Go short Gold @2355 with Limit order SL: 2415 TP: 2995 Risk to Reward: 1:1 Win rate: 33% Profit factor: 3
Contextual Picture of the Gold moves. We're in a C wave of 4. Corrective move down is expected but then bull trend will resume. We're approaching important number 2500. The price can dance around this price for couple of months.
- Gold moved in very steep fashion to the downside - Such bearishness doesn't happen often. - Further downside is expected: 2250-2270 is my minimum target - Sell any rally for further downside
- Gold tricked me and created a strong bearish breakout - Previous count had to be changed and we are in a downtrend now
This trade is only valid for today. Risk to Reward: 1:2 Limit buy order @2417 TP:2459 SL:2396
- Gold is drawing a triangle for wave 4 - Wave 5 is expected to pop to ATH and then reverse. - Tomorrow are NVDA earnings and it might be a reversal day for lot of markets. - I expect the top to be between 2480 and 2515
- My base case is that we're in an extended 5th wave that will finish the bull run on Gold in approx. 2470. - This may be the top for couple of weeks and even months
- Gold is moving very impulsively to the upside - We're more than half way into the move - The projection now is that gold will reach 2500-2520 without major pullacks
- Gold create a surprise and pushed for extended wave 5. - To my eye, wave 5 might be in a shape of contracting diagonal. - It's better to be flat for this move and avoid a whipsaw.
- I expect correction to continue in near term before bullish action resumes - I's ok to be flat in the correction phase - don't need to have a position yet - I'd be looking for buys in the area of 2335-2355
- Looks like Wave 1 of 5 if in place as expected. - Now the correction for Wave 2. The nature and depth of correction is unknown. - I'm assuming 50% correction to 2335 but this is subject to change. - Most traders should be flat.
- Bull case is developing as expected and I want to take advantage of it - Long position on fib retracement 67.3: 2337.5 - SL: 2327 - TP: 2388 - this gives risk reward as 1:5. For more conservative trade set SL at 2312
- The pattern looks bullish to me and I don't expect major pullback right now.
- Currently finished wave 1 of 3 - Any pullback is a buying opportunity
- Wave 4 is developing as expected as sharp and quick correction
- Price of gold might fall in 5 waves to the downside for further correction to create wave C - This is not the main scenario but a possibility to be aware of
- This is what I'm expecting in the bigger picture. - This move can pull the price of gold to 2500-2520 roughly.
- Gold moved impulsively to the upside breaking the channel: this is wave 3. - Wave 2 was extended, so I'm expecting wave 4 to be sharp and quick. - Silver is a leader in this move. We shall see how much power is in gold move.