Germany 10Y heading towards -50Seems we are heading towards -50. I could be -40bp becomes a cap. by AdelHumayunPhD1
2/5/10 German ButterflyThere is a codependency between a directional move in the curve but not seeing anything that is screaming out. But I think one to watch. by AdelHumayunPhD2
10Y German yields break all time lowsWhat is the target. I think we break -50 this year going to -1%by AdelHumayunPhD3
Non-Farm Payrolls from US strongPerhaps the US economy is stronger than previous perception. Even though the financial press is still implying that a US rate cut is going to happen its just to what scale. A strong correlation exists between Bunds and UST so we have seen some retraction in yields on the back of stronger than anticipated employment data. But I still think higher yields are potentially a buy (note guys I don't have skin in the game so its just an opinion). I will spend sometime on looking if a short bases exists in Bunds if so I cannot see a large retraction in yields anytime soon. Unless we see a major event which can break significant levels. by AdelHumayunPhD0
this is how shitcoin charts are gonna look soonand then after that some will pump really hard some will snake forever all time highs- no resistance all time lows- no support price discovery! by cryptobon0
What's this S**T -0.400% Explain Me. New Concept after IphoneXIt would be necessary for someone competent to explain to me bullshit. When I see that shit. I get up from my trading desk. and I was my trading desk. And I go to my bed in a fetal position. Since when do we pay the right to make a credit. Normally it's the opposite. When I lent my money to a close friend he paid me back at 0 because I trust him and that's my friend. It would be the other way around it's me who pays for it to imprint me. I do not think I understood anything about the stock market. I think I'm going to change jobs if it continues. I'm going to sell coal to reduce the greenhouse effect, it's as absurd as that. I'm going to roll over and maybe it'll help. In 1923 in Germany the mark had devalued 25,000,000,000 times. Maybe it will happen but with the euro. BullshitShortby NikolaiiLodenos2
German 10Y government yields hitting all time low German 10Y government bond yield broke the wedge to hit all time lows. I think there might be some retraction but looks like -40 is attainable. by AdelHumayunPhD1
whatever it takes?have bund/treasury volatility telling us the future? could rates U-turn? it will take a coordinated effort of via the two main reserve currencies. can they do it? i say likely no. things may get better or maybe worse, we shall seeby The_dumpster_diver111
BASF stock price points to a rate spike in German bundsDE10Y vs BAS.DE : BASF stock price tends to lead German 10 year yields. Currently, BASF signals a rate spike is in the cards followed by another low in DE10Yby quixilver2
Bunds should pause from hereInterest rates on German Bunds (10YR) have reached the previous all time low, time for a pause? This could potentially lend short term support to equities in my opinionby AlexLaan0
Want to buy EUR/USD? Keep an eye on this chartThe spread between the German and US 10-year bond yield seems to have carved out a sideways channel this year. As of now, the channel resistance is seen at 244 basis points. A break higher would imply resumption of the rise from November lows of 280 basis points. Tighter German-US yield differentials would be positive for EUR/USD. So, I would look to buy EUR/USD after I see a channel breakout on the 10-year German-Euro yield spread. by OmiFX82
UPD: Potential major swing low in german yieldsLong term positive momo divergence, DM 13's $BUND, $FGCL_F, $EURUSD, $DXYLongby pantheo1
German Yields at Extreme LowsHere we are tracking the completion? of an ABC sequence. This should attract buying interest in usual circumstances however alarm bells are ringing after the ECB could only go one month with the tap turned off. Tracking these lows very carefully over the coming days with risk from Brexit, Meuller and Turkey around the corner. All the best.Longby ridethepigUpdated 11
chaos is a ladder-whats causing volatility in global marketsmany of you have noticed what appears to be equity volatility in the us and hear the talking heads talk about inversion blah has the fed lost control blah. we're all gonna die, you know the usual. as we've noted in past entries we're feeling the effects of changes in the ECB's stance on going forward due to deflationary data from the eurozone. they've gone from being slightly hawkish to completely dovish ("whatever it takes"). this is due to deflationary data thats been coming out of the euro zone, but the dovishness is a method to reverse that psychological mindset. In a deflationary mindset consumers are more apt to holding onto currency/equivs due to expansion in purchasing power rather assets which loose. this drop in rates is a japanese style response to deflation. meaning with a negative yeild on their rates the incentive to hold cash and equivs is an instant looser, consumers are forced to search for yeild in risk assets. since this shift has been swift and drastic its caused an earth quake that's caused tsunami. we're on the opposite end feeling the residual effects in the form of $tyvix or the volatility of the 10 year note. it appears that entities are going to the flight to quality trade not out of any real sort of logic but more programatically out of design. from a retail standpoint you should be cheering on these moronic instant loosers. why? because when they figure out theyre loosing money due to cost of carry. they'll switch from a flight to quality to seeking out yeild in risk assets helping risk asset valuations inflate further.why is that? because risk assets contain a positive drift compared to risk free assets because risk assets are based on the risk free rate. so lower yeilds, i say how low can you go? especially knowing central bankers are standing around like panhandlers begging for inflation in any form. is this equity volatility? just a slight spill over, but when things are digested. man. this is where money is made. patience is keyby The_dumpster_diver2
German recession indicators. Yield Curve Inversion part 2 ...German recession indicators. Yield Curve Inversion ...by JoaoPauloPires112
German 10 year head & shoulders pattern projects back to -.20QE coming from ECB. Recession. US tax receipts down y-o-y. Everytime that happens, recession.Shortby UnknownUnicorn6344280
Dax outperforms SPXDax outperforms SPX as long like 10 Year Bunds Dollar Hedged outperforms 10 Year Bunds in eurosby JoaoPauloPires3
Equity markets in Turmoil!!The spectrum of a bear market always hovers on the financial markets, especially the stock markets and the bond market because that is where the dreaded contagion effect will come from. We all know that theoretically the stock market is positively correlated with the bond market, at least at 80% since the logic of the markets therefore explains, that the bullish progression of stock markets is in line with the ease of access to Credit which is therefore observed in the Bond Market. In other words, the more companies have the facility to borrow in order to stimulate their growth and finance their production costs at low rates, and the more it performs, and the more debt continues at low rates, and the more it creates a bond bubble Speculation based on keeping low rates. What the financial sphere at so called ''EASY MONEY''ou helicopter money ' '. Except that at one time or another, overheating starts, and it will smell burnt. Companies face disparities in their level or capacity for actual production vs. their potential or anticipated productions. And That's where Evil comes from because, when you realize that real production is much less than you hoped or anticipated, based on a low-rate loan to be able to finance its production activities, we're all just in the poop!. However, the correction of the Bear Market expected for the reasons I have just mentioned will not be the beginning of the recession; But rather a deep breath of the mad bullish run, which the equity markets have started since the Trump government's accession to Power. The markets have fed on expectations based on its program of taxation and deregulation of the banking sector. The big bosses of the SP & 500 and the DJIA30 thought that with President Trump's tax gifts, This would allow them to finance their production Costs. They ignored the FED completely with its monetary tightening policy program begun since 2014. And today it seems to catch up with them! FUNDAMENTAL FACTOR : abrupt increase or overrun of the BTP-BUND spread 10 years beyond 3.50% + increase in the ratio of Italian and German bond yields 10 years + increase in US interest rates + increase in VIX (Bear Market, Major correction Risk) TECHNICAL FACTOR : at the level of the 10-year German - Italian ratio, we see that one has come down from a bullish channel but it is likely not to do its theoretical objective since it seems to validate a double bottom which would strengthen a bull signal that was at the Bear base When we got out of the Canal. If this scenario materializes, it is also possible to see that the SP500 break its yellow line of peak of its tendency, and also with its summit channel to aim its theoretical objective illustrated on the Graph. As you will have understood they are inversely correlated. One shows a performance of + 84% (SP & 500) and the other-83% (DE10YT/IT10YT)Shortby Loonics_Trading2
DE10Y / D1 : already showing signs of upward trending to come.We may show some short term demand on bonds because of equities volatility that I already expect. But I think anyway the EU bond market will remain under the bigger catalyst that this market will have to forecast new prices to settle to after ECB will pull out in december. My trading plan here is to remain bullish on the december future expiration and buying all interesting pullbacks. Hope this idea will inspire some of you ! Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;) That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users. Kindly, Phil by PRO_Indicators9
Germany 10YY trading above post 2008 TLFake bearish flag breakdown $DAX, $EURUSD, $BUND, $FGBLLongby pantheo3