Unemployment vs SPXHow long do we have before the unemployment rate truly starts rising? A couple of months in my opinion. Every time it starts going up, the SPX starts crashing. June 2024 could be the market top? As the FED starts reducing interest rates.Longby brian76833
Massive US Unemployment Move Inbound On the FRED:UNRATE dataset, we can see that since 1953, every time the unemployment rate make a significant move above the 24 months SMA, with the sole exception of October '67, we saw a large spike in unemployment allong with a recession. Currently, FRED:UNRATE rose above the 24 months SMAby zkdev2
Thesis: slightly higher SP500, before crash due to unemployment12/9/2023 I - Issue: Yesterday, the latest unemployment rate for the USA were released. The current rate stands at 3.7, reflecting a decrease of 0.2. The key question now is whether this is merely a test of support or a signal for a potential invalidation of the bottom structure. R - Rule: Sincby FibonacciTheGreat1
Unemployment, FED Rates, SPXLooks like market bottoms just before the Unemployment peak. Market peaks just before fed starts reducing the rates. At the current situation, we have fed fund rates high and also unemployment started to climb. Will be looking at the unemployment going high and markets roll over and fed cuts rates.Shortby MarathonToMoonUpdated 444
Unemployment Rate including RSI vs SP500 vs Fed Funds RateThis chart illustrates the relationship between the BLS US Unemployment Rate (UR) including the RSI for the UR, plotted against the SP500 (SPX) and the Fed Funds Rate (FFR). The data illustrates the idea that the FFR pushes the UR upward, and when the RSI for the UR trends up and crosses 50, the URby Crypto_Flavored_Tendies2
Unemployment Rate Double Bottoming at a 0.786The Unemployment Rate looks like it's getting ready to spike higher as it Double Bottoms at the 0.786 and cracks above the 21SMA. If this plays out, it will likely spike to the highs or even make a new higher high. During all of this, I expect the macroeconomic data charts below to also play out: CLongby RizeSenpai2
Macro Monday 14~Unemployment Rate Rise Macro Monday 14 US Employment Rate Pre-Recession Indications The Unemployment Rate tells us how many people in the United States are currently without a job and actively looking for one. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics calculates and reports the unemployment rate. In basic terms it consistby PukaChartsUpdated 116
Unemployment Rate at 54 yr low-Recession soon or not?A recession is not bullish for the overall market so studying how the civilian unemployment rate behaves before a recession hits should help tune out any and all noise from talking heads. The red shaded areas in the above chart shows past recessions. The red circles within this chart are timesby VixtineUpdated 4429
For an understanding of the future, look to the past?Soft landing? 📊 Analyzing the US economy through key indicators: SP500 📉: Historically drops before a recession. Unemployment Rate 📈: Tends to spike during/after the onset of a recession. ISM PMI 🚫: Values <50 often signal a contracting economy. Yield Curve 🔄: Inversions have preceded past recessby Ox420
U.S. Unemployment crossing 20 month MA is usually very bearishHistorically, when unemployment crosses the 20 month moving average, a spike in unemployment follows in the next 12 months. These spikes in unemployment usually correspond with market downside in the S&P 500. The majority of the losses in the S&P usually happen early within the rise of unemployment.Shortby johnfzoidberg2