RHTrading

RHTrading

Key Rationale: Fundamentals remain intact making this a very attractive time to be contrarian, ignore the pessimism and buy the dip. Always nice to buy what you know and can see around you. Comments: Credited with the development of athleisure. Hasn't yet seized Pickleball market opportunity. Incessant selling due is unwarranted with one executive...

RHTrading

American Water Works Co (AWK) Trade Idea. American Water Works is the largest investor-owned us water and wastewater utility, serving approximately 3.5 million customers in 16 states. It provides water and wastewater services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers and operates predominantly in regulated markets. The company's nonregulated business...

RHTrading

ETSY is trading at a 50% discount to its fair value estimate. Wide moat with Standard capital allocation Down 80% from its all time high. Technicals look very attractive. That said, ETSY currently ranks poorly on my screens, so this is purely a technical/contrarian trade idea. GreenBlue Rank: 1845 Company Description: Etsy operates a top-10 e-commerce...

RHTrading Updated 

ResMed Inc. is a leader in digital health and cloud-connected medical devices. ResMed is one of the largest respiratory care device companies globally, primarily developing and supplying flow generators, masks and accessories for the treatment of sleep apnea. Increasing diagnosis of sleep apnea combined with ageing populations and increasing prevalence of obesity...

RHTrading

Valuations are attractive on an absolute and relative basis. Cross-asset breadth for EM assets (stocks/bonds/FX) making a sharp move higher from washed-out levels. EM central banks are collectively pivoting from rate hikes to cuts, which supports EM assets. China is moving towards a larger stimulus as the property downturn deepens and the economy slows...

RHTrading

BDX gapping higher and may be breaking out of this 5-year range it's been trading in. This serial-acquirer is a buy. Over the longer-term, Becton Dickinson has been a solid compounder, and the current valuation represents a reasonable entry point. Becton, Dickinson is a Medical Instruments provider in Healthcare. It has a Narrow Moat, Stable Moat Trend,...

RHTrading

A Great Business | Fund Favorite | Danaher is a stock Mutual and Hedge Funds Love | The company has a stellar high-moat M&A-driven business model with strong pricing power and often anti-cyclical customers | Compounder Starts To Look Attractive Dividend Stock Brilliance | Danaher has a wide-moat business model, strong pricing power, anti-cyclical customers, and...

RHTrading

I recently added new position MKTX to the portfolio. MarketAxess operates the leading platform for the electronic trading of corporate bonds.Recently, we found for an active high-yield bond fund, and on the manager call they mentioned they exclusively use MarketAxess for their trading activity. The company is poised to capture broad-based capital market growth as...

RHTrading

The ISM currently stands at 46.3%, signaling a contraction. Business activity is implying that rising interest rates and growing recession fears are starting to weigh on businesses. The reading pointed to a fifth straight month of contraction in factory activity, as companies continue to slow outputs to better match demand for the first half of 2023 and prepare...

RHTrading

The SKEW index is a measure of potential risk in financial markets. Much like the VIX index, the SKEW index can be a proxy for investor sentiment and volatility. The Skew Index measures perceived tail-risk in the S&P 500. SKEW values generally range from 100 to 150 where the higher the rating, the higher the perceived tail risk and chance of a black swan event....

RHTrading

We haven't had to manage cycle risk, on a sustained basis to the downside, since 2008-2009 and 2000-2002. The biggest problem in financial markets right now is there's no Event. This is just Cycle-Risk and we haven't had to manage cycle risk - on a sustained basis to the downside - since '08-'09, and 2000-2000 before then. The Fed is in QT. Financial conditions...

RHTrading Updated 

The opportunity at the present time is to take very measured, very controlled shots to the downside right now. AAPL will get hit this next move. AAPL is down -9% YTD. They've taken out all the generals except Apple . And Apple's in everything. It has been a blistering rally with one-sided trade in the S&P's. There are some phenomenon opportunities opening up in...

RHTrading

QQQ - $280 Our current Large Growth positioning QQQ>VUG Will Apple and Amazon become the next Nifty Fifty? $180-$160 Bear Case Currently off -33% from ATH's

RHTrading

QQQ - $280 Our current Large Growth positioning QQQ>VUG

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XLV $120 Our current Health Care fund positioning.

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XLRE $40 Our current real estate fund positioning. XLRE>VNQ

RHTrading

We haven't had to manage cycle risk, on a sustained basis to the downside, since 2008-2009 and 2000-2002. The biggest problem in financial markets right now is there's no Event. This is just Cycle-Risk and we haven't had to manage cycle risk - on a sustained basis to the downside - since '08-'09, and 2000-2000 before then. The Fed is in QT. Financial conditions...

RHTrading

Discretionary vs. Staples = Economy Bullish / Economy Bearish Ratio rising = Discretionary > Staples Ratio falling = Discretionary < Staples Often a leading indicator of the 10yr yield (TNX) Will continue to track this potential new signal.