opportunity for traders watching the Cocoa market.
SKILLING:COCOALong
by ValchevFinance