Bearish drop?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 11.74053
1st Support: 11.64963
1st Resistance: 11.77924
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURNOK
Bullish rise?EUR/NOK is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 61.8% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 1.74550
1st Support: 11.66510
1st Resistance: 11.85168
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURNOK Confirmed sell signalThe EURNOK pair brutally followed our last buy signal (July 09, see chart below) and easily hit our Target:
The pair has now established a clear peak formation within the +1 year Ascending Triangle pattern, similar to the tops of Nov - Dec 2023 and June 2023, and is ready to extend the Bullish Leg towards the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) again.
The Sine Waves clearly show the frequency of those bottoms and as such, our Target is 11.3650.
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Bullish bounce?EUR/NOK is falling towards the pivot which has been acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 11.74385
1st Support: 11.65492
1st Resistance: 11.88554
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 11.74014
1st Support: 11.60040
1st Resistance: 11.84572
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/NOK has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 11.8178
1st Support: 11.7168
1st Resistance: 12.0124
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURNOK Strong buy opportunity.The EURNOK pair has made contact today with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance for the first time since May 16. This is the start of the new Bullish Leg of the 1-year Triangle pattern.
All bottoms (green arcs) have been formed when the 1D RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier, so this is technically a medium-term buy opportunity.
The previous Lower High was priced on the 0.85 Fibonacci retracement level and the one before on the 0.95. As a result, our medium-term Target is 11.7500 (just below the 0.85 Fib).
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Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 44 - EURNOK - (17th June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURNOK, starting from the 3-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my TradingView profile.
I get NOKed down.. but I get up again...You're never gonna keep me down,
I get NOKed down, but I get up again,
You're never gonna keep me down!
Now that you all hopefully have the song stuck as much into your head as I have ;) we can go straight to the facts:
It is true that over the past two years, the Norwegian krone has all too often been one of the big losers in the FX market.
Not only has it embarrassingly been constantly beaten up against the EUR and traded at an all-time low, but it has even brought up the rear of ALL G10 currencies since November 2022.
This was hardly surprising as almost all fundamental factors spoke against the NOK.
However, the tide will turn dramatically in 2024, especially in the EURNOK:
NOK positive:
➡️ Energy prices appear to have bottomed out and could rise again.
➡️ The oil price appears to be stabilising at the USD 60-70 mark and could rise if necessary in the event of a soft landing
➡️ January and February are seasonally positive for the NOK
➡️ Norges Bank surprised EVERYONE in December by raising interest rates again
➡️ Norges Bank enters 2024 as one of the hawkishest of the G10 central banks
➡️ A further rate hike by Norges Bank in early 2024 cannot be ruled out
➡️ It would raise interest rates while virtually all other central banks would be in rate-cutting mode
➡️ Norges Bank will drastically reduce its NOK purchases from January (as previously announced by me in the NOKSEK Tradeidee) , see here:
My CHFNOK Short should also be a sure winner in 2024:
EURNOK Bearish short-term.The EURNOK pair is currently testing the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), being at the same time supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This ranged trade is the Higher High after the pair bottomed on December 27 2023 and started rising within a Channel Up.
Based on the similar bottom rebound after the July 25 2023 Low, we expect the pair to reach the 0.5 Fibonacci level and then reverse downwards. If that happens we will sell there and target 11.3200 (Fib 0.236).
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EURNOK - Catch The Final Wave!EURNOK is currently in wave 4, which appears to be a flat correction. Flat corrections consist of 3(A) 3(B) 5(C) subwaves. We are currently in wave C = 5 subwaves. We are anticipating one final move down to complete wave C.
Trade Idea:
- Enter on break of trendline or signs of reversal
- stops above blue structure or above price once entry trendline breaks
- Targets: 11.2 (3000pips), Taper thereafter
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
EURNOK - An Elliott Wave Masterpiece! (+17,000pip Target!) ✨EURNOK is currently giving us a masterclass on Elliott Wave.
We have the perfect impulse schematic, which follows every rule of Elliott Wave Theory.
IMPULSE ELLIOTT WAVE SCHEMATIC
Wave 1 = 5 waves (Impulse)
Wave 2 = 3 waves (Correction)
Wave 3 = 5 waves (Impulse)
Wave 4 = 3 waves (Correction)
Wave 5 = 5 waves (Impulse OR Correction in the form of a diagonal)
We can see that wave 2 was a simple correction and when that happens, it is often expected that wave 4 will be a complex correction. In this scenario, we have wave 4 appearing as a complex Flat correction (3-3-5).
We are currently in the wave C of the flat correction = 5 subwaves. We are seeing subwave 4 now and expecting one final subwave lower to complete wave C.
SHORT Trade Idea:
- Watch for subwave 4 to breakdown and enter with stops above subwave 4
- It's anticipated that we stay below 11.577 so having stops above that level will be fine for a risk entry
- Target: 11 (5000pips)
LONG Trade Idea:
- Once we reach the buy zone, watch for reversal signs such as BOS or trendline break
- Enter with stops below the lows once reversal signs appear
- Targets: 11.5 (5,500pips), 12 (10,000pips), 12.5 (15,000pips), 12.8 (18,000pips)
We do hope you learnt a thing or two from this post. Let us know your thoughts below!
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
EURNOK One of the best long-term sellsThe EURNOK pair has topped on the long-term having made a Cycle peak on the week of May 29 2023. So far however, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) has (nearly) held twice as Support, but both rebounds failed to cross above the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
This price action is very similar to the previous Cycle peak of March 2020, leading to a 1W MA50 rebound that again failed to break above the 0.618 Fibonacci. The direct consequence was a Channel Down to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and the -0.382 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we will sell as long as the price is below the 0.618 Fib and target 10.9000, a projected contact with the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
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EUR/NOK can the trend hold? Commentary
EUR/NOK multi-week higher tops and higher bottoms on price indicate a dow pattern uptrend; provided price can hold above the 10.9 key support the potential for a continuation of the prevailing uptrend remains for a move towards 11.05 in the short term (5-13 days), otherwise if price fails to hold above the 10.9 key support then scope for a price correction lower can not be ruled out.
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
EURNOK - To valhalla!First things first: all hail the vikings!
Why I like this trade:
- NOK with the MUCH better fundamentals
- NOK clearly undervalued on a longterm timeframe
- Norges Bank quite dovish in their last meeting but could get hawkish again in march as
-> inflation has massively surprised to the upside
- inflation expectations on thursday will be key for NB
- NB could reduce NOK selling
- oil and nat gas with upward potential
- EUR optimism is overpriced
Short EURNOK - the vikings will win!First things first: all hail valhalla!
Why I like this trade:
- NOK with the MUCH better fundamentals
- NOK clearly undervalued on a longterm timeframe
- Norges Bank quite dovish in their last meeting but could get hawkish again in march as
-> inflation has massively surprised to the upside
- inflation expectations on thursday will be key for NB
- NB could reduce NOK selling
- oil and nat gas with upward potential
- EUR optimism is overpriced
EURNOK short the double top EURNOK has formed a nice double top close to the 38.2% fib. Unfortunately I missed the entry to go short, I will try to get into the trade once price retraces to the upside. The target of the short would be another touch of the bottom trendline. We also have a slight bearish convergence on MACD.