Augurnaut

Augurnaut

Can DOT grind back up over the holidays or will it get rejected again before the final alt season?

Augurnaut

ETH net shorts positions are at the lowest point in the historical range. This reduces constraints on pricing and you can also see that the shorts are being closed as the pricing moves up. This clears the way for ETH price to move up significantly before bears start reacting again. Everything is pointing towards a wild Christmas and New Year before another pull...

Augurnaut

#XRP is reaching the lowest level of support on the #BTC pair. This is where it pumps once the bids are exhausted. Will it be a little pump or a big pump? Run your own scenarios and you will see a range of $2-$3 with bitcoin at it's current ranges.

Augurnaut

This is what I am expecting. Bitcoin moves to pre-halving top at FWB:48K to $50k which is a major point of control and the bear market .618... HBAR will do the same but in a single week or few days time. That puts the prices around .25 to .30 a 3x from here at .09

Augurnaut

#SPX has found support on the 21 EMA on the daily timeframe and is moving up in spite of calls for doom. We are inside the most recent channel formed after breaking out of a long-term, multi-decade channel. Is this the next sign in the parabolic breakout that signifies a Nikkei style boom-bust?

Augurnaut

This trading plan is based on the long-term POC consolidation, and the imbalances up near the ATH. Could net a cool unlevered 3x return.

Augurnaut

Take a look at range volumes for the run up after the 'rona drop and the range volume from the latest overall drop. See the price gap around 4k in the 'rona drop? We have spent most of our time and trading volume filling that gap (range value area for range #2). What's next? We are in an uptrend until we are not. A higher high around 4500 would be nice and it...

Augurnaut

The ETH long to short ratio can tell us a lot about positions in the market and the corresponding impact on price. When this ratio is over .5 start to worry. When it moves into the high water mark, it is time to start closing longs and building shorts. This is a long term perspective and not for short term traders.

Augurnaut

Based on the shown fractal and fibonacci sequences from a prior bull run, XRP could be worth $7 to $30 per unit depending on the price of Bitcoin during the surge and the height of the move. For example, if Bitcoin were to surge to 125,000 suddenly, and XRP surged to the full XRP/BTC ratio at 0.00025, then expect to see $30 price. I expect this to be a very low...

Augurnaut

Will we see. a rally through May/June timeframe and then a double-top-back to trendline? Given the inverted yield curve, the timing of rate hike slowdowns, etc. I think this could be a reasonable scenario... been tracking this thesis for a while of either a double-top-trendline or melt-up-collapse... it may be that one happens then the other which would take us...

Augurnaut

more upside than downside over the next year - relatively speaking of course.

Augurnaut

QNT/BTC confluence at golden pocket, fib/gann fan trendlines, the longterm value area high, and high volume node. If price stabilizes here expect a strong bounce.

Augurnaut

After rejecting the top of the channel and turning away from the bottom of the 1x stddev of the longer-term VWAP (the green line), BTC is now close to a buy zone level of support. Down to 10k? Maybe, but for now, watch this area for a rebound.

Augurnaut

Bitcoin returned to the previous cycle bottom anchored VWAP...

Augurnaut

Is BTC in a high to low position on the macro scale? are we preparing for another large long-term cycle to occur at this reset? All these questions and more will be answered by the year 2031. See you next time on "As the Bit Turns"

Augurnaut

You should always have a bearish case. This is a bit weak to be honest, but some cool confluences with fib channels (notice that the previous cycle highs top out at the previous cycle's 38.2) and fib time get you to a 13k bottom next year. Fits with an early S&P Bear scenario too.

Augurnaut

The Point of Control of the previous range from which Luna fell 80%+ in 2021 is where the initial turnaround happened. Price is currently fighting the underside of the monthly mark and the value area high of the old range. From here I expect a zigzag range for a few weeks coupled with bursts of bullish and bearish news.

Augurnaut

from 2021 to today, BTC has formed a major channel. The Range value area and POC also match cleanly with the move from ATH.