Coinrule

Coinrule

Two financial institutions, Silvergate Capital and Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), collapsed early last week due to a series of ill-fated investment decisions which were exposed by global interest rate tightening. The collapses came after the institutions invested large amounts of capital in long-dated US government bonds, which were considered relatively low risk....

Coinrule

Since the start of January, most leading macro markets have experienced a reversal around their 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels. However, BTC has shown resilience and fought the cross-asset sell-off. This divergence is likely driven by the fact that there has been over $1 trillion in net liquidity added to the market since the bottom in October, primarily...

Coinrule

U.S. CPI inflation data was published on Tuesday. On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, inflation data came in hot at 0.21% above expectations. Despite inflation slowing YoY, expectations had been that current data would come out lower. Consequently, risk assets and equities have taken a short-term hit whilst the dollar gained some bullish momentum as this data...

Coinrule

On February 1st, the Federal Reserve (Fed) announced a widely-expected 25bps rate hike. This was the rallying cry for the current market rally to continue. Is this confidence warranted? An interesting note is that the FOMC meeting minutes and the associated press conference appeared contradictory in nature because there was not a straightforward hawkish or dovish...

Coinrule

On February 1st, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes were released, and the Fed announced a 25bps rate hike. As such, markets started to rally. An interesting note is that the FOMC meeting minutes and the associated press conference appeared contradictory in nature because there was not a straightforward hawkish or dovish narrative across...

Coinrule

In the past two weeks, the market has seen a significant increase in bullish momentum leading many to believe that the proposed ‘echo bubble’ that many predicted for 2023 may indeed play out. It was initially unclear what was driving this momentum but the market gaining confidence that CPI will continue to decrease, as well as a temporary liquidity increase...

Coinrule

The past two weeks have been largely uneventful as the market has seen a sustained period of low volatility and Bitcoin has been trading between the $16,250 support and the $17,000 resistance. From a technical perspective, the MACD indicator just crossed above its signal line. The last time this happened, the market saw a short-term increase in bullish momentum....

Coinrule

On the 13th and 14th of December respectively, the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Federal Reserve (FED) published their announcements on inflation figures and interest rates. U.S. CPI inflation came in soft at 7.1%, less than the 7.3% that was expected. As such, the FED stuck to the 50 bps hike that was hinted at previously. Although the market did see a small...

Coinrule

The past two weeks have been relatively calm as Bitcoin traded in the $16,000 to $17,500 range. It appeared that the contagion effects from the FTX collapse were slowly starting to fade, however in the past few days more information has surfaced surrounding Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) and its potential insolvency. On Wednesday GBTC closed down -7.42%, giving...

Coinrule

The past two weeks have been filled with more pain as the contagion effects from FTX have continued to spread and the market has started to get more information on the events that culminated in the FTX scandal. On November 11th, Sam Bankman Fried (SBF) stepped down as the CEO of FTX. Shortly after, John Ray III was appointed as the new CEO, a Chicago-based...

Coinrule Updated 

The last 48 hours have been some of the craziest hours the cryptocurrency market has ever experienced. This comes after FTX, the 3rd largest cryptocurrency exchange behind Binance and Coinbase, paused user withdrawals and announced they were seeking to raise funds to avoid bankruptcy. What makes this more surprising is that in January 2022, FTX had raised funds at...

Coinrule

The past two weeks have been another two weeks of low volatility, making October the month with the lowest volatility for some time. However, in the past few days, the upper and lower Bollinger Bands have begun to diverge, implying volatility is starting to pick up. Many active traders will be happy to see a change from the sideways market we have experienced in...

Coinrule

The last two weeks in crypto have been comparatively less volatile than the two weeks prior and it finally looks like we’re getting some reprieve. The market operations that the Bank of England started engaging in appear to have been successful in cooling the pound sell-off as it has gained back some ground against the dollar. This appears to have, at least...

Coinrule

In terms of the global macroeconomic picture, the past two weeks have been nothing short of a firestorm. Last week, the UK government announced plans for unfunded tax cuts and additional government borrowing in the ‘mini budget’. This caused a drastic reduction in market confidence. Consequently the Pound crashed to under $1.04, historically low levels against the...

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ETH 2.0 is here! Yesterday, at around 3AM EST, Ethereum’s long-awaited transition from Proof-of-Work to Proof-of-Stake took place. Prior to the event, many were left wondering what the impact of this important occurrence would be on the market. Would a successful merge lead the way to a more bullish market outlook? Or would a failed merge lead to further...

Coinrule

ETH 2.0 is here! Today, at around 3AM EST, Ethereum’s long-awaited transition from Proof-of-Work to Proof-of-Stake took place. Prior to the event, many were left wondering what the impact of this important occurrence would be on the market. Would a successful merge lead the way to a more bullish market outlook? Or would a failed merge lead to further capitulation...

Coinrule

The connection between traditional finance and crypto is more closely linked than ever before as institutional demand for our treasured asset class rises rapidly. Last week we saw BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager with approximately $8.5 billion under management, endorse bitcoin by offering a spot bitcoin private trust to their U.S-based investors....

Coinrule

July was a reassuring month for crypto, and financial markets in general, stimulated by the Federal Reserve deciding a 0.75% rate hike was sufficient to slow inflation. They also stated the 2.25-2.50% federal fund rate is now neutral – no longer contributing to growth or contraction within the economy. This caused markets to rally on the expectation there may not...