2 year yield keeps pushing to the target at 5.50%2 year yield keeps pushing to the target at 5.50% We are in the final wave v up. Upon completion of that five wave up rally we should get a large corrective a-b-c pullback to re-test the low made by the wave -iv- downLongby CastAwayTrader2
US10Y Weekly Bullish!TVC:US10 Hello traders! Looking at US10Y Bond! As we all know, Fed decision to hike interest rates has targeted 5.25% - 5.50% range. Elliott Wave Theory demonstrates that, targeted range is a termination of Wave 5. Which will be followed by market correction AT LEAST back to Wave 4 at 3.25 percent. We got long 55 bullish days on US10Y bond market. Longby BarnabasMbogoUpdated 6
Bullish yields = Another bear market incoming?About to take out double top Strong oil = Strong CPI = Higher yields to tame inflation Strong case to further hikes Bad for equities and could mark beginning of another bear maketby starexplorerUpdated 0
kueINVESTING SIMULATOR BANKING PERSONAL FINANCE NEWS REVIEWS ACADEMY TRADE Table of Contents What Is a Bond? Issuers How Bonds Work Characteristics Categories Varieties How Bonds Are Priced Bond Prices and Interest Rates Yield-to-Maturity (YTM) Example FAQs INVESTING Bond: Financial Meaning With Examples and How They Are Priced By JASON FERNANDO Updated March 09, 2023 Reviewed by CHIP STAPLETON Fact checked by KATHARINE BEER What Is a Bond? A bond is a fixed-income instrument that represents a loan made by an investor to a borrower (typically corporate or governmental). A bond could be thought of as an I.O.U. between the lender and borrower that includes the details of the loan and its payments. Bonds are used by companies, municipalities, states, and sovereign governments to finance projects and operations. Owners of bonds are debtholders, or creditors, of the issuer. our updated Terms of Service.by excitedLlama46190
Bunds break down! The German Bund has finally broken support in the bearish channel and targets the 127% extension of the March 2023 impulsive move higher. Following the ECB last week, and ahead of the FOMC this week, we have yields rallying in the USA with the 10yr note falling alongside the bunds as traders are nervous ahead of the decision. RSI in the Bunds are pointing lower confirming the bearishness.Shortby ForexAnalytixPipczar3
US02Y bullish move stopped by a fibSharing how Fib extension can catch tops and bottoms / support and resistance. Here we have the 2yr bond yield with the 3 pivot points (marked by blue price notes) for the fib extension at Mar 24 low, Mar 31 high and Apr 05 low. Last nights .5-ish move was suppressed by the Fib 3 boundary. From an elliott wave perspective, there are so many 1-2 waves from the May 04 low...it would seem, if this is a correct analysis, the 2yr is headed higher...much much higher. I believe this is the 5th wave just starting and to confirm, we'll have to watch for a significant break(IE a few green non-retracing candles to be the confirmation - something like the push from 13-sep-2022 to 26-sep-2022)by shamgar331Updated 1
two possibilities for the crazy trainjust an update on my last chart of this. last time we were at the bottom trendline, now we are at the top. by bmrm98Updated 5
10year yield US 10y yield has broken out of a 40 year old trend line. This will be big. Whatever worked for last 40 years will not work going forward. This is just a trend line. Not financial advice.by paxb_1
US10Y and DXY show no signs of stopping for the next 2 weeksThe DXY and 10Y are the cryptonite for stocks and crypto and show no hesitation in moving up. This trend line has not been broken, scary thing is the break through levels of where these can hit. DXY at 114$ has been catastrophic to everything and with inflation data we could be headed there. by mblaise30000
US 10Y TREASURY: time for relaxation, or maybe not?The US inflation figures were published during the previous week, which showed that it is not going to be an easy task for the Fed to bring it back to its 2% target. At the same time, oil was traded above $90/barrel with some analysts’ prediction that it might easily reach the level of $100 till the end of this year. Taking current circumstances into account, the market was able only to move in one direction – bringing 10Y Treasury yields back toward the 4.30% level, where the benchmark is finishing the week. Currently there is a bit of a tricky moment on the charts. Namely, 4.3% could be treated as sort of the resistance level for 10Y Treasury yields. But, taking into account that the FOMC meeting is scheduled for the week ahead, surprises might be possible in terms of a break of 4.3% level. However, if everything stays as anticipated by the market, then yields might come a bit back down to 4.2% levels.by XBTFX14
inflation & yieldsThe Us 10 Year yield is one of the most important yields to follow. It greatly impacts long term investment decisions in a vast array of markets; stocks, bonds, real estate. A clear technical breakout is being observed & this could mean inflation is becoming entrenched. Yields have a tendency to rally in parabolic fashion. if this breakout holds we can likely expect higher rates. by Trading-Capital4
2 year yield - breakoutThe yield market is going absolutely bonkers tonight in the futures. What is the bond market telling us? likely inflation is entrenched. If the 2 year yield closes at or above the Fed Fund Rate before we hear from Powell expect the fed to do a surprise rate hike or remain extremely hawkish. This will no be good for stocks if this is the case. by Trading-Capital222
Dark times are coming... - TVC:US10Y is showing significant strength on all major timeframes. - The EMA's on the monthly timeframe broke bullish after 12,000 days (Last seen 1962). - If the US10YR breaks the 50% price retracement, we could see between 7.25% - 15%. (Last seen 1981) The markets are in a scary place right now. This bear market may be extended due to many factors were dealing with in 2023 (War, Virus, Inflation, Rising Interest Rates, Upcoming election, etc...). Maybe a crash is what's needed to reset all of this chaos?Shortby iLeverageBTC0
US10Y divergence suggesting "Sucker Rally" aheadDuring market crashes yields plummet along with equities in flight for safety and also they tend to lead in the decline. But here as we see 10-year yield divergence is suggesting equities can retest ATH once more before the crash. This also aligns with previous market behavior where equities rally on rate pause leading to recession - a "Sucker Rally" essentially.by ponzialchemistUpdated 3
Yields Spread Market Crash AstrologyYield spreads tighten and also invert leading into a recession and it is only once they start to de-invert that any sizable decline begins once all the durations have been squeezed and there is nowhere else to run/hide for market participants. The 10Y-03M curve is of particular interest compared to 10Y-02Y, which almost always leads to a crash once that cuts above 0. Current widened spreads suggest there is still time for any black swan event to realize. I would expect long duration to rally in the next 2-3 months to narrow the spread around ~5% range, this can occur with help from TGA refill that's occurring until the end of September. Once at the end of the fall, I think we will see trouble brewing in markets from high rates and short liquidity. Net-net, equities, and all risk assets can float around until late August/September before any major decline can transpire.by ponzialchemistUpdated 8
US10Y potential tumble to the downsidesince price of GOLD has reached its lower price for the month will cause people to lose faith on US10Y and soon will divert to put their trust back on gold.Shortby TRMiller984
Continuation Head & ShoulderIndia govt bond yields has formed a continuation head and shoulder pattern Are the yield going to sub-7% Shortby MacroCow2
US10YHey folks i do hope everything is going well around you ......lets ckeck us10y chart as of now we are seeing bear flag on DXY and double top in us10y bond and bullish flag on Gold chart....based on these all things i conclude we can dare to expect devaluation in Dollar in midterm and increasing price in gold and commodities...... more over please consider we are getting close to election year day by day , and us goverment needs strong economy in election debates..... GOOOOOOD LUUUUUUCKShortby Logical_Markets7
US 3 Month Treasury Bills 1. We have broken a very important trendline 2. Short term rates have surpassed long term rates for bonds 3. by FxGlobalAvengersTrading3
US Government Bonds 30YR Yeld (US30Y)Supply Shocks are event that tends to increase prices and at the same time slow down economic growth, making production more expensive and less profitable. Paul Volker raised rates from 11% to 21.5% in two years. Today the rate increase went from 0.25% to 4.40%. Which of the two target will be achieved?by mgiuliani112
30 year Mortgages Will Get More Expensive in 2022The biggest news in 2022 is not AAPL nor TSLA. It is the sell-off in bonds that has been taking place the first 2 days of the year that are now breaking key structures that few are talking about but soon will be. While many will be quick to point out this is not the 80's inflation, my response to them is it doesn't need to be so much more debt both private and public, bc the cost of servicing that debt is much more substantial today than it was in the '80s. Not to mention we were net exporters then not massive importers like we are today. Markets have been caught flat-footed with the "transitory" meme, as such we could see rates play catch up in 2022 according to the charts. Longby RealMacroUpdated 1117
US 10Y TREASURY: reversal is still pendingThe market uncertainty of the future course of inflation and FED`s next moves continued during the previous week, especially after the news that Saudi Arabia will continue with its decreased supply of oil by 1 million barrels per month until the end of this year. The price of oil surged on this news, putting the markets back on the negative sentiment. However, Treasury yields did not make a significant reaction to this news, as investors will probably need some more time to digest potential next Fed's move. The 10Y Treasury yields started the week around 4.18% and went back to the level of 4.30%, without a strength to break this level. They are ending the week around 4.26%. Current charts are pointing that there is time for further relaxation in the 10Y Treasury yields. In this sense, the level of 4.0% is still pending to be tested. During the week ahead yields might again revert back toward the levels from the beginning of the week, around 4.2%, with some probability that 4.10% might be reached. A move toward the upside, in terms of 4.30% is unlikely at this moment, at least based on the charts. by XBTFX19