COPPER Commodity or Junior Miner trade LONGCopper prices rise when the economy is thought to be growing and needing more electrical
infrastructure while they fall when bearish indicators might project a recession. I am
at the aluminum and finished steel subsectors as well. FCX is under consideration but as a
large cap it does not have the volatility of the junior miners. In the meanwhile COPJ, CPER and
COPX look like they are worth considering given the trend up since mid-February. The chosen
strength and trend indicators confirm the trend. This is a long trade and sector rotation play for
those to consider that are tired of tech stocks and earnings plays.
COPX
WRN- A copper mining Penny Stock WATCH for LONGWRN is on 15 minute chart. The ideas is described on the chart in textboses with a head
and shoulder pattern identified as well as a Fibonacci retracement leel and dual anchored
VWAP to identify areas of high liquidity and trading volume. The trend indicator adds support
to waiting for a best entry as marked on the chart. Once entered, my expectation is for a
10-15 % move in a single week long swing trade.
Copper Prices on the Rise - Do Your Research Before You T
Copper prices have recently reached a 14-month high, driven in part by China's economic improvement. This could be a potential trading opportunity, but it's important to be well-informed before making any decisions.
Copper is a key economic indicator, and its demand is expected to rise. However, the market can be volatile.
Here are some resources to help you make informed decisions:
• Copper price charts and analysis
• Information on copper trading risks
Remember, successful trading requires research, understanding your risk tolerance, and aligning your strategy with your goals
#COPX Copper miners ETF reclaims support and now heading higherNice reclaim of the broken horizontal and channel support on the COPX Copper miners ETF. Looks like we're headed back to the top of the years trading range at 41.80 which is an approximate move of 12% from current levels. Dr Copper being a proxy for global growth is always a positive for global markets.
Copper ~ Help Me Obi-China, You're My Only Hope (2H)CAPITALCOM:COPPER chart mapping/analysis.
Copper - off its October lows, yet still contending with global macro headwinds & China's difficulty in shaking off its deflationary economic funk..
Trading scenarios into EOY:
Prelim trading range = ~3.93 - ~3.73.
Under bearish pressure from 38.2% Fib rejections.
Bullish reaction to China/macro economic news = bounce off lower range of parallel channel (green) + 200SMA confluence support / break above 38.2% Fib / break above ~3.93 upper trading range.
Bullish extension target(s) = 50% Fib / upper range of parallel channel (green) confluence zone.
Bearish reaction to China/macro economic news = break below ~3.73 lower trading range / lower range of parallel channel (green) / break underneath 200SMA, becoming dynamic resistance.
Bearish extension target(s) = 23.6% Fib / lower range of descending parallel channel (light blue).
Update on my previous copper ideasDespite Copper falling 38% from its ATHs, we still haven't seen deflation, even though inflation seems to have peaked for now. The inflation story doesn't seem to be over; even inflation moderates and goes close to or below 2%. The big problem right now is that the Copper inventories are extremely low and that the demand for Copper seems to be increasing because of all the green technologies that are being developed. Therefore despite the high-interest rates and the drop in the money supply globally (reduction in overall liquidity, along with a strong dollar), it is possible to see Copper rally higher from here. With the recent drop in the dollar and the potential peak in the USD and short-term interest rates, the market may have bottomed.
Of course, this isn't the only reason the market has bottomed. Copper fell a lot, and it hit critical support. They seem to have bottomed at their previous significant highs along with Silver and reversed the upside. I don't think the final bottom is in, although it could be. In my opinion, the market is heading towards 4$ in the short term. Still, in a long time, it is directed towards 2.7$, and maybe even towards 1.6-1.9$ if we get the short-term deflationary collapse, I expect. After the failure, I think new ATHs will come, as Central Banks and Governments globally will print insane amounts of money to save their economies from collapsing.
#COPX #DRCOPPER Copper miners about to rip?Keep an eye on the copper x etf which tracks miners which are engaged in the mining of Copper. Every time we've seen a heavy spike in volume this year has resulted in a corresponding top or bottom for Copper miners. My guess would be another bottom could be forming here...
$COPX / #HG1! copper miners ETF/ $coppe. IH&S / W-pattern Here is a thing of beauty! Measured move is a 40% increase in the RATIO! So if copper goes up 60%, it's a bag
THe best thing is the target it evident and looks pretty accurate.
So we can use that measured move to infer the BO time. That will come on following tweets.
BF bullflag BO of a shoulder
DBB - Inflation be thy nameLot of "China is falling apart news" sell your metals recently such as:
www.kitco.com
IMO that story isn't going to age well at least in the near term... market buying the bad news. Recent new high on DBB. Copper looking bullish again too. Turns out the world still needs a lot of metal.
Based upon that recent high and bull-flag - DBB hitting $22 = very likely.
Inflation looks like it is ready to ROAR! At least for a bit longer.
Not financial advice.
COPX - Evergrande Fall-OutBearish sentiment building for copper and other metals/commodities from Evergrande debacle in China and copper prices were down sharply this past week.
COPX weekly chart closed outside the longer-term (march 2020) regression channel for the 2nd time in the last few weeks also printing a bearish engulfing candle indicating potential for more near-term down.
Initial downside target bottom of the current regression channel at the 1.618 fib.
COPX is currently setting atop the mid-line of the nearer-term regression channel and has volume support in this area and may briefly bounce.
Not financial advice.
COPX - bully bounce timeCOPX took another hit today and lost +4% which is a little surprising considering Max Pain this Friday is $37... maximum-pain.com
Expecting a turn soon. Probably starting next week after some more pain and fear...
Indicators appear to be looking for a turn on the daily, and Volume is drying up on this leg down.
Potential selling climax on July 19th.
Bollinger' Band width can go lower but not much IMO before a turn.
New high isn't likely given the drop out of the longer term regression channel.
Tradable bounce - lasting ~30 days...maybe less on deck for COPX.
Maybe another 3% to 4% down. Falling knifes and all... buy the fear.
Bounce Target = $40.xx See Chart
Not financial advice.
copper head n shoulders ?high prices in copper market.. Doesnt seem to fit the supply demand story.. at least according to china.
SLV - Triangle Corrective WAVEMy count has a bullish ABCDE Triangle Corrective Wave unfolding for SLV., and if confirmed it will likely continue "sideways" for a bit longer.
See chart for general price and wave predictions. Waiting for confirmation that Wave C is done.
Indicators looking like a turn up is in the cards but volume isn't confirming IMO. However I wonder how/if retail interest in physical silver may be skewing this metric.
If the C wave continues down a little then reverses - still bullish for SLV longer term and potentially a bullish ABC correction. If Wave C down breaks below $21.xx will revaluate bull case.
Note: $COPX has been turning up here as well. Bullish!
No active trades = Neutral
Not financial advice.
Copper close to complete the measured move!Copper has a healthy stair-step trend, with mid-term consolidations after big rally's, as drawn in chart.
We are about to make the measured move which I projected in my last chart on this ETF, at this point I expect we could enter a period of consolidation.
Risk Management
I will tight my exits to the 5-day moving average once we complete the measured move. That way I can still be in it if it continues to rally, but will secure my gains which I set in my initial plan.
To see the initial plan and breakout setup, click on related ideas "Copper breaking out"
Copper Miners ST Top COPX wave 5 top lies out of channel around the 25th of June.
The end of June will be in my mind, 25th-28th have recurred as dates of peak projections on so many charts of mine that I will make a trading plan around it. We could see a slow down in metals and miners late summer into the autumn. I think Q4 will probably rip into a larger crash, not so sure on the David Hunter Q3 Bust, maybe Q4.
A correction at that point may retrace a minimum of 15% to the 50D MA
COPX and COPPER - Miners Upside into MarchMiners (COPX) rising daily channel (blue) tops out the Monthly (Grey), coinciding with fib levels (previously respected).
The window shown in purple is the current max price target and timeframe for summer volatility, where an intermediate decline is expected before resumption in the fall after the window closes.
This timing thesis is my personal favorite (calendar day-wise) for sale (March-end) and re-buy (August end/September).
Constructive criticism welcomed.