fritzz

fritzz

In January of 2022, I predicted that Bitcoin would bottom in November of that year. I made that prediction on the basis of similarities across two prior 4-year cycles, and my call turned out exactly right. Early this year (2024), I came to the conclusion that the 4-year cycle theory was invalidated when Bitcoin reached ATHs (above 69k) much earlier than in...

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I'm looking for this price action - a break and consolidation above the eternal range - to confirm the beginning of a secular run. If that happens, I'll buy more. I'm keeping in mind the fact that LINK front ran the rest of the market last time, and hoping it does the same this time, too.

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Since the 4 year cycle theory worked out so well to predict the bottom, I thought I'd make a chart showing what it would look like going forward if the price action of 2019 repeats in 2023. What it would look like is this: - BTC goes to 30-40k in first half of 2023, then - drops back down to 17-20k in second half of 2023 Going forward even further than that, I...

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From the bottom in November to top in April it was exactly 100%. This memological phenomena suggests a specific memological support level, namely the halfway point at $22,000. That's where I load up my alt bags again.

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The first LTC bottom took place 224 days before it's first halving, and it pumped ~800%. It topped out around 40 days before the halving, and subsequently dropped around ~75% in the months that followed. The second bottom took place 245 days before it's second halving and it pumped ~600%. Once again, it topped out around 40 days before the halving, and...

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IF it enters back in the range, I'll be targeting midpoint and top of range. Invalidated if it drops back below the range.

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I bought ETH at around the midpoint, but if I see it breaking above the range, I plan to buy an uncomfortably large amount and selling at 3k.

fritzz Updated 

For long term bags, I buy at midpoint, at circled region, and if we don't get either, I buy right above green. If there's a crash below the marked areas of interest, I close my eyes, hold my breath, and buy. We're at the tail end this cycle's bear market. IMO, we should all be thinking about long term bags. The greatest shame, what would be unforgivable three...

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I'm not too keen on it, but the schematic seems to fit. Invalidated if price goes back above 4190 and stays there.

fritzz Updated 

Link has been consolidating in the same tight zone for 330 days. After that long period of accumulation, I predict the move up will probably be large and sustained for at least 2-3 big legs up. The problem is that we've had 3 fake-outs where price closed above $8.5 and then dumped hard right after. With that in mind, I plan on buying the next time LINK closes...

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If GRT closes above the red zone (above 0.155), then it'll fly Target 1 - 0.30 Target 2 - 0.73

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GRT finds itself at two intersecting resistances. First is the June 2022 lows, and the second is the year old diagonal. If we get a close above those two intersecting resistances, then I think it's reasonable to target ~30c.

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- GRT reclaimed the June-Oct '22 range, then pumped above it. - FIL just reclaimed the June-Oct '22 range, and looks poised to pump. FIL now looks like GRT at 8c.

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- FIL reclaimed the June-Oct '22 range, then pumped above it. - VOXEL just reclaimed the June-Oct '22 range, and looks poised to pump. VOXEL now looks like FIL looked at $5 or like GRT looked at 8c. Alts will play only as long as BTC hangs in there. If BTC crashes, then all this goes out the window.

fritzz Updated 

I'd like to see price staying above the gray crab zone. If it closes back inside, there's a good chance we drop as low as ~19k. Still bullish if that happens. One thing I wouldn't like to see is the price dropping below the parabolic line of support. We have no business below 19k. It took one of the biggest happenings in crypto (FTX collapsing) to drag us below...

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Same idea as AVAX. IF - big if - the price retraces the recent FTX dump and closes above $4.6 (June lows), then I can see it squeeze up to the two areas highlighted in red. I plan on buying where the red arrow points. If the price closes back below $4.6 after rising and closing above it, then this prediction is invalidated. What I mean is that my prediction...

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Aptos has been crabbing for the past 12 days. If it closes a daily candle above , the target is $7 If it closes a daily candle below , the target is $2.75

fritzz Updated 

If the price retraces the recent FTX dump and closes above $14 (June lows), then I can see it squeeze up to the area highlighted in red in the chart ($30 - $36), and even higher ($55 - $60). I plan on buying at where the red arrow points. Keep in mind that if the price starts closing back below $14 after closing above it, then this prediction is invalidated....