Coinrule

Coinrule

There is one thing that beginner traders rarely understand about bull markets. Traders can lose money in a bull market as much as in a bear market. This week reminded us about the brutal volatility that makes crypto both loved and feared. The market briefly went into a tailspin after a rejection just above the $69,000 previous all-time high. The Bitcoin price then...

Coinrule

Last week OpenAI CEO Sam Altman expressed his desire to raise $7 trillion or 3.5 times the total crypto market capital to fund chip design and manufacture to meet increasing demand for artificial intelligence (AI) technology. This investment is so large that it has inspired participants to think more in terms of exponential growth. Why are we talking about this in...

Coinrule

It is rare that this column starts with a chart of Ethereum. On first glance, now seems to be an even stranger time to do so. While BTC has seen a >2x run-up and projects like Solana grew multiples, ETH stood out as the so-called 'most hated coin' of the cycle so far. However, it seems that the time for this narrative to change is approaching fast. Four main...

Coinrule

A popular market saying advises to buy the rumour and sell the news. Much of the debates prior to the Bitcoin Spot ETF approval centred on the question whether the eventual approval will turn out to be such a sell the news event. With Bitcoin's drop to below $40k, after a brief peak when it touched $50k, the ETF rally has clearly run out of pace. At least in the...

Coinrule

.The market speed-run of the last few months has seen many new narratives emerge in a short space of time. The imminent approval of a Bitcoin ETF is a major catalyst but the re-emergence of Solana as a leading Smart Contract Layer 1 has also played a major role in the mania. With high speed and slick UX, it has attracted a lot of crypto traders. Generous airdrops...

Coinrule

The probably most often repeated saying in this newsletter is that history does not repeat but it rhymes. This is even more true when it comes to markets. November and December 2023 have treated Crypto markets exceptionally well. Bitcoin is well above the $40k and many Altcoins have been following. It also does not just feel like 'empty' euphoria. Actual...

Coinrule

After nearly a year of swirling rumours, the threat of US regulatory and criminal enforcement against Crypto’s biggest Exchange Binance was still hanging over the market. These rumours can now finally be put to bed. The US Justice Department fined Binance $4.3bn (£3.4bn) in penalties and forfeitures. The exchanges’ iconic CEO CZ pleaded guilty to money laundering...

Coinrule

In a week marked by substantial financial developments, none have captivated the attention of investors quite like the unfolding saga of BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF. The focus began to shift back onto the ETF topic after the iShares Bitcoin Trust was officially listed on the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), a crucial component of the U.S. market...

Coinrule

As the market enters the final stretch of 2023, the cryptocurrency market—once considered a paragon of high-risk, high-reward investing—is sending mixed signals that defy traditional market logic and leave even seasoned investors scratching their heads. Bitcoin and Ethereum continue to show vulnerability to negative market forces. This vulnerability has been...

Coinrule

Over recent weeks, a powerful trend known as bear steepening has been making waves in bond markets. Bear steepening occurs when long-dated yields, such as those on 10-year bonds, rise more aggressively, causing the yield curve to tilt steeper. It's helpful to visualise these 10-year yields as a continuum of the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rates for the...

Coinrule

In a financial world where every decimal counts, today’s markets seem unfazed, displaying a calm stance amidst an onslaught of economic news. On the one hand, Bitcoin has taken impressive leaps in recent days, echoing trader sentiment as they navigate through a somewhat mixed U.S. inflation report. With the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) ticking up by 3.7%...

Coinrule

Amidst a generally bearish month for cryptocurrencies, there was a glimmer of hope as bitcoin experienced a notable 6.7% rebound within a single day. This positive turn of events comes in the wake of the news of Greyscale's legal victory against the SEC concerning Bitcoin ETFs. Conversely, this week's developments also encompassed Powell delivering a hawkish...

Coinrule

In a world where the pulse of global finance never rests, a seismic shift ripples from the heart of the U.S. monetary system. 2022 witnessed the Federal Reserve's audacious move to slim its colossal $9 trillion balance sheet, heralding the dawn of Quantitative Tightening (QT). But contrary to expectations, the effects of QT on asset prices were subtler than...

Coinrule

On Tuesday, in a dramatic and unexpected move, renowned rating entity Fitch made the decision to downgrade the U.S. government's supreme credit rating. The U.S. was demoted to an AA+ status from its previously pristine AAA rating. The downgrade was driven by the projected fiscal decline over the coming three years, and the now-recurring last-minute debt ceiling...

Coinrule

As we step into the riveting theatre of this week's markets, we find ourselves in a world where contrasts paint the canvas. Equity markets have been on a downward slide since Friday, while in contrast, cryptocurrency markets have seized the spotlight and made a remarkable upward shift with Bitcoin at the forefront. The surge seems to be fueled by renewed hope...

Coinrule

Last Wednesday, inflation prints (CPI) came in below expectations of a ‘hot’ print which would have likely indicated that the Federal Reserve will continue tightening rates. Cryptocurrency and equities markets reacted positively while bond yields dropped. These numbers are expected to persuade the Fed to lean more towards a "pause" stance for its next FOMC meeting...

Coinrule

In recent days, a variety of technology stocks have surged as a result of robust earnings reports. Microsoft's impressive cloud and AI performance have been particularly noteworthy, leading to a ~8% increase in its stock value. The company was on the verge of breaking its single-day record for market capitalization growth. In contrast, cryptocurrency markets...

Coinrule

Last week, the Federal Reserve (Fed) went ahead with the 25bps hike that many expected, causing a spike in the U.S. dollar and a temporary halt to the rally that equities and risk-on assets were experiencing. This rate hike has come under scrutiny from market analysts. In the past two weeks since Silicon Valley Bank ( SVB ) and Silvergate Capital collapsed, there...