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Historical data used to forecast 2025's top. Publishing intended for my own use to track its accuracy with the assumption that a bottom is in.

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Pre-halving top price: 59k Halving price: 48k Good luck my fellow apes.

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𝗔 𝗤𝘂𝗶𝗰𝗸 𝗗𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗼 𝗕𝗧𝗖 & 𝗗𝗫𝗬 𝗗𝘆𝗻𝗮𝗺𝗶𝗰𝘀: 🔍 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗮𝗿𝗲 𝘄𝗲 𝗹𝗼𝗼𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝘁? BTC value relative to the U.S. dollar (DXY) – squared to spotlight deviations. 𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗢𝗯𝘀𝗲𝗿𝘃𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀: 🔄 𝗙𝗿𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗮𝘁𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗻𝘀 𝗳𝗿𝗼𝗺 𝘁𝗵𝗲 400-𝗱𝗮𝘆 𝗦𝗠𝗔 𝗯𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗸: -Price is set for an upswing soon. -The depth of past drops mirrors our recent lows. 💚 600 𝗱𝗦𝗠𝗔 𝗥𝗲𝗷𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 (𝗚𝗿𝗲𝗲𝗻 𝗦𝗠𝗔): Echoes of late 2015? It's...

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Over the course of the last three bear market cycles, a striking pattern has emerged within the cryptocurrency landscape. Each cycle has unfolded in an eerily consistent manner: 1: The onset of the bear market is signified by a rejection from the 200-day Moving Average (MA). 2: Following this rejection, the market takes precisely 224 days to reach its nadir. 3:...

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What you are beholding is a nuanced portrayal of an inverted Bitcoin and Relative Strength Index (RSI) chart, with the intricacies of the divergences meticulously delineated. Currently, Bitcoin majestically floats above the critical threshold of the 200-day moving average. If one were to cast their gaze back to the bull market of 2017, it becomes evident that the...

Ungovernable Updated 

btc has reached a zone of volume & is inching towards EMA's that once were deemed as black swan. I think we soon find a rally back up towards 30k before finally succumbing to our destiny of 80-85% drop into the 10-13k region. May the odds ever be in your favor.

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The SPX has breached the 3.5% barrier above the 200D MA that has held down every capitulation in SPX history (+/-). Since this economy is similar to the 70's & the outlook doesn't appear much different, I'll use the 70's fractal to guide my decisions up to a 10% deviation. Watch around the 4700 area for a small pullback, & then around the 5300 area for a larger...

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From not only a fractal's perspective as many of you have seen from comparing price action from 08 & 01 to the present, the Moving Average distance has reached the historically critical levels as well. The below indicator is MA_dist - measuring the distance price is above & below the set Moving Average (100 daily). The price has stuck its head up above the moving...

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Fun indicator - Distance from the Moving Average (100 Daily) Price finds a way to get far overextended from moving averages before needing to dial back the momentum. Right now, the price has deviated far away from the 100 daily Moving Average. Every single time the distance from the MA reached this level, there was at least a 50% move upwards from that...

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Here's a possibility to the downside - a mirrored version of our ATH. Price played around the log 1.618 just like how we're now playing around the nonlog 1.618. One more sweep down to around 24k would also conveniently be the next volume support & fib support.

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Something I'm wary of are geopolitical events under the hood. Past capitulations of $btc required that $usoil AND traditional markets to decline. So far, USOIL has not seen a capitulation, and a BTC bottom might not be confirmed until USOIL reverses and finds its bottom. Macro indicator & misc. targets update: 6/03/22 Current Price: $29,700 RSI 3W: 2.7 points...

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A hallmark feature of bearmarket downtreads are bullish divergences on the MACD (2D). The $btc lows and the MACD patterns take similar shapes. This pattern tends to be followed up by a pump. Obviously, what happens afterwards remains to be seen, as 2017's capitulation wasn't over

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We've followed major capitulations/reversals before such as April capitulation of 2013, July reversals for 2013 and 2017, September capitulations in 2013 & 2017, reversals in October of 2013 & 2017. Will the November 9th capitulation be any different? I'm going to say probably not. I expect a 'scam-wick' down to anywhere from 56k to 47k before we finally make a...

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Every cycle has a pinpoint hit on the 0.5 fib - which is the halfway point on a log scale. See the red lines. I've calculated this halfway point to be around 26-27k. We've struck 26.6k on USDT pairs and 25.5k on USD pairs. If this is the bottom, this marks the halfway point, and that means for a top to be at around 205k. The calculations is based on a previous...

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Traditional markets taking a dive since the Fed spooked them with tapering. BTC decided to follow per usual. This idea here is based on my "Holy Grail" where each cycle touches a distinct point exactly in the middle (log based 0.5 fib) which, by definition, points to a 1.0 fib that's much higher (250k). When the market reversed in July, I thought "maybe it was...

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CMF: Hit MFI: 3 points from floor RSI: 2 points from floor CCI: Hit Additional updates: S&P Bollinger Bands 1D: Historically leaving these bands meant we were close to the bottom in BTC. S&P RSI 12D: Historically hitting ~44 meant we were very close if not at the bottom (currently 47.25). BTC DVDI 6D: We've started getting red candles on the 4D, so we're getting...

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Because historically speaking, you're buying close to an absolute bottom. Good luck with your short. A 25k close is my absolute bottom. Any further beyond that and we're pioneering new ground that BTC has never walked such as a weekly close RSI lower than 28 and the bottoms of the rest of these indicators that you see here.

Ungovernable Updated 

According to the weekly CMF, we've hit a bottom or very close to bottom on large scale. Also, note the weekly candles. There have been only a few times in history with 5 consecutive weekly down/red candles. No time in history have we had 6 consecutive, so we at least have those stats on our side for next week.