Is the Market Getting Too Comfortable? Section 1: Signs of Complacency Our Volatility Valuation Index (VVI) has dipped to the lower end of its range—an area that often signals complacency. Historically, this level tends to align with market tops, so it’s worth paying close attention. Could this be a warning sign for the S&P 500? Section 2: About the...
In case you missed the memo.... US 10 Year bonds have a higher yield than Greek 10 Year ones..
The " Volatility Valuation Index " proved to be quite reliable ... again.... Mind you this is a SETUP tool, to locate EXTREMES in Volatility. It is NOT a SIGNAL tool, to be used for entries / timing. That said, its accuracy sometime can be impressive. But even under these circumstances, I do not use it as a timing tool (Works across all markets & timeframes)
I will be reviewing Bitcoin using my "Multiple Timeframes / Mutiple Factors" (MTMF) approach, covering Fundamental Factors like : CoT, Sentiment, Seasonals and Technicals like Momentum, Volatility, Relative Strength. ====================================================== RISK WARNING =================================================== There is a very high degree...
Most people use the RSI as a momentum indicator, trying to find Overbought/Oversold (OBOS) conditions, and/or divergences. However there is also a way to use it as a Trend Tool. There is a mathematical relationship that connects the RSI and EMA's. The formula is RSI(x) cross-over 50-line = Close cross-over EMA(2x) i.e. RSI(14) cross-over 50 line = Close...
This is a brief video sharing my thoughts why I think T-Notes have bottomed out. It is not a full, detailed analysis, but rather a quick video sharing thoughts on 3 + 1 patterns. Two of these patterns are on the MACD-v , one seasonal and as a "bonus" the historical reaction to changes of Fed Policy.
One of the most challenging & frustrating tasks for a trader, is to define with a rules-based (systematic) methodology, and identify (on a real-time basis), when a market is in a trading range. Using the MACD-v both of these goals are achieved. The market is defined as being as "Ranging" (one of the Core 7 Range Rules/States) when the MACD-v is between the -50...
One of the most challenging & frustrating tasks for a trader, is to define with a rules-based (systematic) methodology and identify on a real-time basis, when the market is in a trading range. Using the MACD-v both of these goals are achieved. The market is defined as being as "Ranging" (one of the Core 7 Range Rules/States) when the MACD-v is between the -50...