As mentioned in the previous analysis, we see that CL pushed back and comes right to where we expect it to go, down to the Center-Line. Our job here is to observe how it reacts in here. Support at the Center-Line, or a blow through, or swinging around it? Patience is key, and the observation time is very valuable, because we can learn from it and feed our...
P4 was a rejection at the Center-Line, the perfect short. To me the current situation commands me to add to this short. BTC is weaker and in a scary spot. MSTR also weaker and on the way to the PTG1. This time, the add to my short is not a technical signal, but a gut feeling and a combination of the current world situation. And hey, I maybe get slapped because I...
The first NVDA analysis went pretty well. Let's see what we can do from here. Over the weekend the world was going crazy once more. This knocked the markets down and they opened in the red, and so does NVDA. I would like to see a pullback to the 1/4 line. Because this would give me the chance to load the short even more. Target is the Center-Line. (Former...
According to the trading framework of the Medianlines, BTCUSD is behaving perfect. If we close below the white Center-Line, first profit target is at the 1/4 line, second is at the L-MLH. Only a reversal aka HAGOPIAN can turn the momentum from down to up. It's when price is open and close above the white Center-Line again. Turbulent times ahead...
We had a nice run so far. (see linked post) Price advances to the Centerline where the PTG2 is waiting to fill our pockets. But hey, don't be Pig! Protect profits. Trail your Stop. Take partial profits - whatever.
So far, everything played out wonderful. PTG 1 is in the books and now Gold is moving towards our second PTG. However, trailing the stop below structure is never a bad Idea. The worst that can happen is, that the trade gets stopped out in profit. Check out the whole setup at the related publications.
The Medianlines project the most probable path of price. It's not a fortunetelling tool. It's a technical tool which is based on serious statistical research. So, what I do when I use it is, using statistical proven evidence on a graphical basis, supported by a definite trading framework. Why do I pound on these information? Because it's important to understand...
The lanted green support line has a crack. It's a first indication of a turn in mid-term trend. Long term Medianline view on ZINC shows that price is battling at the L-MHL. If we get a weekly close and new open below it, it's ripe for a short. At least I will stalk it on the daily. PTG1 is the Center-Line.
Price is currently between the white centerline and the long-term support/resistance level. Since the price is near the centerline, we're seeing a kind of pullback to it. According to the Medianline framework, this is expected after trading below it. The downside target would be the orange CL, as that aligns with the organic target. However, between the...
This is just a daily and short term view. First we see the support at the Center-Line. Then it got cracked and price trades below it. Now we see resistance on pullbacks up to the CL. I expect a move to the south, at least down to the white-dashed CL. If price can jump above the green CL, then further upside is ahead. That's it for a short term view. For a...
Whenever the markets are booming, whenever a gardener starts giving stock recommendations, it’s time to brace yourself… The German Dax has reached it's Centerline. It's back in Balance - Or has reached it's extreme, depending on how you look at it. Whenever this happens, we the Market a) turns and trades in the opposite direction towards the next LIne. In this...
We have the same pattern going on in NVDA as last time. 1. Hagopian 2. Break of the U-MLH and 3. potentially back into the Fork again. I'm prepared for the next short with profit targets at the 1/4 line and the Centerline.
After the HAGOPIAN, I expect price to go for the GAP fill, which is at the L-MLH. Maybe a partial fill is the right way to take profits. Because if price open & close outside the L-MLH, we can expect further downside.
Price blasted through the Centerline. The Medianlines framework and rules say, that we should expect a poullback to it. This would be gift to take another short from there, if we find a trigger. AAPL's on the my list.
I posted about MSTR earlier. It's not funny what we see here. MSTR should hold, but instead shows more weakness. The only "Hope" investors have, that it holds at the red Centerline where it intersects the white 1/4 line. Read the full update here:
From a very well known Short-Seller in the markets I read a concerning letter this morning: "Carvana Trades At An 845% Higher Sales Multiple Than Online Car Peers Like CarMax and AutoNation, And A 754% Premium On A Forward Earnings Basis." ...ummmhh... §8-() The Chart does look very scary too. This exponential move can't sustain very long. As we see, the first...
After hitting Profit Target 1 (PTG1), it’s time to make a decision about the remaining position. The fact is, MSTR tested the 1/4 level for the second time and found solid support there. Now we’ve moved higher, back to the centerline. For me, it’s clear: if we get an Open and Close — a full bar — above the CL, I’ll close the rest of my short position. I still...
Now that's a heck of a stretch. Price has reached the U-MLH of the white Pitchfork and is nearing the yellow Center-Line. What's it mean? White U-MLH = Upper Extreme Yellow CL = Price got back to balance, in the context of the yellow path/traction. All this means, that the Air get's very, very thin! Waiting for a short Signal with a target back to the white CL...