Changed the call to Range from Short (looking Short, still). I would buy into the long side if the gains did not primarily happen outside of the Reg Session. Seems light, rigged and soft. FOMO and chase during the no - low volume final weeks, probably my last weekly post of the year. This week: Long above 21,885 and Short below. Friday-Monday Rig Long has stalled...
NAZ may be looking at final week of heavier volume this week or next, prior six trading days had volume 400's and should see NQ get in 500-600's with any selling. Expecting a drop test, chart below: 22,300 is max lift zone and may be near 1/25, two small yellow circles are drop zones and potential U Turn Zones, 19,890 is the deeper test zone with hold U Turn, no...
The NAZ dropped big on 11/14 and has not shown real strength moving back up since. That is OK since the Overnight will Rig it up or continue to offset Reg Session drops. Still looking for lower retest and this may have to wait until January (after low volume holiday PA). U Turn Zone retest, 19,890 Strong Short under (Long on Hold) and Short near 21,400 (stall out...
So far the YE Forecast post is holding true. The NAZ did take 1st move higher (Election & Fed Day), any Gov't related news/event usually move Up 1st. The drop back down will need to stay above 19,890 (U Turn Zone) and strong short under. The 3 white TL's are what to look for and use opposite direction trades near these. Remember, Holiday weeks and December...
Next week will have an election (with delayed results, most likely) and a Fed Day. Look for the Afterhours and Overnight Long play (to be played). Watch how the Regular Session reacts. We may see one of the two arrows play out or both by Year End. Pop/Drop or Drop/Pop, the O/N may lift with Reg Session selling it off. No O/N lift, look for some heavy duty selling....
No strength NAZ is stuck in a range, only time the NAZ does so strength is Long in O/N or maybe a drop during Open Drive. Other than that, sideways is the direction. Yellow arrow is range for breakout, previous drop did U Turn in the zone and next retest (zone) will break through for deeper drop. TLX 20,453 is KL to watch for next move. Long above and short below.
NAZ sideways price action continues, looking for a breakout with force (any, long or short, please). O/N is now under Diablo and TLX, the fact that the O/N did not Moon Shot the NAZ while we slept is a very bad sign. Until the break out, look for U Turn or 1 way train ride lower.
NAZ will not drop or maintain the Overnight Pump, during the Regular Session. We have seen (again today) the NAZ move up in low volume sessions and sideways to lower in heavier volume sessions. Long above upper white dash and short below to lower white dash, sideways inside the dashes until break out.
Sticking with Shorts this month. O/N Stabilizing has been breaking down and the Reg Session has been selling off and then sideways with weak to zero strength. KL 20,269 is Long above and Short below. Typical flow has been Long in O/N, short for 1st 30-60M, Long in Dead Zone and Close was random. Should O/N Rig Stabilizer break down then the clear direction will...
September Post had the NAZ hit both lower and upper targets, the NAZ is range bound. The October play/noise will lean toward some Black Swan, election jitter, Fed Speak and through in the damage of Mother Nature. Unless the O/N Rig Team can fix this, NAZ may retest lower. Chart below is showing: Channel Break, Diablo and is hitting final FA called from last post....
NAZ has been in a range for most of August, will need to bust up or break down. Now 19,671 is TLX that will follow yellow or white arrows. Looking for Drop at 671, posted yesterday on August Post. The September Chart will show the YTD Open at 17,027 (look for retest), the Fib Levels and YTD High. Volume was low in August and the O/N did have many redirects back up...
The U-Turn call did play out. NAZ is moving to yellow arrow target and may play in white arrow range for much of August. Will update as we go. BTD/FOMO, Go Fed Forever. O/N is the BOSS (still).
Looking for low to up move during short Holiday week or more O/N Prop lifting than usual. The KL to watch is 19,818, a break of the Danger Zone will try some yellow dots. Near KL look for the typical U Turn attempt. YTD Open is the KL 17,027 and we have seen a 3,000 point range with ML 18,500 being a retest KL to anticipate. NAZ is running on fumes and will need...
Looking for the typical and predictable Friday-Monday Close rally play. Friday had the usual and typical late day redirect, only to start another low volume U Turn. They do it when most have gone for the day or we are near a Holiday. Now the O/N (low volume) lift is just creating the Long Chase. Need to see some big selling or this is just going back to 19,000....
The White arrows to the right side are KL's. 18700 YTD High, 17027 YTD Open and 16300 YTD Low. The white dash is Mid Level of YTD Range. 4/1 Post, we have hit lower target and my see some retracement back up, not looking for a KL 18590 retest. Use Yellow dots as targets for next move. Yellow diagonal TL is next retest and TLX 17867, may see sideways with slight...
NAZ near lower YTD Channel after struggling to get lower during lower volume Holiday week. Usually the next move is back up the entire distance of the multiple day decline and this is typically done in the off session (non Reg Session) over 1-2 days. A Gap up may show up on Sunday and if so, retest gap drop then up and away. Should that not play out and the NAZ...
Final week of month and quarter, with a long weekend & Holiday (4 day week, low volume, look LONG). NAZ in NTZ (no trade zone) at mid channel, will need to move up/down near KL for better signal. Chart: Thick white arrow is upper target, Thick yellow is lower, NAZ will need to move away/passed form either Shaded Zone and if not go with Opposite Direction Trade at...
NAZ once again with magical lift in the O/N to offset the Friday sell off or the previous O/N Pump/Dump. Am I the only one has noticed this? Now we need to se if the typical predictable 2nd half of the Friday-Monday Long Only pattern plays out today. Getting tricky as the pattern use to be Friday Long and Monday Long, previous 2 Friday's have gone lower with last...