In every even year S&P 500 reaches its ATH in Q1, which is followed by rapid and deep decline.
Why can it crash? Look how similar S&P 500 behaviour between May 1986-December 1987 and October 2022-February 2024.
The 1987 crash started on the way from 1.414 to 1.618 fibo.
If the S&P 500 hasn't already topped on Feb 2 with a value of 4975, then the price range...
Historical data over the past 10 years shows that VIX bottoming phase usually lasts no more than 168-193 trading days. After that, a significant spike occurs, which sends the VIX to the 35-80+ zone. Even if today was not the starting point of this upside move, there is not much time left. We have already passed 172 trading days. Take this into account before...