Lockup expiration coming on 8/9. = possible overhead pressure. Net income -24 mil...worth trailing for a possible short if available. Currently a H&S formation. Do your own due diligence. This is just a heads up. Has a way to go to get to IPO price. It's good to trail these well ahead of the lockup expiration. Often the pop and drop is well ahead of the actual...
It might be worth trailing for a short at some point into lockup expiration next month ..EPS -85 mil..I'm interested in how this range resolves here.. IPO was at $!6 now around $24.50 so theres room..11% float short...could be a little better but I've seen worse....would prefer 5% but whatever-would of been sweet at $43..position don't predict..imagine different...
If was real time posted in the TV room. Self Explanitory.
This cool hype runner negative earnings IPO worked out perfect..nice drop into the lockup expiration.. Called it short on 4/20. Today a nice balance of insiders selling and shorts covering kept it fairly neutral. I like these plays 2-3 weeks out like when I called it but there may be more downside. Many play these short from here on out. There are big shares...
This may be another "cool hype runner"...big lockup expiration coming in June ..Jack D runs this and TWTR and you know what happened to TWTR's stock price. Good product but Young insiders..negative earnings etc etc. If there's going to be selling into the lock up expiration it may have already begun. Worth trailing.
Vix back to mid 12's where it was last market peak..then it dipped to upper 11's and took off..This may be early but its a heads up to catch a 1 to 3 month vix/market cycle...I'm neutral at the moment laying in wait ib a daukt to take vix products long..for a cycle.
Love to short/put TSLA when the irrational exhuberence is at its peak on this dog. Great product but lousy stock that continues to attract "investors" due to its coolness factor. We term them cool hype runner (IPO's). When the market turns down again and this mo stops I'll be buying weelkie puts. Some thursday/fridays they are cheap and quadruple or more if one...
I'm starting to (many are) think about positioning for the next long vix (long uvxy etc.) market (short) cycle. Not saying it's here, yet but many are starting to put on protection. CNBC had a good segment on options action friday 4/1 it folds into this. Last bounce for the big cycle was when vix was lingering in the 12's and dipped quickly into the upper 11's. ...
CAllled it short back in May ..as a cool hype runner IPO short play..worked out if you caught it. Where is goes from here,,who cares the play is over. Nice GMMA action all the way down....
Called this hype runner ipo short about 8 months ago..for all kinds of reasons. now looking back we can see a sweet GMMA classic tanker display...nice if you caught the short or some puts.
Perfect up down life span of a hype runner IPO. Big lockup expiration coming 3.18 when 429 mil shares will be for sale in the public market (overhang) Then of course Sept 20 1.6 billion shares unlocking...can we say together "Humungus". Of course obviously Nov is when the big shorters got in...it could get interesting again with a support break here near long...
IPO Locup Expiration coming on 7/29. Trading like a hype runner cool IPO..like Gpro...Irrationally exhuberant due to coolness factor. Good product...price just may be ahead of itself. Went public at $21 a share now trading at 85.76. I like to start trailing these runners this far out from the expiration for short op's. Negative PE with fut PE est at 567. Can it...
HATE to take on the Bios or Pharma but they are the new Gold...(bubble) if they continue to roll over a bit..this one is vulnerable.Has to break below the lower fork line first...within a favorable market context. Do your own due diligence, check the fundamentals.
I hesitate to take on the almighty biotechs, they have great products coming, but prices may be ahead of themselves. At the top of this once in a generation bull run the biotechs are the most exhuberant sector. They will be the last to fall. Some of them will succeed but many will fail. ALNY has had a good run but with earnings of minus, yes minus - $371 million...
Repost of an earlier idea from Jan 31 and Jan 20). This one has played out Very well following the projected lines I noticed I had the lockup blue dot on the 3-17..should of been on 2-17. (tired eyes). Price is co-operating. Will be Very interesting action on tuesday...look for some pre market action.
CYBR IPO priced 9/24/14 $16 Offered 5.3 mil shares Shares outstanding 85.7 Mil Lockup Exp 3/23 (Edgar) Earnings were on Feb 12 Hype runner IPO in the sweet spot of cyber security. I trail these and look for reversals going toward lockup expirations.1 to 3 months out. Looks like a good company....but young insiders..according to Yahoo no one over 56..founder is...
Possible short op..do your owO n due diligence. Lockup expiration coming on 9/28 23 mil shares coming online..8.5 mil float now..65 mil outstanding..negative earnings. IPO shares were priced at $20 currently 24.88...short players already on this w 4mil shares short..there are plays out there that have not been discovered by the shorts and I usually tend toward...
No doubt the Bio's are the bubble of irrational exhuberence. This starts to look attractive to me as a swing long...rather than bet on an individual stock. I'll probably start building a position on pullbacks....if it pulls back to a higher low...I'll be interested.