Silver vs Spx QuarterlyYou see, the #Silver bull era only starts once it breaks out versus #Spx. That moment is close, but has not happened yet. Still very early, not sure most understand this.by Badcharts7
Will gold still fall? Look at the analysis of professionalsHello, trader. **XAU:** The forecast is for the price to fall to between 2290.32 and 2271.99.Shortby John-CainUpdated 7
XAUUSD Gold 28/05Pair : XAUUSD ( Gold / U.S Dollar ) Description : Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves Break of Structure Demand Zone RSI - Divergence Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frameby ForexDetective5
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area 2404.446.Dear colleagues, the markup turned out to be rather unusual, but I still assume that the price is headed for a correction in wave “4” (2328.823). This may mean that the price will soon start an upward movement at least to the area of the nearest resistance at 2404.446. After confirmation of this movement we will consider options for further upward movement. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!Longby Hellena_TradeUpdated 262678
XAUUSD (GOLD), bull get a power. Growth to 2372Hi friend. Bulls just formed powerful accumulation zone "1" and we have upward trend to 2364, 2372. Follow me. And read previous idea. Longby JinFlarkUpdated 10
Gold/USDA bullish flag is a technical analysis pattern that suggests a continuation of the prevailing uptrend. It's characterized by a strong price rise (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase (the flag), which forms a rectangular or parallelogram shape that slants slightly downward. Here's a breakdown of the pattern: 1. **Flagpole**: The initial strong and sharp upward movement in price, showing a clear bullish trend. 2. **Flag**: A period of consolidation where the price moves within a narrow range, often downward or sideways, forming a flag-like shape. This represents a pause in the trend as traders take profits or the market digests the prior move. 3. **Breakout**: The price breaks out of the flag's resistance level, signaling the continuation of the uptrend. Identifying a Bullish Flag - **Trend**: Look for an established uptrend. - **Flagpole**: Identify a strong upward movement in price. - **Flag**: Observe a consolidation period with price movement within a downward sloping channel or a rectangle. - **Volume**: During the formation of the flagpole, volume typically increases, then decreases during the flag's formation, and increases again at the breakout. Trading the Bullish Flag 1. **Entry Point**: Enter a long position when the price breaks above the upper boundary of the flag. 2. **Stop Loss**: Place a stop loss below the lower boundary of the flag to manage risk. 3. **Take Profit**: Set a target based on the height of the flagpole added to the breakout point. Longby B9A-88652-NisarAhmad4
Gold Bearish IdeaAs gold is bearish in 4HR and 1 HR timeframe, we can short from 15 min Lh and also it is 0.6 of fib level.Shortby mqasim1212224
Gold Trendline and Channel Breakout ! Ready For BullHello Traders In This Chart GOLD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today Gold analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (GOLD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on GOLD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the ChartsLongby ForexMasters20004
Event-Driven Strategy using WTI Weekly OptionsNYMEX: WTI Futures ( NYMEX:CL1! ) and WTI Weekly Options ( GETTEX:LO5 ) OPEC+, the coalition of the world’s leading oil producers, will convene on June 2nd to decide production policy for the second half of the year. The powerful oil cartel consists of 13 OPEC members and 9 nonmember participants, and together produces about 59% of global oil production. This amounted to 48 million barrels per day (mn b/d) in 2022, estimated by the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). Many analysts expect OPEC+ to continue the voluntary cut of 2.2 mn b/d, due to expire at the end of June. This voluntary cut, introduced in November 2023, adds to 3.6 mn b/d of production cut that have reduced the members’ crude output by about 5.8 mn b/d, or about 5% of global supply, since November 2022. I consider the move an attempt to shore up prices against higher US oil production and an uncertain economic outlook in China. OPEC+ meeting is a significant event in the global crude oil market. We could liken its importance to that of the Federal Reserve meetings for equities and bonds. The group’s decision could tilt the balance of supply and demand one way or the other. Here are three possible outcomes: • No change: To renew existing cuts of 2.2 mn b/d through the end of the year. • Additional cuts. This would reduce global crude oil supply. • Ease of cuts. This would release more oil to the global market. The oil market may stay calm if the OPEC+ decision conforms to investor expectations of no change. A surprise announcement of additional cuts would likely send oil prices skyrocketing. But any pullback from current cuts could sink oil prices down. This provides a good setting for event-driven trading strategies. Monitoring Crude Oil Market Sentiment Real Time For a trading strategy to work, the trader needs to understand the market sentiment ahead of the actual event. While analysts give out opinions, it is the investors who put money in their mouth. Therefore, for unbiased decision making, we should look into trading data. The CME Group OPEC Watch Tool is a great analytical tool for crude oil traders. It uses NYMEX WTI crude oil option prices to calculate the probabilities of certain outcomes from the nearest weekly and monthly options that expire around the OPEC meeting. In essence, it uses actual trading data, and go the extra mile to transform it into useful insights. This valuable tool is free and can be accessed via CME Group website. The title chart includes a snapshot of CME Group OPEC Watch Tool. As of May 26th: • OPEC Watch Tool expects a 79.1% probability of no change; • There is a 18.8% probability of ease of cuts: • Additional cuts remain a remote probability, at 2.2%. I would like to point out that the market often exhibits overly pessimistic or overly optimistic sentiment. OPEC Watch Tool shows the collective wisdom of crude oil options traders. However, the trades are not scientific forecast. Market sentiment could change very rapidly. With this in mind, we need to closely monitor it with real-time trading data. If, through independent analysis, a trader establishes an opinion very different to what the market suggested, he or she may express it with a trade position and wait for the market to correct its faulty assumptions. Trading with NYMEX WTI Weekly Options We could consolidate the three possible OPEC+ decisions into two: • Within Expectation. No changes. • Exceeding Expectation. More cuts or less cuts. Investors expect OPEC+ to maintain its current cuts. If that turns out to be the case, oil prices may not move much following the announcement. If a trader hosts this view, how could he or she turn it into a trade strategy? The trader could consider selling short-dated out-of-the-money (OTM) WTI crude oil options. The July WTI futures contract ($CLN4) settled at $77.80 a barrel last Friday. Selling OTC strikes on WTI weekly options would enable the trader to collect an upfront premium. The first Friday after the OPEC+ announcement is June 7th. The weekly options ($LO1M4) will last only 12 days before its expiration. How do we select options strikes to sell? There are really no rules of thumbs. For illustration purposes, let us pick an OTC call strike approximately $5 above current market price, and a put strike about $5 below. • Last Friday, the 82.75 call strike settled at 17 cents. Each WTI weekly option contract has a notional value of 1,000 barrels. Therefore, the trader would collect $170 premium for selling 1 call. • The $72.75 put strike settled at 29 cents. The trader would get $290 for selling 1 put. • If the trader sells 1 call and 1 put, he or she could collect $460 for just 12 days. Words of warning for options sellers: • CME Group requires options sellers to deposit $6,001 margin for each July contract as the time of writing. Therefore, this strategy requires an investment of $12,002 for both call and put. • If OPEC+ acts as expected and the oil market stays calm, the trader would get the margin deposit back when the options expire worthless. • However, if oil prices move up above the call strike, the trader could incur a loss, potentially wiping out all the margin deposit, and probably more. • If oil prices drop below the put strike, the trader would also experience a loss. If the trader holds an opposite view, he or she could buy the OTC call or put options, depending on which direction the trader is leaning towards. For a small upfront premium, the trader could establish a position on crude oil, and potentially collect a big payout if OPEC+ changes heart. For those who are uncertain of which way OPEC+ would go, but are convinced that they would change courses, traders could buy both OTC calls and OTC puts at the same time. This is an example of options strangle strategy. Happy Trading. Disclaimers *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Longby JimHuangChicago8
The first idea: Silver is a Flat expanded corrective patternDear analysts and traders, I trust this message finds you in good health and high spirits as you prepare to approach the upcoming week with renewed vigor. I extend my best wishes for continued success in all your business pursuits. It is essential to emphasize that sustained success in business hinges significantly on the consistent establishment and adherence to your principles. As an advocate of the Elliott Wave principle, I regard this methodology as a valuable instrument for market analysis. Over the past three years, I have honed my approach by amalgamating this principle with a meticulous evaluation of diverse market scenarios. I strive to mitigate market uncertainties by upholding a broad spectrum of market perspectives, enabling me to discern market structures with utmost precision. I am pleased to share my analysis with you, with the disclaimer that I do not offer buy or sell recommendations. My perspective on analytical ideas remains entirely impartial, and if my analysis aligns with your standards, it can serve as a compass for informed decision-making. I have enclosed my prior analysis of the same market for your perusal and comparison. All aspects of my analysis are clearly delineated for clarity. Nevertheless, familiarity with the Elliott Wave principle theory facilitates comprehension of the analytical concept. I apologize for the repetitive nature of the text, as my week is occupied with formulating analytical and educational ideas, as well as engaging in trading activities and managing my social networks. Due to time constraints, I am unable to provide textual explanations for every idea, hence the inclusion of a separate text alongside the labeling. Should the text be unclear, I am available to elucidate the key points. My rigorous study of the Elliott Wave Principle spanned nearly three years, during which my grasp and utilization of this invaluable tool evolved. My progress thus far stands as a tribute to the legacy of Ralph Nelson Elliott, whose brilliance underpins my accomplishments. May he rest in peace. I am grateful for your unwavering support and benevolence, and I eagerly anticipate your feedback and constructive criticism. May my analysis serve as a valuable asset in your business endeavors, and I remain yours sincerely, Mr. Nobody Previous analytical ideas Longby mehdi47abbasi7912
Gold recovered slightly in the first session of the week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) gains strength on Monday, supported by a weaker US Dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The long-term outlook remains positive due to increased demand from central banks. However, expectations of fewer rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a hawkish stance from Fed officials may put some selling pressure on gold as higher interest rates make it less attractive as a store of value. ⭐️ Personal comments NOVA: Gold price recovered slightly in the first session of the week, still in a DOWN correction in the H1 and H4 frames ⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2306 - $2304 SL $2298 TP1: $2315 TP2: $2322 TP3: $2330 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2321 - $2319 SL $2316 scalping TP1: $2326 TP2: $2332 TP3: $2340 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2354 - $2356 SL $2361 TP1: $2348 TP2: $2340 TP3: $2330 ⭐️ Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️ NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longestShortby Nova-ScalperUpdated 4431
XAUUSD continues its downward trendDear traders! As Ryder mentioned in last week's analysis, EUR is currently in a corrective recovery phase, receiving support at $2328. However, overcoming the $2375 resistance seems challenging and remains on target. Currently, XAUUSD is trading steadily below immediate resistance at $2355 and there are no signs of a reversal in the pair's trend yet. It seems like the downtrend has officially returned after last week's breakthrough. According to the excellent 34.89 EMA tool from Trading View, after the recovery period and reaching the above resistance zone, I expect gold to continue moving downward. It is expected that this decrease will reach 2,281 USD.by IAm_Ryder5519
XAU/USD 28 May 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish BOS. After bullish BOS, expectation is for price to pullback. As previously mentioned, price was showing very early signs of pullback, however, we did not have indication or confirmation. I also previously mentioned that first indication, but not confirmation, would be for price to print a bearish CHoCH. The CHoCH line is denoted with a blue dotted line. Price has now printed a bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms pullback initiation. Price is now in discount of 50% EQ and close to a H4 demand zone where price we expect to see a reaction. However, price has pulled back deeper mitigating the whole H4 demand zone and beyond. This could indicate that price was seeking liquidity to the extreme of the H4 demand zone. Conversely, if price cannot sustain its bullish momentum, it may seek to mitigate the H4 demand zone below. I have therefore started to map internal structure to gain a better understanding of price action. The blue dotted line will indicate an internal bearish CHoCH as price may pull back deeper to the extreme oh the H4 swing low structure which is marked with a blue solid vertical line. Intraday expectation: Scenario one: Price to continue bullish to target weak internal high Scenario two: Price to continue bearish and react at H4 POI below to then target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bullish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price has printed a bullish iBOS aligning itself with swing structure. Price has indicated, but not confirmed pullback initiation by printing a bearish CHoCH. Intraday expectation: Price to react at M15 POI to target weak internal high which is denoted with a blue dashed line. M15 Chart: by Khan_YIK3
Gold Analysis - Selling OpportunityGold Analysis - Selling Opportunity Open:2351 SL: 2410 TP: 2200 Shortby ahmedqotb1981Updated 225
The price increase is still ongoing!Hello everyone! Let's dive into the gold price movements today! Currently, gold is on a strong recovery path, reaching $2,354, which is about $15 higher than the same time yesterday. This upward momentum is supported by the weakening of the US dollar. The DXY index has dropped nearly 0.1% from 104.747 to around 104.64 points, creating favorable conditions for this precious metal. In the short term, gold's target remains to reach the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels, which is around the $2,380 area as indicated on the analysis chart.by Trader_BrianFXUpdated 4
XAUUSD:28/5 Today’s Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis Daily resistance is 2370, support below is 2327 Four-hour resistance is 2370, support below is 2327 Gold operation advice: Yesterday, the overall price of gold stabilized above 2330 in the short term. However, the current hourly line and 4-hour chart are still in the downward rhythm of short pressure. The 4-hour level still sees a suppressed and volatile operating rhythm until it reaches the 2400-point integer mark. Judging from the current trend, today's short-term pressure will focus on 2370. During the day, counterattacks will rely on this position to be bearish. The short-term support below will focus on around 2340. Today, the overall focus will be on selling high and buying low in the 2340-2370 area, and trade cautiously in the middle position. SELL:2370near SELL:2360near BUY: 2340near Technical analysis only provides trading direction! Longby ActuaryJUpdated 4
XAUUSD LONGSeing Great Long idea on XAUUSD after nice drop which gives us quite nice entry price with a good Risk RewardLongby Fx_Trader19033
Buy Idea GOLD!"Long idea on gold, use only 5% of the deposit for the trade, no more, as the trade is somewhat risky in case of a stop loss due to a buy zone below in the form of an order block at 2317. I will re-enter, with the same targets, but you can set the stop loss as you wish.! The idea was published earlier but was blocked due to rule violations, and the entry and stop orders were different. Now that the trade is already open, I'm providing another opportunity to re-enter through the demand zone. Entry Price: 2350.00 Stop Loss (SL): 2331.47 Take Profit (TP): 2449.70Longby T12r12a12d12e12r4
Gold ''Short" termGold has shown signs of momentum changing to the downside for the time being. The higher time frames suggest so. I have taken short position to the downside.Shortby The90sTrader114
Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20240528Daily live trade with XAUUSD in 15m/30m/1h 20240528Longby tradermongolia4
Gold Global Analysis Gold began to correct after the opening yesterday, and it temporarily stopped after hitting a maximum of around 2358 at the end of the US market. However, the upward trend was weak in the morning of the day, and it retreated in the opposite direction. Currently, the European market has retreated to around 2340, and the intraday discontinuity It also allows us to directly consider whether yesterday's retracement was a correction by the shorts, not a counterattack by the bulls. Furthermore, combined with last week's retracement and downward channel, it is not a reversal in the short term, and we still need to continue in the later period. We are short gold, and it is currently retracing above 2340. Overall, the short energy remains during the day, and there is still some room for downside in the evening. Judging from the current trend of gold, the first support below is maintained at the 2328-30 line, focusing on the 2320 line. This position is also related to whether short sellers can start a new round of action in the later period, while the key suppression port above will remain at 2320. Last week's retracement high point was around 2360-65. This position is also our ideal short selling point in the evening. The hourly line is currently repaired and there is a signal to turn around. In the middle position, watch more and move less and pursue orders cautiously. Wait patiently for the key point. Bit entry. 1. Go short on the rebound at 2350-55, cover the short position at the 2360-65 line, stop loss at 2372, and target the 2338-2340 line;Shortby Jerome-LeonUpdated 4
XAUUSD SHORTThis is just simple trading idea draw into chart using labels and lines. Please use it as educational purpose and you are free to modify anyShortby akmalsabran903
GOLD NEXT MOVE TO 2390GOLD NEXT STOP TO 22390 ITS STRUSTURE SHIFTED AND RESPECTED OB and now its journey is upto where its bear breaking was started also on 1D it respected OB Longby noob_qasim4