I have rules that I try to stick to when I'm trading but I'm also happy to break them if the conditions are right. Since early this morning the USD/CHF has sold off aggressively, encouraged by the weak(ish) Prelim GDP that came in 1.3% against 1.2% but it looks like the market was expecting better. The mood for USD BULLS wasn't lightened 90 minutes later when the...
My positions SHORT EUR/USD and GBP/USD have been closed as its evident that SELLERS are now pushing the USD south. With that in mind, I'mnow SHORT USD/CAD. I was looking for this pair to reach the WR1 weekly pivot at 1.3744 but it now looks like this was a level too far and price has reversed 9 pips short of that target. RSI on H1 has been over 70 for several...
I have a potential EUR/USD SHORT trade from 1.0883. 1.0883 is WR1 (weekly resistance 1) pivot and this pivot co-incides with a line of resistance which was last weeks high (Monday 20th May). This morning, 1.0879 has proven too tough to break for EUR/USD BULLS despite several attemps. It's possible we may see EUR/USD decline from these levels though the proximity...
Yesterdays daily candle on GBP USDF was a pinbar and as todays candle is currently heavily BEARISH. all the signs are that GBP/USD BUYERS have fled. Earlier in the week we saw price head north through the WR1 pivot and today has seen price head south back down leaving the WR1 pivot behind. It needs to be remembered that although GBP/USD has been heading north...
USD/CAD has been declining since last week and shows not sign of finding support. The Andean Oscillator on the H1 time frame turned BEARISH towards the end of last week and with no obvious levels of support we can expect to see the price of USD/CAD drift lower to 1.3588 area where BUYERS may well lie. A look at the H4 time frame is revealing. All 4 EMA's...
The declining trendline (shown) has held down EUR/USD since the high of March 8th. It never ceases to amaze me that trendlines so frequently predict price although like anything in trading you cannot depend on them always. So you need other signs that the price is heading in one direction or another or if the price is reversing or about to reverse. The Andean...
EUR/CAD has been carving out a sideways channel since Friday and the bottom of this channel coincides with the 200 EMA on 15M time frame which is also the 50EMA on H1. A break out of this channel and a break of the supporting EMA's would suggest we are headed lower. If we look at the H4 time frame we can see where the 200 EMA has supported the price and this looks...
With EUR/CHF hitting the road block of the WR1 pivot and as this coincides with the high of April 7th, there's a high liklihood that this pair will head south. The current H1 candle is BEARISH and this follows 3 H1 doji (indecision) candles. As all these candles have formed bang on the WR1 pivot we can get a SHORT tarde on with the STOP just above the WR1 Pivot so...
It may have escaped some traders notice that the JPY has been hammered in the last few months. So much so that GBP/JPY hit 200.49 earlier today, USD/JPY hit 160.00 and EUR/JPY hit 171.65. Some of these are historic highs, in fact USD/JPY is a 30 year high. I'm unaware of any intervention by the BOJ that would cause the 570 pip fall in USD/JPY (mirrored EUR and...
Trading FX is a risk/reward exercise. And the greatest reward for the least risk is taking trades that relying on experience. I've traded Fx for over 20 years so I recognize chart patterns and price movements without really thinking about hem. If I was teaching how to trade FX I would be advising novice or inexpereinced tarderes NOT to take a trade like this but...
Yesterday I SHORTED this pair from just below the WR1 pivot. There was French and German Flash Manufacturing & Service PMI this morning so I banked the profit and waited to see what the print was. All releases came out in green numbers and inevitably this gave a boost to the EUR. Key now was the realease of the same data out of the UK. This too came out in green...
Since the middle of last week we have seen all GB P pairs selling off. GBP/JPY was a gift of a week last week for traders as price repeatedly hit areas of resistance only for GBP/JPY BEARS to push the price south. Every trading day last week the price of GBP/JPY hit the WR1 pivot and retreated and the WR1 and WS1 pivots are key to my trading as you can plot these...
The area around the WR1 (192.52) pivot both last week and this week has been a bridge to far for GBP/JPY BULLS. I've shorted this pair 4x this week and we're back at the pivot once more. Yesterday saw a massive sell off in the early hours and this looked like it was the end for GBP/JPY BULLS but amazingly they've recovered all lost ground and the price is pushing...
Pivots are the most significant indicator for how I trade. I cannot understand why EVERY trader, no matter what their approach is, wouldn't use weekly pivots. The beauty of pivots is that they are the ONLY indicator that is set at the start of the week so you know where the price is in relation to the pivot days before the price gets there. This week on GBP/JPY...
I've twice banked pips shorting GBP/JPY from the WR1 pivot this week and as can be seen the price is back at this level. We have a nice tweezer double top on H1 for the previous 2 candles and as SELLERS are clearly prepared to move into this market from this level, it looka good SHORT opportunity. However. The Andean Oscillator is not yet clearly giving a SELL...
The previous candle on H1 hit GBP/JPY WR1 Pivot and all the signs are that this pair will now reverse. The rationale for this assumption that GBP/JPY will reverse follows: a). The current H1 candle is BEARISH. b). On 15m time frame the RSI declining. c). The MACD on the same time frame is signalling SHORT. d). On the Andean Oscillator (15m) we can see that the...
Since the open last night USD/JPY has pushed stronlgy higher, so much so that the price has already reached the WR1 weekly pivot. Its a never ending mystery to me why everyone doesn't use weekly pivots as they are lines of interest on the charts known at the start of the week and when price reaches weekly support (WS1) or weekly resistance (WR1) there's a high...
Apround the 13th March the price of USD/CHF broke through the key 200 EMA on the H1 time frame. Around the 20th March, the price returned to the 200 and this acted as solid support. AT the end of last week, we saw the price return to the 200 and make several attempts to break through. Although these BEARISH breaks were successful they were met with determined...