Short regional banks KRE vs SPXFolks who follow me know I have been bearish regional banks for a while. KRE looks to be heading on another leg lower vs the market.Shortby WVS_Stockscreen0
US Bank about to implode! Regional Banking is gonna take a hit!First you have the FDIC come out and say no matter what we can whether a large US Bank failure - out of nowhere! Japan is stuck in a corner, can't sell bonds to defend its currency, and can't raise rates enough. Like every Central Bank they're stuck. So now a large US bank will be "allowed" to fail that will give Powell the excuse to cut rates - leading to a large reinflation boost (precious metals). Biden even hinted at rates coming down in July so this regional bank implosion has to happen soon. I don't see banking in the USA doing good long term because the banking structure needs to be consolidated to isolate and do away with cash so they can bring out CBDC's. At that point banks will be "stakeholders" which is fancy speak for fascist government control over corporations, but from an international level. Also, TTM Squeeze indicator is loaded on every TF except Monthly, which showed that it already went off and is gathering steam for the next leg down in the breakout, but a very powerful move since this is signaling on the weekly chart.Shortby EmptyEternityUpdated 2
KRE trade ideaThe min target is $22.25 for the H&S top (grey lines). The red trendline is a great level to place a stop loss. This trade if it works out has great risk/reward potential. Not investing advice. All your trades are at your own risk as nothing is guaranteed with any analysis.Shortby WavesPatternsCandlesIndicators0
Banking Crisis II begins… 👀 Long BTC?Banking Crisis II begins… 👀 Will history repeat today as we saw in the Banking crisis in 2023?🤔 Let see what recent history can teach us about today 🧭Longby JK_Market_Recap0
$KRE massive H&S top?Thanks to @TORNADOF5 for reminding me about this. A friend sent me a tweet last night about how banks are levered up on debt and that prompted me to look at the chart of KRE. As you might remember, AMEX:KRE was one of the worst performing ETFs at the beginning of this year with the failure of a ton of local banks. But since earlier this year, I haven't heard much talk about banks being in trouble. Well I pulled up the chart, I was surprised to see a massive H&S top forming. If price breaks $37-38, then I could see a big move down. The first target would be $29 and if price gets under that, it could get really bad. Could see price making it all the way to the lower support levels. Let's keep an eye on this because it'll be a great trade should it play out.Shortby benjihyamUpdated 221
KREDespite the feds continuing to say they won’t be cutting rates much or anytime soon , which lower rates is better for the banks, and many other interest rate sensative stocks, the KRE in my veiw is gearing up for a big move up. It’s slamming its head against the downtrendinf reistance. It’s got a double bottom holding up and now consolidating in a pennant right above the W pattern. Bank earning are next week or so and this could be why it’s looking ready, otherwise it’s Becuase the fed might have other plans then they are feeding the markets and the charts are showing ahead of time !!Longby Erictaylor10101
Are Regional Banks Turning Higher?Regional banks had a big surge in late 2023. Now, after a period of consolidation, some traders may expect further gains. The first pattern on today’s chart of the SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF is the falling trendline along the highs of January and early March. KRE is trying to clear that resistance, which may suggest a breakout is starting. Second, price action has been very tight. Bollinger Bandwidth shows a potential volatility squeeze. Also notice how the 50- and 100-day simple moving averages (SMAs) are less than 1 percent away from each other. Will this narrow range of movement give way to a period of price expansion? Third, the 200-day SMA has been rising since late December. That may reflect incipient bullishness over the longer term. Next, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has crossed above the 21-day EMA. That may reflect bullishness over the shorter term. Finally, the low in early February represented a 50 percent retracement of the move between October 27 and December 14. Holding that area may confirm direction is turning upward. Standardized Performances for ETF mentioned above: SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (KRE): 1-year: +14.64% 5-years: -2.06% 10-years: +21.51% (As of March 28, 2024) Performance data shown reflects past performance and is no guarantee of future performance. The information provided is not meant to predict or project the performance of a specific investment or investment strategy and current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data shown. Accordingly, this information should not be relied upon when making an investment decision. Exchange Traded Funds (“ETFs”) are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options and futures. See our Overview for more. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options or futures); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Online trading is not suitable for all investors. View the document titled Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options at www.TradeStation.com . Before trading any asset class, customers must read the relevant risk disclosure statements on www.TradeStation.com . System access and trade placement and execution may be delayed or fail due to market volatility and volume, quote delays, system and software errors, Internet traffic, outages and other factors. Securities and futures trading is offered to self-directed customers by TradeStation Securities, Inc., a broker-dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a futures commission merchant licensed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission). TradeStation Securities is a member of the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, the National Futures Association, and a number of exchanges. TradeStation Securities, Inc. and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., both operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Visit www.TradeStation.com for further important information explaining what this means.by TradeStation4
Are the regional banks about to go under KRE will see March 11Remember when spy was 350 and regional banks getting crushed and a few went under, to stop the bleed Fed came came out with QE and called it The Bank Funding Program and injected tons money to loan them from collapsing, and today one of those banks went under. Know come March 11 comes the date those 186 regionals banks have to repay well guess what they are BROKE DEFAULTS. Know does the fed again interfere and do QE or will they let the banks collapse and finally re adjust and allow whole market drop back 350 or lower. So lets see what happens on 3/11. Read below I copied and pasted it Recently, a report posted on the Social Science Research Network found that 186 banks in the United States are at risk of failure or collapse due to rising interest rates and a high proportion of uninsured deposits' 3, 2024 by john12Updated 113
Opened: KRE March 15th 39/44/50/55 Iron Condor... for a 1.68 credit. Comments: ETF IV > 35% with 30-day IV at 37.9%. Collecting 1/3rd the width of the wings of a 5-wide; 1.68 credit on BPE of 3.32; 50.6% ROC at max; 25.3% at 50% max. It was kind of a toss-up between doing this as an iron fly or as an iron condor due to the size of the underlying, so compromised, going in somewhat aggressively with the short option legs (they're camped out at the 30 delta). This will allow me to adjust the setup somewhat before having to go inverted with the short strangle aspect (now I've jinxed it). Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; adjust sides on side test.by NaughtyPinesUpdated 1
Bank Robbery?Everything TECH, AI, and somewhere in between rocketing to new highs for whatever reason. Two major wars related to fundamental human existence (East-West philosophy and fundamental religion) without end in sight. Housing, homelessness, food poverty in supposed "developed societies" reaching unprecedented levels. Economic reports show nothing wrong at all. I won't guess at anything else but this AMEX:KRE chart sure looks like !@#$. Makes me wonder what will unfold still after years & years of absolutely nothing interesting. Shortby supere115
KRE shorted 53.00 order filled Daily chart lower highs and daily stock turning down Look vol buying decreasing These regional banks gonna collapse 2024 from defaults.Shortby john12Updated 5
KRE might go downKRE is at key level and might start retracing or at least pause Shortby Uncertain_Outcome0
$KRE: Resilience at 45 Growth in general is looking more and more promising and I'm expecting KRE to show this. I think bears may struggling keeping this contained at 45. We'll see how this one plays out...Longby Fox_Technicals111
RALLY BACK TO 45$Rally back to 45$ is a 70%/30% with the bull flag. Five counts to the downside, potentially three more counts down or stabilize. Bull flag, and nice bull pendant on the daily forming today as it bounced perfectly off resistance. Longby Guruoffinance220
Bearish potential detected for KRELooking at KRE during the final hour of trade this morning on the US markets, KRE represents a potential bearish opportunity should momentum continue and lower highs and lower lows be made past the current position, considering breach of recent support levels aligning with technical indicators of RSI and DMI. Personal stop loss for the trade would be the high of the recent swing on 17-Oct (i.e.: above the high of $42.92) and will track the declining 30 day moving average as the trade continues.Shortby Ivory_WolfUpdated 1
Regional Banks Are Still in Serious Trouble!Traders, For the second time this year, regional banks are threatening to cross on over an essential support that has carried us through this secular bull market for 14 (going on 15) years! If our support breaks, I fear that regional banks could drag everything else down with it. Remember, it is regional banks that hold the loans for much of commercial real estate. Much of commercial real estate went vacant during COVID. We are only now beginning to understand the wave of bankruptcies that are crashing in hard as a result! Watch this line closely or stay tuned here and I will keep you up to speed as I observe any significant changes. StewdamusShortby stewdamus1
KRE head and shoulders bearish set up, low 30sKRE head and shoulders bearish set up, easy low 30s target, higher rates, wider AL mismatch due to longer durations of Mortgages+MBS, Capital Base deterioration due to CMBS defaults >>> Fed to the rescue aka Regionals to fold into Big6...continuedShortby ProfitProphet911Updated 112
Shorted KRE @ 44.37 off the 50 day maLook daily stock side ways below 20% line Lower highs under the 50 day hit stopped and below the 200 day Shortby john12Updated 227
$KRE drift to $40 by Oct ExpThe AMEX:KRE has performed remarkably well since the lows in May. But mounting issues with rates and the Fed not showing signs of dropping rates will continue to prove the index needs to go lower. Options data suggests strong Put pressure into the end of the month at $42 where lower strike prices open by Oct expiration at $40 with strong open interest. If rates stay high, this index will go lower.Shortby euphoricMeerka49790Updated 0
KRE ETF – are banking risks resurfacing? While the Fed’s Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP) has been a key factor in supporting bank equity, the rapid rise in US Treasury bond yields is a concern, and so is the exposure to Commercial Real Estate (CRE). We can see CRE benchmarks rolling over of late and heading lower and this is keeping investors from buying into regionals. One for the radar, but if we see the price continue in the current trajectory then it could see signs of greater risk aversion kicking into markets. Staying in the ETF scene, I am also watching the HYG ETF (iShares High Yield Corp ETF) given we see that falling sharply but seeing some extremely oversold reads.Shortby Pepperstone5
$KRE: Will a dip through 42.5 occur?KRE has been showing some relative weakness recently especially off the 45 handle. Thee list of weak regional stocks. EWBC, PNFP, FHB, BPOP and more are looking weak so we'll see if this weakness continues. Best of luck traders..Shortby Fox_Technicals0
KRELike regional banks short here for a trade. Stop above the 50 sma. Looking for a breakdown below AVWAP from the high volume breakdown in March. This level is also volume POC for the consolidation since March so I'll look to exit quickly if it doesn't break down how I think it should. Looking for $39s.Shortby Essendy222
KRE a banking sector ETF for regional banks LONGWhile tracking regional banks KRE had a bad time in the spring with the small and regional bank failures/rescues and the federal actions to buttress the faith of citizens in them. There have been no runs on the banks. Larger banks may be taken some business from small banks saddled with securities with diminished value due to rising interest rates and the effect on the face value of those fixed-rate securities. No matter, things are better now. This is not to say the whole banking sector stress is resolved. Banks have enjoyed great returns on credit cards. The 15-minute chart here shows a good overall uptrend within ascending parallel support and resistance trendlines. Price is presently at the bottom of that parallel channel. The relative trend index signal shows bearish trending today providing confirmation of of a dip which is now available as an entry point. Relative Strength Indicator which compares with the SPY showing persistent strength Overall, I see this as a good entry point for a long-swing trade targeting the top of the channel which I estimate will be about 52 by the end of next week estimating the trade duration to be 5 trading days. My reasonable opinion is that next week's volatility will be far less than this past week and that DPST will do well. I will also take a look at the KRE and KBE ETFs. I like this as a long setup with a 15% potential for a very low risk in a stop loss set $.50 below the channel at 47.84 I have uploaded a similar idea on DPST.Longby AwesomeAvani115