lucky_human_foot

lucky_human_foot

Corn is touching its 200 WMA and almost its 50 MMA. RSI is around 20 on the daily and weekly chart. Could be a turnaround point.

lucky_human_foot

The Fed has stopped hiking rates and the yield curve is flipping. This was the time when the housing and labour market started crashing in 2008. Time for a repeat?

lucky_human_foot

The 10Y-03MY yield curve is the lowest ever. It looks like it cannot go any lower. Is it about to turn? And will it bring DXY up with it? An option is to buy AMEX:MINT or LSE:IBTE to play that trade.

lucky_human_foot

The Fed funds rate is higher than the 30 year treasury interest rate. The last time that happened was in 2000 and 2008. What happened back then was that the stock market and the 2 year treasury interest rate both dropped significantly. Will history repeat itself?

lucky_human_foot

Commodities on their way down. Will the US 10-year yield come along?

lucky_human_foot

Will silver run from here? It looks like US 10 year treasuries are overbought compared to silver and the reversal could come now.

lucky_human_foot

The yield curve seems to be turning around, in the 2006 - 2009 it meant that the Fed funds rate soon topped, that equities, inflation and treasury yields went down and unemployment went up. Will it be the same this time?

lucky_human_foot

Silver has strong support from a support line and 100 MMA

lucky_human_foot

As seen here:

lucky_human_foot

Predicting that the FED FUNDS RATE will go much higher As seen in

lucky_human_foot

Real interest rates will probably start to fall soon because of stagflation. Real interest rates can be measured by subtracting inflation expectations FRED:T10YIE from US treasury yields FRED:DGS10 . Treasury yields will likely fall along with unemployment as measured by initial claims FRED:ICSA . Initials claims has started to slowly rise and when it...

lucky_human_foot

The DXY looks like it is reaching a top here, maybe some event could be the trigger like Jackson Hole, peace in Ukraine or something else?

lucky_human_foot

Real rates look like they are about to turn over. This should mean that interest rates should drop faster than the inflation. A good proxy for this is silver which looks like it is touching a support line and the 100 MMA.

lucky_human_foot

US30 treasuries are hitting a resistance line, 50 MMA and a high RSI and MACD. It seems like a good risk / reward to buy some treasuries here. If the recession is starting it should put a downward pressure on inflation and treasury rates. I will buy some TLT ETF and SPPX ETF.

lucky_human_foot Updated 

Betting that CAC40 will turn around here after a long upturn. Mainly based on RSI and MACD

lucky_human_foot

Bet that Danish yields will fall from here. Mainly due to the quick rise in the yields recently. Bet that inflation has peaked and a recession instead of a stagflation is coming.

lucky_human_foot

The CHF has been increasing its value for a long time. How much more can the Swiss tolerate before it becomes difficult for them to sell their goods?

lucky_human_foot Updated 

Silver could be pushed up here along with real yields which seem like they have dropped too much too fast