This chart uses symmetric trajectories from the early distribution phases to estimate the path price will take to initiate markdown. Initial target = 506-508. If SPY finds resistance at 516 then the initial target could hit by the end of this week (5/10). If SPY breaks above 516 it should find resistance at 518-520, and then the initial target will be delayed -...
New Thread we have a really big week with Jerome Powell Rate decision this week Wednesday! This is going to move the markets and determine our future outcome for sure Tuesday April 30th levels for SPY Bulls 515 and chances are this becomes your territory to go long possible outcome Bull Market Resumed Bears its a short anything under 511 Bears once 500 is...
I am early on that daily stoch and I know that, went in small. I believe tech drops cause rates watching 10 year and 2 year. Vol more buying selling
Little dead cat bounce is just about over, as you can see AMEX:SPY bouncing off the upper Bollinger band. The stochastic indicates profit taking too.
AMEX:SPY May 8 ,2024 15 Minutes. As expected, AMEX:SPY was in sideways. Forming a HH, HL pattern. For the last rise from 514.89 to 518.87 it retraced 61.8% yesterday around 516.5 levels. So, for the day I will buy above 518.6 and sell below 515.6 for a target 513.5 to 514. I expect a move only above 520 at the moment. Need to cross the 519-520...
Bear flag showing here on spy and a few other indexes/ sector. This bear flag would be consider a handle for a inverted cup and handle. Smaller time frame looks like this spy And heres NQ We are headed back to bear flag support around 500.. from there we could either finish one more bounce higher 511-514 before finishing the leg down to 480 The bear...
SPY SHORT, If we top here, Ive entered into puts this afternoon, looking to touch 50% horizontal retracement at LEAST. Will take most profit at the PoC just incase.
Bearish at the end of a double bottom Short target here is 200 gap close.. Has a final gap at 206.30 to close so thats where i will enter.. Stop loss 207.50 Target 200
SPY created a weekly sell model, we targeting the low. Ideal area is going to be $460-480. All we did was a bearish retest and filled the -FVG and nuke.
TLT long term bond ETF ripe for a swing trade to $92 coming off the 1. Hard landing concerns -> Treasury Bond Rally (TLT) 2. Faster Fed Rate cuts -> Treasury Bond Rally (TLT) 3. Inflation Dropping -> Treasury Bond Rally (TLT)
... for a 4.64 credit. Comments: Targeting the <16 delta strike paying around 1% of the strike price in credit to emulate dollar cost averaging into the broad market. Was starting to get somewhat worried that we would never have decent IV again. This ain't great, but I'll take it ... . Will generally look to take profit at 50% max.
Starting shorting march 8th see stoch rolling over. See candle stayed short following the daily stoch took some off re-shorted on and on following stoch and vol. Today I added back some shares why daily starting roll over look candle look vol. Been doing good with it. I believe we go lower
SPY is looking quite bullish for now, just broke above a bear flag it had been forming and filled a gap near $517 today, I'm expecting a push up to the $520 area if this and VX weakness continues. I'll be looking for it to retest that bear flag for an entry.
I feel a flash crash coming on, similar to Covid - wouldn't surprise me if Birdflu was the catalyst (see my NASDAQ:GILD idea). The patterns line up exactly the same. You can't see it with this picture, but tons of my indicators are going off -which I will post below. Silver Miners will exit the ascending triangle this go around as the commodity supercycle takes...
AMEX:SPY May 7,2024 15 Minutes. AMEX:SPY managed to stay above 510 levels. Now we have 100 and 200 also near 510 levels. Now holding 513 levels uptrend intact. 513 is the 61.8 % retracement for the fall 524.61 to 493.86. 510 is important because it is 38.2% retracement for the rise 599.55 to 516.61. For the day holding 514 levels i have a target 518-519...
So, for anyone who likes to watch certain movements. A big one is about to occur. A rejection from this break is the covid drop. about 30% and some. However, the end of the cycle, if you believe in those kind of things, would be a 100% retrace of the impulse with a little extra on the downside, which closes all gaps, I believe. That takes us down below 200. It...
Here's a set up that will be meaningful: NASDAQ:TLT breaking out through the downtrend AND weekly EMA30. The area to watch in the green box 👁️✍️