VROCKSTAR

VROCKSTAR Updated 

2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:NET I'll fade on a pop, sidelines - deepseek reflex pump indexer - this company is impressive. underlying trends strong. will eventually grow into these mutliples - but this mkt is getting a bit long in the tooth with 25-30x sales plays growing in the 20s. i'm in the mkt long enough to know... enjoy... but don't take your eye off the...

VROCKSTAR

2/7/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:ELF I bought $66 AH, BUT... nuanced - this will become a name i follow/ comment on a A LOT more in the coming year - sub 20x PE is already "value", but it's not "obvious" - it's not obvious for the simple reason that we don't have a resolution on growth trends until we see more scanner data and another quarter - while new launches...

VROCKSTAR

2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PLTR Peak. Short AF. ST hedge. Gl all. V

VROCKSTAR Updated 

2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:CELH I'm buying some back... sub $24 - ripped out of my position prior to last earnings - mgmt not the best - but dayum these beverages are so good - yes they're seasonal, but int'l expansion, 25x PE for a brand producing decent cash $200 mm? on 5.5 bn EV... is >3.5% FCF yield. - it's trading like it's NYSE:ELF but with inventory...

VROCKSTAR

2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:RUN donut. stay away. - this thing will be volatile given 90% of the cap structure is debt - but it doesn't generate any +ve fcf for the next years - any uplift in solar will benefit NASDAQ:FSLR and $enph... everything else is trash. - solar is VERY VERY hard to own at the moment, even our favorite name NASDAQ:NXT is not the...

VROCKSTAR

2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:PINS Considering long EPS... - so u get NASDAQ:META talking about ad revenue, NASDAQ:GOOGL strong on this frong, even NYSE:SNAP (which it's own basket of broBS) strong on this front too - the google trends for pinterest esp on the worldwide basis are legit strong - YES YES sbc is high in this FCF equation - but legit, this only...

VROCKSTAR

2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMZN Buying eps tn - will keep it short - consumer stuff is flying from 4Q binge - NASDAQ:META , even NYSE:SNAP good ad #s should support healthy NASDAQ:AMZN consumer biz - NASDAQ:GOOGL , NASDAQ:MSFT cloud were flies... but honestly, NASDAQ:AMZN is the gorilla. could we see similar thing? I'd say 50/50 tbh. if anything...

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2/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:SWKS Premkt $63, why not swing long - did a (private) review of the semis names i've tracked over the years in early Jan to get a start on the year... and NASDAQ:SWKS was a pass - that being said, 10% fcf yield *seems* to be the place where markets trade stocks (at least in today's tape) WITH growth/and or terminal value issues,...

VROCKSTAR Updated 

1/15/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PI Bot $135 today, looking to add in low $100s - been on my watchlist since doing a deep dive on IOT stuffs middle of last year, was just "too" expensive. - let's be real, >30x EBITDA is still expensive - but the 20% CAGR looks to be one of these growth rates in an infancy-industry RFID-related chips/ IP... that is at the...

VROCKSTAR

2/5/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:ALGN Dip buy, but not necking out - sub 20x PE for teens PE growth - industry leader - last man standing - nearly 5% fcf trends - stable trends, rates probably don't help and google trends just inflected in Jan but hard to see mgmt talking this up - good #s don't seem to be properly rewarded in this tape - bad numbers are offering...

VROCKSTAR

2/5/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:OKLO Bagholder U 101 - won't see revenue for 3 years - but mom, valuation doesn't matter - k - added it today to the list of 10ish small shorts i have on to hedge this overbaked cake of a market let's see, anything's possible in the casino but if u don't have an exit plan, go take a look in the mirror to see who others are planning...

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2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:GOOGL Why not. Buy into EPS - i've always liked NASDAQ:META more - but seeing they're exposed to the same trends, the deepseek BS should be (and mkt has agreed, at least temporarily), a net +ve to software-first businesses esp w their own language models and esp native inference chips (TPUs at google don't seem to be in the...

VROCKSTAR

2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:MTCH Enticing but swipe left - nearly 8% fcf and awesome mgns get my attention, nevermind what looks like depressed YoY expectations this year - realistically, i'd not short the thing... don't like the debt, don't use the product (thank god), but i get it, this is what ppl do these days and it's a super useful service - does...

VROCKSTAR

2/4/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:SNAP r/r +ve, this one's always volatile - every EPS season i like to see a week or two of pitches and then it's clear what the "theme is". it's a game i like to play - while so many names have yet to report, anything that's pure software, somewhat consumer exposed and not a total loser (as in... it's a decent cap, still has...

VROCKSTAR

2/3/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:RBLX Not worth >$70 - it's just not growing like it used to - paying 9x for software will eventually be considered "expensive" in this tape, we seem to be nearing that moment by each passing Monday - not a big short for me, it's a hedge w/ their EPS print this week - it's a name i'd feel comfortable fading with 2-3x the size if the...

VROCKSTAR

1/31/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:PLTR Grab your N95... - 50x sales - i have been risk managing this short all the way up. NASDAQ:PTIR is now the new vehicle, the 2x leveraged train to the gas chambers - earnings will be good, everyone knows - it's just a good hedge to the more obvious stuff - hope it works out for you, if u have a long enough time horizon, it...

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1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NYSE:UBER Fud is a PnL killa. Bot moar. - at this pt, the market is still hung up on Elon's robotaxi - u know what gets killed first? the donut called NYSE:CVNA , that's the pair everyone's missing but back on topic - 4Q beat and raise - 5% fcf yields, growing mgns, 15% top line growth - nvda partner - the "layer 2" rotation from AI...

VROCKSTAR

1/29/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:AMZN ST buying into NASDAQ:META print - i'm going to leave aside valuation at the moment, but to say: NASDAQ:AMZN is not cheap, it's not expensive and in a 1-day context, that doesn't matter - went on a walk after resetting my feet taking some profits on NASDAQ:NXT today (the ST stuff - don't worry fam i still have a...