Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) Analysis==>>Dead Cat Bounce PatternThe Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) project has taken a downward trend after the unsuccessful Airdrop that disappointed many of its users.
This bearish movement reminds me of the Dead Cat Bounce Pattern . We can even name this pattern for the BINANCE:HMSTRUSDT token, Dead Hamster Bounce Pattern😂.
Why does a Dead Cat Bounce Pattern form?
When the price experiences a sharp fall, traders feel that the price has reached the lowest support area and is worth buying. In this area, they start buying, and the price increases with a lot of momentum. But this cat is dead and cannot have a total bounce to go up; it's just a dead cat bounce.
In this area, the asset has lost its value, and this bounce occurs only for psychological reasons among traders, and there has been no change in the value of that asset. So the price has no reason to rise.
In this bounce, the buyers get extremely hopeful and enter the market, but they need to know that the cat is dead and cannot bounce.
The Bearish Flag Continuation Pattern is also clear in the Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) chart.
I expect the Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) project to continue its decline and if the project team does not think about their project, it is possible that in the coming months even this project will fall to very low prices and even be removed from some exchanges .
Note: If the Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) can break the Resistance zone($0.0054-$0.0050), we can expect Hamster Kombat(HMSTR) to pump at least +15%.
Hamster Kombat Analyze (HMSTRUSDT), 4-hour time frame⏰.
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Deadcatbounce
I'm not buying the Brian Niccol hype. SBUX is in trouble. NASDAQ:SBUX , NYSE:CMG , NYSE:YUM
This 24% jump in SBUX stock as a result of recent news of them hiring Brian Niccol seems a bit excessive. Sure he is a wonderful CEO and he has made significant improvements in both companies he has run, but this situation seems significantly different.
With NYSE:CMG he was able to trim the fat and cut all costs possible while creating specialized food items people were willing to pay up for like carne asada, al pastor, and guac.
The situation with NASDAQ:SBUX is very different. Their workforce demands more from their employer. It is no longer looked at as an entry-level job, people believe they are working for a company they can work up and develop in. In addition, what sets SBUX apart from other coffee shops like #Dunkindonuts and #TimHortons is the customization the customer has in the app and at the store. Every coffee chain has "specialty" and "seasonal" drinks. The only way I see he will be able to make a significant change is by automating the store as much as possible, but if he does this, will people still look at it as a local cafe they are going to sit down and enjoy a cup of coffee in? In addition, consumers are becoming more health conscious and they are likely to continue to decrease their spend on luxury-priced drinks filled with sugars. With inflation continuing to impact the consumer, a high-priced coffee is likely at the top of their cost-cutting list. With both the USA and China consumers feeling the heat, this company is likely to continue to feel the pain in both markets. If I were to guess, Niccols is going to slash projections previously made by upper management, and the stock will respond in a negative way.
With all that being said, the stock has recently shot through all of its moving averages and is now retesting the upper band of a previous negative channel. Once the Niccols hype starts to decrease, I can see this stock easily retesting the 200-day MA and 100-day MA.
ANF reversal or dead-cat bounce?
NYSE:ANF
ANF has recently pulled back from its all-time high (ATH) following its latest earnings report. Despite strong earnings, same-store sales, and electronic sales growth, and a dynamic inventory selection, concerns about a potential recession have weighed on the stock.
Key Developments:
Recently dropped below the 100-day Moving Average (MA)
Retested the 200-day MA
Bounced off the 200-day MA
Broke out of a triangle formation on a 15-minute timeframe
Broke above the 100-day MA but failed to break above previous support
Expected Outcomes:
Bullish scenario: If ANF bounces off the 100-day MA and reclaims the previous support level, it could retest the 50-day MA, coinciding with the upper limit of the current negative channel. In this case, I would consider near-term put options to hedge against a potential retest of the 200-day MA.
Bearish scenario: If ANF fails to hold above the 100-day MA and the $150 support level, it is likely to retest the 200-day MA.
I am closely monitoring the $150 level and will make decisions based on price action this week. Given the current macro environment, I prefer to be short this position. If the bullish scenario unfolds, I will wait for a retest of the upper channel limit before taking action. With key economic data, including retail sales, being released this week, expect volatility. Regardless of my position, I plan to be short-term and exit before the next earnings report.
Understanding the "Dead Cat Bounce" in TradingIn the dynamic world of trading, one peculiar phenomenon that often catches investors' attention is the "Dead Cat Bounce." This term, as bizarre as it sounds, is a crucial concept in technical analysis and market psychology. It refers to a temporary recovery in the price of a declining stock, followed by a continuation of the downtrend. This article delves into the nuances of the Dead Cat Bounce, helping traders recognize and navigate this pattern effectively.
What is a Dead Cat Bounce?
Originating from the saying, "even a dead cat will bounce if it falls from a great height," this metaphor is used to describe a brief and false recovery in a bear market. Essentially, it's a short-lived rally in the price of a stock or an index following a substantial decline, misleading some into believing that the downtrend has reversed.
Characteristics of a Dead Cat Bounce
Precipitating Sharp Decline: Typically, a Dead Cat Bounce occurs after a significant and rapid drop in price.
Temporary Rebound: The stock or index experiences a brief period of recovery, which may be mistaken for a trend reversal.
Resumption of Downtrend: The initial downtrend resumes, often eroding the gains made during the bounce.
Identifying a Dead Cat Bounce
The key challenge for traders is differentiating between a true market recovery and a Dead Cat Bounce. Here are some indicators:
Volume Analysis: A genuine recovery often accompanies increasing trade volumes, whereas a Dead Cat Bounce may occur on lower volumes.
Duration: Dead Cat Bounces are usually short-lived, lasting from a few days to a couple of weeks.
Technical Indicators: Tools like moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), and Fibonacci retracements can aid in identifying these patterns.
Trading Strategies for Dead Cat Bounces
Short Selling: Traders might short sell a stock during a Dead Cat Bounce, anticipating the resumption of the downtrend.
Stop-Loss Orders: Setting strict stop-loss orders can mitigate risks if the bounce turns out to be a genuine reversal.
Patient Observation: Sometimes, the best strategy is to wait and observe the price action for clearer trend confirmation.
Case Studies and Examples
Analyzing past instances of Dead Cat Bounces can be educational. For instance, examining the 2008 financial crisis or the dot-com bubble burst reveals classic examples of this phenomenon.
Conclusion
The Dead Cat Bounce is a fascinating aspect of market behavior, representing the constant battle between optimism and reality in trading. Understanding this concept is not just about recognizing a pattern but also about grasping the underlying market psychology. As always, traders should approach these scenarios with caution, equipped with sound research and a well-thought-out strategy.
The Dead Cat Bounce on the JSE ALSI 40 & why trading is so hardYou know why bear markets are so hard to trade?
Because when the market bounces up (just a little), some stocks fly up.
ANd this results in stop losses getting hit, before the market comes back down.
That's why we need to determine the volatility movement within the indices and stocks and WIDEN stop losses and take profits - to not be victim of these short term bear market rallies.
It's probably one of the most difficult aspects to getting right...
We clearly see the JSE ALSI is in the bear market with the diagonal resistance along with price below the 200MA...
The best we can do is short markets BUT also go long and hedge a few markets just in case we have a relief rally to make up for the stop losses hit with the shorts...
That's the way of trading well.
Bitcoin Market State - October 2023Following my previous update in June 2022, Bitcoin has indeed carried out most of the dead cat bounce that I've been expecting. Granted, it took longer than I thought, but the levels are still valid.
This is just an update that we are indeed on track with the plan, anticipating to enter the 35k-37k price zone before the bear market continues.
This zone is a strong psychological pivot, as many bear ideas become invalidated, and may bull ideas become confirmed. As some would call it, a max-pain scenario for a top.
Following that, my analysis suggests that we will be seeing much lower prices before 2025.
Currently I am targeting $8,800 and $5,555 for accumulation zones.
JSE Bear Market Rally before the fall to 61,403It's clear that we've had the 1 year anticipated breakout.
And it's down.
Right now, we are having a slight rally which is known as a Bear Market Rally or a Dead Cat Bounce.
The price can go up a day or two but the resistance level will most likely hold. And this will cause the next down leg with the ALSI...
First target will be around 61,403
$BTCUSDT much FUD, bear flag, small bullish divergence, set trapBitcoin price painted a bear flag; 4h. There is small bullish divergence here...could be a dead cat bounce. There is much FUD. Spot trading only.
Call limit order filled: 24826.00
Fractal target_1: 25370.67
Fractal target_2: 25620.00
Stop: 24481.82
glta
Bitcoin Forecast Sunny🌞 (Clear: 100.0 %)🌤️ Bitcoin Weather Report: Sunny Forecast! 🌤️
According to the latest Bitcoin chart index for the past hour, I'm happy to announce that the weather in the Bitcoin world is expected to be sunny ☀️. With a confidence level of 1.0, I have high certainty in this forecast. Let's take a closer look at the key indicators:
📈 Open: 25019
🔼 High: 25063
🔽 Low: 24890
📊 Volume: 18820
📉 Close: 24918
The recent price movement indicates a potential for a dead cat bounce 🐱 following a sharp drop. This means that after a significant decline, there might be a short-lived upward movement before the downward trend resumes. However, it's important to approach this with caution as dead cat bounces are typically temporary and may not signal a sustained recovery.
Moving on to the moving averages, we observe the following values:
📈 EMA9: 25101
📈 EMA21: 25355
📈 EMA50: 25621
📈 EMA100: 25781
📈 EMA200: 25909
The exponential moving averages show a gradual increase over time, which indicates a potential upward trend in the Bitcoin market. However, it's crucial to consider other factors and not solely rely on moving averages for investment decisions.
Additional indicators include:
📉 RSI: 27
The relative strength index (RSI) is on the lower side, suggesting that Bitcoin may be oversold. This could potentially lead to a buying opportunity for investors, but it's crucial to assess other factors before making investment decisions.
📉 Fast %K: 9
📉 Slow %K: 16
📉 Slow %D: 20
The stochastic oscillator values indicate a bearish sentiment, as the %K values are lower than the %D value. This suggests that selling pressure may be prevalent in the market.
📉 MACD: -279
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is negative, indicating a bearish trend. However, it's important to note that this is just one piece of the puzzle, and other factors should be considered.
In conclusion, while the Bitcoin weather forecast appears to be sunny, it's crucial to exercise caution and not solely rely on a single hour's data. The potential for a dead cat bounce after a sharp drop introduces some uncertainty to the market. Remember to consider various indicators, market trends, and perform comprehensive analysis before making investment decisions. Happy trading! 💰📈
Want to join the fun ride to zero?Hello,
This is our time to shine my bear bros! I waited for this moment my whole life! I constantly wait for the moment to make money while others suffer.
If you have been in this game for more than 6 months you know that Credit Suisse is a losing story.
No one wants to buy this dead bank. And even people "on its side" have targets way below where the price is right now.
UBS made claims about possibly buying CS in the future, which would provide a lot of liquidity (from noobs throwing their money into the fire).
As usual casuals are all long, 99% of IG clients are long. Humans are broken, I think they are part of a different species than mine.
And what is the best way to make quick profits? Short selling a stock that has fallen by 90%, if your broker and regulator will allow you to.
This pos is going to zero and there is nothing these 🤡 can do to stop it. History will repeat itself with mindless monkeys trying to "save the stock market" and to "save" a "reputable" bank. It's a lot of fun to see stupid people make the same mistake, but if these stupid people actually would let us make money from their mistakes then it would be even more fun. The more they try to "save" steaming piles of 💩, the more slow and painful it will be as well as harder to bounce back from.
This will at least be a lesson. A lesson to have several brokers (which I do) because they typically have the regulator pressuring them to protect "rEtAiL tRaDeRs" eager to buy shares such as this "thing" and lose everything they have. I have to be 1 in 100 that actually has a brain and wants to sell but that's barred too (otherwise the creatures will get angry and blame me for their losses). I'll update this idea if I am able to short sell 😁.
It could go up a few hundred percent sure, and a lottery ticket could go up a few million percents too. I'd never buy this, not without some sort of uptrend or new high first, and even then I'd just be in short term hoping for suckers to follow.
Definitely a great stock to short sell. It will still be overpriced at 1 cent.
KRE Regionals still not out of the woods.Checking out a chart of KRE the regional banks have been the epicenter of the latest banking crisis. The FED has responded with BTFP to try and get ahead of the problem of mark to market losses on MBS and treasury holdings, but is it enough? I would have expected confidence in the sector to be somewhat restored and stock prices to have a relief rally. But prices have been stuck in a range as the broader market continues to climb. This is concerning for anyone who thinks this rally has more legs and something I'll be monitoring closely in the coming weeks.
Downgraded From BB+ To BBIt's a personal opinion of mine that psychological levels, whole number resistance and support, should have this much control over price action.
Psychological levels have the most effect when there's extremes of emotions. I feel it's rather self-explanatory.
It's either going towards zero or it's getting bought to prevent it from hitting the pavement.
The variance in price alone is a clear indicator its in deep trouble while it was just downgraded to BB.
Previous low on charts of $17.60 is notable, while $20 pertains to psychological significance.
Below this, I see little more than psychological levels.
$10, double digits. $5, where select exchanges consider a stock a penny stock. $1, where the rest consider it a penny stock.
You can label a ton of this chart a deadcat bounce here or there.
Please add thoughts. I didn't see a Fibonacci ladder helping much because the price action was too chaotic.
DYOR/DYOC.
BTC in make or break zone of its lifespanBTC is in a very interesting place right now, there is sign of buying on weekly charts but is it what ppl call "Dead cat bounce" or whales pushing the liquidity in.
My personal target is 25k, if and when that reaches, I would short and wait for it to pre 2017 levels.
So long till 25k, then get everything out of the market.
XRP | The only thing worse than a Rat in the House is . . A DEAD CAT in the house.
Comedy my friends . . bonus if you instantly got the Warren Buffet reference to Bitty.
OK, getting down to the biz of our darling XRP, some points to indicate here :
1. With the exception of volume presence in the recent range, this bounce looks a LOT like a dead cat which could mean a continuation of the broader downtrend. Let me know if you disagree.
2. The Bear hasn't really lived up to it's name until it's endured 2x the bull cycle duration so stay frosty on that and never shoot your wad, DCA is the way.
3. We still have a longer lived and yet to be engulfed wick from old, look to the left John Wick
4. Some of our other XRP zealots have been indicating returns to lower levels at least into the 0.30's, some as low as 0.10. We haven't seen a major scam wick in a while but they're out there, waiting to liq the masses.
5. The Cat "could" theoretically take us to above 0.70 so again, a light - medium bag from this area wouldn't be terrible especiall if you get to TP at that level. I personally like the idea of a stop entry from 0.58 to 0.68 but that's me. I do have lower buy points(see my previous idea which I'm still maintaining for the daily action.
Caveats : This isn't investment advice, DYOR and I'm a contrarian. I've made my profits as a bear / long scalper and tend to do better in down markets because retracements are easier to trade, although I'm still a big fan of the Cup & Handle which I've traded successfully many, many times.
Hope this helps you in your decision making.
Box
Bitcoin Dead Cat Bounce???I suspect that there are similarities between the bitcoin fractal in the 2019 - 2020 range and its fractal in the 2021 range to today.
If examined more carefully, its fractals pattern forms a big descending triangle pattern, where the last upward rally in that pattern begins with a double bottom. However, there are high uncertainties regarding how accurate the shape of the triangle might be. Therefore, I feel if
we can map each support - resistance level at that last rally up, we can minimize the trading risks.
Note: I would like to declare that this is not a financial advice. Any presented informations should be regarded as sharing opinion of my trading strategy.
Best Regards
El Suneo
$BETA : A Potential 15x Gain$BETA fractals repetition suggest a big move up before a drop to its unknown demand zone.
SPXFollowing macroeconomic situation and all the financial markets being on tight grip I anticipate lower targets for btc and spx this 20% decline will make btc fall more than 40% and that would be a target of around 14. Today, Aug 27th, investors moral is quite low and I believe this was the real DEADCAT BOUNCE that we were expecting.
its pretty obvious the fed seems determined to tank this markettechnology is not playing the feds game, and they are rubbing elbows with china especially where semiconductors are concerned. the dollar is the worlds reserve currency, and big corporations dont like a populace with buying power. the job of the reserve banks is to assist borrowers while preserving the lenders capacity, and with this particular administration volatility seems to be the most profitable route. this means one thing. the bear market rally everyone feared is here. im predicting a dead cat bounce followed by continued downside.
DOGECOING: Dead cat bounce? Wow! What a year for meme-coins similar to Dogecoin? (expand chart for better view)
DOGE has done a 93% collapse. Some (not me) will be saying, ' it can't go much lower '.
It's now in gamblers' territory - and I expect gamblers to wade into the ' kill or be killed zone' !
So yes - two things are very possible:
1 - An immediate dead cat bounce over the next few days to weeks.
2 - Or a total collapse, from where we could get the real 'dead cat bounce'.
Folks are lining up, I imagine. I'm not one of them.
Avoid gambling please. Heavy losses could be involved.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.